Dmitry Grozoubinski
@explaintrade.com
Author of Why Politicians Lie About Trade | Trade and Negotiations Explainer. Forever D&D DM.
🇺🇦 Born. 🇦🇺 Raised. 🇨🇭 Based.
Media and training: explaintrade.com
Consultancy network: auroramacro.com
Speaking representation: cwgspeakers.com
🇺🇦 Born. 🇦🇺 Raised. 🇨🇭 Based.
Media and training: explaintrade.com
Consultancy network: auroramacro.com
Speaking representation: cwgspeakers.com
Pinned
Dmitry Grozoubinski
@explaintrade.com
· Apr 28
Why Politicians Lie About Trade: ...and What You Need to Know About It
Amazon.com: Why Politicians Lie About Trade: ...and What You Need to Know About It (Audible Audio Edition): Dmitry Grozoubinski, Christopher Tester, Canbury Press Ltd: Books
www.amazon.com
The audiobook version of Why Politicians Lie About Trade seems to be out in the wild!
Read by the excellent Christopher Tester (www.christophertester.co.uk), it is delivered with more gravitas than I could have ever managed.
www.amazon.com/Why-Politici...
Read by the excellent Christopher Tester (www.christophertester.co.uk), it is delivered with more gravitas than I could have ever managed.
www.amazon.com/Why-Politici...
This is also the type of commentator for whom the number one priority isn't a horror occuring, but the idea that someone, somewhere, might a touch too hyperbolic in how they charecterize it.
"Why your gaping knife wound isn't actually like getting shot, by Dude in the New York Times" ad infinitum.
"Why your gaping knife wound isn't actually like getting shot, by Dude in the New York Times" ad infinitum.
There is no attitude for which legacy journalists are more often rewarded by their bosses than "Everybody needs to calm down." It is a preening announcement that you are the adult in the room, immune from emotion or overreaction or "hysteria." And it is the worst imaginable priority for this era. >
January 11, 2026 at 6:09 PM
This is also the type of commentator for whom the number one priority isn't a horror occuring, but the idea that someone, somewhere, might a touch too hyperbolic in how they charecterize it.
"Why your gaping knife wound isn't actually like getting shot, by Dude in the New York Times" ad infinitum.
"Why your gaping knife wound isn't actually like getting shot, by Dude in the New York Times" ad infinitum.
The death penalty: the ultimate censure.
To be reserved for high treason, premeditated murders that shock the conscience, and of course for those mildly inconveniencing or in any way emasculating a federal agent.
To be reserved for high treason, premeditated murders that shock the conscience, and of course for those mildly inconveniencing or in any way emasculating a federal agent.
January 10, 2026 at 7:18 PM
The death penalty: the ultimate censure.
To be reserved for high treason, premeditated murders that shock the conscience, and of course for those mildly inconveniencing or in any way emasculating a federal agent.
To be reserved for high treason, premeditated murders that shock the conscience, and of course for those mildly inconveniencing or in any way emasculating a federal agent.
If your favourite bar is suddenly full of perverts and paedophiles your options are:
1. Complain to management.
❌️ He loves it.
2. Complain to government.
❓️Maybe but Trump, or scared of Trump.
3. Leave.
✅️
It is not to keep hanging out there in the hopes your puppy dog eyes will reform them.
1. Complain to management.
❌️ He loves it.
2. Complain to government.
❓️Maybe but Trump, or scared of Trump.
3. Leave.
✅️
It is not to keep hanging out there in the hopes your puppy dog eyes will reform them.
If women quit X because of Grok’s deepfake nudes, the predators win – so I’m staying
If women quit X because of Grok’s deepfake nudes, the predators win – so I’m staying
If women quit X because of Grok’s deepfake nudes, the predators win – so I’m staying
www.independent.co.uk
January 10, 2026 at 2:51 PM
If your favourite bar is suddenly full of perverts and paedophiles your options are:
1. Complain to management.
❌️ He loves it.
2. Complain to government.
❓️Maybe but Trump, or scared of Trump.
3. Leave.
✅️
It is not to keep hanging out there in the hopes your puppy dog eyes will reform them.
1. Complain to management.
❌️ He loves it.
2. Complain to government.
❓️Maybe but Trump, or scared of Trump.
3. Leave.
✅️
It is not to keep hanging out there in the hopes your puppy dog eyes will reform them.
... and, thanks to Twitter's monetization rewards program, making and distributing deepfake porn of you and your kids is now restricted to those with a direct financial incentive to make it go viral to juice their engagement stats.
Huzzuh!
Huzzuh!
ladies, it's ok because only paying subscribers can make/distribute deepfake porn of you and your children now www.ft.com/content/c24d...
Elon Musk’s xAI restricts Grok after outcry over sexualised images
Start-up limits use of image generation system to paid users following spread of deepfakes and child sex abuse material
www.ft.com
January 9, 2026 at 11:38 AM
... and, thanks to Twitter's monetization rewards program, making and distributing deepfake porn of you and your kids is now restricted to those with a direct financial incentive to make it go viral to juice their engagement stats.
Huzzuh!
Huzzuh!
I think a weakness for the Trump administration is that while the President himself has a lizard brain instinct for the public mood and a willingness to pivot or equivocate when he senses it turning, lieutenants like Miller, Vance, and Noem do not.
They can't conceive that people hate this shit.
They can't conceive that people hate this shit.
January 9, 2026 at 8:25 AM
I think a weakness for the Trump administration is that while the President himself has a lizard brain instinct for the public mood and a willingness to pivot or equivocate when he senses it turning, lieutenants like Miller, Vance, and Noem do not.
They can't conceive that people hate this shit.
They can't conceive that people hate this shit.
Something Putin taught us is that the goal of effective propoganda isn't to convince people, it's to create a permission structure:
a) for your existing hardcore supporters to back you; and
b) for those not engaged to tune out because it's all too complicated or partisan politics as usual.
a) for your existing hardcore supporters to back you; and
b) for those not engaged to tune out because it's all too complicated or partisan politics as usual.
The no-angeling is already in full swing.
January 8, 2026 at 6:50 PM
Something Putin taught us is that the goal of effective propoganda isn't to convince people, it's to create a permission structure:
a) for your existing hardcore supporters to back you; and
b) for those not engaged to tune out because it's all too complicated or partisan politics as usual.
a) for your existing hardcore supporters to back you; and
b) for those not engaged to tune out because it's all too complicated or partisan politics as usual.
This is also a field test.
If the press lets them muddy the waters on executing a woman in Minneapolis despite multiple witnesses and video recordings clearly depicting what happened, the message they'll take away is that there's nothing they can't get away with.
Nothing.
If the press lets them muddy the waters on executing a woman in Minneapolis despite multiple witnesses and video recordings clearly depicting what happened, the message they'll take away is that there's nothing they can't get away with.
Nothing.
January 8, 2026 at 11:47 AM
This is also a field test.
If the press lets them muddy the waters on executing a woman in Minneapolis despite multiple witnesses and video recordings clearly depicting what happened, the message they'll take away is that there's nothing they can't get away with.
Nothing.
If the press lets them muddy the waters on executing a woman in Minneapolis despite multiple witnesses and video recordings clearly depicting what happened, the message they'll take away is that there's nothing they can't get away with.
Nothing.
Reposted by Dmitry Grozoubinski
"Fuck moving forward. Screw coming together. We are going to hire a team of prosecutors so large it needs its own building, fund them so well they have their own helicopters, and instruct them to go after everyone who broke the law from the White House to individual ICE agents."
i’ve said this before and i remain convinced it’s true, the 2028 platform that would deliver obama 08 results is “i am gonna
bring the hammer down on the corrupt self-dealing politicians and their rich friends and there are no sacred cows id give a pass”
bring the hammer down on the corrupt self-dealing politicians and their rich friends and there are no sacred cows id give a pass”
November 13, 2025 at 2:16 PM
"Fuck moving forward. Screw coming together. We are going to hire a team of prosecutors so large it needs its own building, fund them so well they have their own helicopters, and instruct them to go after everyone who broke the law from the White House to individual ICE agents."
Texas conservatives rushing to clarify that "Don't Tread on Me" is an exhaustive list of who they're not comfortable with the federal government treading on.
January 8, 2026 at 9:27 AM
Texas conservatives rushing to clarify that "Don't Tread on Me" is an exhaustive list of who they're not comfortable with the federal government treading on.
For those wondering what Mamdani's quote, "For too long, those fluent in the good grammar of civility have deployed decorum to mask agendas of cruelty," was in reference to...
January 7, 2026 at 11:46 PM
For those wondering what Mamdani's quote, "For too long, those fluent in the good grammar of civility have deployed decorum to mask agendas of cruelty," was in reference to...
"We are the dominant predator force in the Western Hemisphere" is the sort of line that gets edited out of an anime villain's evil monologue for being a bit much.
Ogles: "It's important that we have a stake in Greenland, that they are quite frankly a protectorate of the US. They've been in relationship with Denmark - that needs to end. We've spilled more blood protecting Greenland than the Danes... we are the dominant predator force in the Western Hemisphere"
January 7, 2026 at 1:33 PM
"We are the dominant predator force in the Western Hemisphere" is the sort of line that gets edited out of an anime villain's evil monologue for being a bit much.
Most Paradox Game Brain Take:
It's now vital Europe helps Ukraine quickly defeat the Russian invasion so that the Ukrainian military is available to help them defend Greenland from the US.
It's now vital Europe helps Ukraine quickly defeat the Russian invasion so that the Ukrainian military is available to help them defend Greenland from the US.
January 7, 2026 at 1:05 PM
Most Paradox Game Brain Take:
It's now vital Europe helps Ukraine quickly defeat the Russian invasion so that the Ukrainian military is available to help them defend Greenland from the US.
It's now vital Europe helps Ukraine quickly defeat the Russian invasion so that the Ukrainian military is available to help them defend Greenland from the US.
I agree though I think "algorithm" is better thought of as short-hand for a lot of the features social media have.
Likes providing a running score card for creative meanness, Quotes allowing you to go "get a look at this guy" to all your followers, algo driven discovery/feeds etc.
Likes providing a running score card for creative meanness, Quotes allowing you to go "get a look at this guy" to all your followers, algo driven discovery/feeds etc.
Not particularly apropos of anything but:
At some point we are gonna have to face up to the fact we’ve spent most of the last decade blaming “the algorithm” for stuff that’s mostly just human nature and culture.
At some point we are gonna have to face up to the fact we’ve spent most of the last decade blaming “the algorithm” for stuff that’s mostly just human nature and culture.
January 7, 2026 at 12:25 PM
I agree though I think "algorithm" is better thought of as short-hand for a lot of the features social media have.
Likes providing a running score card for creative meanness, Quotes allowing you to go "get a look at this guy" to all your followers, algo driven discovery/feeds etc.
Likes providing a running score card for creative meanness, Quotes allowing you to go "get a look at this guy" to all your followers, algo driven discovery/feeds etc.
I don't think buying Greenland is what Congress had in mind when it appropriated all that money for ICE.
"Secretary of State Marco Rubio told lawmakers that recent administration threats against Greenland didn’t signal an imminent invasion and that the goal is to buy the island from Denmark, according to people familiar with the discussions."
Exclusive | Rubio Tells Lawmakers Trump Aims to Buy Greenland, Downplays Military Action
The secretary of state said the White House is using rhetoric to pressure Denmark into negotiations.
www.wsj.com
January 6, 2026 at 10:05 PM
I don't think buying Greenland is what Congress had in mind when it appropriated all that money for ICE.
One thing that gives me some hope is that while Miller et al may dream of American Empire they are also apparently aware that the US has zero appetite for casualties, boots on the ground, or even economic hardship.
There are limits to building Rome with SoF, cruise missiles, and tariffs.
There are limits to building Rome with SoF, cruise missiles, and tariffs.
Here. I wrote about American threats against Greenland and the fate of NATO.
othermeans.io/p/the-next-g...
othermeans.io/p/the-next-g...
The Next Great Crisis
Greenland and the Fate of NATO
othermeans.io
January 6, 2026 at 7:27 AM
One thing that gives me some hope is that while Miller et al may dream of American Empire they are also apparently aware that the US has zero appetite for casualties, boots on the ground, or even economic hardship.
There are limits to building Rome with SoF, cruise missiles, and tariffs.
There are limits to building Rome with SoF, cruise missiles, and tariffs.
Failing to anticipate people would use your image generation bot to make consentless-pornography should be criminal incompetence.
Failing to include safeguards against it should be criminal negligence.
Failing to shut it down once (a) and (b) became obvious should be criminal distribution.
Failing to include safeguards against it should be criminal negligence.
Failing to shut it down once (a) and (b) became obvious should be criminal distribution.
January 5, 2026 at 8:41 PM
Failing to anticipate people would use your image generation bot to make consentless-pornography should be criminal incompetence.
Failing to include safeguards against it should be criminal negligence.
Failing to shut it down once (a) and (b) became obvious should be criminal distribution.
Failing to include safeguards against it should be criminal negligence.
Failing to shut it down once (a) and (b) became obvious should be criminal distribution.
A lot of people mocking this but I think this message is going to resonate with voters as Sir Keiran Starmdani joins the 2025 New York Mayoral Democratic Primary.
this must be the most banal political soundbite of recent years, via Sir Keir Starmer:
“Every minute that we’re not talking about the cost of living is a wasted minute.”
“Every minute that we’re not talking about the cost of living is a wasted minute.”
January 5, 2026 at 12:44 PM
A lot of people mocking this but I think this message is going to resonate with voters as Sir Keiran Starmdani joins the 2025 New York Mayoral Democratic Primary.
My most predictive theory of Trump so far is that he likes to be able to unilaterally do stuff, and the best way to predict his next pivot is when he starts getting thwarted.
Deploying the military is the new IEEPA - a vast power he can threaten, deploy or exempt from without checks and balances.
Deploying the military is the new IEEPA - a vast power he can threaten, deploy or exempt from without checks and balances.
January 5, 2026 at 9:39 AM
My most predictive theory of Trump so far is that he likes to be able to unilaterally do stuff, and the best way to predict his next pivot is when he starts getting thwarted.
Deploying the military is the new IEEPA - a vast power he can threaten, deploy or exempt from without checks and balances.
Deploying the military is the new IEEPA - a vast power he can threaten, deploy or exempt from without checks and balances.
This app we built that undresses women's photos without their consent is being used on younger girls, and not just on 18 year olds, which would apparently be fine.
Don't worry we're working on it.
Don't worry we're working on it.
January 5, 2026 at 8:56 AM
This app we built that undresses women's photos without their consent is being used on younger girls, and not just on 18 year olds, which would apparently be fine.
Don't worry we're working on it.
Don't worry we're working on it.
Reactionary Centrists Allow for the Possibility of Right Wingers Having Independent Agency: Challenge Level Impossible
I was wondering how this might all turn out to have been my fault
January 4, 2026 at 11:34 AM
Reactionary Centrists Allow for the Possibility of Right Wingers Having Independent Agency: Challenge Level Impossible
Apart from everything else, invading a country for oil in 2026 is somewhat like doing so for horses in 1931.
“We can secure access to additional wealth and resources, allowing the country to unlock them without spilling American blood,” said U.S. Defense Secretary (Secretary of War) Pete Hegseth, highlighting the strategic and economic rationale behind the Venezuela operation.
January 4, 2026 at 9:37 AM
Apart from everything else, invading a country for oil in 2026 is somewhat like doing so for horses in 1931.
Reminder: The US has refused to join the International Criminal Court because it argues extraterritorial justice is incompatible with national sovereignty and citizen's rights.
Vance pushes back and says this was not illegal, arguing "Maduro has multiple indictments in the United States for narcoterrorism. You don't get to avoid justice for drug trafficking in the United States because you live in a palace in Caracas."
January 3, 2026 at 4:39 PM
Reminder: The US has refused to join the International Criminal Court because it argues extraterritorial justice is incompatible with national sovereignty and citizen's rights.
Funniest outcome here would be Maduro being acquitted by a US court because the Trump administration didn't think through the case and puts one of their idiot TV pundit prosecutors on it... and then countersuing.
January 3, 2026 at 11:16 AM
Funniest outcome here would be Maduro being acquitted by a US court because the Trump administration didn't think through the case and puts one of their idiot TV pundit prosecutors on it... and then countersuing.
Well done to the US for heroically deterring Russia and China from considering regime change abroad by doing it themselves and suffering absolutely no consequences whatsoever up to and including having their allies fall short of actually criticizing them for it.
January 3, 2026 at 11:09 AM
Well done to the US for heroically deterring Russia and China from considering regime change abroad by doing it themselves and suffering absolutely no consequences whatsoever up to and including having their allies fall short of actually criticizing them for it.
I love the idea that governments have to stay on Twitter because that's where "their audience" is.
Like if you only announced your cabinet reshuffles on Bluesky Harry bloody Cole wouldn't make an account to read about it.
Like if you only announced your cabinet reshuffles on Bluesky Harry bloody Cole wouldn't make an account to read about it.
January 2, 2026 at 4:27 PM
I love the idea that governments have to stay on Twitter because that's where "their audience" is.
Like if you only announced your cabinet reshuffles on Bluesky Harry bloody Cole wouldn't make an account to read about it.
Like if you only announced your cabinet reshuffles on Bluesky Harry bloody Cole wouldn't make an account to read about it.