Conor Ruth
@conorruth.bsky.social
BSc Government and Political Science graduate. Public Relations student.
Interested in Irish/UK/EU politics, public policy, public relations, and more.
Gaeilgeoir. League of Ireland lover.
Interested in Irish/UK/EU politics, public policy, public relations, and more.
Gaeilgeoir. League of Ireland lover.
For anyone unfamiliar with new housing minister James Browne TD and what approach he may take, he wrote this piece for local Wexford newspapers at the beginning of the year which may offer some insight into his thinking on housing 👇🏼
www.independent.ie/regionals/we...
www.independent.ie/regionals/we...
Housing is the greatest domestic challenge we face today – Fixing it requires action, not rhetoric
The most recent information shows that from 2020 up to the middle of 2024, 3,444 new homes had been completed in Wexford, a remarkable increase from the 1,797 in the previous four years. And in the fi...
www.independent.ie
January 23, 2025 at 5:05 PM
For anyone unfamiliar with new housing minister James Browne TD and what approach he may take, he wrote this piece for local Wexford newspapers at the beginning of the year which may offer some insight into his thinking on housing 👇🏼
www.independent.ie/regionals/we...
www.independent.ie/regionals/we...
No coincidence that Albert Dolan and Catherine Ardagh - both widely viewed as rising stars within FF - were chosen to nominate Mícheál Martin for Taoiseach.
Looking back to 2016, Lisa Chambers and Thomas Byrne nominated Martin - both were appointed to the Fianna Fáil frontbench soon after.
Looking back to 2016, Lisa Chambers and Thomas Byrne nominated Martin - both were appointed to the Fianna Fáil frontbench soon after.
January 23, 2025 at 12:40 PM
No coincidence that Albert Dolan and Catherine Ardagh - both widely viewed as rising stars within FF - were chosen to nominate Mícheál Martin for Taoiseach.
Looking back to 2016, Lisa Chambers and Thomas Byrne nominated Martin - both were appointed to the Fianna Fáil frontbench soon after.
Looking back to 2016, Lisa Chambers and Thomas Byrne nominated Martin - both were appointed to the Fianna Fáil frontbench soon after.
The answer? Not long!
Is the relationship between the Ceann Comhairle and the opposition irreparable? Difficult to see a route for the CC to gain the confidence of the Dáil after today’s open revolt.
Is the relationship between the Ceann Comhairle and the opposition irreparable? Difficult to see a route for the CC to gain the confidence of the Dáil after today’s open revolt.
Remarkable. Somewhat reminds me of some of those chaotic Brexit votes in Parliament, or the final days of Truss! How long before we see a Flynn-esque contribution directed at the Ceann Comhairle!? youtu.be/1lmzfSZKLVA?...
Raging Stephen Flynn totally loses it as Lindsay Hoyle goes missing after Gaza vote debacle
YouTube video by PoliticsJOE
youtu.be
January 22, 2025 at 4:34 PM
The answer? Not long!
Is the relationship between the Ceann Comhairle and the opposition irreparable? Difficult to see a route for the CC to gain the confidence of the Dáil after today’s open revolt.
Is the relationship between the Ceann Comhairle and the opposition irreparable? Difficult to see a route for the CC to gain the confidence of the Dáil after today’s open revolt.
Tús maith leath na hoibre!
The Dáil has been suspended just 26 minutes into the sitting amid a furious row between opposition and government.
January 22, 2025 at 11:50 AM
Tús maith leath na hoibre!
Happy New Year to the League of Ireland!
January 6, 2025 at 9:27 PM
Happy New Year to the League of Ireland!
This is excellent from @estwebber.bsky.social.
I've long been fascinated by the presence of MPs with no discernible link to the constituencies which elect them. However, this piece notes that amongst those ranks are some of the most impactful, consequential MPs!
www.politico.eu/article/brit...
I've long been fascinated by the presence of MPs with no discernible link to the constituencies which elect them. However, this piece notes that amongst those ranks are some of the most impactful, consequential MPs!
www.politico.eu/article/brit...
Britain’s Winston Churchill shortage
Westminster is becoming a local place for local people — and that means fewer star politicians.
www.politico.eu
December 18, 2024 at 5:33 PM
This is excellent from @estwebber.bsky.social.
I've long been fascinated by the presence of MPs with no discernible link to the constituencies which elect them. However, this piece notes that amongst those ranks are some of the most impactful, consequential MPs!
www.politico.eu/article/brit...
I've long been fascinated by the presence of MPs with no discernible link to the constituencies which elect them. However, this piece notes that amongst those ranks are some of the most impactful, consequential MPs!
www.politico.eu/article/brit...
Reposted by Conor Ruth
Made this chart yesterday and can't stop thinking about it - how Brits plan to vote according to what they see as the top issues...
December 12, 2024 at 9:55 AM
Made this chart yesterday and can't stop thinking about it - how Brits plan to vote according to what they see as the top issues...
Really important read.
"Climate change is making geopolitics less stable, which harms climate action. This will worsen climate change, meaning more geopolitical instability, and so on."
theconversation.com/a-doom-loop-...
"Climate change is making geopolitics less stable, which harms climate action. This will worsen climate change, meaning more geopolitical instability, and so on."
theconversation.com/a-doom-loop-...
A ‘doom loop’ of climate change and geopolitical instability is beginning
Climate change is driving inflation and instability, which harms climate action. But it’s not too late to escape the doom loop.
theconversation.com
December 12, 2024 at 3:02 PM
Really important read.
"Climate change is making geopolitics less stable, which harms climate action. This will worsen climate change, meaning more geopolitical instability, and so on."
theconversation.com/a-doom-loop-...
"Climate change is making geopolitics less stable, which harms climate action. This will worsen climate change, meaning more geopolitical instability, and so on."
theconversation.com/a-doom-loop-...
Lots of talk pre #GE24 about Fianna Fáil's relative electoral weakness in Dublin.
I've looked at the numbers and compared the performance of the 3 largest parties' in Dublin to their respective national performances, using both share of the first preference vote and seat share as relevant metrics.
I've looked at the numbers and compared the performance of the 3 largest parties' in Dublin to their respective national performances, using both share of the first preference vote and seat share as relevant metrics.
December 6, 2024 at 4:36 PM
Lots of talk pre #GE24 about Fianna Fáil's relative electoral weakness in Dublin.
I've looked at the numbers and compared the performance of the 3 largest parties' in Dublin to their respective national performances, using both share of the first preference vote and seat share as relevant metrics.
I've looked at the numbers and compared the performance of the 3 largest parties' in Dublin to their respective national performances, using both share of the first preference vote and seat share as relevant metrics.
Now that both FF and FG have announced their teams for Programme for Government negotiations, it's interesting to look back at the respective teams for the previous two negotiations.
What can we learn from the evolution of FF & FG government negotiation teams since 2016? #GE24
What can we learn from the evolution of FF & FG government negotiation teams since 2016? #GE24
December 5, 2024 at 2:29 PM
Now that both FF and FG have announced their teams for Programme for Government negotiations, it's interesting to look back at the respective teams for the previous two negotiations.
What can we learn from the evolution of FF & FG government negotiation teams since 2016? #GE24
What can we learn from the evolution of FF & FG government negotiation teams since 2016? #GE24
Some really impressive results for the SocDems today - particularly considering their greatest asset (Holly Cairns) was sidelined for much of the #GE24 campaign!
Similarly, the Labour Party have quietly put in the groundwork and rebuilt support in many traditional heartlands.
Similarly, the Labour Party have quietly put in the groundwork and rebuilt support in many traditional heartlands.
December 1, 2024 at 7:02 PM
Some really impressive results for the SocDems today - particularly considering their greatest asset (Holly Cairns) was sidelined for much of the #GE24 campaign!
Similarly, the Labour Party have quietly put in the groundwork and rebuilt support in many traditional heartlands.
Similarly, the Labour Party have quietly put in the groundwork and rebuilt support in many traditional heartlands.
Prof. Michael Gallagher of Trinity College Dublin providing an exhibition in electoral analysis on RTÉ Radio One. A true master of the art!
December 1, 2024 at 12:51 AM
Prof. Michael Gallagher of Trinity College Dublin providing an exhibition in electoral analysis on RTÉ Radio One. A true master of the art!
Quite happy with how these #GE24 projections have held up today.
Revising some constituencies throughout the day, I think there’s a very real possibility that FF and FG will be able to reach/exceed the magic number of 88.
Revising some constituencies throughout the day, I think there’s a very real possibility that FF and FG will be able to reach/exceed the magic number of 88.
Went through each constituency and arrived at the following seat range projections.
FF: 43-49
FG: 34-40
SF: 34-40
Inds: 19-26
Labour: 4-12
SocDems: 3-7
Greens: 1-5
II: 3-7
SolPBP: 2-6
Aontú: 1-3
Instinct tells me I’m overestimating FF - as I did in 2020 - but we’ll see.
FF: 43-49
FG: 34-40
SF: 34-40
Inds: 19-26
Labour: 4-12
SocDems: 3-7
Greens: 1-5
II: 3-7
SolPBP: 2-6
Aontú: 1-3
Instinct tells me I’m overestimating FF - as I did in 2020 - but we’ll see.
November 30, 2024 at 11:59 PM
Quite happy with how these #GE24 projections have held up today.
Revising some constituencies throughout the day, I think there’s a very real possibility that FF and FG will be able to reach/exceed the magic number of 88.
Revising some constituencies throughout the day, I think there’s a very real possibility that FF and FG will be able to reach/exceed the magic number of 88.
Count 1 from Meath West is in #GE24. Guirke and Tóibín safe, with an FF vs FG shootout for the final seat.
Cllr Aisling Dempsey (FF) is Trim-based, and I expect her to stay ahead of FG Cllr. Linda Nelson Murray as both Cllr. Noel French (despite FG roots) and Cllr. Ronan Moore also represent Trim.
Cllr Aisling Dempsey (FF) is Trim-based, and I expect her to stay ahead of FG Cllr. Linda Nelson Murray as both Cllr. Noel French (despite FG roots) and Cllr. Ronan Moore also represent Trim.
November 30, 2024 at 5:03 PM
Count 1 from Meath West is in #GE24. Guirke and Tóibín safe, with an FF vs FG shootout for the final seat.
Cllr Aisling Dempsey (FF) is Trim-based, and I expect her to stay ahead of FG Cllr. Linda Nelson Murray as both Cllr. Noel French (despite FG roots) and Cllr. Ronan Moore also represent Trim.
Cllr Aisling Dempsey (FF) is Trim-based, and I expect her to stay ahead of FG Cllr. Linda Nelson Murray as both Cllr. Noel French (despite FG roots) and Cllr. Ronan Moore also represent Trim.
Michael MacNamara MEP makes a good point on RTÉ re: the centralisation of power within the Irish political system, and the relative weakness of local government here.
#ge24
#ge24
November 30, 2024 at 4:10 PM
Michael MacNamara MEP makes a good point on RTÉ re: the centralisation of power within the Irish political system, and the relative weakness of local government here.
#ge24
#ge24
Went through each constituency and arrived at the following seat range projections.
FF: 43-49
FG: 34-40
SF: 34-40
Inds: 19-26
Labour: 4-12
SocDems: 3-7
Greens: 1-5
II: 3-7
SolPBP: 2-6
Aontú: 1-3
Instinct tells me I’m overestimating FF - as I did in 2020 - but we’ll see.
FF: 43-49
FG: 34-40
SF: 34-40
Inds: 19-26
Labour: 4-12
SocDems: 3-7
Greens: 1-5
II: 3-7
SolPBP: 2-6
Aontú: 1-3
Instinct tells me I’m overestimating FF - as I did in 2020 - but we’ll see.
November 29, 2024 at 8:27 PM
Went through each constituency and arrived at the following seat range projections.
FF: 43-49
FG: 34-40
SF: 34-40
Inds: 19-26
Labour: 4-12
SocDems: 3-7
Greens: 1-5
II: 3-7
SolPBP: 2-6
Aontú: 1-3
Instinct tells me I’m overestimating FF - as I did in 2020 - but we’ll see.
FF: 43-49
FG: 34-40
SF: 34-40
Inds: 19-26
Labour: 4-12
SocDems: 3-7
Greens: 1-5
II: 3-7
SolPBP: 2-6
Aontú: 1-3
Instinct tells me I’m overestimating FF - as I did in 2020 - but we’ll see.
Reposted by Conor Ruth
If it's economics that drives voting in general elections, the question for Ireland today is whether it's microeconomics or macro. (See the NYT piece by @fotoole). These graphs quantify the contrast between rocketing aggregate employment growth and below peak average real earnings.
November 29, 2024 at 3:33 PM
If it's economics that drives voting in general elections, the question for Ireland today is whether it's microeconomics or macro. (See the NYT piece by @fotoole). These graphs quantify the contrast between rocketing aggregate employment growth and below peak average real earnings.
November 29, 2024 at 5:55 AM
Listening to some discussion on fiscal policy throughout this election campaign, I decided to dig this book out and re-read it.
Interesting counterfactual to consider what platform the PDs would put to the people in the current economic climate - and how that may differ from the existing parties.
Interesting counterfactual to consider what platform the PDs would put to the people in the current economic climate - and how that may differ from the existing parties.
November 26, 2024 at 7:16 PM
Listening to some discussion on fiscal policy throughout this election campaign, I decided to dig this book out and re-read it.
Interesting counterfactual to consider what platform the PDs would put to the people in the current economic climate - and how that may differ from the existing parties.
Interesting counterfactual to consider what platform the PDs would put to the people in the current economic climate - and how that may differ from the existing parties.
Really enjoyed this authoritative account of the history of local elections in Ireland by @aodhquinlivan.bsky.social.
Charting the development of the politics of local govt alongside many colourful stories from 125yrs of local elections, it offers a timely reminder that all politics is local!
Charting the development of the politics of local govt alongside many colourful stories from 125yrs of local elections, it offers a timely reminder that all politics is local!
November 21, 2024 at 10:18 PM
Really enjoyed this authoritative account of the history of local elections in Ireland by @aodhquinlivan.bsky.social.
Charting the development of the politics of local govt alongside many colourful stories from 125yrs of local elections, it offers a timely reminder that all politics is local!
Charting the development of the politics of local govt alongside many colourful stories from 125yrs of local elections, it offers a timely reminder that all politics is local!
A really valuable resource from @breakaway-ian.bsky.social for all the Ivan Yates / Barry Lenihan wannabes out there…
Hours of fun - and some great insights into electoral geography as well!
Hours of fun - and some great insights into electoral geography as well!
The 2024 Irish general election is only days away.
But how did your area vote in 2020? And how does that look with the new constituency boundaries?
Find out more here ianrichardson.shinyapps.io/GE2020_Resul... with this interactive map of 1st preference votes.
But how did your area vote in 2020? And how does that look with the new constituency boundaries?
Find out more here ianrichardson.shinyapps.io/GE2020_Resul... with this interactive map of 1st preference votes.
November 21, 2024 at 6:21 PM
A really valuable resource from @breakaway-ian.bsky.social for all the Ivan Yates / Barry Lenihan wannabes out there…
Hours of fun - and some great insights into electoral geography as well!
Hours of fun - and some great insights into electoral geography as well!