Dave Vanness
banner
djvanness.bsky.social
Dave Vanness
@djvanness.bsky.social
Economist; professor; health policy and decision science. Advocate for high quality, affordable #HigherEd. Georgetown and UW-Madison alum. Personal views only. #EduSky #EconSky #Bayesian

https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9790-2988
Proud that my son is at Wes, where its leaders model courage in speaking truth to power.
January 26, 2026 at 12:32 PM
"there's a reason this has never been tried before" ...one could say the same thing about just about everything that's been tried in the last year. Hope you're right. This is one thing where I very much hope I am wrong.
January 25, 2026 at 7:55 PM
And we won't know until they try and we find out.
January 25, 2026 at 6:44 PM
Yes - I do think it would deter people from voting -- we all like to think we're brave, but when it comes down to it, people largely comply. Minnesota is heartening, but the number of people actively protesting is a small % of the population. Truth is I don't know, and neither does anyone else.
January 25, 2026 at 6:44 PM
I hope you're right.
January 25, 2026 at 6:38 PM
All they have to do is disrupt key precincts in areas where races are close. That doesn't take much brainpower, and it doesn't take much manpower. It just takes will and a sense of impunity - they have both.
January 25, 2026 at 6:36 PM
Do you think they need people at every polling place to disrupt an election? To cause enough panic to keep people from voting? To prevent complicit authorities from declaring emergencies?
January 25, 2026 at 6:35 PM
There are about 17,000 3%ers
About 20,000 Proud Boys
5,000-10,000 Oath Keepers

Maybe lots of overlap, but they certainly have numbers - and impunity.
January 25, 2026 at 6:34 PM
How many are in ICE right now?
January 25, 2026 at 6:30 PM
That's what I thought about illegal budgetary impoundment, closing federal agencies without Congressional approval, enforcement of the Privacy Act when DOGE came to town, etc., etc. They don't have to win the election to keep power, they just have to disrupt it. Disruption is easy if you're lawless.
January 25, 2026 at 6:27 PM