Ted Knutson
@mixedknuts.bsky.social
6.9K followers 210 following 1.5K posts
Founder, StatsBomb, Variance Incorporated. @thetransferflow Daily Rumours newsletter https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Frmr: Brentford FC, Pinnacle, SB
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mixedknuts.bsky.social
Related to Man Down stuff... some of you might need to be a little more flexible when you try to find your Purpose in life.
mixedknuts.bsky.social
Good morning. We discussed lots of PL storyline, plus some insider details on the new football project I am involved in.

For over a decade, my fans have asked, "When are you buying a football club?"

Well...
thetransferflow.bsky.social
New podcast! @patrickbvs.bsky.social and @mixedknuts.bsky.social talk about:

• Salah's decline and what Liverpool can do about it
• Another terrible performance from Barca
• Lampard returning to the Prem?
• Ted's new project

www.youtube.com/watch?v=S6mV...
Will Salah’s Decline RUIN Liverpool’s Title Hopes? | Ep. 129
YouTube video by The Transfer Flow
www.youtube.com
Reposted by Ted Knutson
thetransferflow.bsky.social
New podcast! @patrickbvs.bsky.social and @mixedknuts.bsky.social talk about:

• Salah's decline and what Liverpool can do about it
• Another terrible performance from Barca
• Lampard returning to the Prem?
• Ted's new project

www.youtube.com/watch?v=S6mV...
Will Salah’s Decline RUIN Liverpool’s Title Hopes? | Ep. 129
YouTube video by The Transfer Flow
www.youtube.com
mixedknuts.bsky.social
Let's just check in on how Mohamed Salah is doing this season at Liverpool.
Reposted by Ted Knutson
mtsw.bsky.social
A better world is possible
brenttoderian.bsky.social
According to the City of Paris, in the last 10 years 150K trees have been planted & 45ha of parks created in the already hot city, all intended to not only improve quality-of-life today, but also help the city adapt to & manage summer heatwaves of 50℃ (122F) by 2050.

Just the start.

Common sense.
Paris before and after street transformation New urban forest planted in front of Paris City Hall A Paris “School Street” where cars are removed and people space/tree planting are added
mixedknuts.bsky.social
Back to Chelsea soon?

It's not luck this season - their underlying numbers are legit great. Coventry are the best attacking side in the country this season.
mixedknuts.bsky.social
Pinnacle
Brentford + FC Midtjylland
StatsBomb
@TheTransferFlow
Crux Football

There's so much left to do.
mixedknuts.bsky.social
I took this sighting as a VERY good portent for what was to come next.
mixedknuts.bsky.social
I love "littlebit" so much. Takes me home.
mixedknuts.bsky.social
+.5 on the CL last night.
+ 2 on the Championship.

A +4.5 midweek!

(If you bet 10£ per match in the analysis, you would have won about 40£)

Feels amazing to start the Variance Betting season on a heater.
mixedknuts.bsky.social
+1 on CL bets last night.
+1 on Championship as well.

More to come on both of those leagues in the Variance Betting column later today.

We produce gambling analysis for the EPL, English Championship, and UEFA Champions League.

And we are VERY good at it.

www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade
The Transfer Flow
Upgrade your subscription to join The Transfer Flow's premium community.
www.thetransferflow.com
mixedknuts.bsky.social
+1 on CL bets last night.
+1 on Championship as well.

More to come on both of those leagues in the Variance Betting column later today.

We produce gambling analysis for the EPL, English Championship, and UEFA Champions League.

And we are VERY good at it.

www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade
The Transfer Flow
Upgrade your subscription to join The Transfer Flow's premium community.
www.thetransferflow.com
mixedknuts.bsky.social
Walked into a random coffee shop in France...
mixedknuts.bsky.social
This might be the largest Popeye's I have ever seen.
Reposted by Ted Knutson
thetransferflow.bsky.social
The online gambling space is full of scammers.

The bookies are turning sports betting into a rigged game that no one can win.

We want to help people who enjoy betting on football avoid getting screwed.

www.thetransferflow.com/p/why-we-re-...
Why we're writing about gambling
The books are screwing their customers. How to avoid losing a rigged game.
www.thetransferflow.com
mixedknuts.bsky.social
That's cool. I'm explaining from someone who collected data and experimented with results in an attempt to improve it... tagged data there is probably always going to be lossy. The RIGHT way to do this and get quality data is tracking + ML.
mixedknuts.bsky.social
Having tested this, you would be consistently wrong in that assumption. Especially when it changes. (They are collecting many other pieces of data at the same time, and sometimes the CORRECT info is spoofed by player errors vs what the coach wants.)
mixedknuts.bsky.social
It is IMPOSSIBLE for this to be done via tagging. The only way it comes even close to working is machine learning off tracking and EVEN THEN... players screw it up pretty frequently. (I know this bc coaches tell me.)
mixedknuts.bsky.social
5-0 on Premier League bets this weekend and a gorgeous tourist run through Copenhagen with the autumn morning light.
mixedknuts.bsky.social
Premier League betting digging me out of a ridiculous Championship day by winning all of them.

Unusual, but I like it.
a man with red hair and a beard is standing in the woods
ALT: a man with red hair and a beard is standing in the woods
media.tenor.com
mixedknuts.bsky.social
One of you rec'd Kiin Kiin in Copenhagen to me and it was outrageously good and fun Michelin-starred Thai food.

Will happily go back in the future.
mixedknuts.bsky.social
"Mmm, Premier League betting...

VERY dangerous.

You go first."

The first EPL Variance Betting column of the season will be in your inboxes later today.

www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade
www.thetransferflow.com