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Darrell Anderson
@dwanderson.bsky.social
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Weather Nerd . Nature Lover
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dwanderson.bsky.social
Wtaf?
December 18, 2025 at 3:30 AM
Reposted by Darrell Anderson
wolvendamien.bsky.social
This is the more recent framework and context. This shit is… very bad.
Screenshot of a post from Meteorologist Noah Bergren (1 of 2) LORD... this thing refuses to stop intensifying. I mean, meteorologically WOW. Hurricane Melissa now has 175 MPH sustained winds with wind gusts to 215 MPH. It probably will strengthen more overnight. There will be a path near the center of tornado like damage and near total destruction of everything in its path in the eyewall. Complete structure failure is possible with extreme roof damage along the path. Towns and communities in the western side of the island may be wiped out or left cutoff to outside access for extended time. The meteorological limit of max realistic intensity is nearing. There is a parameter for it, MPI (max potential intensity) - which is merely a meteorological formula to give a rough estimate of the strongest storm the Earth's atmosphere can produce at a given time. That number currently is around 184 MPH sustained winds. What is also remarkable, and not drama or a stretch of the truth... is the fact this hurricane has yet to start doing ERC (eyewall replacement cycles) -- this is very rare how long it is maintaining its initial eye without doing a replacement cycle yet. Screenshot of a post from Meteorologist Noah Bergren (2 of 2) This will be a life changing storm for many on the island. Praying for their safety Tuesday in the storm. Many large landslides may occur too especially in the central and western side of the island. If you are reading this in central or western Jamaica, you are going to endure something you may never see again. Going outside during the storm, especially the eye, could be deadly. Shelter as if this is a 12 hour long tornado. Storm surge forecast is "up to 13 feet" for the south side of the island, but I don't think Kingston will see it that bad. Kingston while will still get impacted, will NOT get the extreme impacts the western side of the island will. Wind gusts will likely remain below 90 MPH in the Kingston area. Expecting landfall late Tuesday morning, Oct. 28. ‣ This will be the first Category 5 hurricane to ever landfall in Jamaica, since we have records for in 1850 ‣ Only 1 other Category 4 hit the island, Gilbert in 1988 ‣ This is now, as of this advisory the 9th strongest hurricane in the Atlantic Ocean's recorded history, by pressure This will be a devastating natural disaster for Jamaica. A Hurricane Andrew kind of wind event, with pockets of a Hurricane Helene kind of flood event in the mountainous terrain.
October 28, 2025 at 4:55 AM