Daniel Grint
@danieljgrint.bsky.social
86 followers 120 following 69 posts
Associate Prof of Medical Statistics @lshtm.bsky.social | TB and HIV treatment trialist | Electronic health records analyst | Running shoe geek
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Reposted by Daniel Grint
reinhouben.bsky.social
In a new preprint (NOT PEER REVIEWED) we continue to explore the challenge of overtreatment in community screening. It seems the benefits of TB treatment far outweigh the harms, especially once we accept that sputum culture is not perfect. Important food for thought. www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1...
Do no harm - re-evaluating the risks of overtreatment in community-wide tuberculosis screening
Background Community-wide screening is a crucial strategy to end tuberculosis (TB), but a common concern is potential harm from overtreatment following false positive diagnoses. However, current refer...
www.medrxiv.org
danieljgrint.bsky.social
For this reason the combination of Xpert CT and a detailed CXR examination seems to be best at identifying those who may relapse post treatment.
danieljgrint.bsky.social
They may all represent seperate pathways, except smear and CT which intuitively may be related based on sputum. The great benefit of Xpert CT is the automatic readout with no need for reader interpretation. I imagine much of the variability in culture/smear comes from the operator.
danieljgrint.bsky.social
Correlations between CT, culture and CXR were weak, it's only smear that was reasonably correlated with CT. Smear and culture were weakly correlated with each other (R^2 14%), but neither correlated with CXR (both R^2 <10%).
danieljgrint.bsky.social
Hi Gabriele
Ultra is worse than Xpert at differentiating between the higher levels of disease severity. The study population was skewed towards a higher degree of disease severity, which may explain the lack of correlation between Ultra and CXR.
Reposted by Daniel Grint
cidjournal.bsky.social
Xpert MTB/RIF® cycle threshold as a marker of TB disease severity; Implications for TB treatment stratification

✅ Just Accepted
#IDSky
🔗 https://bit.ly/3WbLI1G
danieljgrint.bsky.social
This paper has now been peer reviewed and is available open access at CID.
Reposted by Daniel Grint
Reposted by Daniel Grint
kchorton.bsky.social
At a time when global resources for #TB research, development, prevention, and care are limited, which interventions should be prioritised in high burden settings?

📢 Our new pre-print compares the impact, cost, and cost-effectiveness of 9 TB interventions in 3 countries. 1/n

bit.ly/3V3vXth
The potential impact, cost and cost-effectiveness of tuberculosis interventions - a modelling exercise
Background While a range of interventions exist for tuberculosis prevention, screening, diagnosis, and treatment, their potential population impact and cost-effectiveness are seldom directly compared,...
bit.ly
danieljgrint.bsky.social
"Nobody suspects the dishwasher" sticks in memory from a previous round I attended somewhere.
Reposted by Daniel Grint
aluckmann.bsky.social
Academia may not give you job security, flexibility, or wealth, but it will let you unexpectedly connect to eduroam in foreign cities
Reposted by Daniel Grint
emily.space
I really dislike how science has started calling almost any fancy computational technique AI. 🧪

The framing of this entire article makes it sound like a benevolent AI independently made these drugs.

That is *pure fantasy*.

Instead: a team of scientists made a machine learning model for a study.

Article on BBC news. 
Title: AI designs antibiotics for gonorrhoea and MRSA superbugs
Description: Two new potential drugs have been designed by AI to kill drug-resistant bacteria, in a major Massachusetts Institute of Technology study.
danieljgrint.bsky.social
p.s. I've been consistently spelling injectAble wrong for 3+ years now.
Reposted by Daniel Grint
petermacp.bsky.social
⚡️New preprint (not peer-reviewed)⚡️

In the SaDAPT trial with people with #HIV and #tuberculosis symptoms in 🇲🇼🇱🇸, we investigated if antiretroviral therapy should be initiated immediately, or delayed until TB results available. ssrn.com/abstract=523...

Outcomes (incl. IRIS) similar across both arms.
The front page of the preprint article, showing title and authors The abstract of the preprint Forest plot showing primary and secondary trial outcomes, with non-inferiority margins
danieljgrint.bsky.social
Delighted to see our long-acting injectible ART trial (IMPALA) presented at #IAS2025. 2-monthly injections are non-inferior to daily pill taking and overwhelmingly preferred. Next challenge is expanding access to LA ART; excellent news the WHO has recommended LA CAB+RPV in treatment guidelines.
danieljgrint.bsky.social
Yeah, that part could definitely be better written. 10% mortality reduction is impressive!
danieljgrint.bsky.social
Interpretation beyond that is for the reader. It's possible these results could still change guidelines.
danieljgrint.bsky.social
I think you'd probably be right to, assuming there are no potential ill effects. 'Statistical significant' i.e. <0.05 is less of a thing now, but you still have to respect the study design. In this case, they just missed the pre-defined superiority criteria and must report on those lines.
danieljgrint.bsky.social
You don't need a Bayesian analysis to be less rigid in interpreting p- values. You're right the result looks promising, but it requires further study.
danieljgrint.bsky.social
Mandating culture/PCR for everyone in a vaccine trial makes sense to me, I didn't realise that wasn't the case. But it could (likely will) end up costing more even if the sample size is lower.
danieljgrint.bsky.social
Very interesting. In TB treatment trials, it's standard practice to test culture from everyone every few months regardless of symptoms. Consecutive positives define TB relapse without worrying about symptoms. However, this is a big cost driver!!!
danieljgrint.bsky.social
Describing the hawkeye automated line calling at Wimbledon as 'AI' can seriously get in the sea.
danieljgrint.bsky.social
add 10% to the quote you see when shopping around is my philosophy once it's been through the booking agent