Just written some reflections for @ccc-research.bsky.social on a topic I’ve been analysing for a few years: how growing electoral turbulence is reshaping multi-level politics in Europe.

Based on three publications linked in the thread below 🧵👇

Publication 3, recently in @wepsocial.bsky.social

www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Publication 2, last year in @jcpaicpa.bsky.social

www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Publication 1, in Party Politics
journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....

Just written some reflections for @ccc-research.bsky.social on a topic I’ve been analysing for a few years: how growing electoral turbulence is reshaping multi-level politics in Europe.

Based on three publications linked in the thread below 🧵👇

New blog!

Making Sense of Turbulent Politics in Multi-Level Europe

@davidevampa.bsky.social shows how turbulence in European politics extends into Europe’s regions and devolved arenas, making volatility a multi-level, territorial, and consequential phenomenon

Read more: edin.ac/4n38rs4

New blog!

The Disunited States: Threats of Secession in Red and Blue America and Why They Won’t Work

Read @ryan-griffiths.bsky.social on what a project of American secession would look like, and why America is ill-suited for a peaceful 'national divorce'

Read more: edin.ac/46Tl0jy

​​⏪ 𝗟𝗮𝘁𝗲𝗹𝘆 𝗶𝗻 𝗥𝗙𝗦…
🇹🇷 Jörg Baudner explored the link between 𝗽𝗼𝗹𝗶𝗰𝘆 𝗿𝗲𝘃𝗲𝗿𝘀𝗮𝗹𝘀 and the different institutional forms of 𝗿𝗲𝗰𝗲𝗻𝘁𝗿𝗮𝗹𝗶𝘇𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻, using #𝗧𝘂𝗿𝗸𝗲𝘆 as a case study.

🔓Read the #openaccess article here 👉 doi.org/10.1080/1359...

#AKP #decentralization

🚨 𝗡𝗲𝘄 𝗮𝗿𝘁𝗶𝗰𝗹𝗲 𝗼𝗻𝗹𝗶𝗻𝗲! 🚨
🇪🇹 𝗥𝗲𝗴𝗶𝗼𝗻𝗮𝗹 𝗽𝗼𝗹𝗶𝗰𝘆 𝗮𝘂𝘁𝗼𝗻𝗼𝗺𝘆 in Ethiopian federation: a comparative analysis

Read the new article by Nigussie Daba Heyi on the 𝗘𝘁𝗵𝗶𝗼𝗽𝗶𝗮𝗻 𝗳𝗲𝗱𝗲𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 here 👉 doi.org/10.1080/1359...

#Ethiopia #region #autonomy #federalism

New article by @davidevampa.bsky.social

👉 Regional elections across Western Europe are becoming more unstable, often mirroring national turbulence. But the link weakens where regionalist parties are strong, institutions are powerful, or regions are more prosperous.

🔗 doi.org/10.1080/0140...

New blog!

Read @javiermcanto.bsky.social on 'Making Decentralization Work: The Politics of Implementation' 👇

edin.ac/4mstXWG

Great to welcome Esther Roberton to my class today. Her reflections on the work of the Scottish Constitutional Convention gave students a unique perspective on the process leading up to devolution. A lively discussion and a reminder of the value of going beyond the textbook @uoe-sps.bsky.social

🚨 New article out in @wepsocial.bsky.social !
📄 From nations to regions: electoral volatility in European multi-level politics
Open access👉 doi.org/10.1080/01402382.2025.2557768

National politics in Europe is growing more electorally unstable - does this volatility also reach the regions? Thread 🧵

6/📌 Key takeaway: Electoral volatility is increasingly a multi-level phenomenon.

National instability is often reflected in regional arenas - but regional parties, institutional autonomy & economic prosperity can act as buffers

Full article (open-access) here ⬇️
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

5/💶 Figure 7 highlights the role of regional prosperity.

The relatively richer the region, the weaker the association between national and regional volatility.
👉 Clear for TV (total volatility) & RTV (national parties).
❌ For RSV (regional parties), the link is weak and mostly insignificant.

4/🏛️ Figure 5 adds another layer: regional institutions.

Where regions have high authority (RAI index), elections are more insulated from national turbulence.
👉 This mainly applies to TV (total volatility) and RTV (national parties).
❌ RSV (regional parties) follows a different, regional logic.

3/🏴‍☠️ Figure 3 highlights the role of regional parties.

The stronger their vote share, the weaker the association between national and regional volatility.
👉 Especially for TV (total volatility) & RTV (national parties).
❌ For RSV, there’s little change - it already follows its own regional logic.

2/👉 Regional elections often echo national instability – but only for national parties
✅ RTV volatility (national parties) aligned with GE volatility
❌ RSV volatility (regional parties) follows regional dynamics
➕ Same when looking at regeneration: RTV mirrors national shocks, RSV stays local

1/🔑 Starting point: volatility in reg elections is not one-dimensional concept.

Framework describes territorial (region-transcending vs region-specific) and functional (alteration vs regeneration) dimensions of volatility. Main focus on territorial dimension, intersecting with functional.

🚨 New article out in @wepsocial.bsky.social !
📄 From nations to regions: electoral volatility in European multi-level politics
Open access👉 doi.org/10.1080/01402382.2025.2557768

National politics in Europe is growing more electorally unstable - does this volatility also reach the regions? Thread 🧵

🇩🇪❓ How do citizens 𝗺𝗮𝗸𝗲 𝘀𝗲𝗻𝘀𝗲 𝗼𝗳 𝗳𝗲𝗱𝗲𝗿𝗮𝗹𝗶𝘀𝗺?
📌🔓 Find out in the #openaccess article by Eva-Maria Trüdinger, Achim Hildebrandt, Simon Stocker, @ajazajilirjana.bsky.social and @pbundi.bsky.social here 👉https://doi.org/10.1080/13597566.2025.2533759

#Germany #federalism #citizens #politics

🇨🇴 What is the impact of 𝗽𝗼𝗹𝗶𝘁𝗶𝗰𝗮𝗹 𝗮𝗹𝗶𝗴𝗻𝗺𝗲𝗻𝘁 on 𝗿𝗲𝘀𝗼𝘂𝗿𝗰𝗲 𝗿𝗲𝗻𝘁 𝗱𝗶𝘀𝘁𝗿𝗶𝗯𝘂𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 in Colombia?
📌🔓 Find out in the #openaccess article by Maria Antonieta Collazos-Ortiz, Pui-Hang Wong and David Andrés Londoño Bedoya here 👉https://doi.org/10.1080/13597566.2025.2520972

🇵🇰 What are the 𝗽𝗼𝗹𝗶𝘁𝗶𝗰𝗮𝗹 𝗲𝗹𝗶𝘁𝗲 𝗰𝗮𝗿𝗲𝗲𝗿𝘀 like in 𝗣𝗮𝗸𝗶𝘀𝘁𝗮𝗻?
📌 Find out in the article by M.Mufti & @sameen-mohsin.bsky.social 👉https://doi.org/10.1080/13597566.2025.2471749

It's part of our latest 𝘀𝗽𝗲𝗰𝗶𝗮𝗹 𝗶𝘀𝘀𝘂𝗲 👉https://www.tandfonline.com/toc/frfs20/35/3?nav=tocList

#Pakistan #politics #career

🚨𝗡𝗲𝘄 𝗮𝗿𝘁𝗶𝗰𝗹𝗲 𝗼𝗻𝗹𝗶𝗻𝗲!🚨
Understanding 𝗰𝗶𝘁𝗶𝘇𝗲𝗻𝘀’ 𝗸𝗻𝗼𝘄𝗹𝗲𝗱𝗴𝗲 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗽𝗿𝗲𝗳𝗲𝗿𝗲𝗻𝗰𝗲𝘀 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝗳𝗶𝘀𝗰𝗮𝗹 𝗲𝗾𝘂𝗮𝗹𝗶𝘇𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 in decentralized countries.
🇪🇸Here the new article by @santiagolagop.bsky.social, M. Cadaval-Sampedro, A. Herrero-Alcalde & X. Fernández-Leiceaga👉 doi.org/10.1080/1359...
#Fiscal #equalization #federalism