Dave Vanness
@djvanness.bsky.social
Economist; professor; health policy and decision science. Advocate for high quality, affordable #HigherEd. Georgetown and UW-Madison alum. Personal views only. #AcademicSky #EconSky #Bayesian
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9790-2988
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9790-2988
Reposted by Dave Vanness
The BBC's has responded in The Guardian that this was a routine editorial decision, but also that it was made on legal advice. Those two explanations don’t fit together. /1
I wish I didn’t have to share this. But the BBC has decided to censor my first Reith Lecture.
They deleted the line in which I describe Donald Trump as “the most openly corrupt president in American history.” /1
They deleted the line in which I describe Donald Trump as “the most openly corrupt president in American history.” /1
November 25, 2025 at 2:40 PM
The BBC's has responded in The Guardian that this was a routine editorial decision, but also that it was made on legal advice. Those two explanations don’t fit together. /1
post a movie from where you are from
November 25, 2025 at 2:51 PM
post a movie from where you are from
How lazy do you have to be as an editor and how desperate for content to publish this crap. How many decades has it been since Carville was relevant?
November 24, 2025 at 2:15 PM
How lazy do you have to be as an editor and how desperate for content to publish this crap. How many decades has it been since Carville was relevant?
Reposted by Dave Vanness
period
I don't understand how anyone can watch how blatantly Grok is manipulated to answer the way ownership desires it to and then act like the other LLM chatbots couldn't possibly be similarly but less obviously compromised to produce responses in whatever way corporate interests and priorities dictate.
November 23, 2025 at 11:21 PM
period
Reposted by Dave Vanness
At least once a week, I am grateful for the world-class liberal arts education I got at U.C. Berkeley
"While other universities report that the humanities are shrinking, at Berkeley, the opposite is true. The music major is the fastest-growing major on campus. We are finding bigger classrooms because film is exploding. English is back to the numbers we saw 15 years ago. We are hiring" bit.ly/4ohKuOe
"The humanities really are a resource — a confidence for living in our times.” Dean Sara Guyer on the modern utility of humanities degrees
This interview originally appeared on the Division of Arts
bit.ly
November 23, 2025 at 9:18 PM
At least once a week, I am grateful for the world-class liberal arts education I got at U.C. Berkeley
Reposted by Dave Vanness
My hot take is that over the next 10 years, we're going to see more emphasis on and investment in the humanities at Ivy League and other fancy schools just as state schools and small privates continue to decimate and even eliminate the humanities.
"While other universities report that the humanities are shrinking, at Berkeley, the opposite is true. The music major is the fastest-growing major on campus. We are finding bigger classrooms because film is exploding. English is back to the numbers we saw 15 years ago. We are hiring" bit.ly/4ohKuOe
"The humanities really are a resource — a confidence for living in our times.” Dean Sara Guyer on the modern utility of humanities degrees
This interview originally appeared on the Division of Arts
bit.ly
November 23, 2025 at 4:13 PM
My hot take is that over the next 10 years, we're going to see more emphasis on and investment in the humanities at Ivy League and other fancy schools just as state schools and small privates continue to decimate and even eliminate the humanities.
Thank you, Frank!
November 23, 2025 at 5:06 PM
Thank you, Frank!
Wait... I thought their one job was to make products that maintain or increase margins as competition and input prices increase.
November 23, 2025 at 2:12 PM
Wait... I thought their one job was to make products that maintain or increase margins as competition and input prices increase.
Reposted by Dave Vanness
DOGE did not fail in any way to accomplish its goals.
Its goals were never efficiency or saving money.
Its goals were to destroy as much of government as possible forever, and to steal data for the Space Nazi.
DOGE is fading away like bank robbery gangs fade away after the robberies are done.
Its goals were never efficiency or saving money.
Its goals were to destroy as much of government as possible forever, and to steal data for the Space Nazi.
DOGE is fading away like bank robbery gangs fade away after the robberies are done.
Exclusive: DOGE 'doesn't exist' with eight months left on its charter reut.rs/4abeTdx
Exclusive: DOGE 'doesn't exist' with eight months left on its charter
The Department of Government Efficiency claimed to have slashed tens of billions of dollars in expenditures, but it was impossible for outside financial experts to verify that because the unit did not provide detailed public accounting of its work.
reut.rs
November 23, 2025 at 12:26 PM
DOGE did not fail in any way to accomplish its goals.
Its goals were never efficiency or saving money.
Its goals were to destroy as much of government as possible forever, and to steal data for the Space Nazi.
DOGE is fading away like bank robbery gangs fade away after the robberies are done.
Its goals were never efficiency or saving money.
Its goals were to destroy as much of government as possible forever, and to steal data for the Space Nazi.
DOGE is fading away like bank robbery gangs fade away after the robberies are done.
Fascinating. Was just planning to teach myself TMLE over break. Is there good paper on theory why the poor coverage is happening?
November 23, 2025 at 12:14 AM
Fascinating. Was just planning to teach myself TMLE over break. Is there good paper on theory why the poor coverage is happening?
With Tommy Tune as her brother... It is a work of art.
November 22, 2025 at 5:15 PM
With Tommy Tune as her brother... It is a work of art.
The upside (in my opinion) is the renaissance of the parenthetical.
November 22, 2025 at 3:37 PM
The upside (in my opinion) is the renaissance of the parenthetical.
Reposted by Dave Vanness
Woz is a good one.
With alt text. This is how rich people should behave
November 21, 2025 at 11:41 PM
Woz is a good one.
Reposted by Dave Vanness
"Twenty years ago, the U.S. spent almost four times as much as China on research and development. But by 2023, China had almost closed the gap."
Research from ASA members Yu Xie and Junming Huang @princeton.edu illustrates how China is attracting scholars, especially in STEM fields, in the wake of the administration’s funding cuts and immigration restrictions in this @washingtonpost.com article.
Why Trump’s cuts to scientific research are a big win for China
China is attracting American scientific talent, especially in STEM fields, partly due to funding cuts and immigration restrictions under President Donald Trump.
bit.ly
November 17, 2025 at 6:00 PM
"Twenty years ago, the U.S. spent almost four times as much as China on research and development. But by 2023, China had almost closed the gap."
Reposted by Dave Vanness
Trump loving Mamdani is like a heat-seeking missile designed to confound the New York Times
November 21, 2025 at 11:37 PM
Trump loving Mamdani is like a heat-seeking missile designed to confound the New York Times
I was informed that it's the leftist university professors who are the elites.
November 21, 2025 at 7:43 PM
I was informed that it's the leftist university professors who are the elites.
It's all fun and games until Grok starts controlling attack drones.
Folks, I don’t know how it’s possible, but it gets funnier.
November 21, 2025 at 7:20 PM
It's all fun and games until Grok starts controlling attack drones.
To my knowledge, econ degrees have not previously been designated as professional degrees; they are typically considered research graduate programs. Maybe some econ degrees explicitly for business (e.g., "business econ") claimed it, but it's not clear to me.
November 21, 2025 at 3:56 PM
To my knowledge, econ degrees have not previously been designated as professional degrees; they are typically considered research graduate programs. Maybe some econ degrees explicitly for business (e.g., "business econ") claimed it, but it's not clear to me.
I was referring to econ not being in the new narrow list of professional degrees (medicine, pharmacy, dentistry, optometry, law, veterinary medicine, osteopathic medicine, podiatry, chiropractic, theology and clinical psychology). I should have been more clear.
November 21, 2025 at 3:56 PM
I was referring to econ not being in the new narrow list of professional degrees (medicine, pharmacy, dentistry, optometry, law, veterinary medicine, osteopathic medicine, podiatry, chiropractic, theology and clinical psychology). I should have been more clear.
Econ's not on the list.
November 21, 2025 at 2:48 PM
Econ's not on the list.
Reposted by Dave Vanness
The DoE has reclassified numerous health professional and other degrees, limiting access to federal student loan programs eligible for the higher OBBBA loan caps from thousands to a few hundred.
As ALWAYS, this is about $$.
We're about to become REALLY "great"...
shorturl.fm/xs7gY
As ALWAYS, this is about $$.
We're about to become REALLY "great"...
shorturl.fm/xs7gY
November 21, 2025 at 12:51 AM
The DoE has reclassified numerous health professional and other degrees, limiting access to federal student loan programs eligible for the higher OBBBA loan caps from thousands to a few hundred.
As ALWAYS, this is about $$.
We're about to become REALLY "great"...
shorturl.fm/xs7gY
As ALWAYS, this is about $$.
We're about to become REALLY "great"...
shorturl.fm/xs7gY
Reposted by Dave Vanness
Econ job market candidate intros.
Candidates, communicate:
1) your name, program, & fields,
2) image of JMP title & abstract + Alt Text,
3) #EconJMP, &
4) a link to your website.
Employers, browse & interact respectfully.
Everyone else, shhhh.
📉📈
Candidates, communicate:
1) your name, program, & fields,
2) image of JMP title & abstract + Alt Text,
3) #EconJMP, &
4) a link to your website.
Employers, browse & interact respectfully.
Everyone else, shhhh.
📉📈
September 15, 2024 at 3:29 PM
Econ job market candidate intros.
Candidates, communicate:
1) your name, program, & fields,
2) image of JMP title & abstract + Alt Text,
3) #EconJMP, &
4) a link to your website.
Employers, browse & interact respectfully.
Everyone else, shhhh.
📉📈
Candidates, communicate:
1) your name, program, & fields,
2) image of JMP title & abstract + Alt Text,
3) #EconJMP, &
4) a link to your website.
Employers, browse & interact respectfully.
Everyone else, shhhh.
📉📈
Thank you! This is very clean. Is there a reason for the thin=2 in the compile?
November 21, 2025 at 1:28 PM
Thank you! This is very clean. Is there a reason for the thin=2 in the compile?
Reposted by Dave Vanness
Just boosting this solution if you want to do some brms model bootstrapping. It's a very simple model but the whole thing comes together in just a couple minutes and it's very easy to code up
#rstats #statsky #bayes
#rstats #statsky #bayes
Basically, fit the model with chains = 0, then create an update() function with recompile = FALSE and the sampling specs you want. I've usually had success with {{furrr}} for the parallelisation part. Can't take full credit for this one as I needed an LLM to show me how the recompile step worked.
November 21, 2025 at 4:45 AM