David Rennie
@dsorennie.bsky.social
8.7K followers 230 following 94 posts
Geopolitics Editor, author of The Telegram column, The Economist. Previously posted to Beijing, Washington, London, Brussels, Washington, Beijing, Sydney.
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dsorennie.bsky.social
My column, The Telegram, includes reporting from Dublin on Ireland’s unique plight as an essentially defenceless EU nation with tiny armed forces and a tradition of neutrality at odds with Irish support for Ukraine after its invasion by Russia. 2/2
dsorennie.bsky.social
It’s a familiar/fair charge that many European govts spent little on defence, free-riding on US security. Lots also have the wrong sort of armed forces: expeditionary forces to fight alongside USA & peacekeepers. Now they must build homeland defences 1/2

economist.com/internationa...
Europe struggles to put homeland defence first
Years of expeditionary operations leave it vulnerable if America abandons the continent
economist.com
dsorennie.bsky.social
Governments across the West are digging out Cold War manuals on escalation management and deterrence, as they navigate a world of ambiguous threats and reckless adversaries. My column, The Telegram. Can the West survive an age of brinkmanship?

economist.com/internationa...
from The Economist
Can the West survive an age of brinkmanship?
It is time to relearn the cold-war arts of escalation management
economist.com
dsorennie.bsky.social
China now accounts for 30% of all global manufacturing, or more than America, Germany, Japan and South Korea put together. A record surge of exports is alarming foreign rivals and governments. My column, The Telegram, on the juggernaut Trump can’t stop economist.com/internationa...
A Made-in-China plan for world domination
Donald Trump is failing to stop China’s rise as a manufacturing superpower
economist.com
dsorennie.bsky.social
The U.S.-led West is struggling to deter China, Russia and other powers. Allies’ dwindling trust in America is one reason, but not the only one. My column, The Telegram

economist.com/internationa...
from The Economist
Cold war deterrence doesn’t work any more
Why the West is finding it so hard to deter China and Russia
economist.com
Reposted by David Rennie
taitster.bsky.social
Interesting lessons from the Korean War for current 🇷🇺🇺🇦 conflict but I think the parallels with Dayton 🇧🇦 90's peace talks are most pertinent in this pragmatic #telegram from @dsorennie.bsky.social Continuation of the conflict: 'peace by other means' neatly sums it up.
shashj.bsky.social
Telling detail in @dsorennie.bsky.social’s
column. “Fully 45% of American casualties [in the Korean war] occurred after talks began. Veterans recalled deadly night-time skirmishes on hills overlooking the floodlit negotiation compound.” www.economist.com/internationa...
The wrong way to end a war
Dark lessons from history that explain Vladimir Putin’s “peacemaking”
www.economist.com
dsorennie.bsky.social
Polls show Trump is unpopular in most of Europe and the rich world. Spain’s prime minister, Pedro Sánchez, is positioning himself as leader of the anti-Trump progressive resistance. That’s not translating into greater international clout: why?
My column, The Telegram economist.com/internationa...
Meet the leader of Europe’s anti-Trump resistance
For Spain’s leader, Pedro Sánchez, opposing Trump is a lonely endeavour
economist.com
dsorennie.bsky.social
Alongside the tech race for AI leadership there’s a global contest underway to set rules for AI governance. For all the Western predictions that Chinese AI will be hobbled by censorship and political control, China thinks its model has wide appeal
economist.com/internationa...
from The Economist
Who is winning in AI—China or America?
China offers the world a values-free, results-based vision of AI governance
economist.com
Reposted by David Rennie
shashj.bsky.social
Telling detail in @dsorennie.bsky.social’s
column. “Fully 45% of American casualties [in the Korean war] occurred after talks began. Veterans recalled deadly night-time skirmishes on hills overlooking the floodlit negotiation compound.” www.economist.com/internationa...
The wrong way to end a war
Dark lessons from history that explain Vladimir Putin’s “peacemaking”
www.economist.com
dsorennie.bsky.social
Ending conflicts is hard, especially when belligerents use a peace process to advance war aims by other means. My column, The Telegram, on historical lessons from Korea and Bosnia for the Ukraine war - and how Putin grasps them better than Trump

economist.com/internationa...
from The Economist
The wrong way to end a war
Dark lessons from history that explain Vladimir Putin’s “peacemaking”
economist.com
Reposted by David Rennie
ecfr.eu
ECFR @ecfr.eu · Aug 23
José Ignacio Torreblanca, Senior Policy Fellow and Head of ECFR's Madrid Office, on the challenges Europe faces in protecting its democracy and markets from external influences at this year's Annual Council Meeting #ACM25
🔗 https://bit.ly/4fIuDW5
Reposted by David Rennie
connellyal.bsky.social
“Some of the clearest thinking about this swot’s predicament can be heard in Singapore, a paternalist city-state that has risen from poverty to great wealth with the help of hard work, diligence and lots of rules about civilised behaviour—like a giant prep school with its own army and airport.”
dsorennie.bsky.social
Singapore is the model pupil of the world economy. It grew rich by studying hard, doing its homework and riding the wave of late 20C globalisation. Now it fears a global economy where FDI and trade flows follow politics and tariffs set by Trumpian caprice. My column
economist.com/internationa...
Was globalisation ever a meritocracy?
The Trumpian assault on globalism, as seen from Singapore
economist.com
dsorennie.bsky.social
Singapore is the model pupil of the world economy. It grew rich by studying hard, doing its homework and riding the wave of late 20C globalisation. Now it fears a global economy where FDI and trade flows follow politics and tariffs set by Trumpian caprice. My column
economist.com/internationa...
Was globalisation ever a meritocracy?
The Trumpian assault on globalism, as seen from Singapore
economist.com
Reposted by David Rennie
fernandapirie.bsky.social
Delighted #TheRuleofLaws gets a mention in The Economist though the laws of war don’t feature highly. Tricky subject!
dsorennie.bsky.social
With nods to Grotius, earning his second mention in The Telegram, and to a fine book on the 4,000 year history of legal codes by Prof @fernandapirie.bsky.social profilebooks.com/work/the-rul...
The Rule of Laws - Profile Books
profilebooks.com
dsorennie.bsky.social
With nods to Grotius, earning his second mention in The Telegram, and to a fine book on the 4,000 year history of legal codes by Prof @fernandapirie.bsky.social profilebooks.com/work/the-rul...
The Rule of Laws - Profile Books
profilebooks.com
dsorennie.bsky.social
The post-1945 liberal order is crumbling. Time to study the long history of laws regulating war for alternatives that might work. My column, The Telegram
economist.com/internationa...
from The Economist
How to write laws of war for a wicked world
The post-1945 order is crumbling. History offers a glimpse of alternatives that might work
economist.com
Reposted by David Rennie
Reposted by David Rennie
sensehofstede.nl
Meanwhile, South Africa’s China-induced attempt to downgrade and push the Taiwanese representative office out of Pretoria has led Taipei to threaten export restrictions on its advanced chips…
sensehofstede.nl
Taiwanese government mulls chip export restrictions amid South Africa mission name change row – Focus Taiwan: ‘While Taiwan produces the majority of the world’s advanced semiconductors, it is not considered a significant supplier of chips to South Africa.’
Taiwan mulls chip restrictions amid South Africa name change row - Focus Taiwan
Taiwan is considering restricting semiconductor exports to South Africa in response to what it described as a "crude" downgrade of its diplomatic presence in the country, the Ministry of Foreign Affai...
focustaiwan.tw
dsorennie.bsky.social
South African leftists long to play the China card and tell the West to get lost. Centrist political & business leaders say Chinese trade and investment is too skewed in China’s favour to replace the West for now. My column, the Telegram, reported from S Africa
economist.com/internationa...
Can China save South Africa from Donald Trump?
South African leftists dream of telling the West to get lost
economist.com
Reposted by David Rennie
sensehofstede.nl
What Europe means to China in a changing world – Matthias Hackler’s Cross Purposes: ‘Tellingly, [MSS-linked CICIR’s] Zhang Jian’s first point in this section is Europe’s market, specifically its consumption capacity, which he emphasizes as crucial to China’s development.’
What Europe means to China
in a changing world
crosspurposes.substack.com
Reposted by David Rennie
fbermingham.bsky.social
Lots of juicy details in here about

- Kallas-Wang post-Brussels meet in Malaysia
- Wang Yi's lecture on Chinese vs Western museums
- An important linguistic change in EEAS' docs on China
- What the new EU budget means for Beijing
fbermingham.bsky.social
High stakes, low expectations as EU and China face off in Beijing

My preview of tomorrow's summit

BIG NEWS as of an hour ago: they have a joint statement on climate, negotiations finished, goes to Coreper today for approval

www.scmp.com/news/china/d...
High stakes, low expectations as EU and China prepare for summit in Beijing
Hopes of a reset in relations rose in the first quarter but came back to Earth with controls on critical minerals.
www.scmp.com
dsorennie.bsky.social
Some America Firsters seem tempted to let allies go nuclear, to let the U.S. off the hook for their security. Cold War history suggests that’s a grave mistake. My column, The Telegram, with lessons from Sweden’s secret cold-war nuclear weapons programme

economist.com/internationa...
The surprising lessons of a secret cold-war nuclear programme
America is sick of policing the world. More nuclear-armed states will not help
economist.com
dsorennie.bsky.social
Are you tweeting about a party while at the party?