Dave Vanness
@djvanness.bsky.social
Economist; professor; health policy and decision science. Advocate for high quality, affordable #HigherEd. Georgetown and UW-Madison alum. Personal views only. #EduSky #EconSky #Bayesian
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9790-2988
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9790-2988
>cough< Bayes >cough<
I find 'alpha spending' to be an incredibly awkward concept. How many hypotheses can I test? At what point does it stop being kosher? How much do I need to correct for multiple testing? How many tests can I run and how many I should just never test again? Is pre-specification the only answer? #stats
January 28, 2026 at 2:06 AM
>cough< Bayes >cough<
Reposted by Dave Vanness
A reminder that ICE hasn’t slowed down in Minneapolis at all.
Outside of Minnesota, it might feel like everything has changed since Alex Pretti’s murder. But ICE hasn’t actually lost any power and they’re continuing to terrorize our communities.
Outside of Minnesota, it might feel like everything has changed since Alex Pretti’s murder. But ICE hasn’t actually lost any power and they’re continuing to terrorize our communities.
January 27, 2026 at 7:57 PM
A reminder that ICE hasn’t slowed down in Minneapolis at all.
Outside of Minnesota, it might feel like everything has changed since Alex Pretti’s murder. But ICE hasn’t actually lost any power and they’re continuing to terrorize our communities.
Outside of Minnesota, it might feel like everything has changed since Alex Pretti’s murder. But ICE hasn’t actually lost any power and they’re continuing to terrorize our communities.
Reposted by Dave Vanness
There's no way you can keep funding a federal government who's primary mission is to inflict pain on the population. Every federal agency from McMahon at DoE to RFK shredding HHS and everything in between. Every day we let them stay open is more time we'll need to repair the damage they've done
Maher Tarabishi, who has been detained by ICE since October, was the primary caretaker of his disabled adult child, Wael.
On Jan. 23, Wael died from complications related to Pompe disease, a rare genetic condition.
ICE has now denied Maher’s request to attend his funeral, his attorney says.
On Jan. 23, Wael died from complications related to Pompe disease, a rare genetic condition.
ICE has now denied Maher’s request to attend his funeral, his attorney says.
ICE Denies Detainee's Request to Attend His Son's Funeral, Attorney Says
Maher Tarabishi was the primary caretaker of his son, Wael Tarabishi, 30, who died on Friday, Jan. 23, from complications related to Pompe disease.
people.com
January 27, 2026 at 11:59 PM
There's no way you can keep funding a federal government who's primary mission is to inflict pain on the population. Every federal agency from McMahon at DoE to RFK shredding HHS and everything in between. Every day we let them stay open is more time we'll need to repair the damage they've done
Free generic script:
The problem today is that not enough people trust {X}, so instead we need to do more {Y}, which nobody wants, so that we don't have to confront {Z}, which is what led people to not trust {X} in the first place.
Works for media, higher education, health care, politics, etc.
The problem today is that not enough people trust {X}, so instead we need to do more {Y}, which nobody wants, so that we don't have to confront {Z}, which is what led people to not trust {X} in the first place.
Works for media, higher education, health care, politics, etc.
Here, in three posts, are the written remarks by Bari Weiss at today's CBS News town hall meeting. Part one of three:
January 27, 2026 at 5:32 PM
Free generic script:
The problem today is that not enough people trust {X}, so instead we need to do more {Y}, which nobody wants, so that we don't have to confront {Z}, which is what led people to not trust {X} in the first place.
Works for media, higher education, health care, politics, etc.
The problem today is that not enough people trust {X}, so instead we need to do more {Y}, which nobody wants, so that we don't have to confront {Z}, which is what led people to not trust {X} in the first place.
Works for media, higher education, health care, politics, etc.
Reposted by Dave Vanness
*walking into the successful, decades-old sandwich shop I just bought*
doing sandwiches is old news, we need to thinkfluence
doing sandwiches is old news, we need to thinkfluence
Bari Weiss outlined her vision for CBS News in an all-hands meeting after ruffling feathers in the months since Paramount CEO David Ellison hired her.
Leaked audio: Bari Weiss says CBS News is 'toast' if it can't evolve beyond broadcast news
Bari Weiss outlined her vision for CBS News in an all-hands meeting after ruffling feathers in the months since Paramount CEO David Ellison hired her.
www.businessinsider.com
January 27, 2026 at 4:59 PM
*walking into the successful, decades-old sandwich shop I just bought*
doing sandwiches is old news, we need to thinkfluence
doing sandwiches is old news, we need to thinkfluence
Reposted by Dave Vanness
Uh, Anne Frank was not there legally after all the Jews had been rounded up, which was kind of why she was hiding in an attic
January 27, 2026 at 3:59 PM
Uh, Anne Frank was not there legally after all the Jews had been rounded up, which was kind of why she was hiding in an attic
Reposted by Dave Vanness
The officer who shot Alex worked for DHS for 8 years. The officer who shot Renee worked for DHS for over 10 years. Both are considered “highly trained.”
The problem isn’t "training." DHS was built to violate our rights and has been empowered to act with impunity. We must MELT ICE and dismantle DHS.
The problem isn’t "training." DHS was built to violate our rights and has been empowered to act with impunity. We must MELT ICE and dismantle DHS.
January 26, 2026 at 7:28 PM
The officer who shot Alex worked for DHS for 8 years. The officer who shot Renee worked for DHS for over 10 years. Both are considered “highly trained.”
The problem isn’t "training." DHS was built to violate our rights and has been empowered to act with impunity. We must MELT ICE and dismantle DHS.
The problem isn’t "training." DHS was built to violate our rights and has been empowered to act with impunity. We must MELT ICE and dismantle DHS.
1000x this.
The murder of Alex Pretti might prove to be a political turning point for the GOP. It should be a turning point for Dems, too. For the current leadership, and the consultant-industrial complex, which just fatally endangered the careers of seven members who chose to put morality last.
A Failure In Plain Sight
Who, if anyone, will acknowledge the obvious, and do something about it?
www.offmessage.net
January 26, 2026 at 5:09 PM
1000x this.
Reposted by Dave Vanness
Standing with 65 of my UMN Law colleagues (and counting) to condemn ICE’s lawless conduct towards Minnesotans: docs.google.com/document/d/1...
Open Letter to Minnesota Law CommunityJanuary 25
January 25, 2026 To the Minnesota Law Community: We, the undersigned faculty of the University of Minnesota Law School, write in our individual capacities to address the federal government's ongoin...
docs.google.com
January 25, 2026 at 11:53 PM
Standing with 65 of my UMN Law colleagues (and counting) to condemn ICE’s lawless conduct towards Minnesotans: docs.google.com/document/d/1...
Reposted by Dave Vanness
This is one of the things that I find is most shocking to people outside Minnesota who don’t realize it yet—the scale at which everyone who isn’t white has been forced into a spectrum of hiding.
Very good article drawing out the Tahrir Square comparison.
Very good article drawing out the Tahrir Square comparison.
January 26, 2026 at 4:01 AM
This is one of the things that I find is most shocking to people outside Minnesota who don’t realize it yet—the scale at which everyone who isn’t white has been forced into a spectrum of hiding.
Very good article drawing out the Tahrir Square comparison.
Very good article drawing out the Tahrir Square comparison.
Reposted by Dave Vanness
“He was a calm presence amid hospital chaos. A mentor who taught kindness and patience to younger friends and colleagues. A singer with a knack for dancing. A bicyclist who treasured the beauty of Minnesota… He was the kind of nurse patients remembered, colleagues said, and he was a beloved mentor”
Alex Pretti’s Friends and Family Denounce ‘Sickening Lies’ About His Life
www.nytimes.com
January 26, 2026 at 12:56 PM
“He was a calm presence amid hospital chaos. A mentor who taught kindness and patience to younger friends and colleagues. A singer with a knack for dancing. A bicyclist who treasured the beauty of Minnesota… He was the kind of nurse patients remembered, colleagues said, and he was a beloved mentor”
They ran out of endless breadsticks, didn't they...
Oh my God, what an incredibly real and incredibly terrifying story. These grown men were locked inside a restaurant? Wow.
It's hard to say where that ranks next to the state-sanctioned murders and the kidnapping of children, but gosh, they were briefly locked inside a restaurant? Heaven forfend.
It's hard to say where that ranks next to the state-sanctioned murders and the kidnapping of children, but gosh, they were briefly locked inside a restaurant? Heaven forfend.
January 26, 2026 at 12:42 PM
They ran out of endless breadsticks, didn't they...
Reposted by Dave Vanness
There are about 100 protesters outside Schumer’s building in the middle of the blizzard urging him to whip Dem votes against any more ICE/CBP funding.
January 25, 2026 at 6:00 PM
There are about 100 protesters outside Schumer’s building in the middle of the blizzard urging him to whip Dem votes against any more ICE/CBP funding.
Reposted by Dave Vanness
Bovino, as required for a Trump Administration job, is a shameless liar. What’s scarier than that is perhaps 25 to 35% of the nation are totalitarian-souled bootlickers eager to believe him. How do you make a nation out of people like that?
BOVINO: He was in the scene actively impeding and assaulting law enforceme--
BASH: But he wasn't impeding. He was filming, which is a legal thing to do in the United States
BOVINO: Dana, let's not free frame adjudicate this now
BASH: But he wasn't impeding. He was filming, which is a legal thing to do in the United States
BOVINO: Dana, let's not free frame adjudicate this now
January 25, 2026 at 3:19 PM
Bovino, as required for a Trump Administration job, is a shameless liar. What’s scarier than that is perhaps 25 to 35% of the nation are totalitarian-souled bootlickers eager to believe him. How do you make a nation out of people like that?
Reposted by Dave Vanness
Strange take. It doesn't require a sophisticated effort - it requires lawlessness and audacity, and they have both.
strange to me that a lot of people on this website simultaneously agree that the administration is run by incompetents who struggle to carry out their agenda without major political blowback AND that they’ll pull off a complex and sophisticated effort to rig elections and prevent defeat in November
January 25, 2026 at 5:11 PM
Strange take. It doesn't require a sophisticated effort - it requires lawlessness and audacity, and they have both.
Strange take. It doesn't require a sophisticated effort - it requires lawlessness and audacity, and they have both.
strange to me that a lot of people on this website simultaneously agree that the administration is run by incompetents who struggle to carry out their agenda without major political blowback AND that they’ll pull off a complex and sophisticated effort to rig elections and prevent defeat in November
January 25, 2026 at 5:11 PM
Strange take. It doesn't require a sophisticated effort - it requires lawlessness and audacity, and they have both.
Reposted by Dave Vanness
imagine if all that money had gone to teachers instead
January 25, 2026 at 2:37 PM
imagine if all that money had gone to teachers instead
Reposted by Dave Vanness
Putin pioneered this. No opposition is legitimate. Regular, decent, “ordinary” people cannot possibly be against us because only we represent “the real people.”
Tell-tale sign of authoritarianism.
Tell-tale sign of authoritarianism.
January 25, 2026 at 2:43 PM
Putin pioneered this. No opposition is legitimate. Regular, decent, “ordinary” people cannot possibly be against us because only we represent “the real people.”
Tell-tale sign of authoritarianism.
Tell-tale sign of authoritarianism.
Reposted by Dave Vanness
This week’s budget fight needs to be about more than just the extra funding for ICE/DHS. www.nytimes.com/2026/01/24/u...
January 25, 2026 at 12:53 PM
This week’s budget fight needs to be about more than just the extra funding for ICE/DHS. www.nytimes.com/2026/01/24/u...
Reposted by Dave Vanness
Really hard to look at this and all the other examples of bravery and kindness from ordinary people in this moment not think also of the tremendous cowardice exhibited over the past year by some of the richest, most well-protected people in business, media and politics
Let us all have the courage displayed by the residents of Minneapolis.
January 25, 2026 at 2:24 PM
Really hard to look at this and all the other examples of bravery and kindness from ordinary people in this moment not think also of the tremendous cowardice exhibited over the past year by some of the richest, most well-protected people in business, media and politics
Reposted by Dave Vanness
Yes, the GOP controls Congress. That's why it's key to show Congress COULD stop the madness. And it's not just the DHS bill. Congress could repeal the prior multi-year $75b for DHS; set up a special investigative committee (cf. Watergate); amend the Insurrection Act; etc.
January 25, 2026 at 1:08 PM
Yes, the GOP controls Congress. That's why it's key to show Congress COULD stop the madness. And it's not just the DHS bill. Congress could repeal the prior multi-year $75b for DHS; set up a special investigative committee (cf. Watergate); amend the Insurrection Act; etc.
Reposted by Dave Vanness
Alex Pretti grew up in Green Bay, Wisconsin, where he played football, baseball and ran track for Preble High School. He was a Boy Scout and sang in the Green Bay Boy Choir.
apnews.com/article/immi...
apnews.com/article/immi...
The man killed by a US Border Patrol officer in Minneapolis was an ICU nurse, family says
Family members say the man who was killed by a federal officer in Minneapolis was an intensive care nurse at a U.S.
apnews.com
January 25, 2026 at 12:57 AM
Alex Pretti grew up in Green Bay, Wisconsin, where he played football, baseball and ran track for Preble High School. He was a Boy Scout and sang in the Green Bay Boy Choir.
apnews.com/article/immi...
apnews.com/article/immi...
Reposted by Dave Vanness
The term “law enforcement” should not be used by media, except perhaps in quotations. It has sadly become an Orwellian term that is used to magically sanctify violence. Language matters. Be specific. Describe individuals with names and ranks. Say exactly what they did. Don’t repeat fascist hocum.
January 24, 2026 at 10:59 PM
The term “law enforcement” should not be used by media, except perhaps in quotations. It has sadly become an Orwellian term that is used to magically sanctify violence. Language matters. Be specific. Describe individuals with names and ranks. Say exactly what they did. Don’t repeat fascist hocum.
Reposted by Dave Vanness
The terrorism is coming from inside the White House
Sayre: "My background is in international humanitarian response in conflict zones in Yemen, Haiti, Syria, Iraq, and Ukraine. What I've seen here is what I've seen there. A powerful entity violently and intentionally terrorizing people."
January 24, 2026 at 10:17 PM
The terrorism is coming from inside the White House
Reposted by Dave Vanness
🧵Any Member of Congress can introduce the case that Donald Trump is levying war on the US in violation of the Treason Clause, and that treason is self-impeaching conduct. Every member should. The critical audience for this argument, now, is not their GOP colleagues but the public and the military 1/
January 23, 2026 at 4:33 PM