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Reposted by Edward Lucas

Center for European Policy Analysis @cepa.org · 9d

False Alarms: and Real Ones | "Western scaremongering about the Baltics’ vulnerability is missing the real threat." @edwardlucas.bsky.social

False Alarms: and Real Ones

A Russian landgrab in Estonia in 2028 would destroy NATO. Western scaremongering about the Baltics’ vulnerability is missing the real threat.

cepa.org

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Reposted by Edward Lucas

Hans Tino Hansen @hanstino.bsky.social · 7d

Denmark’s drone humiliation weakens us all - important comment by @edwardlucas.bsky.social

“But it has been “sleepwalking” when it comes to its domestic security, says Hans Tino Hansen, a hawkish Dane who runs Risk Intelligence, a consultancy.”

www.thetimes.com/comment/colu...

Denmark’s drone humiliation weakens us all

Paltry deterrence is an invitation to Putin to wreak havoc, making a mockery of Nato’s defences

www.thetimes.com

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Edward Lucas @edwardlucas.bsky.social · 16d

cepa.org/article/test...

Test: Found Wanting

NATO just set a powerful signal to the Kremlin: “We’re not serious”. Russia does not need to defeat NATO militarily if it can politically.

cepa.org

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Reposted by Edward Lucas

Stathios Ballas @stathiosb.bsky.social · 25d

Recommended reading from @edwardlucas.bsky.social 👇

Foreign Policy @foreignpolicy.com · 26d

Given the stakes, questions of Estonia’s security should be framed with precision and facts, not fearmongering and speculation.

The Perils of Irresponsible Reporting on Russia’s War

Clickbait coverage is the Kremlin’s friend. Just ask the Estonians.

foreignpolicy.com

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Edward Lucas @edwardlucas.bsky.social · Aug 28

and here in Swedish

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Reposted by Edward Lucas

Franzén @sectionix.bsky.social · Aug 28

@edwardlucas.bsky.social on Mario Draghis evisceration of current EU politics.

“…the EU is a mere “spectator” in world politics. It meekly accepts US tariffs. It is sidelined in conflicts in Iran and Gaza. In Ukraine, it pays the piper but does not call the tune...”

Mario Draghi’s speech to Europe is a warning to us all

He is right: without a radical change Europeans will be spectators at their own funeral

www.thetimes.com

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Reposted by Edward Lucas

RobinK 👊🇪🇺🔥 @templeofhate.com · Aug 21

Brilliant article by @edwardlucas.bsky.social indeed. Here's the 🎁 link (no paywall).

www.thetimes.com/article/1585...

While Europe waits on Trump, Putin is winning

Focus on summits and supposed security guarantees misses the point: Russia has the initiative

www.thetimes.com

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Edward Lucas @edwardlucas.bsky.social · Aug 23

and isn't that Vilnius in the background?

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Reposted by Edward Lucas

Anton Gerashchenko @antongerashchenko.bsky.social · Aug 23

MAXimum surveillance: how Russians are being driven into the FSB’s pocket messenger.

Starting September 1, the Russian messenger Max will become mandatory for preinstallation on all devices in Russia⤵️

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Reposted by Edward Lucas

John Peters @johnthejack.bsky.social · Aug 21

Our diplomacy and discussion frame the central issue as finding a negotiated end to the war in Ukraine. Seen from Moscow a much wider contest is under way, aiming to break the old rules and alliances to create a might-is-right world.
(£) www.thetimes.com/comment/colu...
By @edwardlucas.bsky.social

While Europe waits on Trump, Putin is winning

Focus on summits and supposed security guarantees misses the point: Russia has the initiative

www.thetimes.com

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Reposted by Edward Lucas

Bill Emmott @billemmott.bsky.social · Aug 2

Denis, I recommend looking more closely at Italy than that. The fair criticism of Meloni is that she and her government have shied away from any major reforms. The one that bears no relation to reality is that she and her government bear any resemblance to Mussolini, because (so far!!) they don't

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Reposted by Edward Lucas

Center for European Policy Analysis @cepa.org · Jul 28

Weakly: Captive Nations | "The Trump administration remembers to mark a Cold War anniversary." @edwardlucas.bsky.social

Weakly: Captive Nations

The Trump administration remembers to mark Captive Nations Week. This year’s was perhaps not the White House wordsmiths’ finest effort.

cepa.org

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Reposted by Edward Lucas

John Peters @johnthejack.bsky.social · Jun 19

Discussed in this column by @edwardlucas.bsky.social today
(£) www.thetimes.com/comment/colu...

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Edward Lucas @edwardlucas.bsky.social · Jun 21

delighted to sign this letter www.theguardian.com/politics/202...

There is only one warmonger on the European stage: Vladimir Putin | Letter

Letter: Experts on Russia, Ukraine and international security respond to a letter that criticised Fiona Hill for her assessment of the Russian threat to Britain

www.theguardian.com

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Reposted by Edward Lucas

Center for European Policy Analysis @cepa.org · Jun 9

Banking: Moldova’s Winning | "Russia’s grip on the unrecognized Transnistrian state is weakening. No stunts, please." @edwardlucas.bsky.social

Banking: Moldova’s Winning

Even if the Kremlin succeeds in toppling Moldova’s pro-Western government, the authorities in Kyiv won't tolerate Russian reinforcement.

cepa.org

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Reposted by Edward Lucas

Center for European Policy Analysis @cepa.org · Jun 3

“Battered, beleaguered, tired and outnumbered, Ukrainians have, at minimal cost, in complete secrecy, and over vast distances, destroyed or damaged dozens, perhaps more, of Russia’s strategic bombers [in the] the most audacious attack of the war.” @edwardlucas.bsky.social

Ukraine and Russia agree to swap dead and wounded troops but report no progress toward ending war

Delegations from Russia and Ukraine met in Turkey for their second round of direct peace talks in just over two weeks.

apnews.com

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Reposted by Edward Lucas

Sue Hawley @suehawley.bsky.social · Jun 5

National defence must include our elections - as @edwardlucas.bsky.social argues those who want to damage our democracy are as likely to use electoral interference as bombs. An ambitious Elections Bill must urgently close the gaping loopholes in our defences.

www.thetimes.com/article/e280...

National defence must include our elections

It is time to tackle the misinformation and murky political funding that damage democracy

www.thetimes.com

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Reposted by Edward Lucas

John Peters @johnthejack.bsky.social · Jun 5

Under our flimsy rules, any foreign kleptocrat or broligarch can promote such causes, shrouded in anonymity, so long as they do so outside an election period and without supporting a specific party or candidate.
(£) www.thetimes.com/comment/colu...
By @edwardlucas.bsky.social

National defence must include our elections

It is time to tackle the misinformation and murky political funding that damage democracy

www.thetimes.com

2 8

Reposted by Edward Lucas

ICDS Tallinn @icds-tallinn.bsky.social · May 16

"The one thing you need to know about the Nordic Baltic region plus Poland is it has a GDP larger than Russia" — @edwardlucas.bsky.social, Senior Advisor at Center for European Policy Analysis @cepa.org

#LennartMeriConference

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Reposted by Edward Lucas

Center for European Policy Analysis @cepa.org · May 17

"Amid the media fireworks of the tariff war, long-term strategic considerations are absent. By contrast, Putin does have a plan. Befriend Trump. Split the European Union. Wreak havoc. Wear down Ukraine. So far, it’s working." @edwardlucas.bsky.social

Tone-Deaf: Nobody’s Dancing

The US and Europeans alike are failing to meet Russia’s strategic challenge. Seize Russian assets. Rush help to Ukraine. And rearm—fast.

cepa.org

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Reposted by Edward Lucas

Center for European Policy Analysis @cepa.org · May 11

"We have seen a new kind of warfare unfold in Ukraine, but most countries have barely started to devote the time and money needed to get ready to fight the new way." @edwardlucas.bsky.social

Rain (Fire) on the Parade

The 80th-anniversary celebrations of victory in Europe after World War Two will be disappointing—for Russia.

buff.ly

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Reposted by Edward Lucas

Tobias Forsnacke @forsno.bsky.social · May 9

Good interview with @edwardlucas.bsky.social on Times Radio. Completely agree that we’re not seeing an adequate sense of urgency regarding rearmament in Europe, and that we might not be as lucky this time around.

youtu.be/-oMHPtYb9jw?...

Trump and Vance ominously hint at severing ties with 'enemy' Europe | Edward Lucas

YouTube video by Times Radio

youtu.be

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Reposted by Edward Lucas

Shashank Joshi @shashj.bsky.social · Apr 24

Our cover this week.

1.3K 11K 49K

Edward Lucas @edwardlucas.bsky.social · Apr 23

my latest for @foreignpolicy foreignpolicy.com/2025/04/23/u...

America Will Miss Europe’s Dependence When It’s Gone

European self-reliance for security will cost U.S. jobs, profits, and influence.

foreignpolicy.com

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Reposted by Edward Lucas

Center for European Policy Analysis @cepa.org · Apr 19

“The EU leadership and the CCP are jointly championing free trade, and denouncing the disruption caused by Trumpian tergiversation on tariffs.” @edwardlucas.bsky.social

China First? No Thanks

In the past years, attitudes to China in the US and allies seemed to be converging. Transatlantic angst now clouds Europe’s strategic choice.

buff.ly

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