Draper Kauffman
@dksystems1.bsky.social
Climate. Inequality & tax/welfare reform. UBI. RCV. Pioneer forecaster & #systemsthinker. 5 books on systems & futures. Game designer & programmer (Adventure Gaming Hall of Fame). Bronze Star vet. Ex-TX. @systemspolicy
Reposted by Draper Kauffman
So, let me get this straight--it's "holy" for parents to ask the government to protect their kids from books with LGBTQ+ characters, but it's "evil" for parents to ask the government why it didn't do more to keep their kids from drowning in a flood.
REPORTER: Families are upset because warnings didn't go out in time. What do you say to those families?
TRUMP: Well I think everyone did an incredible job under the circumstances. Only a bad person would ask a question like that. Only an evil person would ask a question like that.
TRUMP: Well I think everyone did an incredible job under the circumstances. Only a bad person would ask a question like that. Only an evil person would ask a question like that.
July 11, 2025 at 11:59 PM
So, let me get this straight--it's "holy" for parents to ask the government to protect their kids from books with LGBTQ+ characters, but it's "evil" for parents to ask the government why it didn't do more to keep their kids from drowning in a flood.
Reposted by Draper Kauffman
Happy to share our paper in @science.org 'Observed trend in Earth energy imbalance may provide a constraint for low climate sensitivity models' | Science www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...
Observed trend in Earth energy imbalance may provide a constraint for low climate sensitivity models
Climate forcings by greenhouse gases and aerosols cause an imbalance at the top of the atmosphere between the net incoming solar radiation and outgoing longwave radiation from Earth. This Earth energy...
www.science.org
June 12, 2025 at 6:15 PM
Happy to share our paper in @science.org 'Observed trend in Earth energy imbalance may provide a constraint for low climate sensitivity models' | Science www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...
Reposted by Draper Kauffman
Reposted by Draper Kauffman
As is true with universal basic income and universal healthcare, shorter workweeks are also supported by the evidence as being good policy. We should do all three. The only thing preventing them are the fears of those in power who worry about reductions of their ability to coerce and control.
June 3, 2025 at 5:51 PM
As is true with universal basic income and universal healthcare, shorter workweeks are also supported by the evidence as being good policy. We should do all three. The only thing preventing them are the fears of those in power who worry about reductions of their ability to coerce and control.
Reposted by Draper Kauffman
The Trump administration has killed a $600 million grant to Moderna to develop an mRNA vaccine for H5N1 influenza. @helenbranswell.bsky.social reports. www.statnews.com/2025/05/28/m...
HHS cancels nearly $600 million Moderna contract on vaccines for flu pandemics
HHS has notified Moderna that it is canceling a nearly $600 million contract for vaccines for flu strains that could trigger future pandemics.
www.statnews.com
May 28, 2025 at 10:24 PM
The Trump administration has killed a $600 million grant to Moderna to develop an mRNA vaccine for H5N1 influenza. @helenbranswell.bsky.social reports. www.statnews.com/2025/05/28/m...
Reposted by Draper Kauffman
The GOP tax bill will significantly increase US carbon pollution over the next decade. In return, it will increase our dependence on foreign oil, blow up the deficit, raise interest rates, make the country’s energy supply more volatile, and weaken strategic industries: heatmap.news/politics/tru...
The GOP Tax Bill Is a Dangerous Gamble at a Precarious Moment
House Republicans have bet that nothing bad will happen to America’s economic position or energy supply. The evidence suggests that’s a big risk.
heatmap.news
May 23, 2025 at 5:18 PM
The GOP tax bill will significantly increase US carbon pollution over the next decade. In return, it will increase our dependence on foreign oil, blow up the deficit, raise interest rates, make the country’s energy supply more volatile, and weaken strategic industries: heatmap.news/politics/tru...
Reposted by Draper Kauffman
I realize posting this here is preaching to the choir. But after the Grok White Genocide thing & Ye essentially launching an exclusive Neo Nazi single on the platform... I felt motivated to write about X and how bizarre it is that so many people (news outlets, celebrities, politicians) use it
What Are People Still Doing on X?
Imagine if your favorite neighborhood bar turned into a Nazi hangout
www.theatlantic.com
May 23, 2025 at 6:58 PM
I realize posting this here is preaching to the choir. But after the Grok White Genocide thing & Ye essentially launching an exclusive Neo Nazi single on the platform... I felt motivated to write about X and how bizarre it is that so many people (news outlets, celebrities, politicians) use it
Reposted by Draper Kauffman
Our access to COVID vaccines is under attack. It’s more important than ever to make our voices heard by making public comment to the FDA by May 23 at 11:59 PM EST. Use our template available on our substack at peoplescdc.substack.com/p/vaccine-ac...
May 20, 2025 at 2:00 PM
Our access to COVID vaccines is under attack. It’s more important than ever to make our voices heard by making public comment to the FDA by May 23 at 11:59 PM EST. Use our template available on our substack at peoplescdc.substack.com/p/vaccine-ac...
Reposted by Draper Kauffman
Yes - here's my latest report on Swiss Re's climate work.
House On Fire: Why The U.S. Has Most To Lose In A Warming World
Home insurance is set to rise across the U.S. as hazards intensify. The firms that insure the insurers are in no doubt about the root cause of the problem.
www.forbes.com
January 9, 2025 at 9:33 AM
Yes - here's my latest report on Swiss Re's climate work.
Reposted by Draper Kauffman
📣 As promised last night, here's how many Americans are enrolled in Medicaid, CHIP, Medicare & ACA exchange plans in the *42 House districts* where Republicans won by less than 15 points last fall.
ALL OF THESE ARE POTENTIALLY FLIPPABLE.
I'm posting them in order of how close the 2024 margin was:
ALL OF THESE ARE POTENTIALLY FLIPPABLE.
I'm posting them in order of how close the 2024 margin was:
April 5, 2025 at 12:22 PM
📣 As promised last night, here's how many Americans are enrolled in Medicaid, CHIP, Medicare & ACA exchange plans in the *42 House districts* where Republicans won by less than 15 points last fall.
ALL OF THESE ARE POTENTIALLY FLIPPABLE.
I'm posting them in order of how close the 2024 margin was:
ALL OF THESE ARE POTENTIALLY FLIPPABLE.
I'm posting them in order of how close the 2024 margin was:
Reposted by Draper Kauffman
When I hear men worshipping guns and talking about how there’s nothing that will stop them from defending their family, my mind goes to Naaman in the Bible. Do you remember Naaman? He was a great military leader, and he also had leprosy.
1/
1/
February 17, 2025 at 3:46 PM
When I hear men worshipping guns and talking about how there’s nothing that will stop them from defending their family, my mind goes to Naaman in the Bible. Do you remember Naaman? He was a great military leader, and he also had leprosy.
1/
1/
Reposted by Draper Kauffman
Periodic reminder this is FDA-approved for men as well as women up to age 45!
It covers 9 strains of HPV so even if you’ve been exposed to some, it can protect you from others.
It works on strains that cause cervical, vaginal, vulvar, anal, throat and back of mouth cancer. Low-key medical miracle.
It covers 9 strains of HPV so even if you’ve been exposed to some, it can protect you from others.
It works on strains that cause cervical, vaginal, vulvar, anal, throat and back of mouth cancer. Low-key medical miracle.
A clinical trial run by the National Cancer Institute seems to confirm that a single dose of the vaccine used to prevent infection with the human papilloma virus is just as effective as two
www.statnews.com/2025/04/28/h...
www.statnews.com/2025/04/28/h...
U.S. government researchers present 'phenomenal' new data on HPV vaccines
A new study seems to confirm that a single dose of the vaccine used to prevent HPV infection is just as effective as two — and, therefore, also helps to prevent cancer.
www.statnews.com
April 29, 2025 at 12:47 AM
Periodic reminder this is FDA-approved for men as well as women up to age 45!
It covers 9 strains of HPV so even if you’ve been exposed to some, it can protect you from others.
It works on strains that cause cervical, vaginal, vulvar, anal, throat and back of mouth cancer. Low-key medical miracle.
It covers 9 strains of HPV so even if you’ve been exposed to some, it can protect you from others.
It works on strains that cause cervical, vaginal, vulvar, anal, throat and back of mouth cancer. Low-key medical miracle.
Reposted by Draper Kauffman
@timesofindia.bsky.social
Economist Jeffrey Sachs on the malfunction of the U.S. political system, Elon Musk and plutocracy, and the Citizens United SCOTUS decision that ensured pay-to-play politics would dominate our country. Source (The Times of India). #Greed www.youtube.com/watch?v=f_w6...
Economist Jeffrey Sachs on the malfunction of the U.S. political system, Elon Musk and plutocracy, and the Citizens United SCOTUS decision that ensured pay-to-play politics would dominate our country. Source (The Times of India). #Greed www.youtube.com/watch?v=f_w6...
April 21, 2025 at 12:11 AM
@timesofindia.bsky.social
Economist Jeffrey Sachs on the malfunction of the U.S. political system, Elon Musk and plutocracy, and the Citizens United SCOTUS decision that ensured pay-to-play politics would dominate our country. Source (The Times of India). #Greed www.youtube.com/watch?v=f_w6...
Economist Jeffrey Sachs on the malfunction of the U.S. political system, Elon Musk and plutocracy, and the Citizens United SCOTUS decision that ensured pay-to-play politics would dominate our country. Source (The Times of India). #Greed www.youtube.com/watch?v=f_w6...
Reposted by Draper Kauffman
Reposted by Draper Kauffman
Whiskey Pete Hegseth has a Russian burner phone which he uses to communicate in secret with someone. 👊🇺🇸🔥
March 27, 2025 at 2:09 PM
Whiskey Pete Hegseth has a Russian burner phone which he uses to communicate in secret with someone. 👊🇺🇸🔥
Reposted by Draper Kauffman
This moment is tricky as a public-facing historian, because folks want historical examples for the current moment, but the fact is most historical rulers simply lacked the level of control over their economies necessary to make a mistake like this.
Even if they decreed it, they couldn't enforce it.
Even if they decreed it, they couldn't enforce it.
April 5, 2025 at 4:36 PM
This moment is tricky as a public-facing historian, because folks want historical examples for the current moment, but the fact is most historical rulers simply lacked the level of control over their economies necessary to make a mistake like this.
Even if they decreed it, they couldn't enforce it.
Even if they decreed it, they couldn't enforce it.
Reposted by Draper Kauffman
I like paying taxes. Genuinely. Not grudgingly. I can’t pave a road, I can’t build and staff a hospital. $200 in my pocket won’t pay for my kid’s daycare but if we all pool our money it might. I really wish someone on the left would be brave enough to be like, “Taxes are good, actually.”
April 4, 2025 at 10:49 PM
I like paying taxes. Genuinely. Not grudgingly. I can’t pave a road, I can’t build and staff a hospital. $200 in my pocket won’t pay for my kid’s daycare but if we all pool our money it might. I really wish someone on the left would be brave enough to be like, “Taxes are good, actually.”
Reposted by Draper Kauffman
The fact that the Department of Justice has not, and will never, launch an investigation into this massive national security breach tells you all you need to know about this lawless and profoundly corrupt Administration.
March 27, 2025 at 10:49 AM
The fact that the Department of Justice has not, and will never, launch an investigation into this massive national security breach tells you all you need to know about this lawless and profoundly corrupt Administration.
Reposted by Draper Kauffman
Nearly a quarter of US Marine recruits infected with COVID in 2020 developed Long COVID: Porter et al, “Clinical and functional assessment of SARS-CoV-2 sequelae among young marines – a panel study”, The Lancet Regional Health (2024), www.thelancet.com/journals/lan... 23/33
Clinical and functional assessment of SARS-CoV-2 sequelae among young marines – a panel study
In this population of healthy young adult US Marines with mostly either asymptomatic
or mild acute COVID-19, one fourth reported physical, cognitive, or psychiatric long-term
sequelae of infection. Th...
www.thelancet.com
March 14, 2025 at 6:22 PM
Nearly a quarter of US Marine recruits infected with COVID in 2020 developed Long COVID: Porter et al, “Clinical and functional assessment of SARS-CoV-2 sequelae among young marines – a panel study”, The Lancet Regional Health (2024), www.thelancet.com/journals/lan... 23/33
Reposted by Draper Kauffman
Important data when people trot out the line that young people were not at risk from Covid infection.
Especially in that 1st year, when everyone was meeting the virus for the first time without vax, Long Covid rates were very high.
Imperial REACT study estimated 23% of all infections in 2020.
Especially in that 1st year, when everyone was meeting the virus for the first time without vax, Long Covid rates were very high.
Imperial REACT study estimated 23% of all infections in 2020.
Nearly a quarter of US Marine recruits infected with COVID in 2020 developed Long COVID: Porter et al, “Clinical and functional assessment of SARS-CoV-2 sequelae among young marines – a panel study”, The Lancet Regional Health (2024), www.thelancet.com/journals/lan... 23/33
Clinical and functional assessment of SARS-CoV-2 sequelae among young marines – a panel study
In this population of healthy young adult US Marines with mostly either asymptomatic
or mild acute COVID-19, one fourth reported physical, cognitive, or psychiatric long-term
sequelae of infection. Th...
www.thelancet.com
March 27, 2025 at 10:17 AM
Important data when people trot out the line that young people were not at risk from Covid infection.
Especially in that 1st year, when everyone was meeting the virus for the first time without vax, Long Covid rates were very high.
Imperial REACT study estimated 23% of all infections in 2020.
Especially in that 1st year, when everyone was meeting the virus for the first time without vax, Long Covid rates were very high.
Imperial REACT study estimated 23% of all infections in 2020.
Reposted by Draper Kauffman
Not getting much attention, but the Senate GOP is about to start voting - to make sure banks can charge higher overdraft fees. Seriously.
Good time to let your Senators know what you think of that.
Good time to let your Senators know what you think of that.
March 27, 2025 at 12:36 AM
Not getting much attention, but the Senate GOP is about to start voting - to make sure banks can charge higher overdraft fees. Seriously.
Good time to let your Senators know what you think of that.
Good time to let your Senators know what you think of that.
Reposted by Draper Kauffman
I learned a new word! 🤗💙
March 27, 2025 at 12:42 PM
I learned a new word! 🤗💙
Reposted by Draper Kauffman
Looking at over 55 national and state polls across six categories of tax reforms, a billionaire income tax garners the most support across party identification (67% average) and a wealth tax had similarly high levels of support: 78% of Democrats, 62% of Independents, and 51% of Republicans.
Extensive Polls Find Americans Support Taxing the Wealthy
Creating a more just economic system isn’t just the right thing to do — it’s the popular one too.
inequality.org
March 19, 2025 at 9:17 PM
Looking at over 55 national and state polls across six categories of tax reforms, a billionaire income tax garners the most support across party identification (67% average) and a wealth tax had similarly high levels of support: 78% of Democrats, 62% of Independents, and 51% of Republicans.