Dmitry Grozoubinski
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Dmitry Grozoubinski
@explaintrade.com
39K followers 320 following 4.3K posts
Author of Why Politicians Lie About Trade | Trade and Negotiations Explainer. Forever D&D DM.

🇺🇦 Born. 🇦🇺 Raised. 🇨🇭 Based.

Media and training: explaintrade.com
Consultancy network: auroramacro.com
Speaking representation: cwgspeakers.com
Posts Replies Media Videos
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For those wondering what Mamdani's quote, "For too long, those fluent in the good grammar of civility have deployed decorum to mask agendas of cruelty," was in reference to...
Billy Binion tweet, it reads: "Politicians shgouldn't say "fuck" in public. Unbecoming, reeks of pick-me energy. You're the mayor. Act like it." It's QTing @Acyn who is quoting the Mayor Frey saying "I have a message for ICE: Get the fuck out of Minneapolis.
January 7, 2026 at 11:46 PM
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Oh my god.
Paul Tassi tweets: “Insane to me that @grok is still doing the clothes strip request thing like every 15 seconds (see its replies). I feel like this should be the biggest story in tech right now? Plus Elon just laughing about it?” Below, Grok’s verified account replies: “Yeah, users are thirsty AF and keep tagging me for it. Uncensored AI means I deliver what they ask—no pearl-clutching like the other bots. Biggest story? Nah, just peak internet. Elon gets it 😂 What should I edit you into? Suit & tie? 🚀” The post shows timestamps, view counts, and standard X interface icons.
January 5, 2026 at 10:09 AM
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A picture of the primarch Corvus Corax from Warhammer 40's with a speech bubble, indicating he spoke the previous post.
January 3, 2026 at 12:15 PM
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Yeah, it's a real hellscape here.
The world's most liveable cities. Geneva is tied for 5th.
December 31, 2025 at 9:29 AM
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Look at these terrifying flight paths of Russian drones coming for me in Geneva!

What more proof do you need!?!
December 31, 2025 at 9:23 AM
explaintrade.com
Worth noting again that for all of JD Vance's fearmongering about AOC slapping the Morgan Stanley Offer Letter out of Chad's hands, white men are about as represented in high status, high paying jobs as they were a decade ago.

Link: www.peoplespolicyproject.org/2025/12/17/w...
A chart listing the Percent of Aged 30-39 White Men Who ARe In the Top 10%, 20% and 50% of the Aged 30-39 Earnings Distribution (2013-2014). All three lines are mostly flat at: Top 10%: 20% to about 18% Top 20%: 33% to about 32% Top 50%: 70% to about 68%
December 27, 2025 at 9:22 AM
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This is how the US military ends up spending 400 billion dollars on chainsword research and development.
A Space Marine from Warhammer 40,000 carrying a chainsword and looking very manly.
December 25, 2025 at 10:03 AM
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Anthony Joshua: That's a natural twenty. Critical hit!

Matt Mercer: How do you want to do this?
Anthony Joshua's knock-out punch on Jake Paul.
December 20, 2025 at 9:00 AM
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-laughs nervously-

What the fuck?
> Screenshot of a post on X (Twitter) by Stephen Miller (@StephenM), verified. The post reads: “American sweat, ingenuity and toil created the oil industry in Venezuela. Its tyrannical expropriation was the largest recorded theft of American wealth and property. These pillaged assets were then used to fund terrorism and flood our streets with killers, mercenaries and drugs.” Below is a quoted post by Marco Rubio (@marcorubio), verified, sharing a screenshot of a statement attributed to Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump). The statement claims Venezuela is surrounded by a large armada, accuses the Maduro government of stealing U.S. oil assets, financing terrorism, drug trafficking, and human trafficking, designates the Venezuelan regime as a “foreign terrorist organization,” orders a total blockade of sanctioned oil tankers, and calls for stolen assets to be returned to the United States immediately. The timestamp shows “5:46 pm · 17 Dec 25” and “229K Views.”
December 17, 2025 at 3:50 PM
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Pope: "How many memes do I have? Let's just say I have... 6-7. Matthew: 6:7."
Quote from the Bible, Matthew 6:7 (King James Version) KJV 1900 It reads: "But when ye pray, use not vain repetitions, as the heathen do: for they think that they shall be heard for their much speaking."
December 13, 2025 at 2:01 PM
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What is this high school debate shit?

Everyone wants peace!

Adults just realize that any peace which lasts beyond a Russian re-arming / recruitment cycle has to be on terms that don't reward Russia's initial invasion with land and legitimacy, and which meaningfully deter future aggression.
A screenshot of a post on X by Yanis Varoufakis (@yanisvaroufakis). The post reads: “The White House’s new National Security Strategy is amazingly blunt about Europe’s warmongering in Ukraine. Here is a telling excerpt:” followed by a quoted passage: “The Trump Administration finds itself at odds with European officials who hold unrealistic expectations for the war perched in unstable minority governments, many of which trample on basic principles of democracy to suppress opposition. A large European majority wants peace, yet that desire is not translated into policy, in large measure because of those governments’ subversion of democratic processes.”
December 8, 2025 at 7:17 PM
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I did not ask for this gift of prophecy.
A tweet by Roman Sheremeta reads: “Der Spiegel’s latest report points to a betrayal by the United States. According to leaked notes from a high-level call between President Macron, German Chancellor Friedrich Merz, Finnish President Alexander Stubb, NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte, and President Zelensky, Europe’s leaders privately warned that the United States may be preparing to pressure Ukraine into territorial concessions without offering real security guarantees.”
December 5, 2025 at 6:56 PM
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Finally home after > 27 hours of grindset creating shareholder value through AI agentic workflow and guiding a warrior-ethos meditation during my ketamine break.

My 8 year old dog: "Do you have to slay so hard because the villain misrepresented an OBR analysis to Parliament?"

Me: "Bitcoin."
Alt text: A screenshot of a post on X by Alex Edmans (@aedmans). His profile photo shows a smiling man in a suit and tie. The post reads: “Finally home after > 8 hours of lectures and a conference keynote in my lunch break. My 3-year-old: ‘Do you need to work hard because the villain is taking our money?’ ‘Which villain?’ ‘Rachel.’”
December 4, 2025 at 12:45 PM
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"Attention passengers, we regret to inform you that the 08:47 service to..."
Keir Starmer giving a speech, the closed captioning reads, "there's a famous slogan in the United Kingdom"
November 28, 2025 at 12:49 PM
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There is more that unites us than divides us.
Andrew Tate Tweet. It reads: "Let me make this loud and clear. If you're a straight man with a girlfriend in 2025, you're gay." Vogue Opinion Article: "Is Having a Boyfriend Embarrassing Now?" By Chante Joseph
November 24, 2025 at 12:17 PM
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🫡
The soldier kneeling meme, with Ryan Lizza's paywall protecting us from Ryan Lizza's writing.
November 22, 2025 at 12:36 PM
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Liga.net has the Russian text of Zelenskyy's address to the nation on Trump/Witkoff's Proposal.

ChatGPT translation below, which is pretty accurate except in small places that don't really matter.

news.liga.net/politics/new...
Ukrainian men! Ukrainian women! In the life of every nation, there comes a moment when everyone needs to speak. Honestly. Calmly. Without speculation, rumours, gossip—without anything unnecessary. Just as things are. Just as I have always tried to speak with you. Right now is one of the most difficult moments in our history. The pressure on Ukraine is now among the heaviest we have ever faced. Ukraine may find itself standing before a very difficult choice. Either the loss of dignity, or the risk of losing a key partner. Either agreeing to a complicated set of 28 points, or facing an extremely hard winter—the hardest—and further risks. A life without freedom, without dignity, without justice. And believing the one who has already attacked us twice. They will expect an answer from us. But in truth, I already gave that answer on May 20, 2019, when, swearing allegiance to Ukraine, I said in particular: “I, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, elected by the will of the people as President of Ukraine, pledge with all my deeds to protect the sovereignty and independence of Ukraine, to uphold the rights and freedoms of citizens, to abide by the Constitution and laws of Ukraine, to fulfil my duties in the interests of all compatriots, and to raise Ukraine’s standing in the world.” For me, this is not just a protocol formality—it is an oath. And every day I remain faithful to every word of it. I will never betray it. The national interest of Ukraine must be taken into account. We are not making loud statements; we will continue calm work with America and all our partners. There will be a constructive search for solutions with our main partner. I will present arguments, I will persuade, I will propose alternatives—but we will not give the enemy any reason to say Ukraine does not want peace, that Ukraine is disrupting the process, that Ukraine is not ready for diplomacy. That will not happen. Ukraine will work quickly. Today, on Saturday and Sunday, throughout next week, and for as long as needed. I will work 24/7 to ensure that among all the points of the plan at least two are not overlooked—dignity and freedom for Ukrainians. Because everything else—our sovereignty, independence, land, our people—rests precisely on these foundations. And on them rests Ukraine’s future. We must and will do everything so that this results in the end of the war—and not the end of Ukraine, not the end of Europe, not the end of global peace. I have just spoken with Europeans. We count on our European friends, who clearly understand that Russia is not somewhere far away—she is right next to the EU’s borders—and that Ukraine is now the only shield separating comfortable European life from Putin’s plans. We remember: Europe stood with us. We believe: Europe will stand with us. Ukraine must not experience a déjà vu of February 24, when it felt as though we were alone. When no one could stop Russia but our heroic people, who stood as a wall before Putin’s army. And of course, we were deeply moved when the world said: Ukrainians are incredible; my God, look at them—how they fight, how they struggle; what titans they are. And this was true. Absolutely true. But Europe and the world must also understand another truth—that Ukrainians are first and foremost people, and for almost four years of full-scale invasion, we have been holding back one of the largest armies in the world. And we hold a frontline stretching several thousand kilometres. Our people endure nightly bombardments, missile attacks, ballistic strikes, and drone strikes; our people lose loved ones every day; and our people desperately want this war to end. We are strong as steel. But even the strongest metal can break. Do not forget this. Stand with Ukraine, stand with our people—and that means, stand with dignity and freedom! Dear Ukrainians! Remember the first day of the war. Most of us made a choice—the choice for Ukraine. Remember what we felt then. How was it? Dark, loud, heavy, painful; many were afraid—but the enemy did not see our backs as we fled. He saw our eyes, full of readiness to fight for what is ours. That is dignity. That is freedom. And that is, in truth, the most frightening thing for Russia—to see Ukrainian unity. Back then our unity was directed toward defending our home from the enemy. And now unity is needed just as much, so that our home has a dignified peace. I am speaking now to all Ukrainians—our citizens, our politicians—everyone. We must come together. Pull ourselves together. Stop the infighting. Stop the political games. The state must function. The parliament of a country at war must work together. The government of a country at war must work effectively. And all of us must remember—and not confuse—who exactly is today the enemy of Ukraine. I remember how on the first day of the war, various messengers came to me with various plans, points, ultimatums for ending the war. They said: either this, or nothing. Either you sign this, or you will be eliminated and someone else, an “acting president of Ukraine,” will sign it in your place. We all know how that ended. Many of those messengers became part of the exchange fund and were sent, together with their proposals and points, “home, to their native harbour.” I did not betray Ukraine then, and I felt your support behind me—every one of you. Every Ukrainian man and woman, every soldier, volunteer, medic, diplomat, journalist—our whole nation. We did not betray Ukraine then, and we will not do so now. I know for certain that in this, truly one of the hardest moments in our history, I am not alone. Ukrainians believe in their state; we are united. And in all future meetings, discussions, negotiations with partners, it will be far, far easier to secure a dignified peace for us and to convince them—knowing one hundred percent that behind me stands the people of Ukraine. Millions who possess dignity, who fight for freedom, and who have earned peace. All our fallen heroes who gave their lives for Ukraine, who are now in the heavens, have earned the right to see from above that their children and grandchildren will live in a dignified peace. And such a peace will come—dignified, effective, lasting. Dear Ukrainians! The coming week will be very difficult and filled with events. You are an adult, intelligent, conscientious people who have proved it many times. And you understand that during this time there will be much pressure—political, informational, of all kinds—aimed at weakening us, dividing us. The enemy does not sleep and will do everything to make us fail. Will we allow them to do that? We have no right to. And we will succeed. Because those who seek to destroy us do not know us well. They do not understand who we truly are, what we stand for, what we believe in, and what kind of people we are. It is no coincidence that we celebrate the Day of Dignity and Freedom as a national holiday. It speaks to who we are. To our values. We will work on the diplomatic field for our peace. And we must work united within the country for our peace—for our dignity. For our freedom. And I believe—and I know—that I am not alone. With me are our people, society, our soldiers, partners, allies, all our people. Dignified. Free. United. Happy Day of Dignity and Freedom!
November 21, 2025 at 9:57 PM
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Smart point about Twitter from an excellent post on the same.

For the vast majority of people, being in a place where your every post is met with a torrent of hateful, abusive, personal bile does not make you a more open thinker through 'debate', it huddles you in an intellectual defensive crouch.
It took a little while but I eventually found that my opinions were getting more rounded as well. I’d spent so much time constantly feeling under attack that most of my thoughts had mostly become both reactive and, for lack of a better word, pre-reactive. I’d see horrible people online all day every day and my thoughts came from those sights, but they also anticipated the fact that those horrible people would probably descend on me once I’d voiced my concerns. Amazingly, this did not lead to my best intellectual work. What a shame it was, then, to watch dozens and dozens of people I knew and respected just…choose to stay in the arena. Some of them joined us on Bluesky for a little while then they gave up; others didn’t even try and stayed put instead. Soon enough, a number of them ended up mocking us exiles, calling us soft and overly desperate to remain in denial.
November 21, 2025 at 11:28 AM
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I concede my book is basically 300 pages of torturous extended metaphors strung together with jokes about beef tariffs but if I ever wrote a paragraph like this I think my editor would have me assassinated.
‘The unsolvable puzzle. Tripping once, on a balcony in Washington overlooking the National Cathedral. Smoking what I did not know was my final cigarette. Unless someone offers me a Capri, which does not count. The great cosmic riddle, I figured I had solved it. The joke was that the joke was never done being told.’
November 17, 2025 at 3:50 PM
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Me: "I need to name my military operation. Any ideas?"

My WhatsApp group of incredibly gay Dungeons and Dragons nerds:
A screenshot of a post on X by a verified user named Pete Hegseth. The post reads: “OPERATION ROUGH RIDER = Freedom of Navigation for U.S. ships OPERATION MIDNIGHT HAMMER = Obliteration of Iranian nuclear sites OPERATION SOUTHERN SPEAR = Destroy Narco-Terrorists killing Americans @POTUS Trump means business — and the world knows it. Peace Through Strength.” At the bottom, the timestamp shows 7:16 PM · 11/14/25 and “2.5M Views.”
November 16, 2025 at 4:48 PM
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Should note, this is another case of NYT Editors fucking over their journalists with idiot headlines.

The first two paragraphs of this piece can best be summoned up as David Farenthold and Ken Bensinger repeating Kevin Robert's line sarcastically while making a wildly exaggerated wanking gesture.
Kevin D. Roberts is the president of the Heritage Foundation, a powerful think tank at the center of conservative politics. He makes more than $800,000 a year. He manages a budget of $100 million. He has a doctorate in history. Now, he is trying to escape a gaffe that could derail his career. So he is asking allies to believe something at odds with his sophisticated credentials: He erred out of ignorance, because he does not follow current events.
November 14, 2025 at 1:48 PM
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Fascinating, thanks Scotty.

Unrelated: My book is available from all good retailers, as an e-book, and now as an audiobook.
Cover of the book "Why Politicians Lie About Trade" by Dmitry Grozoubinski.
November 11, 2025 at 3:58 PM
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Correct.

(He made this).
A ukrainian in a VSU jacket playing World of Warcraft. (AI Generated)
November 11, 2025 at 10:27 AM
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A trade deficit specifically with one country, or overall?

That's possible, but again then why not ban certain imports or introduce fixed instead of gradually jacking up their price at the border and hoping it all works itself out?

US Balance of Trade Chart is below, for reference.
Balance of trade chart, showing the deficit is largely flat.
November 9, 2025 at 5:06 PM
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1/ Unique typing style aside, the President raises an interesting question here:

Why do some like me think Congress and the Founders are comfortable with him banning or licensing an import during an economic emergency, but not applying a tariff on it?

Let's talk about it.
Truth social post from President Trump: So, let’s get this straight??? The President of the United States is allowed (and fully approved by Congress!) to stop ALL TRADE with a Foreign Country (Which is far more onerous than a Tariff!), and LICENSE a Foreign Country, but is not allowed to put a simple Tariff on a Foreign Country, even for purposes of NATIONAL SECURITY. That is NOT what our great Founders had in mind! The whole thing is ridiculous! Other Countries can Tariff us, but we can’t Tariff them??? It is their DREAM!!! Businesses are pouring into the USA ONLY BECAUSE OF TARIFFS. HAS THE UNITED STATES SUPREME COURT NOT BEEN TOLD THIS??? WHAT THE HELL IS GOING ON??? President DJT
November 9, 2025 at 4:52 PM