fplexander
@fplexander.bsky.social
using my own prediction model to ruin my weekends
FPL ID: 2011869
GW 2 - Recap
This... I don't like this...
Saka and Palmer potentially out for GW3 though troubles me even more
This... I don't like this...
Saka and Palmer potentially out for GW3 though troubles me even more
August 27, 2025 at 2:28 PM
GW 2 - Recap
This... I don't like this...
Saka and Palmer potentially out for GW3 though troubles me even more
This... I don't like this...
Saka and Palmer potentially out for GW3 though troubles me even more
GW 1 - Recap
I should be happy with the performance, as my model expected ~57 points and I got 68 out of the GW.
That last minute Salah goal though turned what could have been an awesome start into "only" a good start into the FPL season.
I should be happy with the performance, as my model expected ~57 points and I got 68 out of the GW.
That last minute Salah goal though turned what could have been an awesome start into "only" a good start into the FPL season.
August 21, 2025 at 3:55 PM
GW 1 - Recap
I should be happy with the performance, as my model expected ~57 points and I got 68 out of the GW.
That last minute Salah goal though turned what could have been an awesome start into "only" a good start into the FPL season.
I should be happy with the performance, as my model expected ~57 points and I got 68 out of the GW.
That last minute Salah goal though turned what could have been an awesome start into "only" a good start into the FPL season.
Nice visualition of the GW1 teams over at the analytics discord server #BulletWisdom
August 21, 2025 at 3:18 PM
Nice visualition of the GW1 teams over at the analytics discord server #BulletWisdom
Reposted by fplexander
Reposted by fplexander
@fplresearch.bsky.social had a good answer for this.
For overall sample 90% skill / 10% luck, among elite, it is 40% skill / 60% luck. Sth along these lines.
For overall sample 90% skill / 10% luck, among elite, it is 40% skill / 60% luck. Sth along these lines.
December 10, 2024 at 10:24 PM
@fplresearch.bsky.social had a good answer for this.
For overall sample 90% skill / 10% luck, among elite, it is 40% skill / 60% luck. Sth along these lines.
For overall sample 90% skill / 10% luck, among elite, it is 40% skill / 60% luck. Sth along these lines.
Reposted by fplexander
Spurs' 4-0 win over Man City seems to have raised the fanbase's expectations dangerously high for a team still in crisis
December 8, 2024 at 7:22 PM
Spurs' 4-0 win over Man City seems to have raised the fanbase's expectations dangerously high for a team still in crisis
Reposted by fplexander
Reposted by fplexander
💹 #FPL: GW14 player goal projections
Top projected scorers for this round of PL games, via spread betting markets (all markets assume a start)
Top projected scorers for this round of PL games, via spread betting markets (all markets assume a start)
December 3, 2024 at 3:09 PM
💹 #FPL: GW14 player goal projections
Top projected scorers for this round of PL games, via spread betting markets (all markets assume a start)
Top projected scorers for this round of PL games, via spread betting markets (all markets assume a start)
Reposted by fplexander
#FPL Optimized - Final Call Day 😏
📊 Risk/Swing vs Total Projections for the next 8 GWs (based on estimated top 1M ownership)
(Projections are FPLReview / Mikkel Tokvam average)
📊 Risk/Swing vs Total Projections for the next 8 GWs (based on estimated top 1M ownership)
(Projections are FPLReview / Mikkel Tokvam average)
December 3, 2024 at 2:53 PM
#FPL Optimized - Final Call Day 😏
📊 Risk/Swing vs Total Projections for the next 8 GWs (based on estimated top 1M ownership)
(Projections are FPLReview / Mikkel Tokvam average)
📊 Risk/Swing vs Total Projections for the next 8 GWs (based on estimated top 1M ownership)
(Projections are FPLReview / Mikkel Tokvam average)
Reposted by fplexander
🏆 Manager Rankings, December 2024 🏆
🥇 @tomdollimorefpl.bsky.social
🥈 Fábio Borges
🥉 John Walsh
Going forward rankings will be updated on fplresearch.com after every GW. Check your own rating here: fplresearch.com/tool
🥇 @tomdollimorefpl.bsky.social
🥈 Fábio Borges
🥉 John Walsh
Going forward rankings will be updated on fplresearch.com after every GW. Check your own rating here: fplresearch.com/tool
fplresearch.com - The home of FPL manager ratings
www.fplresearch.com
December 2, 2024 at 6:14 PM
🏆 Manager Rankings, December 2024 🏆
🥇 @tomdollimorefpl.bsky.social
🥈 Fábio Borges
🥉 John Walsh
Going forward rankings will be updated on fplresearch.com after every GW. Check your own rating here: fplresearch.com/tool
🥇 @tomdollimorefpl.bsky.social
🥈 Fábio Borges
🥉 John Walsh
Going forward rankings will be updated on fplresearch.com after every GW. Check your own rating here: fplresearch.com/tool
Reposted by fplexander
NEW: something a bit different!
Ever wondered how accurate FPL price change predictors are? I was, and so I’ve built a website that tracks their performance daily.
Find out which site is getting it right (and which isn't):
whatthef.pl
Let me know what you think!
Ever wondered how accurate FPL price change predictors are? I was, and so I’ve built a website that tracks their performance daily.
Find out which site is getting it right (and which isn't):
whatthef.pl
Let me know what you think!
What The FPL
What The FPL
whatthef.pl
December 1, 2024 at 7:33 AM
NEW: something a bit different!
Ever wondered how accurate FPL price change predictors are? I was, and so I’ve built a website that tracks their performance daily.
Find out which site is getting it right (and which isn't):
whatthef.pl
Let me know what you think!
Ever wondered how accurate FPL price change predictors are? I was, and so I’ve built a website that tracks their performance daily.
Find out which site is getting it right (and which isn't):
whatthef.pl
Let me know what you think!
Reposted by fplexander
Just thought it was interesting that this shows the opposite of what you’ve said here.
Analytics players instantly moved off Haaland for GW10 while non-analytics took a few gameweeks longer.
Analytics players instantly moved off Haaland for GW10 while non-analytics took a few gameweeks longer.
December 2, 2024 at 7:04 PM
Just thought it was interesting that this shows the opposite of what you’ve said here.
Analytics players instantly moved off Haaland for GW10 while non-analytics took a few gameweeks longer.
Analytics players instantly moved off Haaland for GW10 while non-analytics took a few gameweeks longer.
Reposted by fplexander
Selling Mbeumo is mad.
December 1, 2024 at 12:36 PM
Selling Mbeumo is mad.
Reposted by fplexander
#FPL Optimized - Final Call Friday
📊 Risk/Swing vs Total Projections for the next 8 GWs (based on estimated top 1M ownership)
(Projections are FPLReview / Mikkel Tokvam average)
📊 Risk/Swing vs Total Projections for the next 8 GWs (based on estimated top 1M ownership)
(Projections are FPLReview / Mikkel Tokvam average)
November 29, 2024 at 4:36 PM
#FPL Optimized - Final Call Friday
📊 Risk/Swing vs Total Projections for the next 8 GWs (based on estimated top 1M ownership)
(Projections are FPLReview / Mikkel Tokvam average)
📊 Risk/Swing vs Total Projections for the next 8 GWs (based on estimated top 1M ownership)
(Projections are FPLReview / Mikkel Tokvam average)
Reposted by fplexander
Arsenal Predicted line up for this game week. Ordered by predictor skill.
Thanks to all of our predicting team, @spacemanjonny & @JamesHancock97
for great work on the data preparation.
I will share commentary to go with these predictions.
Good luck this game week everyone! #FPL
Thanks to all of our predicting team, @spacemanjonny & @JamesHancock97
for great work on the data preparation.
I will share commentary to go with these predictions.
Good luck this game week everyone! #FPL
November 29, 2024 at 4:20 PM
Arsenal Predicted line up for this game week. Ordered by predictor skill.
Thanks to all of our predicting team, @spacemanjonny & @JamesHancock97
for great work on the data preparation.
I will share commentary to go with these predictions.
Good luck this game week everyone! #FPL
Thanks to all of our predicting team, @spacemanjonny & @JamesHancock97
for great work on the data preparation.
I will share commentary to go with these predictions.
Good luck this game week everyone! #FPL
Reposted by fplexander
I've updated the 11v11 xG difference after 12 games. Liverpool and Arsenal lead comfortably over Man City. Fulham's position in the table could improve, while Forest and Brighton's results may not be sustainable in the long term
November 26, 2024 at 12:12 AM
I've updated the 11v11 xG difference after 12 games. Liverpool and Arsenal lead comfortably over Man City. Fulham's position in the table could improve, while Forest and Brighton's results may not be sustainable in the long term
Reposted by fplexander
Huh.
Respek.
[Tottenham Hotspur attacking radar through 12 PL games.]
Respek.
[Tottenham Hotspur attacking radar through 12 PL games.]
November 25, 2024 at 11:45 AM
Huh.
Respek.
[Tottenham Hotspur attacking radar through 12 PL games.]
Respek.
[Tottenham Hotspur attacking radar through 12 PL games.]
Reposted by fplexander
Luck relative to pre-match expectation and luck relative to xGI/in-match actions are different things, and when the two come apart it doesn’t make good sense to me to talk about luck simpliciter.
November 24, 2024 at 10:25 PM
Luck relative to pre-match expectation and luck relative to xGI/in-match actions are different things, and when the two come apart it doesn’t make good sense to me to talk about luck simpliciter.
Reposted by fplexander
My one constructive criticism on BlueSky, as a community: we need to “like” less and “retweet” more. In the absence of an algorithm, that’s the way we find each other and reward good content.
November 24, 2024 at 2:08 PM
My one constructive criticism on BlueSky, as a community: we need to “like” less and “retweet” more. In the absence of an algorithm, that’s the way we find each other and reward good content.
Reposted by fplexander
It’d help if we got notifications when people like, retweet or comment on our retweets
My one constructive criticism on BlueSky, as a community: we need to “like” less and “retweet” more. In the absence of an algorithm, that’s the way we find each other and reward good content.
November 24, 2024 at 5:22 PM
It’d help if we got notifications when people like, retweet or comment on our retweets
Reposted by fplexander
Question from today’s stream…
How many days would it take for you to notice there weren’t any pigeons 🐦 anymore?
How many days would it take for you to notice there weren’t any pigeons 🐦 anymore?
November 23, 2024 at 11:25 AM
Question from today’s stream…
How many days would it take for you to notice there weren’t any pigeons 🐦 anymore?
How many days would it take for you to notice there weren’t any pigeons 🐦 anymore?
Reposted by fplexander
