Ted Knutson
@mixedknuts.bsky.social
Founder, StatsBomb, Variance Incorporated.
@thetransferflow
Daily Rumours newsletter https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe
Frmr: Brentford FC, Pinnacle, SB
@thetransferflow
Daily Rumours newsletter https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe
Frmr: Brentford FC, Pinnacle, SB
Round numbers in the same week AND we are selling Conference tickets.
Pretty exciting week at @thetransferflow.bsky.social .
[I admit we know very little about making YouTube work despite trying fairly hard at times, so I'll take it.]
Pretty exciting week at @thetransferflow.bsky.social .
[I admit we know very little about making YouTube work despite trying fairly hard at times, so I'll take it.]
January 27, 2026 at 4:04 PM
Round numbers in the same week AND we are selling Conference tickets.
Pretty exciting week at @thetransferflow.bsky.social .
[I admit we know very little about making YouTube work despite trying fairly hard at times, so I'll take it.]
Pretty exciting week at @thetransferflow.bsky.social .
[I admit we know very little about making YouTube work despite trying fairly hard at times, so I'll take it.]
Reposted by Ted Knutson
My wife’s book, THIS IMMACULATE BODY, is out in paperback in the UK next week!
It‘s about a woman who becomes obsessed with the man whose flat she cleans. It’s funny, literary and has a disturbing, intoxicating narrative voice.
It’s available in the US as CREEP
www.waterstones.com/book/this-im...
It‘s about a woman who becomes obsessed with the man whose flat she cleans. It’s funny, literary and has a disturbing, intoxicating narrative voice.
It’s available in the US as CREEP
www.waterstones.com/book/this-im...
This Immaculate Body by Emma van Straaten | Waterstones
Buy This Immaculate Body by Emma van Straaten from Waterstones today! Click and Collect from your local Waterstones or get FREE UK delivery on orders over £25.
www.waterstones.com
January 27, 2026 at 10:33 AM
My wife’s book, THIS IMMACULATE BODY, is out in paperback in the UK next week!
It‘s about a woman who becomes obsessed with the man whose flat she cleans. It’s funny, literary and has a disturbing, intoxicating narrative voice.
It’s available in the US as CREEP
www.waterstones.com/book/this-im...
It‘s about a woman who becomes obsessed with the man whose flat she cleans. It’s funny, literary and has a disturbing, intoxicating narrative voice.
It’s available in the US as CREEP
www.waterstones.com/book/this-im...
Julian Alvarez, 24-25 and 25-26 at Atletico Madrid. Can do everything, and 98th! percentile in pressures.
A non-stop engine with talent to back it up.
We did a deeper dive on a potential move to Arsenal in Monday's @TheTransferFlow podcast.
A non-stop engine with talent to back it up.
We did a deeper dive on a potential move to Arsenal in Monday's @TheTransferFlow podcast.
January 27, 2026 at 9:24 AM
Julian Alvarez, 24-25 and 25-26 at Atletico Madrid. Can do everything, and 98th! percentile in pressures.
A non-stop engine with talent to back it up.
We did a deeper dive on a potential move to Arsenal in Monday's @TheTransferFlow podcast.
A non-stop engine with talent to back it up.
We did a deeper dive on a potential move to Arsenal in Monday's @TheTransferFlow podcast.
Reposted by Ted Knutson
New Podcast! @mixedknuts.bsky.social and @patrickbvs.bsky.social discuss Julian Alvarez being linked with Arsenal, plus:
• Robertson to Spurs
• Is Aston Villa changing xG forever?
• The evolution of the striker role
www.youtube.com/watch?v=0-GS...
• Robertson to Spurs
• Is Aston Villa changing xG forever?
• The evolution of the striker role
www.youtube.com/watch?v=0-GS...
Arsenal’s Answer at Striker + Aston Villa Will Change xG Forever
YouTube video by The Transfer Flow
www.youtube.com
January 26, 2026 at 7:13 PM
New Podcast! @mixedknuts.bsky.social and @patrickbvs.bsky.social discuss Julian Alvarez being linked with Arsenal, plus:
• Robertson to Spurs
• Is Aston Villa changing xG forever?
• The evolution of the striker role
www.youtube.com/watch?v=0-GS...
• Robertson to Spurs
• Is Aston Villa changing xG forever?
• The evolution of the striker role
www.youtube.com/watch?v=0-GS...
Early Bird tickets to The Transfer Flow Conference are NOW ON SALE for Patreon members.
They'll stay that way for a week and then go on general sale in February. All sessions are available to anyone who wants to buy a ticket, but the day session is generally targeting football professionals.
They'll stay that way for a week and then go on general sale in February. All sessions are available to anyone who wants to buy a ticket, but the day session is generally targeting football professionals.
On Patreon, @patrickbvs.bsky.social and @hvanbrewer.bsky.social attempt to fix Tottenham in just one hour.
They break down:
• Who Spurs should sell
• Midfield rebuild targets
• Van de Ven sale debate
• Striker and winger options
Join now for a bonus podcast every week:
patreon.com/thetransferflow
They break down:
• Who Spurs should sell
• Midfield rebuild targets
• Van de Ven sale debate
• Striker and winger options
Join now for a bonus podcast every week:
patreon.com/thetransferflow
The Transfer Flow | Patreon
patreon.com
January 26, 2026 at 1:31 PM
Early Bird tickets to The Transfer Flow Conference are NOW ON SALE for Patreon members.
They'll stay that way for a week and then go on general sale in February. All sessions are available to anyone who wants to buy a ticket, but the day session is generally targeting football professionals.
They'll stay that way for a week and then go on general sale in February. All sessions are available to anyone who wants to buy a ticket, but the day session is generally targeting football professionals.
Reposted by Ted Knutson
PL non-pen xG difference since start of December (so 9-10 games) 👀
January 26, 2026 at 10:33 AM
PL non-pen xG difference since start of December (so 9-10 games) 👀
Aston Villa? Bangers FC.
Harry Wilson? Bangers MC.
Nothing but the hits, and can only score from three-point range.
Harry Wilson? Bangers MC.
Nothing but the hits, and can only score from three-point range.
January 26, 2026 at 9:48 AM
Aston Villa? Bangers FC.
Harry Wilson? Bangers MC.
Nothing but the hits, and can only score from three-point range.
Harry Wilson? Bangers MC.
Nothing but the hits, and can only score from three-point range.
Reposted by Ted Knutson
Released the 100th episode of my podcast today.
Talked all things Liverpool with special guest @mixedknuts.bsky.social. Free to listen.
open.substack.com/pub/distance...
Talked all things Liverpool with special guest @mixedknuts.bsky.social. Free to listen.
open.substack.com/pub/distance...
Episode #100: Mixed Knuts
Listen now | The 100th episode of my weekly podcast, Distance Covered. Josh Williams hosts Ted Knutson.
open.substack.com
January 26, 2026 at 9:22 AM
Released the 100th episode of my podcast today.
Talked all things Liverpool with special guest @mixedknuts.bsky.social. Free to listen.
open.substack.com/pub/distance...
Talked all things Liverpool with special guest @mixedknuts.bsky.social. Free to listen.
open.substack.com/pub/distance...
I watch all the goals to put together @thetransferflow.bsky.social Monday columns, and Emi Martinez has been out of his mind.
Had a down year last season, but back to his shot-stopping best.
Had a down year last season, but back to his shot-stopping best.
January 26, 2026 at 8:40 AM
I watch all the goals to put together @thetransferflow.bsky.social Monday columns, and Emi Martinez has been out of his mind.
Had a down year last season, but back to his shot-stopping best.
Had a down year last season, but back to his shot-stopping best.
Variance Betting weekend...
3-0 on Premier League bets this weekend (special thanks to West Ham, Bournemouth, and *grinds teeth* Manchester United).
2-1-2 on Championship bets (one to play on Monday).
Yooge CL kickoff on Wednesday. Yooge. I cannot wait.
3-0 on Premier League bets this weekend (special thanks to West Ham, Bournemouth, and *grinds teeth* Manchester United).
2-1-2 on Championship bets (one to play on Monday).
Yooge CL kickoff on Wednesday. Yooge. I cannot wait.
January 25, 2026 at 7:00 PM
Variance Betting weekend...
3-0 on Premier League bets this weekend (special thanks to West Ham, Bournemouth, and *grinds teeth* Manchester United).
2-1-2 on Championship bets (one to play on Monday).
Yooge CL kickoff on Wednesday. Yooge. I cannot wait.
3-0 on Premier League bets this weekend (special thanks to West Ham, Bournemouth, and *grinds teeth* Manchester United).
2-1-2 on Championship bets (one to play on Monday).
Yooge CL kickoff on Wednesday. Yooge. I cannot wait.
*points at Kim's take*
*slinks back into the hedges*
*slinks back into the hedges*
Arsenal are fine. United under 1 xG, just conceded two catastrophic whoopsies and a banger. It sucks to watch if you're an Arsenal fan but I wouldn't draw any big conclusions from it. They're still the best team in the league.
Just wondering now if City wins it yet again or if somehow Villa does. We just don't have the right mentality to do it.
January 25, 2026 at 6:41 PM
*points at Kim's take*
*slinks back into the hedges*
*slinks back into the hedges*
Man United = Bangers FC?
Can we have two of those in the league at the same time?!?
Can we have two of those in the league at the same time?!?
January 25, 2026 at 6:15 PM
Man United = Bangers FC?
Can we have two of those in the league at the same time?!?
Can we have two of those in the league at the same time?!?
What a goal from Dorgu.
United players amazed by it as well.
United players amazed by it as well.
January 25, 2026 at 5:38 PM
What a goal from Dorgu.
United players amazed by it as well.
United players amazed by it as well.
I increasingly think the largest source of HSR's in the Premier League are corner transitions.
January 25, 2026 at 5:15 PM
I increasingly think the largest source of HSR's in the Premier League are corner transitions.
I genuinely thought Arsenal would be able to make this match boring after they scored.
They definitely have not.
They definitely have not.
January 25, 2026 at 5:10 PM
I genuinely thought Arsenal would be able to make this match boring after they scored.
They definitely have not.
They definitely have not.
A brilliant match for anyone who was not a Liverpool fan. Box office 5:30pm on a Saturday night stuff.
January 25, 2026 at 9:29 AM
A brilliant match for anyone who was not a Liverpool fan. Box office 5:30pm on a Saturday night stuff.
Reposted by Ted Knutson
On Patreon, @patrickbvs.bsky.social and @hvanbrewer.bsky.social attempt to fix Tottenham in just one hour.
They break down:
• Who Spurs should sell
• Midfield rebuild targets
• Van de Ven sale debate
• Striker and winger options
Join now for a bonus podcast every week:
patreon.com/thetransferflow
They break down:
• Who Spurs should sell
• Midfield rebuild targets
• Van de Ven sale debate
• Striker and winger options
Join now for a bonus podcast every week:
patreon.com/thetransferflow
The Transfer Flow | Patreon
patreon.com
January 23, 2026 at 6:48 PM
On Patreon, @patrickbvs.bsky.social and @hvanbrewer.bsky.social attempt to fix Tottenham in just one hour.
They break down:
• Who Spurs should sell
• Midfield rebuild targets
• Van de Ven sale debate
• Striker and winger options
Join now for a bonus podcast every week:
patreon.com/thetransferflow
They break down:
• Who Spurs should sell
• Midfield rebuild targets
• Van de Ven sale debate
• Striker and winger options
Join now for a bonus podcast every week:
patreon.com/thetransferflow
What 4K blu-rays do I need to buy from recent times?
January 23, 2026 at 4:45 PM
What 4K blu-rays do I need to buy from recent times?
Reposted by Ted Knutson
PSG has ruled over Ligue 1 under QSI ownership, although a surprising title winner has emerged every few yrs (2012 Montpellier, 2017 Monaco, 2021 Lille).
This week's post for @thetransferflow.bsky.social examines whether 2026 Lens can shock French football
www.thetransferflow.com/p/how-lens-a...
This week's post for @thetransferflow.bsky.social examines whether 2026 Lens can shock French football
www.thetransferflow.com/p/how-lens-a...
How Lens are keeping pace with PSG in the Ligue 1 title race
With 9 wins in a row, Les Sang et Or are looking capable of toppling the giants.
www.thetransferflow.com
January 22, 2026 at 4:27 PM
PSG has ruled over Ligue 1 under QSI ownership, although a surprising title winner has emerged every few yrs (2012 Montpellier, 2017 Monaco, 2021 Lille).
This week's post for @thetransferflow.bsky.social examines whether 2026 Lens can shock French football
www.thetransferflow.com/p/how-lens-a...
This week's post for @thetransferflow.bsky.social examines whether 2026 Lens can shock French football
www.thetransferflow.com/p/how-lens-a...
PSG going to end up with like 30 shots on 1 goal. Le mew, le football.
January 20, 2026 at 9:52 PM
PSG going to end up with like 30 shots on 1 goal. Le mew, le football.
People said this one was good. You can make your own judgments - lord knows we do!
New podcast! @patrickbvs.bsky.social and @mixedknuts.bsky.social talk about:
• Carrick getting it right vs. City
• Midfielders who could improve United
• Weird Real Madrid rumours
• Why Arsenal are well off their best
www.youtube.com/watch?v=vcte...
• Carrick getting it right vs. City
• Midfielders who could improve United
• Weird Real Madrid rumours
• Why Arsenal are well off their best
www.youtube.com/watch?v=vcte...
How Carrick Used Pep’s Tactics Against Him
YouTube video by The Transfer Flow
www.youtube.com
January 20, 2026 at 12:16 PM
People said this one was good. You can make your own judgments - lord knows we do!
Oh My God, so many Champions League and Championship matches to analyse.
Expect a new Variance Betting column in your inbox this afternoon, complete with my picks.
Expect a new Variance Betting column in your inbox this afternoon, complete with my picks.
January 20, 2026 at 9:44 AM
Oh My God, so many Champions League and Championship matches to analyse.
Expect a new Variance Betting column in your inbox this afternoon, complete with my picks.
Expect a new Variance Betting column in your inbox this afternoon, complete with my picks.
Reposted by Ted Knutson
New podcast! @patrickbvs.bsky.social and @mixedknuts.bsky.social talk about:
• Carrick getting it right vs. City
• Midfielders who could improve United
• Weird Real Madrid rumours
• Why Arsenal are well off their best
www.youtube.com/watch?v=vcte...
• Carrick getting it right vs. City
• Midfielders who could improve United
• Weird Real Madrid rumours
• Why Arsenal are well off their best
www.youtube.com/watch?v=vcte...
How Carrick Used Pep’s Tactics Against Him
YouTube video by The Transfer Flow
www.youtube.com
January 19, 2026 at 7:51 PM
New podcast! @patrickbvs.bsky.social and @mixedknuts.bsky.social talk about:
• Carrick getting it right vs. City
• Midfielders who could improve United
• Weird Real Madrid rumours
• Why Arsenal are well off their best
www.youtube.com/watch?v=vcte...
• Carrick getting it right vs. City
• Midfielders who could improve United
• Weird Real Madrid rumours
• Why Arsenal are well off their best
www.youtube.com/watch?v=vcte...
TTF Feedback Today:
"Very harsh on Palace ownership there, Ted.
Glasner has been backed with several signings and the club loses tens of millions each Season. He knew what he was signing up for!"
Did Steve Parrish write this?
"Very harsh on Palace ownership there, Ted.
Glasner has been backed with several signings and the club loses tens of millions each Season. He knew what he was signing up for!"
Did Steve Parrish write this?
January 19, 2026 at 4:18 PM
TTF Feedback Today:
"Very harsh on Palace ownership there, Ted.
Glasner has been backed with several signings and the club loses tens of millions each Season. He knew what he was signing up for!"
Did Steve Parrish write this?
"Very harsh on Palace ownership there, Ted.
Glasner has been backed with several signings and the club loses tens of millions each Season. He knew what he was signing up for!"
Did Steve Parrish write this?
Lewis is really bright and a great follow, but I want to nuance something we'll discuss in the pod tomorrow:
The PL top talent is largely BETTER than historic teams right now. It's just the fact that EVERYONE has talent and like a World Top 30 budget that lowers points for good teams.
The PL top talent is largely BETTER than historic teams right now. It's just the fact that EVERYONE has talent and like a World Top 30 budget that lowers points for good teams.
Yep, every single Premier League game is difficult. It's being dismissed as a weak league when it's the opposite - yeah the top 2-3 might not be quite as good as in the past, but teams 10-20 are arguably better than teams in those positions have basically ever been.
January 18, 2026 at 6:31 PM
Lewis is really bright and a great follow, but I want to nuance something we'll discuss in the pod tomorrow:
The PL top talent is largely BETTER than historic teams right now. It's just the fact that EVERYONE has talent and like a World Top 30 budget that lowers points for good teams.
The PL top talent is largely BETTER than historic teams right now. It's just the fact that EVERYONE has talent and like a World Top 30 budget that lowers points for good teams.