European Strategic Analysis
@eustrat.bsky.social
Open to share strategic insights and analysis from a European perspective
Reposted by European Strategic Analysis
The European Union is considering proposals that would make much greater use of Russia’s immobilized reserves to finance Ukraine. A decision could come in December, when the European Council meets.
Read analysis by Brad Setser, an expert on global trade and capital flows:
Read analysis by Brad Setser, an expert on global trade and capital flows:
www.cfr.org
November 29, 2025 at 9:13 PM
The European Union is considering proposals that would make much greater use of Russia’s immobilized reserves to finance Ukraine. A decision could come in December, when the European Council meets.
Read analysis by Brad Setser, an expert on global trade and capital flows:
Read analysis by Brad Setser, an expert on global trade and capital flows:
Reposted by European Strategic Analysis
The leaked call not only exposed Witkoff’s alignment with Russian messaging but also clarified the origins of the controversial 28-point peace proposal Witkoff had circulated inside the administration, Former US Ambassador to Ukraine William Taylor told Kyiv Post.
www.kyivpost.com/post/65065
www.kyivpost.com/post/65065
Witkoff’s Credibility ‘Absolutely’ Shot, Ex-Ambassador Says, but Urges Ukraine to Stay in Talks
Former US Ambassador to Ukraine tells Kyiv Post Trump must ‘provide teeth for talks’ to pressure Putin ahead of envoy’s Moscow visit
www.kyivpost.com
November 27, 2025 at 8:58 AM
The leaked call not only exposed Witkoff’s alignment with Russian messaging but also clarified the origins of the controversial 28-point peace proposal Witkoff had circulated inside the administration, Former US Ambassador to Ukraine William Taylor told Kyiv Post.
www.kyivpost.com/post/65065
www.kyivpost.com/post/65065
Reposted by European Strategic Analysis
The EU will accelerate its plan to use frozen Russian state assets to underpin a €140 billion loan to Ukraine, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said today.
EU will speed up Ukraine’s €140B loan, vows von der Leyen
The financial scheme to aid Kyiv takes on new urgency as Russia and U.S. discuss conflict endgame.
www.politico.eu
November 26, 2025 at 9:53 AM
The EU will accelerate its plan to use frozen Russian state assets to underpin a €140 billion loan to Ukraine, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said today.
Reposted by European Strategic Analysis
⚡️ Europe says pressure is the only language Moscow understands.
EU chief Ursula von der Leyen told reporters that Europe will keep backing Ukraine in upcoming talks and push to use frozen Russian assets to fund Kyiv.
EU chief Ursula von der Leyen told reporters that Europe will keep backing Ukraine in upcoming talks and push to use frozen Russian assets to fund Kyiv.
November 25, 2025 at 10:09 PM
⚡️ Europe says pressure is the only language Moscow understands.
EU chief Ursula von der Leyen told reporters that Europe will keep backing Ukraine in upcoming talks and push to use frozen Russian assets to fund Kyiv.
EU chief Ursula von der Leyen told reporters that Europe will keep backing Ukraine in upcoming talks and push to use frozen Russian assets to fund Kyiv.
Reposted by European Strategic Analysis
The Putin–Trump pact is being sold as diplomacy, but Marko Mihkelson argues it follows the logic of appeasement: Ukraine gives up its sovereignty while Russia keeps the gains of aggression.
Europe cannot afford this illusion of peace.
Europe cannot afford this illusion of peace.
Why Europe cannot afford the illusion of peace
Call it what it is: the Putin–Trump plan demands Ukraine’s capitulation, not peace.
euromaidanpress.com
November 24, 2025 at 2:08 PM
The Putin–Trump pact is being sold as diplomacy, but Marko Mihkelson argues it follows the logic of appeasement: Ukraine gives up its sovereignty while Russia keeps the gains of aggression.
Europe cannot afford this illusion of peace.
Europe cannot afford this illusion of peace.
Reposted by European Strategic Analysis
"Manifest expansionist ambitions of the three most powerful countries in the world — China, the United States, and Russia — are undermining the current world order,” writes Andreas Umland, an analyst at the Stockholm Centre for Eastern European Studies (SCEEUS), in this op-ed.
When superpowers break the rules
Manifest expansionist ambitions of the three most powerful countries in the world — China, the United States, and Russia — are undermining the current world order.
Since its founding, the People's Re...
kyivindependent.com
November 22, 2025 at 4:17 PM
"Manifest expansionist ambitions of the three most powerful countries in the world — China, the United States, and Russia — are undermining the current world order,” writes Andreas Umland, an analyst at the Stockholm Centre for Eastern European Studies (SCEEUS), in this op-ed.
Reposted by European Strategic Analysis
Volodymyr Zelensky has struck a deal to strengthen Ukraine’s winter energy reserves. Europe should now help Kyiv diversify its imports and guard its domestic gas fields with a robust air defence, writes @alberto-rizzi.bsky.social @ecfrpower.bsky.social
https://bit.ly/4pbu1vQ
https://bit.ly/4pbu1vQ
Shield the fields: How Europe can support Ukraine through a dark winter
Volodymyr Zelensky has struck a deal to strengthen Ukraine’s winter energy reserves. Europe should now help Kyiv diversify its imports and guard its domestic gas fields with a robust air defence…
bit.ly
November 22, 2025 at 9:37 AM
Volodymyr Zelensky has struck a deal to strengthen Ukraine’s winter energy reserves. Europe should now help Kyiv diversify its imports and guard its domestic gas fields with a robust air defence, writes @alberto-rizzi.bsky.social @ecfrpower.bsky.social
https://bit.ly/4pbu1vQ
https://bit.ly/4pbu1vQ
I think russian terrorists are pushing to close the war now at favourable conditions using their american and european friends and traitors for a single simple reason: they are losing this war!Europe should stand its ground and fight back! Good willing People in America should do the same
November 22, 2025 at 8:32 AM
I think russian terrorists are pushing to close the war now at favourable conditions using their american and european friends and traitors for a single simple reason: they are losing this war!Europe should stand its ground and fight back! Good willing People in America should do the same
united states of america lost any moral right to guide the Free World. Europe and other liberal countries around the world have to know that are alone now to confront either plain dictatorships like china or iliberal countries like usa
November 21, 2025 at 5:02 PM
united states of america lost any moral right to guide the Free World. Europe and other liberal countries around the world have to know that are alone now to confront either plain dictatorships like china or iliberal countries like usa
Reposted by European Strategic Analysis
German Chancellor Friedrich Merz: “Ukraine can count on us. Together with Macron and Starmer, I reaffirmed our full support to Zelensky. We welcome the US commitment to Ukraine’s sovereignty, but the current contact line must remain the foundation for any negotiations.”
November 21, 2025 at 3:39 PM
German Chancellor Friedrich Merz: “Ukraine can count on us. Together with Macron and Starmer, I reaffirmed our full support to Zelensky. We welcome the US commitment to Ukraine’s sovereignty, but the current contact line must remain the foundation for any negotiations.”
Reposted by European Strategic Analysis
European and Ukrainian officials reject Trump’s 28-point proposal, calling it one-sided and tailored to satisfy Putin. The plan demands Ukraine give up territory, slash its military, and welcome Russia back into global institutions, all while European allies were shut out of the drafting process.
November 21, 2025 at 7:19 AM
European and Ukrainian officials reject Trump’s 28-point proposal, calling it one-sided and tailored to satisfy Putin. The plan demands Ukraine give up territory, slash its military, and welcome Russia back into global institutions, all while European allies were shut out of the drafting process.
Reposted by European Strategic Analysis
We have a US administration trying to bully Ukrainians into accepting Russia’s proposal that their sovereignty be undone. Aside from the naked injustice of this, there are five basic practical reasons why it would make the world far more dangerous.
(video)
snyder.substack.com/p/the-putin-...
(video)
snyder.substack.com/p/the-putin-...
The Putin-Witkoff Plan Worsens the War
Five Reasons the US should not help Russia subjugate Ukraine
snyder.substack.com
November 20, 2025 at 11:02 PM
We have a US administration trying to bully Ukrainians into accepting Russia’s proposal that their sovereignty be undone. Aside from the naked injustice of this, there are five basic practical reasons why it would make the world far more dangerous.
(video)
snyder.substack.com/p/the-putin-...
(video)
snyder.substack.com/p/the-putin-...
Reposted by European Strategic Analysis
The reported 28-point “peace plan” would amount to Ukraine’s capitulation and set the stage for renewed Russian aggression “in exchange for nothing,” the Institute for the Study of War said.
Proposed Witkoff peace plan would help Russia gear up for another strike and repeats its 2022 demands — ISW
The so-called 28-point “peace plan” reportedly drafted by U.S. and Russian officials would amount to Ukraine’s full capitulation, create conditions for renewed Russian aggression, and strip Ukraine of...
english.nv.ua
November 20, 2025 at 11:13 AM
The reported 28-point “peace plan” would amount to Ukraine’s capitulation and set the stage for renewed Russian aggression “in exchange for nothing,” the Institute for the Study of War said.
Reposted by European Strategic Analysis
The CCP is caught in a trap of its own making.
Has China’s Power Peaked in Asia?
Beijing finds itself in a precarious geopolitical position.
foreignpolicy.com
November 17, 2025 at 10:30 PM
The CCP is caught in a trap of its own making.
Reposted by European Strategic Analysis
‘Indo-Pacific begins in Ukraine’ – US think tank head says trans-Siberian strike rewrites global strategy.
www.kyivpost.com/post/64318
www.kyivpost.com/post/64318
‘Indo-Pacific Begins in Ukraine’ – US Think Tank Head Says Trans-Siberian Strike Rewrites Global Strategy
Longtime Russia strategist Glen Howard argues Kyiv’s disruption of the North Korean arms route decisively proves the connectivity of the Europe and Indo-Pacific theaters.
www.kyivpost.com
November 17, 2025 at 6:26 AM
‘Indo-Pacific begins in Ukraine’ – US think tank head says trans-Siberian strike rewrites global strategy.
www.kyivpost.com/post/64318
www.kyivpost.com/post/64318
Reposted by European Strategic Analysis
🇪🇺 The European Commission, led by Ursula von der Leyen, is creating a new intelligence unit to better combine information from EU national spy agencies, - FT
November 11, 2025 at 9:45 AM
🇪🇺 The European Commission, led by Ursula von der Leyen, is creating a new intelligence unit to better combine information from EU national spy agencies, - FT
Reposted by European Strategic Analysis
Ukraine has the potential to be one of the most important security providers for the rest of Europe, especially as the United States withdraws from the continent, writes Fredrik Wesslau.
To Deter Russia, Europe Needs Ukraine
A Ukraine-Baltics defense pact would bring Kyiv into Europe’s security architecture.
foreignpolicy.com
November 1, 2025 at 7:30 PM
Ukraine has the potential to be one of the most important security providers for the rest of Europe, especially as the United States withdraws from the continent, writes Fredrik Wesslau.
Reposted by European Strategic Analysis
The European Commission will present a new plan to break the EU's dependencies on China for critical raw materials, President Ursula von der Leyen announced today.
Von der Leyen touts new plan to break ties with China on critical materials
European Commission chief warns of “clear acceleration and escalation in the way interdependencies are leveraged and weaponized.”
www.politico.eu
October 25, 2025 at 11:21 AM
The European Commission will present a new plan to break the EU's dependencies on China for critical raw materials, President Ursula von der Leyen announced today.
Reposted by European Strategic Analysis
⚡️ EU to reportedly restrict Russian diplomats' travel amid espionage surge.
The measure follows a surge in hybrid operations targeting Ukraine's partners in the EU and NATO, including arson, cyberattacks, infrastructure sabotage, and drone incursions.
The measure follows a surge in hybrid operations targeting Ukraine's partners in the EU and NATO, including arson, cyberattacks, infrastructure sabotage, and drone incursions.
EU to reportedly restrict Russian diplomats' travel amid espionage surge
The measure follows a surge in hybrid operations targeting Ukraine's partners in the EU and NATO, including arson, cyberattacks, infrastructure sabotage, and drone incursions.
kyivindependent.com
October 7, 2025 at 8:03 AM
⚡️ EU to reportedly restrict Russian diplomats' travel amid espionage surge.
The measure follows a surge in hybrid operations targeting Ukraine's partners in the EU and NATO, including arson, cyberattacks, infrastructure sabotage, and drone incursions.
The measure follows a surge in hybrid operations targeting Ukraine's partners in the EU and NATO, including arson, cyberattacks, infrastructure sabotage, and drone incursions.
Reposted by European Strategic Analysis
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has eroded most of Moscow’s influence among the states that emerged from the collapse of the Soviet empire, write Adrian Karatnycky and Alexander J. Motyl.
From Moldova to Africa, Russia’s Power Is Waning
The defeat of Moscow-friendly parties in the Moldovan election is just the latest of many setbacks.
foreignpolicy.com
October 4, 2025 at 1:30 AM
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has eroded most of Moscow’s influence among the states that emerged from the collapse of the Soviet empire, write Adrian Karatnycky and Alexander J. Motyl.
Reposted by European Strategic Analysis
Following today’s summit of EU leaders, Danish PM Mette Frederiksen didn't mince her words when speaking to reporters about increasing tensions with Russia.
Follow the press conference live here: ow.ly/n1oC50X5gyb
Follow the press conference live here: ow.ly/n1oC50X5gyb
October 1, 2025 at 7:52 PM
Following today’s summit of EU leaders, Danish PM Mette Frederiksen didn't mince her words when speaking to reporters about increasing tensions with Russia.
Follow the press conference live here: ow.ly/n1oC50X5gyb
Follow the press conference live here: ow.ly/n1oC50X5gyb
Reposted by European Strategic Analysis
Even Moscow’s economists see it: Russian oil is dying.
Their projections expect output to fall by over 20% by 2030, and not because of sanctions alone, because they lack the technology to rebuild. Western tools were the backbone of their oil machine. Without them, it’s overdrive without fuel.
Their projections expect output to fall by over 20% by 2030, and not because of sanctions alone, because they lack the technology to rebuild. Western tools were the backbone of their oil machine. Without them, it’s overdrive without fuel.
Russia’s own forecast shows oil output collapsing by 2030
Moscow’s economic projections reveal that the energy sector can’t recover without Western technology.
euromaidanpress.com
September 30, 2025 at 3:39 PM
Even Moscow’s economists see it: Russian oil is dying.
Their projections expect output to fall by over 20% by 2030, and not because of sanctions alone, because they lack the technology to rebuild. Western tools were the backbone of their oil machine. Without them, it’s overdrive without fuel.
Their projections expect output to fall by over 20% by 2030, and not because of sanctions alone, because they lack the technology to rebuild. Western tools were the backbone of their oil machine. Without them, it’s overdrive without fuel.
Reposted by European Strategic Analysis
⚡️EU to allocate over $2 billion for drones for Ukraine, von der Leyen says.
"This allows Ukraine to scale up and to use its full capacity. And of course, it will also allow the EU to benefit from this technology," Ursula von der Leyen said.
"This allows Ukraine to scale up and to use its full capacity. And of course, it will also allow the EU to benefit from this technology," Ursula von der Leyen said.
EU to allocate over $2 billion for drones for Ukraine, von der Leyen says
"This allows Ukraine to scale up and to use its full capacity. And of course, it will also allow the EU to benefit from this technology," Ursula von der Leyen said.
kyivindependent.com
September 30, 2025 at 10:50 AM
⚡️EU to allocate over $2 billion for drones for Ukraine, von der Leyen says.
"This allows Ukraine to scale up and to use its full capacity. And of course, it will also allow the EU to benefit from this technology," Ursula von der Leyen said.
"This allows Ukraine to scale up and to use its full capacity. And of course, it will also allow the EU to benefit from this technology," Ursula von der Leyen said.
Reposted by European Strategic Analysis
Pro-European PAS party led by President Maia Sandu has won Moldova’s parliamentary elections with ~50% of votes, securing an absolute majority. The pro-Russian Patriotic Bloc came second with 24 percent. The elections were seen as a choice between closer EU integration or renewed Russian influence.
September 29, 2025 at 5:43 AM
Pro-European PAS party led by President Maia Sandu has won Moldova’s parliamentary elections with ~50% of votes, securing an absolute majority. The pro-Russian Patriotic Bloc came second with 24 percent. The elections were seen as a choice between closer EU integration or renewed Russian influence.