Andrew Fieldhouse
@fieldhouse.bsky.social
1.6K followers 100 following 100 posts
Assistant Professor of Finance, Mays Business School, Texas A&M. Empirical macro and macrofinance, credit policy and mortgage markets, business cycles, R&D, innovation, and growth
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fieldhouse.bsky.social
Very excited about our new paper on the large social returns to public R&D spending, which was prepared for the @NBER Entrepreneurship and Innovation Policy and the Economy Conference, 2025
nber.org
NBER @nber.org · May 16
Recent evidence finds a strong causal link between public research and development and private-sector productivity growth. A study on the potential productivity effects from the CHIPS Act, from @fieldhouse.bsky.social and Karel Mertens https://www.nber.org/papers/w33780
fieldhouse.bsky.social
I really enjoyed speaking with David Rotman for this excellent new piece in the MIT Technology Review, which cites two of our papers on the returns to government R&D investments: t.co/YjTsXgopVp
https://www.technologyreview.com/2025/09/17/1123760/how-to-measure-the-returns-to-rd-spending/
t.co
Reposted by Andrew Fieldhouse
jasonfurman.bsky.social
I don’t think I have ever publicly criticized any Presidential nominee before.

But E.J. Antoni is completely unqualified to be BLS Commissioner. He is an extreme partisan and does not have any relevant expertise.

He would be a break from decades of nonpartisan technocrats.
Reposted by Andrew Fieldhouse
kedseconomist.com
In my column yesterday about the Bureau of Labor Statistics, I explained the agency needs a leader committed to the data and its reporting, not the president. I called it the difference between a watchdog and a lapdog.

Prime example of the latter:

www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...
Trump economic adviser defends firing of labor official after soft jobs report
Kevin Hassett pointed to the scale of hiring data revisions when asked for evidence to support Trump’s claims that the jobs report was politically rigged.
www.washingtonpost.com
fieldhouse.bsky.social
I really enjoyed doing this interview w/ @faculti.bsky.social about my recent papers 'The Social Returns to Public R&D' and an earlier paper 'The Returns to Government R&D: Evidence from U.S. Appropriations Shocks', both joint with Karel Mertens (Dallas Fed)
Reposted by Andrew Fieldhouse
faculti.bsky.social
If government-funded research delivers such enormous economic returns, why does Washington keep cutting it? @fieldhouse.bsky.social , Mays Business School , @tamu.bsky.social , discusses: lnkd.in/d9sJKNvs
#finance
Reposted by Andrew Fieldhouse
faculti.bsky.social
If government-funded research delivers such enormous economic returns, why does Washington keep cutting it? @fieldhouse.bsky.social , Mays Business School , @tamu.bsky.social , discusses: lnkd.in/d9sJKNvs
#finance
Reposted by Andrew Fieldhouse
bbkogan.bsky.social
This also includes some provisions that the parliamentarian advised violate the Byrd rule. Some will get cured, but the cost will go up by as much as $450 billion (my guess is maybe around $250 billion, but that's a rough estimate).
Reposted by Andrew Fieldhouse
bbkogan.bsky.social
CBO cost estimate of the Senate GOP bill is out! But this is the version where they pretend $3.76 trillion of tax cuts are actually free.

When you account for that CBO estimates that their bill will increase deficits by $3.3 trillion over the decade, much more expensive than the House.
Estimated Budgetary Effects of an Amendment in the Nature of a Substitute to H.R. 1, the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, Relative to the Budget Enforcement Baseline for Consideration in the Senate
As posted on the website of the Senate Committee on the Budget on June 27, 2025
www.cbo.gov
Reposted by Andrew Fieldhouse
us.theconversation.com
Slashing government R&D (Research and Development) isn’t just a budget cut – it’s a blow to U.S. innovation and long-term growth.

A recent study finds that federal science funding has driven over 20% of productivity gains since WWII.

buff.ly/dPSrknT

#innovation #science #USPolitics
Federal R&D funding boosts productivity for the whole economy − making big cuts to such government spending unwise
Government R&D encompasses all innovative work the government directly pays for, regardless of who does it.
buff.ly
Reposted by Andrew Fieldhouse
bbkogan.bsky.social
NEW FROM CBO: brutal distributional analysis of House GOP "Big Beautiful Bill"

On avg the bottom 30% of households get poorer under the GOP bill

Avg gets little - and are worse off if you include tariffs

This'd be the largest transfer of wealth from the poor to the rich in a single law in history
figure 2. shows poor get poorer and rich get richer, percent change. -4% for bottom 10%. +2.5% roughly for top 10%. dollar change. shows poor get poorer and rich get richer.
fieldhouse.bsky.social
Here's a link to the latest draft of our underlying Dallas Fed working paper, "The Returns to Government R&D: Evidence from U.S. Appropriations Shocks":
www.dallasfed.org/~/media/docu...
www.dallasfed.org
fieldhouse.bsky.social
Punchline: "Even if the benefits of government R&D are slow to materialize... our research suggests that the U.S. economy will be less innovative and productive – and Americans will be worse off for it – if Congress agrees to deep cuts to science and research funding."
Reposted by Andrew Fieldhouse
akhilrao.bsky.social
this is quite the axe and i would be surprised if congress is happy with it
Reposted by Andrew Fieldhouse
planetdr.bsky.social
The Presidents Budget Request for NASA is out. It’s a bloodbath

Canceled are DAVINCI, VERITAS, Juno, OSIRIS-APEX, US participation in ExoMars and EnVision…

Huge cut to R&A. No funding to begin development of the Uranus Orbiter.

If you’ve ever cared about NASA, time to contact congress.
Reposted by Andrew Fieldhouse
drodrik.bsky.social
Three things made the US a rich and powerful nation: the rule of law, its science & innovation system, and openness to foreign talent. Remarkable how Trump has taken a sledgehammer to all three. No enemy of this country could do more.
fieldhouse.bsky.social
Congress has usually insulated nondefense R&D/science funding from budget cuts - and often increased these investments while cutting elsewhere. Instead cutting these funds would be expected to cause a bigger drag to U.S. productivity growth than from past fiscal consolidations
fieldhouse.bsky.social
Relatedly, our new @nber.org working paper “The Social Returns to Public R&D,” analyzes how federal R&D funding has fared in recent fiscal consolidations, link here: andrewjfieldhouse.com/wp-content/u...
andrewjfieldhouse.com
fieldhouse.bsky.social
Our research suggests that cutting NIH funding by 40% and NSF funding by 50%, as proposed in the preliminary FY26 budget request, would cause a significant drag on U.S. productivity growth and output over the next ~7-15 years, as I discussed with Wendy