Climate Analytics
@climateanalytics.org
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Global climate science and policy institute working to accelerate climate action and keep warming below 1.5°C.
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1.5°C is not just a number. It’s a warming limit set to prevent the worst climate impacts for everyone, everywhere. For small islands states and least developed countries it is a survival limit.

Read our brief on latest science on the 1.5°C limit. #SIDS #LDCs #climateaction #ParisAgreement
Latest science on the 1.5°C limit of the Paris Agreement
This briefing provides a comprehensive overview of what the science is saying now about the 1.5°C warming limit – what it means, what is at stake, and what actions are needed to limit the risks of ove...
climateanalytics.org
Reposted by Climate Analytics
climateactiontracker.org
2035 NDC ANALYSIS: Chile's new 2035 climate target is not 1.5˚C aligned according to its fair share.
The gap between its target and 1.5˚C compatible pathways has grown.

Positive elements:
🟢 commitment to peak emissions by 2025
🟢 2040 coal phase-out

🔗 climateactiontracker.org/countries/ch...
Reposted by Climate Analytics
forestnavigeu.bsky.social
🌳#ForestNavigator enters its final year!
📊 With advanced models, high-resolution data & strong stakeholder engagement, we’re paving the way to the ForestNavigator Portal (2026) - supporting smarter, sustainable EU forest & climate policy.
🔍 www.forestnavigator.eu/about
climateanalytics.org
Our Pacific Senior Adaptation Expert Patrick Pringle is holding workshops in Samoa with SPREP to explore how climate-induced loss and damage is experienced at a community level.
"We heard just how intertwined economic and non-economic loss and damage often is," he said.
www.sprep.org/news/through...
Through BOLD Project, Samoa works to build resilience, preserve identity for sustainable future | Pacific Environment
www.sprep.org
climateanalytics.org
It would get more difficult over time to switch away from CCS, leaving these economies with much higher costs, stranded assets, or an economy still based on fossil fuels, with increased climate risks, delivering a fatal blow to the Paris Agreement.
climateanalytics.org
The biggest risk to their economies and the Paris Agreement is CCS's failure to capture CO2: capture rates are nothing like the 95% claimed by industry - more like 50% or less.
Asian economies cld lock themselves into a risky, expensive strategy resulting in 24.9 billion tonnes of CO2e by 2050.
climateanalytics.org
We looked at the CCS pipeline & future deployment in some of Asia's largest and/or most influential economies, energy users & GHG emitters: China, India, Japan, Korea, Indonesia, Thailand, Malaysia and Singapore - and Australia, which has strong integration with Asian fossil fuel trade and CCS plans
climateanalytics.org
REPORT: If Asian economies were to carry out their plans to deploy risky and expensive carbon capture & storage (CCS) to address fossil fuel emissions, they could add an extra 25 billion tonnes of emissions to the atmosphere by 2050. Their economies would suffer.
climateanalytics.org/publications...
The global climate risks of Asia’s expansive carbon capture and…
This report looks at the climate and economic implications of Asia’s promotion of carbon capture and storage (CCS) to reduce fossil fuel emissions.
climateanalytics.org
Reposted by Climate Analytics
climateactiontracker.org
2035 NDC ANALYSIS: while #Norway's new, 2035 #climate target is nominally 1.5˚C compatible compared with its modelled domestic pathway, the #NDC contains several key issues which raise serious concerns about the true ambition of its commitment to reducing domestic emissions.
🔗 bit.ly/CAT_NOR_2035...
Reposted by Climate Analytics
climateactiontracker.org
COUNTRY ANALYSIS: CAT rates #Russia’s climate action as “Critically insufficient”. Since last assessment:

➡️ Climate Doctrine revised to ignore fossil fuels
➡️ 2035 target achievable with no new effort
➡️ Fossil fuel expansion + crackdown on environmental orgs

Read full update 🔗 bit.ly/CAT_RUS
Reposted by Climate Analytics
climateactiontracker.org
COUNTRY ANALYSIS: #India has reached a turning point in its power sector, making significant progress in renewables installation (4th in world in 2024 cumulative capacity): for the first time, non-fossil sources supplied the majority of new electricity generation in 2024–25
#climate
bit.ly/CAT_IND
climateanalytics.org
China’s new 2035 climate target is "unfortunately very disappointing: This target will not drive down emissions – it is below what China is likely to achieve already under its current climate policies,” our CEO @billhare.bsky.social told @aljazeera.com
China’s new climate target branded ‘disappointing’, ‘underwhelming’
Pledge to cut emissions by 7-10 percent does not go far enough, though renewables rollout a cause for hope, experts say.
www.aljazeera.com
Reposted by Climate Analytics
climateactiontracker.org
#China's new #climate target is unlikely to drive down emissions: the country will already achieve it under its current policies.
It's a net target that includes land use & forestry; an absolute target wld be more transparent
It's a shift from emissions & energy intensity to absolute emissions
climateanalytics.org
Wonderful turnout for our #ClimateWeekNYC event last night featuring a keynote by Dr Piers Forster on the latest climate science and a panel discussion on how the ICJ opinion can shape politics and how to align global action with 1.5°C.

Missed the event? Watch the recording:
New York Climate Week 2025: Holding the line: 1.5°C, overshoot, and the urgency of now
YouTube video by Climate Analytics
www.youtube.com
climateanalytics.org
As governments announce new NDCs today, our brief shows that sustained action over the coming decade can keep warming close to 1.5°C and return us below it this century.

To guide this action, we need to see strong targets for both 2030 and 2035.

#UNGA #ClimateWeekNYC #NDC
Why stronger 2030 targets along with 1.5°C-aligned 2035 targets are…
Both stronger 2030 targets and 1.5°C-aligned 2035 NDCs are needed to keep 1.5°C alive, argues this briefing. Without both, we risk overshooting the 1.5°C limit higher and longer, crossing dangerous ti...
climateanalytics.org
Reposted by Climate Analytics
climateactiontracker.org
Today at the #UNClimateSummit, we expect world leaders to step up, share their new plans and demonstrate their commitment to #ClimateAction. We'll be following the new #NDCs closely.

Stay tuned and keep an eye on our Climate Target Update Tracker!

➡️ climateactiontracker.org/climate-targ...
climateanalytics.org
"In the case of China, when they come up with a target, it's something that they are really committed to," said senior
analyst Sofia Gonzales-Zuniga.

Even if it's not the most ambitious "we can have a certain level of trust that they will reach what they are promising."
www.dw.com/en/ndcs-ahea...
Nations deliver new climate targets ahead of climate summit – DW – 09/24/2025
With just weeks to go until the international climate conference, nations are stepping up to submit new climate targets for 2035. But will they be enough to prevent a climate catastrophe?
www.dw.com
climateanalytics.org
🚨 NEW Brief: stronger 2030 targets AND 1.5-aligned 2035 NDCs needed to keep 1.5°C alive

We show that without both, we face the prospect of prolonged overshoot of the warming limit that could trigger dangerous, irreversible climate tipping points.
Why stronger 2030 targets along with 1.5°C-aligned 2035 targets are…
Both stronger 2030 targets and 1.5°C-aligned 2035 NDCs are needed to keep 1.5°C alive, argues this briefing. Without both, we risk overshooting the 1.5°C limit higher and longer, crossing dangerous ti...
climateanalytics.org
climateanalytics.org
Dr Piers Forster brings us up to speed in his keynote on the science of 1.5C, and reminds us all of the importance of listening to scientists.

Join us online now for the panel discussion: www.youtube.com/watch?v=Wse8...
climateanalytics.org
We’re live!
Holding the Line: 1.5°C, Overshoot, and the Urgency of Now is streaming now.
Join the conversation on climate science, justice and global action.
🔗 www.youtube.com/watch?v=Wse8...
NY Climate Week: Holding the line: 1.5°C, overshoot, and the urgency of now
YouTube video by Climate Analytics
www.youtube.com
climateanalytics.org
Today’s the day!

With global temperatures now brushing dangerously close to the 1.5°C limit, our event Holding the Line: 1.5°C, Overshoot, and the Urgency of Now at #NYCW asks what will it take to keep 1.5°C alive.

Watch the livestream at 15:00 ET (21:00 CEST)
🔗 www.youtube.com/watch?v=F5N3...
climateanalytics.org
"Many decisionmakers have misunderstood how fast the energy transition can happen. The report shows governments are still thinking in straight lines and incremental change. But rapid reductions are possible, feasible, and they would make our lives better,” said @neilgrant.bsky.social at the launch.
Quote card from – Neil Grant, 2025 Production Gap Report co-author and Senior Expert at Climate Analytics: “Ten years after Paris, renewables are way out in front of the pack. Instead of getting in the race, governments are blundering backwards towards our fossil past. While it’s frustrating seeing public money squandered on what will inevitably become stranded assets, it’s intolerably unjust to think about the human and environmental costs of these fossil expansion plans, especially for the most vulnerable.”
climateanalytics.org
At the launch of the report today, former President of Ireland Mary Robinson said "sadly the [production] gap has widened from what governments have promised and what they will deliver".

"This is not an unbridgeable gap, but it is one we can and must close."
climateanalytics.org
The 2025 #ProductionGap Report finds that 10 years after the Paris Agreement, governments plan to produce more than double (120%) the volume of fossil fuels in 2030 than would be consistent with limiting global warming to 1.5°C.

productiongap.org/2025-press/
Quote card from Christiana Figueres, former Executive Secretary of the UNFCCC: “Let this report be both a warning and a guide. Renewables will inevitably crowd out fossil fuels completely, but we need deliberate action now to close the gap on time. What we need now is courage and solidarity to move forward at great speed with the just transition.“