Douglas Oxley, PhD
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doc-oxley.bsky.social
Douglas Oxley, PhD
@doc-oxley.bsky.social
Political Scientist / Data Scientist who digs research methods, public policy, social institutions, and behavior.
Very interesting research. Reminds me of the trade off studied by the Johnson O’Connor Research Foundation between structural visualization and abstract reasoning. Do some people see the car because they think structurally, and others see the strawberry because they think abstractly?
January 7, 2026 at 11:57 AM
We don’t know yet which applications are going to be broadly useful. I think it’s still possible that smaller, cheaper LLMs will end up being the most useful. Both the business cases and the bro-talk are based on magical and wishful thinking right now.
January 5, 2026 at 12:05 PM
Most also don’t get to pick where they live. They go to the team that drafted them.
December 19, 2025 at 9:55 PM
Anytime a meaningful counterfactual is utilized is a step forward. There are better and worse ones, but the contrast illustrates something valuable.
December 3, 2025 at 11:42 AM
Congrats on the pub in Science. It’s a big honkin’ deal. You’re going to get a lot of attention, and that’s mostly good.
October 30, 2025 at 8:39 PM
Agree that rational goal seeking is as much used as habit. Another form of choice behavior is reflex. The autonomic nervous system doesn’t give us time to rationally goal seek or engage habitual decision making but it does make quick decisions.
October 30, 2025 at 8:33 PM
Reposted by Douglas Oxley, PhD
To be absolutely clear, it is impossible to vote for a party that cannot bring itself to unequivocally defend the rights of people living and working legally in this country. Because arbitrary removal of legal rights, or sudden varying of terms, for some is ultimately a threat to everyone.
October 21, 2025 at 10:13 AM
Just like the .com bubble, there is some real value in generative ai, but the unsubstantiated hype is far larger. Signal to noise, and noise is currently winning.
August 20, 2025 at 1:55 PM
A smart thing would be to work together in secret against this type of threat. Some CEOs may not consider it a threat, but fascists want power and corporations have it. It is likely that the administration will look to seize corporate power like they have with academic institutions.
August 14, 2025 at 2:23 PM