Eric Maugendre about emissions
@data.yt
Data scientist. I calculate and discuss what emits carbon.
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Eric Maugendre about emissions
@data.yt
· Nov 17
Enabling climate acceleration are economic sectors such as land use, China coal, Saudi Aramco, Coal India, Gazprom (Russia), National Iranian Oil — in that order.
Study: data.yt/projections/...
#China #coal #footprint #GHG #CO2 #carbon #economy #industry #energy #emissions #climateChange
Study: data.yt/projections/...
#China #coal #footprint #GHG #CO2 #carbon #economy #industry #energy #emissions #climateChange
Reposted by Eric Maugendre about emissions
First time I've come across a dataset that is down for Christmas... ☃️
December 19, 2025 at 2:01 PM
First time I've come across a dataset that is down for Christmas... ☃️
Reposted by Eric Maugendre about emissions
The Net Zero Commission’s report on coal mining in NSW is out - and it’s very clear. There’s no more room for coal in NSW.
www.smh.com.au/environment/...
www.smh.com.au/environment/...
NSW should end coal expansions to meet net zero targets
A state government agency has declared that NSW cannot meet its climate targets if it keeps approving new coal mine extensions.
www.smh.com.au
December 11, 2025 at 9:25 PM
The Net Zero Commission’s report on coal mining in NSW is out - and it’s very clear. There’s no more room for coal in NSW.
www.smh.com.au/environment/...
www.smh.com.au/environment/...
Extractive Capitalism, @lalehkhalili.bsky.social argues, is the system by which commodities (oil, ore, bauxite, coal, sand) are excavated, transported, processed and sold at markups that funnel profits to a narrow investor class while externalising costs on to workers, communities & the environment.
Laleh Khalili’s Extractive Capitalism: A beautiful map of the entangled global economy
The University of Exeter academic's book exposes how essential commodities, data and labour exploitation fuel wealth that is increasingly concentrated in the hands of an elite
www.middleeasteye.net
December 12, 2025 at 9:38 PM
Extractive Capitalism, @lalehkhalili.bsky.social argues, is the system by which commodities (oil, ore, bauxite, coal, sand) are excavated, transported, processed and sold at markups that funnel profits to a narrow investor class while externalising costs on to workers, communities & the environment.
Reposted by Eric Maugendre about emissions
AI does not reason. It applies probabilities.
It’s like eating an apple and assuming that everything will be as tasty: http://data.yt/kit/how-ai-is-made.html
It’s like eating an apple and assuming that everything will be as tasty: http://data.yt/kit/how-ai-is-made.html
November 17, 2025 at 10:32 AM
AI does not reason. It applies probabilities.
It’s like eating an apple and assuming that everything will be as tasty: http://data.yt/kit/how-ai-is-made.html
It’s like eating an apple and assuming that everything will be as tasty: http://data.yt/kit/how-ai-is-made.html
Reposted by Eric Maugendre about emissions
The biggest misunderstanding of Carbon Dioxide Removal (CDR), IMHO, is that many assume it is a replacement for emissions reductions. As in, more CDR, less emission reductions. No. Emissions need to go down as fast as possible, even faster, no matter how much (~feasible) CDR you have.
2/
2/
November 25, 2025 at 9:10 PM
The biggest misunderstanding of Carbon Dioxide Removal (CDR), IMHO, is that many assume it is a replacement for emissions reductions. As in, more CDR, less emission reductions. No. Emissions need to go down as fast as possible, even faster, no matter how much (~feasible) CDR you have.
2/
2/
Reposted by Eric Maugendre about emissions
Look around you. Do you see policies being implemented at scale? Do you see the end of investment into new fossil energy? Do you see phasing out of existing fossil infrastructure? Do you see massive renewables deployment and the lowering of demand for energy and materials?
You do not.
3/n
You do not.
3/n
December 12, 2025 at 12:54 PM
Look around you. Do you see policies being implemented at scale? Do you see the end of investment into new fossil energy? Do you see phasing out of existing fossil infrastructure? Do you see massive renewables deployment and the lowering of demand for energy and materials?
You do not.
3/n
You do not.
3/n
Reposted by Eric Maugendre about emissions
The accumulated waste of generations of mass consumption is decaying in landfill, + the chemicals those goods were drenched in - lead, mercury, cadmium, PFAS, PCBs - are seeping slowly back out into water, soil + air.
Our report with @investigate-europe.eu:
euobserver.com/eu-political...
Our report with @investigate-europe.eu:
euobserver.com/eu-political...
Europe’s landfill crisis exposed: new map reveals toxic cocktail of environmental risks
Thousands of landfills across Europe lie in flood-risk zones, areas which could endanger drinking water or sensitive conservation sites, Investigate Europe and Watershed Investigations can reveal in t...
euobserver.com
December 4, 2025 at 5:21 PM
The accumulated waste of generations of mass consumption is decaying in landfill, + the chemicals those goods were drenched in - lead, mercury, cadmium, PFAS, PCBs - are seeping slowly back out into water, soil + air.
Our report with @investigate-europe.eu:
euobserver.com/eu-political...
Our report with @investigate-europe.eu:
euobserver.com/eu-political...
Reposted by Eric Maugendre about emissions
At #COP30, the failed economic orthodoxies embedded in the financial architecture got little attention.
Embracing the role of the state and industrial policy are 🗝️ to scaling up climate action, as explained in this @the-breakdown.bsky.social piece:
www.break-down.org/real-constra...
Embracing the role of the state and industrial policy are 🗝️ to scaling up climate action, as explained in this @the-breakdown.bsky.social piece:
www.break-down.org/real-constra...
Real Constraints
Finance for climate action is limited by orthodoxy, not reality
www.break-down.org
December 2, 2025 at 10:14 PM
At #COP30, the failed economic orthodoxies embedded in the financial architecture got little attention.
Embracing the role of the state and industrial policy are 🗝️ to scaling up climate action, as explained in this @the-breakdown.bsky.social piece:
www.break-down.org/real-constra...
Embracing the role of the state and industrial policy are 🗝️ to scaling up climate action, as explained in this @the-breakdown.bsky.social piece:
www.break-down.org/real-constra...
Reposted by Eric Maugendre about emissions
From the regulator's report: Why add more coal-fired capacity when the existing capacity is under-utilised?
December 3, 2025 at 2:33 PM
From the regulator's report: Why add more coal-fired capacity when the existing capacity is under-utilised?
Reposted by Eric Maugendre about emissions
"While many developed countries, China and India have obtained net forest gains domestically, they have also increased the deforestation embodied in their imports […]. Consumption patterns of G7 countries drive an average loss of 3.9 trees per person per year".
via @esavakkilainen.bsky.social
via @esavakkilainen.bsky.social
Mapping the deforestation footprint of nations reveals growing threat to tropical forests
Nature Ecology & Evolution - The authors use economic input–output modelling to reveal how consumption patterns contribute to deforestation domestically and internationally across nations.
www.nature.com
November 18, 2025 at 11:18 AM
"While many developed countries, China and India have obtained net forest gains domestically, they have also increased the deforestation embodied in their imports […]. Consumption patterns of G7 countries drive an average loss of 3.9 trees per person per year".
via @esavakkilainen.bsky.social
via @esavakkilainen.bsky.social
Reposted by Eric Maugendre about emissions
I should write the argument up properly somewhere, but I think this is fundamentally wrong. A decisive fraction of the capitalist class does oppose addressing the climate crisis, but *not* because it would be bad for profits. If anything, a green New Deal type program would raise aggregate profits.
Yes, this is correct. And the reason is because our capitalist classes have decided that it is not sufficiently profitable, so they're not going to do it.
We must understand this reality. Capital *cannot* be relied upon to address the climate crisis.
We must understand this reality. Capital *cannot* be relied upon to address the climate crisis.
November 10, 2025 at 4:18 PM
I should write the argument up properly somewhere, but I think this is fundamentally wrong. A decisive fraction of the capitalist class does oppose addressing the climate crisis, but *not* because it would be bad for profits. If anything, a green New Deal type program would raise aggregate profits.
Reposted by Eric Maugendre about emissions
Filming at an abandoned uranium mine in Arizona. The mining waste is uncontained, open to the winds. Professor Kearfott, University of Michigan, telks me the Geiger counter readings I took here are similar to those remaining around Chernobyl.
vimeo.com/ondemand/thi...
vimeo.com/ondemand/thi...
November 17, 2025 at 7:05 PM
Filming at an abandoned uranium mine in Arizona. The mining waste is uncontained, open to the winds. Professor Kearfott, University of Michigan, telks me the Geiger counter readings I took here are similar to those remaining around Chernobyl.
vimeo.com/ondemand/thi...
vimeo.com/ondemand/thi...
Reposted by Eric Maugendre about emissions
I’m really surprised this isn’t bigger news. Just under 10 million people live in Tehran. Where can they go? Where else in Iran will have enough water? This will undoubtedly strain the country’s and the region’s politics, finances and governance capacity.
'Iran’s capital must be moved because the country “no longer has a choice,” President Masoud Pezeshkian said on Thursday in remarks carried by state media, warning that severe ecological strain has made Tehran impossible to sustain'
#Iran 🇮🇷
#Iran 🇮🇷
Iran president says capital move now a necessity as water crisis deepens
Iran’s capital must be moved because the country “no longer has a choice,” President Masoud Pezeshkian said on Thursday in remarks carried by state media, warning that severe ecological strain has mad...
www.iranintl.com
November 21, 2025 at 8:13 PM
I’m really surprised this isn’t bigger news. Just under 10 million people live in Tehran. Where can they go? Where else in Iran will have enough water? This will undoubtedly strain the country’s and the region’s politics, finances and governance capacity.
Reposted by Eric Maugendre about emissions
[9/10] Fabienne Barataud insiste sur la valeur des expérimentations locales, même limitées. Elles n’inversent pas seules le système global, mais elles nourrissent des imaginaires collectifs indispensables à une transformation écologique. #geography #prospective #food #agriculture
April 5, 2025 at 5:14 AM
[9/10] Fabienne Barataud insiste sur la valeur des expérimentations locales, même limitées. Elles n’inversent pas seules le système global, mais elles nourrissent des imaginaires collectifs indispensables à une transformation écologique. #geography #prospective #food #agriculture
Reposted by Eric Maugendre about emissions
📢 New paper on the impacts of AMOC collapse on European hydroclimate. 🌊
We find an AMOC collapse would exacerbate drought conditions across Europe, linked to reduced precipitation. In combination with climate change droughts are expected to become more frequent and severe.
doi.org/10.5194/hess...
We find an AMOC collapse would exacerbate drought conditions across Europe, linked to reduced precipitation. In combination with climate change droughts are expected to become more frequent and severe.
doi.org/10.5194/hess...
Changing European hydroclimate under a collapsed AMOC in the Community Earth System Model
Abstract. The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is expected to weaken or even collapse under anthropogenic climate change. Given the importance of the AMOC in the present-day climate,...
doi.org
November 21, 2025 at 2:41 PM
📢 New paper on the impacts of AMOC collapse on European hydroclimate. 🌊
We find an AMOC collapse would exacerbate drought conditions across Europe, linked to reduced precipitation. In combination with climate change droughts are expected to become more frequent and severe.
doi.org/10.5194/hess...
We find an AMOC collapse would exacerbate drought conditions across Europe, linked to reduced precipitation. In combination with climate change droughts are expected to become more frequent and severe.
doi.org/10.5194/hess...
"The amount of heat transported to the north Atlantic is huge. […] It’s enough to warm the entire region by 4.5°C on average which means that I’m cutting the grass in November rather than shovelling snow."
drtomharris.substack.com/p/amoc-weake... by @drtomharris.bsky.social
#AMOC #climateChange
drtomharris.substack.com/p/amoc-weake... by @drtomharris.bsky.social
#AMOC #climateChange
November 22, 2025 at 9:35 PM
"The amount of heat transported to the north Atlantic is huge. […] It’s enough to warm the entire region by 4.5°C on average which means that I’m cutting the grass in November rather than shovelling snow."
drtomharris.substack.com/p/amoc-weake... by @drtomharris.bsky.social
#AMOC #climateChange
drtomharris.substack.com/p/amoc-weake... by @drtomharris.bsky.social
#AMOC #climateChange
Reposted by Eric Maugendre about emissions
Working in research at [large financial institution] I see the same thing. There's no appetite to question the fundamentals because the AI trade has been hugely profitable. So people's jobs seem to have become finding reasons for investors to keep believing. It's a bit disheartening.
November 21, 2025 at 6:47 AM
Working in research at [large financial institution] I see the same thing. There's no appetite to question the fundamentals because the AI trade has been hugely profitable. So people's jobs seem to have become finding reasons for investors to keep believing. It's a bit disheartening.
Reposted by Eric Maugendre about emissions
The hierarchy is clear: 75–85% of emission reductions through 2050 come from using less fossil fuel.
CCS plays a role, but it is strictly secondary, contributing a median of just 15–25%.
Technological neutrality is a political concept, not a scientific one.
2/3
CCS plays a role, but it is strictly secondary, contributing a median of just 15–25%.
Technological neutrality is a political concept, not a scientific one.
2/3
November 21, 2025 at 7:10 PM
The hierarchy is clear: 75–85% of emission reductions through 2050 come from using less fossil fuel.
CCS plays a role, but it is strictly secondary, contributing a median of just 15–25%.
Technological neutrality is a political concept, not a scientific one.
2/3
CCS plays a role, but it is strictly secondary, contributing a median of just 15–25%.
Technological neutrality is a political concept, not a scientific one.
2/3
Reposted by Eric Maugendre about emissions
As I argue in The Language of Climate Politics: we are stuck not because climate politics are polarized, but because they’re UNIFIED (across the right and center-left) on the lie that we can keep using oil and gas but still deal with climate change anyway.
Here’s a good example of that discourse.
Here’s a good example of that discourse.
European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said today that the fight against climate change was not against the fuels that cause it — only the pollution they emit.
Von der Leyen says EU is not fighting fossil fuels, only emissions
The comment could undermine European countries’ push at COP30 to move away from coal, oil and gas.
www.politico.eu
November 21, 2025 at 7:24 PM
As I argue in The Language of Climate Politics: we are stuck not because climate politics are polarized, but because they’re UNIFIED (across the right and center-left) on the lie that we can keep using oil and gas but still deal with climate change anyway.
Here’s a good example of that discourse.
Here’s a good example of that discourse.
Reposted by Eric Maugendre about emissions
Wrote up a piece of the betrayed promises of the green transition and what Britain’s experience can tell us about the USA and the future of climate politics
A decade ago, Western governments pitched the green transition as a solution to reindustrialization and economic decline.
The failure of these policies to produce well-paying jobs has triggered a right-wing backlash in both the UK and the US.
The failure of these policies to produce well-paying jobs has triggered a right-wing backlash in both the UK and the US.
The Broken Promises of the Green Transition
A decade ago, Western governments pitched the green transition as a solution to reindustrialization and economic decline. The failure of these policies to produce well-paying jobs has triggered a right-wing backlash in both the UK and the US.
jacobin.com
November 11, 2025 at 8:39 AM
Wrote up a piece of the betrayed promises of the green transition and what Britain’s experience can tell us about the USA and the future of climate politics
Reposted by Eric Maugendre about emissions
The Problem With COP30’s Big Rainforest Initiative.
“The TFFF isn’t a climate proposal, but it’s another false solution to the planetary crises of biodiversity loss, forest loss and climate collapse.”
www.truthdig.com/articles/the...
“The TFFF isn’t a climate proposal, but it’s another false solution to the planetary crises of biodiversity loss, forest loss and climate collapse.”
www.truthdig.com/articles/the...
The Problem With COP30’s Big Rainforest Initiative - Truthdig
The latest attempt to curb extraction in the Amazon still ties the “value” of critical ecosystems to financial markets.
www.truthdig.com
November 19, 2025 at 7:58 AM
The Problem With COP30’s Big Rainforest Initiative.
“The TFFF isn’t a climate proposal, but it’s another false solution to the planetary crises of biodiversity loss, forest loss and climate collapse.”
www.truthdig.com/articles/the...
“The TFFF isn’t a climate proposal, but it’s another false solution to the planetary crises of biodiversity loss, forest loss and climate collapse.”
www.truthdig.com/articles/the...
Reposted by Eric Maugendre about emissions
Had the number of scenarios from different models or studies in the IPCC scenarios database been different, headline IPCC mitigation findings could have been different. Statistical findings are, not surprisingly, impacted by the distribution of models and studies.
October 2, 2025 at 10:10 AM
Had the number of scenarios from different models or studies in the IPCC scenarios database been different, headline IPCC mitigation findings could have been different. Statistical findings are, not surprisingly, impacted by the distribution of models and studies.
Reposted by Eric Maugendre about emissions
New assessment on the biophysical potential of forestation to sequester carbon. As expected, we found just a fraction of what other assessments found, because we considered the obvious no-nos, such as risk to biodiversity, excess water use, and regional warming.
theconversation.com/the-climate-...
theconversation.com/the-climate-...
The climate case for planting trees has been overhyped — but it’s not too late to fix it
Reforestation can contribute significantly to tackling climate change, but research found its global potential is only a fraction of what’s been claimed.
theconversation.com
August 29, 2025 at 8:48 AM
New assessment on the biophysical potential of forestation to sequester carbon. As expected, we found just a fraction of what other assessments found, because we considered the obvious no-nos, such as risk to biodiversity, excess water use, and regional warming.
theconversation.com/the-climate-...
theconversation.com/the-climate-...
Reposted by Eric Maugendre about emissions
We also confirm mechanisms of the Amazon dieback in terms of climate drivers, ecological processes and land-use change effects
August 20, 2025 at 3:02 PM
We also confirm mechanisms of the Amazon dieback in terms of climate drivers, ecological processes and land-use change effects
Reposted by Eric Maugendre about emissions
The fresh surface of new concrete absorbs CO₂ fairly quickly, but the process slows down as diffusion to deeper layers takes longer. Demolition exposes new surfaces, so leads to a new increase in uptake.
November 15, 2025 at 12:30 PM
The fresh surface of new concrete absorbs CO₂ fairly quickly, but the process slows down as diffusion to deeper layers takes longer. Demolition exposes new surfaces, so leads to a new increase in uptake.