Heather "ElbowsUp" Hanwell
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drhanwell.bsky.social
Heather "ElbowsUp" Hanwell
@drhanwell.bsky.social
🌾🌈 Canadian Epidemiologist & Human Biologist (esp #Nutrition)
#HealthEquity #PublicHealth #LandBack #CleanTheAir #CovidIsAirborne
Director @ONSchoolSafety.bsky.social
Opinions my own.
It has. I’ve compared old v new definitions of “historic” for ILI + pneumonia data in 0-4 & 5-17, inc adjustment for pop’n growth.

Need to doublecheck my work before sharing implications, ie how many SD we are above the pre-pandemic avg.
Expect delays; my ILI is evolving into pneumonia 🫠 #irony
December 7, 2025 at 8:13 PM
A Google lens search produced this which shows only influenza-like illness (ILI) & pneumonia.

I hope to find more figures w old historic avg to see what inferences can be made.
But I’m toast rn. My kiddo brought home ILI from school. She and *many* peers have missed 1-2wks of school due to ILI.
December 6, 2025 at 4:22 AM
Thank you.
I‘d hoped to find figures with just the subset of influenza-like illness to determine the pre-pandemic historic avg for it.
Wish I’d taken more screenshots of the subsets of data… but how was I to know they’d switch to a 2y running avg? All I know is the old historic avg was a lot lower.
December 6, 2025 at 3:37 AM
h/t to @dreamerdee.bsky.social for pointing out ACES definition of historic baseline changing from pre-pandemic to rolling 2 year.

We’ve had some unprecedented “respiratory seasons” recently. This produces an extremely high “historic baseline” which essentially normalizes unprecedented illness.
December 6, 2025 at 12:19 AM
Also tagging @dgbassani.bsky.social! Any chance you have old snapshots from ACES for *just* influenza-like illness prior to their changing the “historic” baseline?

We’re now at >2 SD above the 2y rolling “historic” baseline which was calculated during years of extremely high rates of illness…😬
December 6, 2025 at 12:00 AM
Hi! I have a favour to ask. I’m looking for the ACES old historic (prepandemic) averages for influenza-like illness specifically. Do you have any snapshots of this?

Current flu data on ACES are very concerning - even with revised definition of “historic” as 2y rolling avg (which obscures severity).
December 5, 2025 at 11:40 PM
Reposted by Heather "ElbowsUp" Hanwell
Will Canada denounce the violent illegal actions committed by Israel against the unarmed humanitarian flotilla?

www.youtube.com/live/uEN2bWF...
24/7 LIVESTREAM OF GLOBAL SUMUD FLOTILLA
YouTube video by Global Sumud Flotilla
www.youtube.com
October 1, 2025 at 9:47 PM
Will Canada denounce the violent illegal actions committed by Israel against the unarmed humanitarian flotilla?

www.youtube.com/live/uEN2bWF...
24/7 LIVESTREAM OF GLOBAL SUMUD FLOTILLA
YouTube video by Global Sumud Flotilla
www.youtube.com
October 1, 2025 at 9:47 PM
Beautifully done!
Definitely have learned the hard way to arrange furniture “just so“ in my 1.5 story century home to help reduce head injuries 🫠

Space is very tight, as you say, so may end end up just padding the ceilings - or adding some sort of dangling decor to provide early warning… 🙃
October 1, 2025 at 6:48 PM
More attention on this unarmed, peaceful civilian flotilla that seeks to break Israel’s ILLEGAL naval blockade of Gaza to create a humanitarian corridor is needed to help prevent another Israeli massacre of peaceful, unarmed civilians.
www.independent.co.uk/news/world/m...

#SumudFlotilla
‘I was on the deadly 2010 Gaza flotilla and am sailing again. Israel could kill us’
Ewa Jasiewicz, a British-Polish activist and journalist, was on board the 2010 Gaza aid flotilla in which nine activists were killed. As she sails to Gaza for a second time, she tells Alex Croft that ...
www.independent.co.uk
October 1, 2025 at 6:42 PM
Reposted by Heather "ElbowsUp" Hanwell
🚨Another livestream of the Global Sumud Flotilla
being attacked by the IOF on international waters while all governments sit and watch like the complicit cowards they are www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hd-V...
Live: Global Sumud Flotilla nears high-risk zone off Gaza coast
YouTube video by Middle East Eye
www.youtube.com
October 1, 2025 at 6:21 PM
😭 Jane was such a legend.
October 1, 2025 at 6:22 PM
Reposted by Heather "ElbowsUp" Hanwell
Nick Valencia, who has been doing amazing reporting, just wrote about this:

“These Are Abductions.” Newlywed Husband Says Wife Taken During Green Card Interview

open.substack.com/pub/nickvale...
September 28, 2025 at 3:05 AM
That skirt is 💫MAGICAL✨
🌈
August 22, 2025 at 10:26 PM