Derek Thompson
@dkthomp.bsky.social
42K followers 110 following 190 posts
Staff writer at The Atlantic. Host of Plain English podcast. Books.
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dkthomp.bsky.social
"Total AI capex is projected to exceed $500 billion in 2026 and 2027—roughly the annual GDP of Singapore. Meanwhile, American consumers spend only $12 billion a year on AI services—roughly the GDP of Somalia."

www.derekthompson.org/p/this-is-ho...
This Is How the AI Bubble Will Pop
The artificial intelligence boom is the most important economic story in the world. But the numbers just don't add up.
www.derekthompson.org
Reposted by Derek Thompson
karenvaites.bsky.social
“The demise of writing matters because writing is not a second thing that happens after thinking. The act of writing is an act of thinking.”

@dkthomp.bsky.social captures the high stakes of academic declines: we need to be training our brains to compete w AI.
www.theargumentmag.com/p/you-have-1...
dkthomp.bsky.social
Well whatever we want to call it it’s bad!
Reposted by Derek Thompson
gjohnstontherapy.bsky.social
Loved this episode of Plain English with @dkthomp.bsky.social. Suzanne O’Sullivan is such a sane, compassionate and helpful voice in the field of medicine and mental health.

pca.st/episode/5972...
America in the Age of Diagnosis
pca.st
Reposted by Derek Thompson
dkthomp.bsky.social
I'm going to lose my mind here.

Lance said he sees no evidence for your position.

Your whole Dallas oligopoly case is: Big builders use market share to create shortages and drive up profits.

Lance just said: Nope! I don't see any evidence that they do.
dkthomp.bsky.social
What sentence in the article is a lie?
dkthomp.bsky.social
There's a thread from Matt Stoller going around accusing me of lying and purposefully misrepresenting my conversation with the real estate analyst Lance Lambert.

Well, I knew that was wrong.

So I called Lance.

Here's what happened next.
dkthomp.bsky.social
Antitrust critics of Abundance claim homebuilding oligopolies are holding back supply and driving up prices, esp in Texas.

I did something really simple. I called up their sources.

Everyone I spoke to told me the same thing: Their claims are bullshit.

www.derekthompson.org/p/the-anti-a...
The Anti-Abundance Critique on Housing Is Dead Wrong
Antitrust critics say that homebuilding monopolies are the real culprit of America’s housing woes. I looked into some of their claims. They don’t hold up.
www.derekthompson.org
dkthomp.bsky.social
frequent theme of today's episode: there are 2 housing americas now

if you live in the northeast or midwest, prices are rising, everywhere around you.

if you live in the south or west, prices are falling, everywhere around you.
dkthomp.bsky.social
New pod: This is the worst housing market for first-time homebuyers in modern history.

How we got here, what's happening now—prices falling in the south, rising in the north, and what comes next, with @conorsen.bsky.social

podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/t...
The New Geography of Housing in America
Podcast Episode · Plain English with Derek Thompson · 07/30/2025 · 44m
podcasts.apple.com
dkthomp.bsky.social
oh calm down, that was as arch as arch can be
Reposted by Derek Thompson
steverattner.bsky.social
This chart from @dkthomp.bsky.social is a great example of what traditional economic indicators miss when it comes to human welfare. Socializing is an extremely valuable part of life, and Americans are getting less of it these days.
dkthomp.bsky.social
Some commentators talk about the GOP being too obsessed with economic efficiency and the Democrats being too obsessed with identity.

But on energy, GOP lawmakers have assigned solar the identity of "lib" and so they're willing to make our grids less efficient as long as they can own the libs.
dkthomp.bsky.social
The MAGA energy agenda is pretty simple.

It's about combining the energy policy of the 1980s with the trade policy of the 1880s. And it's about trying so hard to own the libs at any cost, you raise electricity prices everywhere.

derekthompson.substack.com/p/american-e...
American Energy Policy Cannot Afford to Be This Dumb
While China builds the economy of the future, Trump’s agenda combines the energy policy of the 1980s with the trade policy of the 1880s.
derekthompson.substack.com
dkthomp.bsky.social
It was a fair hit!

I mean, in my mild defense, I don't have a 5 year old (she's 2) and I've never written memos, so it was an abstract logistical scenario rather than a description of an ideal life.

But anyway, getting roasted on social once in a while is good: a controlled burn for humility.
Reposted by Derek Thompson
charlescmann.bsky.social
If you're interested in a super-nerdy podcast about agricultural history and development (and an explanation if what yrs truly thinks Norman Borlaug actually did), this may scratch that particular itch. My thanks to @dkthomp.bsky.social for letting me ramble on.
Plain History: How Norman Borlaug Stopped the Apocalypse
Podcast Episode · Plain English with Derek Thompson · 05/16/2025 · 1h 11m
podcasts.apple.com
dkthomp.bsky.social
I went to an acting camp between junior and senior year. We did a talk back with Richard Kind after a show in Chicago. "Ppl tell you 'Be an actor only if you can't do anything else,'" he said. "They're wrong." Dramatic pause. "Never be an actor. Even if you can't do anything else for shit: don't."
dkthomp.bsky.social
By targeting academics, embracing nostalgia economics, purging society of opposition ideology, rationing toys, and demolishing our global reputation at the moment we need scale, Trump has responded to the threat of China by mimicking the ghost of its Maoist past.

www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archiv...
The Disturbing Rise of MAGA Maoism
Trump seems to be ceding the future to China while emulating its past.
www.theatlantic.com
dkthomp.bsky.social
it's a great video. it also makes points that yglesias, and demsas, and schleicher, and glaeser have been making for years, and in some cases even more than a decade.
dkthomp.bsky.social
New pod: Something very strange is happening to the labor market for college graduates. Their unemployment is rising much faster than the overall economy—in a way that's unprecedented in the last 40 yrs.

Why?

Harvard's David Deming and I talk thru the evidence.

open.spotify.com/episode/3Feh...