The Transfer Flow
@thetransferflow.bsky.social
7K followers 290 following 490 posts
FREE transfer newsletter with rumours + smart analysis from @mixedknuts.bsky.social. We'll tell you when your Director of Football should be fired. https://www.thetransferflow.com
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thetransferflow.bsky.social
Welcome new followers! We have a newsletter where folks who have worked in analytics for clubs and data companies cover all the biggest news and rumours in football.
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The Transfer Flow
www.thetransferflow.com
thetransferflow.bsky.social
New podcast! @patrickbvs.bsky.social and @hvanbrewer.bsky.social talk about why Lionel Messi hasn't gotten Americans to watch MLS.

Plus:

• Did Endrick go to Real Madrid too soon?
• Can Nuno fix West Ham?
• Who should sign Marc Guehi?

www.youtube.com/watch?v=GVXQ...
Why Americans STILL Don't Watch MLS (Even With Messi) | Ep. 130
YouTube video by The Transfer Flow
www.youtube.com
Reposted by The Transfer Flow
kimischilling.bsky.social
I sat down to research this thinking it would be about Semenyo being a breakout star. What I found was something different.

He's been really lucky, but the rest of Bournemouth has been really unlucky. They might weirdly get hot even if he cools off?

www.thetransferflow.com/p/antoine-se...
Antoine Semenyo will slow down, but Bournemouth won't
Why I like the Cherries despite doubting their star's hot start.
www.thetransferflow.com
thetransferflow.bsky.social
Antoine Semenyo is out-performing his underlying numbers by a surprising amount. But even when he comes back down to earth, Bournemouth will still be a great team.

www.thetransferflow.com/p/antoine-se...
Antoine Semenyo will slow down, but Bournemouth won't
Why I like the Cherries despite doubting their star's hot start.
www.thetransferflow.com
thetransferflow.bsky.social
New podcast! @patrickbvs.bsky.social and @mixedknuts.bsky.social talk about:

• Salah's decline and what Liverpool can do about it
• Another terrible performance from Barca
• Lampard returning to the Prem?
• Ted's new project

www.youtube.com/watch?v=S6mV...
Will Salah’s Decline RUIN Liverpool’s Title Hopes? | Ep. 129
YouTube video by The Transfer Flow
www.youtube.com
Reposted by The Transfer Flow
michaelcaley.bsky.social
from @kimischilling.bsky.social in the @thetransferflow.bsky.social newsletter today

the lack of passing in Tottenham's midfield is just spectacular, and I don't understand re-signing Bentancur in the context of a team that desperately needs to open up a roster spot for a passer
thetransferflow.bsky.social
Tottenham's biggest problem has no clear solution, and it's painful to watch.

Plus:

• Why FPL pros are picking up Gyökeres
• Games we're watching
• Stuff we're reading

www.thetransferflow.com/p/tottenham-...
Tottenham should consider a midfielder who can pass
Plus FPL thoughts on Gyökeres, games we're watching and stuff we're reading.
www.thetransferflow.com
thetransferflow.bsky.social
If you prefer your podcasts in audio-only format, you can find us on...

Apple: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/t...

Spotify: open.spotify.com/show/4cAgW0i...

RSS for other platforms: cms.megaphone.fm/channel/VI36...
Reposted by The Transfer Flow
thetransferflow.bsky.social
New podcast! @patrickbvs.bsky.social and @hvanbrewer.bsky.social talk the biggest stories in UCL and EPL:

• How PSG exploited Barca's big weakness
• Crystal Palace's hot start
• Arsenal's changing tactics

www.youtube.com/watch?v=d51k...
Is This One Weakness Killing Barcelona? | Ep. 128
YouTube video by The Transfer Flow
www.youtube.com
Reposted by The Transfer Flow
moesquare.bsky.social
Crystal Palace are gonna extend their unbeaten streak to 19 matches. They've been playing at a 68 point pace in the PL since the beginning of 2025, and sit in 3rd so far this season. I wrote about this run of success by them for
@thetransferflow.bsky.social www.thetransferflow.com/p/unique-sty...
Unique style setting up Crystal Palace for sustained success
Their table position is no fluke, and Oliver Glasner's stock is soaring.
www.thetransferflow.com
thetransferflow.bsky.social
New podcast! @patrickbvs.bsky.social and @hvanbrewer.bsky.social talk the biggest stories in UCL and EPL:

• How PSG exploited Barca's big weakness
• Crystal Palace's hot start
• Arsenal's changing tactics

www.youtube.com/watch?v=d51k...
Is This One Weakness Killing Barcelona? | Ep. 128
YouTube video by The Transfer Flow
www.youtube.com
Reposted by The Transfer Flow
moesquare.bsky.social
This week's article for @thetransferflow.bsky.social is on Crystal Palace. They've been rolling in 2025 so I wrote about their success, including:
- Bend but don't break mid-block
- Speed attacks
- Shifting PL tactical meta + Glasner's coaching scalability
www.thetransferflow.com/p/unique-sty...
Unique style setting up Crystal Palace for sustained success
Their table position is no fluke, and Oliver Glasner's stock is soaring.
www.thetransferflow.com
Reposted by The Transfer Flow
mixedknuts.bsky.social
+.5 on the CL last night.
+ 2 on the Championship.

A +4.5 midweek!

(If you bet 10£ per match in the analysis, you would have won about 40£)

Feels amazing to start the Variance Betting season on a heater.
mixedknuts.bsky.social
+1 on CL bets last night.
+1 on Championship as well.

More to come on both of those leagues in the Variance Betting column later today.

We produce gambling analysis for the EPL, English Championship, and UEFA Champions League.

And we are VERY good at it.

www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade
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thetransferflow.bsky.social
Crystal Palace are 3rd in the Premier League, and Oliver Glasner is getting linked to jobs at richer clubs.

What's working, what makes their system unique, and why it looks like they can keep winning:

www.thetransferflow.com/p/unique-sty...
Unique style setting up Crystal Palace for sustained success
Their table position is no fluke, and Oliver Glasner's stock is soaring.
www.thetransferflow.com
Reposted by The Transfer Flow
thetransferflow.bsky.social
Correct, the big corporate books limit winners. If you show patterns of winning play with large bets, you'll get limited to $1000 per day in under 24 hours. And if you're really good, you'll get limited to $1 bets.
stephencdean.bsky.social
I don’t think big corp books want any sort of skill based gambling. They have to pay for rights and employ people to set odds, this eats into bottom line where online casino doesn’t. Yesterday, Irish Cesarewitch horse race, 30 runner handicap. Some books betting to over 170%!
thetransferflow.bsky.social
The online gambling space is full of scammers.

The bookies are turning sports betting into a rigged game that no one can win.

We want to help people who enjoy betting on football avoid getting screwed.

www.thetransferflow.com/p/why-we-re-...
Why we're writing about gambling
The books are screwing their customers. How to avoid losing a rigged game.
www.thetransferflow.com
thetransferflow.bsky.social
If you missed any of our transfer grades over the last 2 weeks, we've rounded them all up in one place.

20 Premier League clubs and 20 from the European continent:

www.thetransferflow.com/p/all-our-tr...
All our transfer grades in one place
Grades for 20 Premier League teams and 20 from the European continent.
www.thetransferflow.com