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dbmain.bsky.social
DB Main
@dbmain.bsky.social
Bell Labs Distinguished Member of Technical Staff
Lead Econometrician, Corporate Strategy, Lucent

That's my kid getting the Bronze at the World University Games.
She's a beautiful enigma

I keep a VanLife Blog here:
https://dbmain.substack.com/
It was checked. There are layers of legislatively-mandated audits and EAC-required technological safeguards.
They were all executed. No fraud was found.

You guys are like, "I am compelled by some flawed statistical analysis, so can you guys do what you already did? I wasn't paying attention."
December 24, 2025 at 10:01 PM
Jill, you're well-intentioned.
There truly are malicious election actions on the part of the GOP, and there are good people and organizations fighting it.
ETA is not one of them. The money they are raising on their BS is better spent elsewhere. Here's one of my favorites.
www.democracydocket.com
Democracy Docket
Democracy Docket is the leading digital news platform dedicated to information, analysis and opinion about voting rights and elections in the courts.
www.democracydocket.com
December 24, 2025 at 5:13 PM
Thank you for commenting, Adam. This ETA crap needs to be soundly refuted by authoritative voices.
December 22, 2025 at 1:35 PM
So Obama cheated is what you're saying.

I am tearing my hair out.
December 22, 2025 at 1:20 PM
I tell them all this. "5 years from now, you'll deny you ever voted for him."

They will be as rare as those who said they voted for W.
December 20, 2025 at 9:17 PM
Support whoever you want to support.
I only respond to your claims in case anyone else comes across them.

I don't want anyone else thinking your claims are valid.
December 20, 2025 at 9:02 PM
Here's where you had your opportunity to present evidence of the claim you made.
Instead you went with ... a meme.
December 20, 2025 at 6:55 PM
I feel like a crazy ranting uncle too. But for a different reason.
None of these people are "genuine statisticians". The guy at ETA was an IT guy until he quit for this grift.
He is, however, being refuted by genuine statisticians.
sullivan.zip/clark-county...
The Fraud Behind Claims of Election Fraud
Play with the data yourself: Interactive analysis debunking statistical claims about the 2024 election with live data visualizations
sullivan.zip
December 20, 2025 at 12:20 AM
I've shown you the graphs from the election fraud experts they're citing. They claim "high turnout/high voteshare" in highly localized population is a signal for fraud.
I challenged you yesterday on this.
You didn't respond.
bsky.app/profile/dbma...
B) I accuse people of spreading disinformation when they spread disinformation and refuse to address rebuttals.
I have a dozen examples, but here's one. Here is ETA's heatmap of Erie County from their lawsuit.
December 19, 2025 at 10:49 PM
"Get Out The Vote" is the prominent mission of every campaign; get your supporters out to vote and you win elections. But, according to ETA, GOTV is "evidence of fraud". It is foundationally ridiculous.
December 19, 2025 at 10:49 PM
"Maybe PA will prove the whole idea that voter turnout should have no relationship to vote counts wrong"
This is the essence of ETA's argument and a) it's laughably wrong, and b) it's a gross misstatement of the election experts they're citing (and deliberately mis-paraphrasing).
December 19, 2025 at 10:49 PM
"by attributing them to me"
I'm attributing them to you because you're repeating the claims. If you don't want that to happen, stop repeating the claims.
December 19, 2025 at 10:43 PM
"the extraordinary election of 2024"
There are no credible claims of anything extraordinary happening. By every measure Obama's win in 2008 was more statistically amazing. He flipped 129 counties...in just 3 states (Iowa, Ohio, Wisconsin).
Is that evidence of fraud?
December 19, 2025 at 10:43 PM
"do targeted hand recounts in specific areas"
They do targeted hand recounts in each county.
We've been over this. You just weren't paying attention when they happened.
December 19, 2025 at 10:43 PM
PARKER THE ALGORITHM IS SENDING YOU YOUR SUPERHERO COSTUME HEED THE MESSAGE
December 19, 2025 at 10:00 PM
ETA claims the Erie heatmap contains that signature.

Does it? No.

ETA has been confronted on this claim a hundred times by now, and doesn't address it. In fact, they just keep repeating it.

Isn't it fair to call it disinformation by now?
December 18, 2025 at 9:51 PM
Here is the heatmap from Klimek (one of the election fraud experts ETA references). This is from a fraudulent Russian election. Klimek circles the signature of fraud; a few precincts with extraordinarily high turnout and Putin vote share.
December 18, 2025 at 9:51 PM
B) I accuse people of spreading disinformation when they spread disinformation and refuse to address rebuttals.
I have a dozen examples, but here's one. Here is ETA's heatmap of Erie County from their lawsuit.
December 18, 2025 at 9:51 PM
A) There are layers of legislatively-mandated audits and EAC-required technological safeguards in place to detect the kind of fraud you think happened. And they are supposed to do something extraordinary because you have "concerns"?
December 18, 2025 at 9:51 PM
He won't unseat Kyrie until I know his stance on Flat Earth
December 18, 2025 at 5:36 PM
If so, that's also a subtext that the DNC may want to suppress.
The Democrats have a "people aren't retiring when they should" problem.

I always thought that if Biden ran in 2020 as a 1-term caretaker who will happily yield the field to a vigorous primary battle, it wouldn't have been close in 2024
December 18, 2025 at 5:23 PM