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Dowell Myers @dowell66.bsky.social · Sep 7

Just in time for the Housing Emergency! A little more housing data please, so solutions don’t backfire—VERY BIG— like last time.

Dowell Myers @dowell66.bsky.social · Sep 7

When will their “bad luck” finally run out?

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Dowell Myers @dowell66.bsky.social · Aug 1

Astute assessments by a leading housing supply expert…

Kevin Erdmann @kevinerdmann.bsky.social · Jul 21

“We don’t have a marginal or arguable housing shortage. We have a ridiculous housing shortage, and the patterns in rent and price inflation that it creates could only appear under ridiculous conditions.“

kevinerdmann.substack.com/p/supply-has...

Supply has to be ridiculously low to create our peculiar affordability problem.

Maybe this is a repeat of some things I have written recently, but I think it can serve as a sort of summary statement of our problem.

kevinerdmann.substack.com

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Dowell Myers @dowell66.bsky.social · Aug 1

Who’s victim of our housing shortage?

Oh The Urbanity! @ohtheurbanity.bsky.social · Jul 24

The housing shortage isn’t just about homelessness.

It’s also the young person who can’t afford to move out. It’s the couple who can’t get a place big enough to have children. It’s the people stuck with roommates (or even in abusive relationships) because they can’t get a place of their own.

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Dowell Myers @dowell66.bsky.social · Aug 1

Just dumb policy or lack of forethought. Hope they don’t wait too long to figure it out.

Dowell Myers @dowell66.bsky.social · Jul 24

Agree with Jens on this simple housing stock based definition of filtering; direction is set by shortages relative to demand

Jens von Bergmann @jensvb.bsky.social · Jul 24

Housing is always “filtering”, but the direction of filtering is a policy choice. Old housing filters up if housing does not keep up with demand, and down if it does. And it filters down faster if we make up for past shortfalls.

Kevin Erdmann @kevinerdmann.bsky.social · Jul 24

The absence of downward filtering is, definitionally, rent inflation that systematically pushes families out of their housing so that wealthier families can move into it.

Anyone who dismisses "trickle down" housing policy is necessarily supporting that bc that IS the alternative.

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Dowell Myers @dowell66.bsky.social · Jul 15

No kidding about the beer — how could I forget that!

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Dowell Myers @dowell66.bsky.social · Jul 15

Most white family heritages are pretty bland. So what does English and German get you? Not the food, aside from turkey and hot dogs. No brave explorer stories or grand heroes. But after 6 gens you have 300 direct ancestors, plus 100s of cousins, aunts and uncles. We pick out 1 to brag about.

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Dowell Myers @dowell66.bsky.social · Jul 13

Different customs in each state. I remember when I bought my first house, in Austin, and I saw deed descriptions (including racial restrictions) that mentioned possible intensity of development 5 or 10 times our SF lot. Realtor laughed it off. They just had a very high potential ceiling.

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Dowell Myers @dowell66.bsky.social · Jul 13

The famed Morrow graph tells one powerful story! Wish we had it for more metros.

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Dowell Myers @dowell66.bsky.social · Jun 18

Here’s a practical question: is Edmonton expecting less employment growth in the coming 5 years? Local leaders often want more employment, and so the housing growth should be made to match.

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Dowell Myers @dowell66.bsky.social · Jun 18

Nice temporal visualization. I like the second version with the baseline for NB women.

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Dowell Myers @dowell66.bsky.social · Apr 28

Saw good quotes in the NYT. Births started to recover after the Great Recession but curiously started declining again in 2016. Wonder why?? Acrimony and uncertainty do not make a hopeful environment for planning babies. (Yeah, but also housing prices ran away too.) Are deferred births mostly lost?

Dowell Myers @dowell66.bsky.social · Apr 28

Such a scholarly range! Gans began as an urban planner, then urban ethnographer of inner city and suburbs. Followed my sociology of the news media! Then poverty… and he kept going for a long career…. RIP

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Dowell Myers @dowell66.bsky.social · Apr 28

And now the number of NBA players who also have at least 1 40 point playoff game after age 40:

LeBron James

He’s got it coming and going!

Reposted by Dowell Myers

Coral City Camera @coralcitycamera.bsky.social · Apr 13

We spent some quality time with a color changing squid today #caribbeanreefsquid #reefsquid #squid #colorchanging #chromatophores #cephalopod #coral #coralcitycamera #miami #portmiami #biscaynebay #bfi #noaa #aoml #coralcity #civicpridethroughbiodiversity #glennnevis #coralcityfoundation #ccf #kbcf

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Dowell Myers @dowell66.bsky.social · Mar 13

What caused such severe #housing shortages in America? It’s a saga with deep intrigue in the bubble, financial crisis, and policy misdirections.

Solutions anyone?
“Misalignment of Housing Growth and Population Trends”

Dowell Myers, Hyojung Lee, JungHo Park
doi.org/10.7758/RSF....

Misalignment of Housing Growth and Population Trends: Cohort Size and Lagging Measurements Through Recession and Recovery

Population and housing growth are closely linked in the U.S. Census, less so in analysis. Overlooked changes in cohort size and lagged measurements have misled about current housing preferences, and q...

doi.org

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Dowell Myers @dowell66.bsky.social · Jan 5

New refugee from that twit

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