EV Curve Futurist
@evcurvefuturist.com
Chris Meder — Energy Transition Optimist | #Bettrification
⚡ From electrification to software, automation & intelligence
🔋 Solar • Wind • Batteries • BEV • BESS • AI • PF
🌍 Climate, disruption, lithium, the next industrial era
evcurvefuturist.com
⚡ From electrification to software, automation & intelligence
🔋 Solar • Wind • Batteries • BEV • BESS • AI • PF
🌍 Climate, disruption, lithium, the next industrial era
evcurvefuturist.com
Not really a “bet” on my side — I modelled it using my own S-curve disruption framework. I had 25.1m for 2026 and I’m sticking with it. The curve I built 5 years ago has tracked within ~100k the last few years. Adoption is compounding globally. Trump can slow the US, not the transition. ROW rocking.
January 14, 2026 at 4:14 PM
Not really a “bet” on my side — I modelled it using my own S-curve disruption framework. I had 25.1m for 2026 and I’m sticking with it. The curve I built 5 years ago has tracked within ~100k the last few years. Adoption is compounding globally. Trump can slow the US, not the transition. ROW rocking.
Let’s go Polska!
January 9, 2026 at 10:22 PM
Let’s go Polska!
Early Leafs aged like milk. Nissan cheaped out with passive cooling for years. Yes, they had a BMS—but without thermal control it couldn’t stop heat damage. Tesla had liquid cooling from 2012–14. Nissan only fixed it with Ariya in 2022. Too late. Leaf torched their EV credibility. I wrote about it..
The Second-Hand EV Effect - EV Curve Futurist
Why falling EV resale prices aren’t failure. How durability, safety, and the used market turn electric vehicles into an inevitable mass-adoption technology.
evcurvefuturist.com
January 9, 2026 at 10:13 PM
Early Leafs aged like milk. Nissan cheaped out with passive cooling for years. Yes, they had a BMS—but without thermal control it couldn’t stop heat damage. Tesla had liquid cooling from 2012–14. Nissan only fixed it with Ariya in 2022. Too late. Leaf torched their EV credibility. I wrote about it..
Saying both would be a fair bet :)
January 9, 2026 at 7:02 AM
Saying both would be a fair bet :)
We should know soon once the full CPCA breakdown drops — but you’re absolutely right. BEVs are clearly outpacing PHEVs/EREVs, and the real story will be just how steep the ICE decline has become. Growth is impressive, but displacement is the signal.
January 8, 2026 at 9:41 AM
We should know soon once the full CPCA breakdown drops — but you’re absolutely right. BEVs are clearly outpacing PHEVs/EREVs, and the real story will be just how steep the ICE decline has become. Growth is impressive, but displacement is the signal.