Jeremy Cohen
@drjerbs.bsky.social
1.2K followers 470 following 59 posts
Early career research scientist at Yale, macroecology, quantitative climate change ecology, avian ecology, GIS and species distribution models, scale in ecology.... birder, photographer, human dad, cat dad, baseball fan
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drjerbs.bsky.social
NEW SCIENCE! 🚨🚨🚨🧪🪶🌐
Our paper is now online at @natecoevo.nature.com! “Geographic redistributions are insufficient to mitigate exposure to climate change in North American birds”. We know birds are moving north with climate change, but what are the consequences?
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
bird
drjerbs.bsky.social
🚨Now out in @pnas.org! Our group provides a framework to mathematically link environmental niches from individual to population and species scales. Our approach enables more accurate forecasting of biodiversity change across organismal levels. 🧪 www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
Reposted by Jeremy Cohen
ecowarriorss.bsky.social
We are turning Earth into a unlivable Hot House Earth
Earth was about 2.65 degrees Fahrenheit (or about 1.47 degrees Celsius) warmer in 2024 than in the late 19th-century (1850-1900) preindustrial average.

The 10 most recent years are the warmest on record.
climate.nasa.gov/vital-signs/...
drjerbs.bsky.social
Both traill's I'd say
drjerbs.bsky.social
What's the location?
drjerbs.bsky.social
Species’ historical niches are becoming increasingly mismatched with contemporary climates even in a highly mobile taxon like birds, raising concerns about the ability of other wildlife to persist in a warmer world. Other wildlife may have to rely on phenological or behavioral changes.
drjerbs.bsky.social
We found similar results when repeating these analyses using eBird alone or Breeding Bird Survey data, highlighting the robustness of the findings.
drjerbs.bsky.social
Species possessing traits associated with dispersal, such as long-distance migratory behavior or high hand-wing index, succeeded most in limiting their niche loss (partial residual plots).
drjerbs.bsky.social
Species moving the furthest north succeeded most in limiting their niche loss. Move north, avoid warming. However, only very few species moved north far enough to fully erase their exposure, and in most cases they only partially limited their exposure.
drjerbs.bsky.social
Therefore- species averted much more of their expected exposure in summer, when they are more at risk of physiological consequences of heat stress- but still only avoided half of the expected warming in this season.
drjerbs.bsky.social
Most redistributions were only partially effective. Species moved their ranges ~0.65° latitude north in both seasons, mitigating their expected exposure by ~1.28 °C in summer (48% of expected if they were stationary), while only mitigating ~0.47 °C (11% of expected) in winter.
drjerbs.bsky.social
We developed a method to account for biases in tens of millions of species observations from GBIF and evaluate how 406 bird species native to the US and Canada have mitigated their environmental niche loss using geographical redistributions from 2000-2020.
drjerbs.bsky.social
As climate change accelerates, species can move poleward (north, in North America) or up mountains to limit their exposure to heat. While these movements have been extensively reported, it remains unclear whether species have succeeded in limiting their exposure to novel conditions.
drjerbs.bsky.social
NEW SCIENCE! 🚨🚨🚨🧪🪶🌐
Our paper is now online at @natecoevo.nature.com! “Geographic redistributions are insufficient to mitigate exposure to climate change in North American birds”. We know birds are moving north with climate change, but what are the consequences?
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
bird
Reposted by Jeremy Cohen
volkerrudolf.bsky.social
To understand how climate change affects natural ecosystems we need to know how warming influences species interactions. In our newest paper we show that predator-prey interactions fundamentally change across latitude leading to context dependent effects of warming. 🧪
doi.org/10.1111/oik....
Reposted by Jeremy Cohen
petergleick.bsky.social
The #climate/water paradox: As temperatures rise, more #water evaporates into the atmosphere & more precipitation occurs. But land areas are getting drier not wetter. Why? Because more water evaporates from soils. The rain that falls is in intense events in fewer regions, leading to worse #floods 👉
Reposted by Jeremy Cohen
zacklabe.com
Last month's total #Arctic sea ice volume averaged the 3rd lowest on record for the month of November...

Data using PIOMAS: psc.apl.uw.edu/research/pro... 🌊
Reposted by Jeremy Cohen
Reposted by Jeremy Cohen
drjerbs.bsky.social
Saw/heard 104 bird species in Florida over Thanksgiving... crossing 100 was a goal I slowly become obsessed with, made tougher with all the best spots being closed due to hurricane. Here's a prairie warbler ebird.org/tripreport/2... 🪶 #birds
Reposted by Jeremy Cohen
drjerbs.bsky.social
Yep. One of the most feeder friendly birds in the Eastern US. Usually one of the first species to find the feeder
Reposted by Jeremy Cohen
ecologyofgavin.bsky.social
Recently discovered a fun webpage called Probability Playground where you can interactively explore probability distributions.

It’s helpful especially for distributions with parameters that are not immediately intuitive. Very cool!

www.acsu.buffalo.edu/~adamcunn/pr...