Dmitry Grozoubinski
@explaintrade.com
Author of Why Politicians Lie About Trade | Trade and Negotiations Explainer. Forever D&D DM.
🇺🇦 Born. 🇦🇺 Raised. 🇨🇭 Based.
Media and training: explaintrade.com
Consultancy network: auroramacro.com
Speaking representation: cwgspeakers.com
🇺🇦 Born. 🇦🇺 Raised. 🇨🇭 Based.
Media and training: explaintrade.com
Consultancy network: auroramacro.com
Speaking representation: cwgspeakers.com
Pinned
Dmitry Grozoubinski
@explaintrade.com
· Apr 28
Why Politicians Lie About Trade: ...and What You Need to Know About It
Amazon.com: Why Politicians Lie About Trade: ...and What You Need to Know About It (Audible Audio Edition): Dmitry Grozoubinski, Christopher Tester, Canbury Press Ltd: Books
www.amazon.com
The audiobook version of Why Politicians Lie About Trade seems to be out in the wild!
Read by the excellent Christopher Tester (www.christophertester.co.uk), it is delivered with more gravitas than I could have ever managed.
www.amazon.com/Why-Politici...
Read by the excellent Christopher Tester (www.christophertester.co.uk), it is delivered with more gravitas than I could have ever managed.
www.amazon.com/Why-Politici...
This is so funny.
"I'm afraid the economy now runs primarily on me and my idiot threads throwing more and more money at the Create the Torment Nexus project. We can't afford to go backwards. Blood for the Blood God. Skulls for the Skull Throne."
"I'm afraid the economy now runs primarily on me and my idiot threads throwing more and more money at the Create the Torment Nexus project. We can't afford to go backwards. Blood for the Blood God. Skulls for the Skull Throne."
One explanation for economic populism in the US is the recurring cycle of bubbles and bailouts that happens without any democratic input
November 25, 2025 at 9:21 AM
This is so funny.
"I'm afraid the economy now runs primarily on me and my idiot threads throwing more and more money at the Create the Torment Nexus project. We can't afford to go backwards. Blood for the Blood God. Skulls for the Skull Throne."
"I'm afraid the economy now runs primarily on me and my idiot threads throwing more and more money at the Create the Torment Nexus project. We can't afford to go backwards. Blood for the Blood God. Skulls for the Skull Throne."
There is more that unites us than divides us.
November 24, 2025 at 12:17 PM
There is more that unites us than divides us.
"Russia is an undefeatable juggernaut against which Ukraine could never hope to score victories. That's why it's imperative we limit Ukraine's military size so as to give Russia confidence Ukraine won't attack it."
Do these people fucking hear themselves?
Do these people fucking hear themselves?
November 24, 2025 at 9:58 AM
"Russia is an undefeatable juggernaut against which Ukraine could never hope to score victories. That's why it's imperative we limit Ukraine's military size so as to give Russia confidence Ukraine won't attack it."
Do these people fucking hear themselves?
Do these people fucking hear themselves?
It's also vastly easier and cheaper for media outlets to produce culture war content than policy stuff.
With policy, you have to find actual experts that are available and willing, then pray they're good entertaining communicators.
On culture shit, you start with a talking head and work backwards.
With policy, you have to find actual experts that are available and willing, then pray they're good entertaining communicators.
On culture shit, you start with a talking head and work backwards.
This chart (which applies even more to social media than it did to TV) lives in my head rent free.
Social media enveloping traditional media means everything and everyone is now competing in the entertainment market. Boring stuff like policy that affects millions of lives doesn’t stand a chance.
Social media enveloping traditional media means everything and everyone is now competing in the entertainment market. Boring stuff like policy that affects millions of lives doesn’t stand a chance.
November 23, 2025 at 8:37 PM
It's also vastly easier and cheaper for media outlets to produce culture war content than policy stuff.
With policy, you have to find actual experts that are available and willing, then pray they're good entertaining communicators.
On culture shit, you start with a talking head and work backwards.
With policy, you have to find actual experts that are available and willing, then pray they're good entertaining communicators.
On culture shit, you start with a talking head and work backwards.
You throw around the term 'conservative' despite the brutal murder Colonel Mustard committed with the candlestick in the conservatory?
There are some truly unhinged bits in the piece about Glasman, as to be expected when dealing with Glasman, but seriously what the actual? That's...one hell of a conflation of terminology.
November 23, 2025 at 4:30 PM
You throw around the term 'conservative' despite the brutal murder Colonel Mustard committed with the candlestick in the conservatory?
I guess the challenge here is that while this might be personally lucrative for MAGASuperFan1488 from Uganda (which fine I guess, go get that bread Grifter King), the West descending into technofascism is not going to be good for ANYONE.
Those deaths because of USAID cuts weren't in Kansas.
Those deaths because of USAID cuts weren't in Kansas.
November 23, 2025 at 1:33 PM
I guess the challenge here is that while this might be personally lucrative for MAGASuperFan1488 from Uganda (which fine I guess, go get that bread Grifter King), the West descending into technofascism is not going to be good for ANYONE.
Those deaths because of USAID cuts weren't in Kansas.
Those deaths because of USAID cuts weren't in Kansas.
I'm less confident I understand what's happening with this Peace Proposal Saga than I was three episodes into Severence season 1.
Perhaps because like in that show, several of the key protagonists appear to be operating on about half a brain.
Perhaps because like in that show, several of the key protagonists appear to be operating on about half a brain.
What the actual fuck is going on.
America put forward a nearly carbon copy version of the Russian plan for Ukrainian conquest, admitted it and backtracked, then doubles down.
America put forward a nearly carbon copy version of the Russian plan for Ukrainian conquest, admitted it and backtracked, then doubles down.
November 23, 2025 at 10:45 AM
I'm less confident I understand what's happening with this Peace Proposal Saga than I was three episodes into Severence season 1.
Perhaps because like in that show, several of the key protagonists appear to be operating on about half a brain.
Perhaps because like in that show, several of the key protagonists appear to be operating on about half a brain.
It makes a loot of sense.
The right wing grifter "voice" is easy to replicate and requires no credentials or skills beyond time, shamelessness, and cruelty.
Twitter payouts for a modestly successful account aren't enough to live off in California, but will feed a family of four in Rajasthan.
The right wing grifter "voice" is easy to replicate and requires no credentials or skills beyond time, shamelessness, and cruelty.
Twitter payouts for a modestly successful account aren't enough to live off in California, but will feed a family of four in Rajasthan.
I see a lot of Paidchecks on X didn’t realize that a whole lot of people on social media lie about their location to grift off the naïveté of the rage-addled American right.
Turns out this problem is real and it’s a thing those of us who worked on “disinformation” pointed out.
Turns out this problem is real and it’s a thing those of us who worked on “disinformation” pointed out.
November 23, 2025 at 10:04 AM
It makes a loot of sense.
The right wing grifter "voice" is easy to replicate and requires no credentials or skills beyond time, shamelessness, and cruelty.
Twitter payouts for a modestly successful account aren't enough to live off in California, but will feed a family of four in Rajasthan.
The right wing grifter "voice" is easy to replicate and requires no credentials or skills beyond time, shamelessness, and cruelty.
Twitter payouts for a modestly successful account aren't enough to live off in California, but will feed a family of four in Rajasthan.
There are undiscovered hunter gatherer tribes deep in the Amazon rainforest with a clearer and more consistent foreign policy position on the Ukraine war than the current US administration.
November 23, 2025 at 1:13 AM
There are undiscovered hunter gatherer tribes deep in the Amazon rainforest with a clearer and more consistent foreign policy position on the Ukraine war than the current US administration.
Elon Musk spending billions of dollars to buy a social network to replicate what it's like to have friends who like you, and an AI to replicate what it's like to have a supportive father who praises you, only to have both consistently turn on him is Promethean torture if Prometheus had deserved it.
November 22, 2025 at 9:52 AM
Elon Musk spending billions of dollars to buy a social network to replicate what it's like to have friends who like you, and an AI to replicate what it's like to have a supportive father who praises you, only to have both consistently turn on him is Promethean torture if Prometheus had deserved it.
Liga.net has the Russian text of Zelenskyy's address to the nation on Trump/Witkoff's Proposal.
ChatGPT translation below, which is pretty accurate except in small places that don't really matter.
news.liga.net/politics/new...
ChatGPT translation below, which is pretty accurate except in small places that don't really matter.
news.liga.net/politics/new...
November 21, 2025 at 9:57 PM
Liga.net has the Russian text of Zelenskyy's address to the nation on Trump/Witkoff's Proposal.
ChatGPT translation below, which is pretty accurate except in small places that don't really matter.
news.liga.net/politics/new...
ChatGPT translation below, which is pretty accurate except in small places that don't really matter.
news.liga.net/politics/new...
1/ What a Russian breaking of the ceasefire will look like, step by step.
There are far better experts on this, but I was an Australian diplomat in Ukraine in 2014 so I've seen this play out up close.
So join me, brothers and sisters, as we count down to a fullscale re-invasion.
There are far better experts on this, but I was an Australian diplomat in Ukraine in 2014 so I've seen this play out up close.
So join me, brothers and sisters, as we count down to a fullscale re-invasion.
November 21, 2025 at 2:23 PM
1/ What a Russian breaking of the ceasefire will look like, step by step.
There are far better experts on this, but I was an Australian diplomat in Ukraine in 2014 so I've seen this play out up close.
So join me, brothers and sisters, as we count down to a fullscale re-invasion.
There are far better experts on this, but I was an Australian diplomat in Ukraine in 2014 so I've seen this play out up close.
So join me, brothers and sisters, as we count down to a fullscale re-invasion.
The US is extorting Zelenskyy to sign away territory Russia doesn't even hold, as well as Ukraine's ability to defend itself, on the basis of Putin's word he'll honor a peace and Trump's word the US will make him.
Just so we're clear what's happening here.
Just so we're clear what's happening here.
November 21, 2025 at 1:01 PM
The US is extorting Zelenskyy to sign away territory Russia doesn't even hold, as well as Ukraine's ability to defend itself, on the basis of Putin's word he'll honor a peace and Trump's word the US will make him.
Just so we're clear what's happening here.
Just so we're clear what's happening here.
Smart point about Twitter from an excellent post on the same.
For the vast majority of people, being in a place where your every post is met with a torrent of hateful, abusive, personal bile does not make you a more open thinker through 'debate', it huddles you in an intellectual defensive crouch.
For the vast majority of people, being in a place where your every post is met with a torrent of hateful, abusive, personal bile does not make you a more open thinker through 'debate', it huddles you in an intellectual defensive crouch.
November 21, 2025 at 11:28 AM
Smart point about Twitter from an excellent post on the same.
For the vast majority of people, being in a place where your every post is met with a torrent of hateful, abusive, personal bile does not make you a more open thinker through 'debate', it huddles you in an intellectual defensive crouch.
For the vast majority of people, being in a place where your every post is met with a torrent of hateful, abusive, personal bile does not make you a more open thinker through 'debate', it huddles you in an intellectual defensive crouch.
Not sure you selfish oafs realize that on smaller planes, they seat the First Class passengers like Mr Duffy first and then file the rest of the plane past them.
Seeing your impoverished peasant clothing as you waddle past on the way to wherever planes stack poor people really ruins his champagne.
Seeing your impoverished peasant clothing as you waddle past on the way to wherever planes stack poor people really ruins his champagne.
WATCH: Trump’s Transpo Secretary Duffy’s message to Americans struggling with high holiday prices thanks to his tariffs — “dress up” when you fly you slobs
November 20, 2025 at 10:22 PM
Not sure you selfish oafs realize that on smaller planes, they seat the First Class passengers like Mr Duffy first and then file the rest of the plane past them.
Seeing your impoverished peasant clothing as you waddle past on the way to wherever planes stack poor people really ruins his champagne.
Seeing your impoverished peasant clothing as you waddle past on the way to wherever planes stack poor people really ruins his champagne.
When someone tells you complex societal challenges have simple answers, they're either stupid or hoping you are.
When they say those answers are more cruelty to a certain group, they're also evil and hoping you are.
When they say those answers are more cruelty to a certain group, they're also evil and hoping you are.
this defies parody. also helps explain why Sec Bessent bizarrely blamed immigrants when confronted with a question about high beef prices
November 20, 2025 at 6:24 PM
When someone tells you complex societal challenges have simple answers, they're either stupid or hoping you are.
When they say those answers are more cruelty to a certain group, they're also evil and hoping you are.
When they say those answers are more cruelty to a certain group, they're also evil and hoping you are.
Reminder: The Budapest Memorandum did not include meaningful security guarantees.
1/ The Budapest Memorandum is coming up constantly given current events. I think it's worth talking about what it did and did not do.
Specifically, the differences between the ASSURANCES it offered (strong), and the GARAUNTEES it provided (weak).
Full text here:
treaties.un.org/doc/Publicat...
Specifically, the differences between the ASSURANCES it offered (strong), and the GARAUNTEES it provided (weak).
Full text here:
treaties.un.org/doc/Publicat...
treaties.un.org
November 20, 2025 at 4:05 PM
Reminder: The Budapest Memorandum did not include meaningful security guarantees.
One reason (of several) I'm sceptical of the Witkoff deal is that it's apparently contingent on independent US security guarantees and that's such a colossal reversal of US policy that I struggle to see how it survives contact with political reality.
November 20, 2025 at 10:09 AM
One reason (of several) I'm sceptical of the Witkoff deal is that it's apparently contingent on independent US security guarantees and that's such a colossal reversal of US policy that I struggle to see how it survives contact with political reality.
"This sharp drop in exports means there will be more places available for locals and therefore more Americans can go to college... which we do not support."
- The White House, probably
- The White House, probably
The White House just blasted this out under the headline "Good News You May Have Missed"
November 19, 2025 at 8:28 PM
"This sharp drop in exports means there will be more places available for locals and therefore more Americans can go to college... which we do not support."
- The White House, probably
- The White House, probably
The conservative anti-cancel-culture free speech position has always been so muddled:
You should be allowed to say whatever you want with no consequences unless you're calling for someone to face work consequences for speech which companies should be able to punish them for but... also shouldn't? 🤷♂️
You should be allowed to say whatever you want with no consequences unless you're calling for someone to face work consequences for speech which companies should be able to punish them for but... also shouldn't? 🤷♂️
Weird how conservatives didn't mention all those years that they think it's fine to fire people for their beliefs! What an unfortunate misunderstanding we've had around this. Oh well!
November 19, 2025 at 3:09 PM
The conservative anti-cancel-culture free speech position has always been so muddled:
You should be allowed to say whatever you want with no consequences unless you're calling for someone to face work consequences for speech which companies should be able to punish them for but... also shouldn't? 🤷♂️
You should be allowed to say whatever you want with no consequences unless you're calling for someone to face work consequences for speech which companies should be able to punish them for but... also shouldn't? 🤷♂️
We have 500 op-eds about how Democrats should somehow ensure no one in the country with lefty vibes ever says anything that's not strictly on message. It could alienate voters!
Meanwhile, the President of the United States, God-Emperor of the GOP, just said "quiet, Piggy" to a reporter on camera.
Meanwhile, the President of the United States, God-Emperor of the GOP, just said "quiet, Piggy" to a reporter on camera.
November 19, 2025 at 7:41 AM
We have 500 op-eds about how Democrats should somehow ensure no one in the country with lefty vibes ever says anything that's not strictly on message. It could alienate voters!
Meanwhile, the President of the United States, God-Emperor of the GOP, just said "quiet, Piggy" to a reporter on camera.
Meanwhile, the President of the United States, God-Emperor of the GOP, just said "quiet, Piggy" to a reporter on camera.
As a man, nothing will turn you into a radical feminist faster than the first time you're shown the twitter mentions and DM requests of literally any woman on the internet.
We don't need a Joe Rogan of the left. We need Bryan to see what his sister's LinkedIn Message Requests folder looks like.
We don't need a Joe Rogan of the left. We need Bryan to see what his sister's LinkedIn Message Requests folder looks like.
POV: you are a young woman celebrating a recent academic success
November 18, 2025 at 4:55 PM
As a man, nothing will turn you into a radical feminist faster than the first time you're shown the twitter mentions and DM requests of literally any woman on the internet.
We don't need a Joe Rogan of the left. We need Bryan to see what his sister's LinkedIn Message Requests folder looks like.
We don't need a Joe Rogan of the left. We need Bryan to see what his sister's LinkedIn Message Requests folder looks like.
This is very much worth your time.
November 18, 2025 at 3:20 PM
This is very much worth your time.
Great thread on tariffs post-IEEPA (SCOTUS willing).
Two takeaways:
- If Trump specifically decides to ruin your day with tariffs, he will still have the tools to do so;
- He will have far fewer methods to ruin your day incidently by having you catch strays as he sprays tariffs around wildly.
Two takeaways:
- If Trump specifically decides to ruin your day with tariffs, he will still have the tools to do so;
- He will have far fewer methods to ruin your day incidently by having you catch strays as he sprays tariffs around wildly.
The most obvious thing to say about the Court's IEEPA decision is that Trump will continue tariffs no matter the outcome, but that alone misses that each possible tariff authority has its own scope and constraints which means that different tariffs behave very differently with different impacts.
November 18, 2025 at 1:19 PM
Great thread on tariffs post-IEEPA (SCOTUS willing).
Two takeaways:
- If Trump specifically decides to ruin your day with tariffs, he will still have the tools to do so;
- He will have far fewer methods to ruin your day incidently by having you catch strays as he sprays tariffs around wildly.
Two takeaways:
- If Trump specifically decides to ruin your day with tariffs, he will still have the tools to do so;
- He will have far fewer methods to ruin your day incidently by having you catch strays as he sprays tariffs around wildly.