Ensembleator
@ensembleator.bsky.social
Semi-retired meteorologist, living in lovely #YVR since 1994. I often write forecasts using abbreviations due to social media character limits. Dnt wry, U wll gt it.
Not Steve Irwin - he was got by a stingray. Everything else: yes.
December 3, 2025 at 2:12 PM
Not Steve Irwin - he was got by a stingray. Everything else: yes.
It is nice to see the bigger picture. On the W coast and AK one often needs to look to E and SE Asia to see what's coming
December 2, 2025 at 3:16 PM
It is nice to see the bigger picture. On the W coast and AK one often needs to look to E and SE Asia to see what's coming
I thought I saw some chunky rain ydy early PM in a briefly very heavy shower but did not see any ice crystals on parked car windshields. Felt very cold tho!
December 2, 2025 at 2:11 PM
I thought I saw some chunky rain ydy early PM in a briefly very heavy shower but did not see any ice crystals on parked car windshields. Felt very cold tho!
"as advertised" :) the usual caveat and well earned.
December 1, 2025 at 5:04 PM
"as advertised" :) the usual caveat and well earned.
Ensemble did a pretty good job with the weekend a week in advance...more-or-less worked out as advertised: coolish and dry with some sun
December 1, 2025 at 4:27 PM
Ensemble did a pretty good job with the weekend a week in advance...more-or-less worked out as advertised: coolish and dry with some sun
I'll be keeping an eye on it but I don't buy the NCEP solution.
December 1, 2025 at 1:25 AM
I'll be keeping an eye on it but I don't buy the NCEP solution.
CMC and Euro Ensemble don't buy the trough in the west on Dec 10, 11...Anything more than 5 days out is fantasy football.
November 30, 2025 at 3:02 PM
CMC and Euro Ensemble don't buy the trough in the west on Dec 10, 11...Anything more than 5 days out is fantasy football.
This week looks on the dry side although the 2nd week of December looks rather wet, following CFSv2 and the Canadian. Beyond that 🤷
November 30, 2025 at 1:53 PM
This week looks on the dry side although the 2nd week of December looks rather wet, following CFSv2 and the Canadian. Beyond that 🤷
Incidentally flow is pretty light ovr the City and Vly N of the Fraser (hence the fog patches) but there's pretty decent outflow eastern Vly and S of the Fraser this AM. Howe Sound too (G 70 km/h)
November 28, 2025 at 2:23 PM
Incidentally flow is pretty light ovr the City and Vly N of the Fraser (hence the fog patches) but there's pretty decent outflow eastern Vly and S of the Fraser this AM. Howe Sound too (G 70 km/h)
Have to see how the fcst circulation aloft trends thru the week. Longer range ensembles do indicate increasing potential for broad upr troughing/cold air expanding over all of Srn Canada late nxt wk. But it comes w/a W flow aloft over BC, and so hard to get vry cold air to the outer coast.
November 27, 2025 at 2:51 PM
Have to see how the fcst circulation aloft trends thru the week. Longer range ensembles do indicate increasing potential for broad upr troughing/cold air expanding over all of Srn Canada late nxt wk. But it comes w/a W flow aloft over BC, and so hard to get vry cold air to the outer coast.