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Francesco Raffaelli

@fraraffaelli.bsky.social

280 followers 240 following 33 posts

From 🇮🇹 Postdoc, University of Zurich 🇨🇭 Oxford PhD 🇬🇧

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Francesco Raffaelli @fraraffaelli.bsky.social · Aug 21

✨Very happy to see my paper "Attitudinal ambivalence toward multiculturalism" out on @jeppjournal.bsky.social !

www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

1/8 🧵

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Francesco Raffaelli @fraraffaelli.bsky.social · 22d

Glad if this helps! :)

Reposted by Francesco Raffaelli

Cas Ⓜ️udde @casmudde.bsky.social · 24d

Still, if you really wanted to focus on the support among youth, the obvious headline (and thus story) would have been:

Greens most popular party among young women.

🤬🤬🤬

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Reposted by Francesco Raffaelli

Cas Ⓜ️udde @casmudde.bsky.social · 24d

Clickbait headlines are a major source of misinformation and misrepresentation.

Useful headlines would have been:

1. Young men support Reform less than other men.

2. Age is much more important for Reform support than sex.

3. Reform is most popular party among 50+ men and women.

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Francesco Raffaelli @fraraffaelli.bsky.social · Sep 3

Brief life update: I moved to Zurich, started a postdoc at @ipz.bsky.social, and the city looks gorgeous

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Reposted by Francesco Raffaelli

Markus Kollberg @markuskollberg.bsky.social · Sep 3

Returning from vacation and looking for a late summer read? @ivobantel.bsky.social and I got you covered!

In our new @wepsocial.bsky.social paper, we assess how mainstream parties rhetorically create an affect-based "common front" against the radical right.

www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

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Reposted by Francesco Raffaelli

Francesco Raffaelli @fraraffaelli.bsky.social · Aug 21

✨Very happy to see my paper "Attitudinal ambivalence toward multiculturalism" out on @jeppjournal.bsky.social !

www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

1/8 🧵

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Francesco Raffaelli @fraraffaelli.bsky.social · Aug 21

This was one of the first ideas I worked on during my PhD at @politicsoxford.bsky.social. I am very grateful to @tabouchadi.bsky.social, @spyroskosmidis.bsky.social, & Jane Gingrich.

Also, great peer-review experience at JEPP ( @danjdevine.bsky.social): insightful reviewers and quick turnaround!

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Francesco Raffaelli @fraraffaelli.bsky.social · Aug 21

Progressive actors should know that:

1- Progressive voters do not fall for right-wing gender-framed anti-immigration arguments. In fact, they seem to reject them!

2- Even on the most contentious immigration issues, voters can hold positive nuances: it’s up to them to bring them to light!

7/8

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Francesco Raffaelli @fraraffaelli.bsky.social · Aug 21

🌍 - 🇳🇱 data suggest that this is because they *improve* their attitudes toward Muslims when multiculturalism gets politicised by far right parties.

For progressives, the politicisation of multiculturalism *de-activates* the "immigration - gender dilemma".

6/8

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Francesco Raffaelli @fraraffaelli.bsky.social · Aug 21

🌍 - Intuitively, we'd expect the "immigration - gender dilemma" mostly to play out among progressives.

but

In context of high salience on multiculturalism, educated left-wing voters become *less* ambivalent than their less educated peers.

5/8

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Francesco Raffaelli @fraraffaelli.bsky.social · Aug 21

How does this matter for the 🎓 academic and 🌍 "in real life" debates?

🎓 - Ambivalence affects political behaviour. At high levels of ambivalence, immigration attitudes fail to predict vote choice.

4/8

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Francesco Raffaelli @fraraffaelli.bsky.social · Aug 21

To study this type of nuances in immigration attitudes, I resort to:

1) original survey data from six European countries (🇦🇹🇨🇭🇩🇰🇩🇪🇸🇪🇪🇸)

2) additional original survey data from the 🇬🇧

3) repeated cross-sectional data from the 🇳🇱 to track attitudes toward Muslims in the last 30 years

3/8

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Francesco Raffaelli @fraraffaelli.bsky.social · Aug 21

Immigration attitudes in Europe are increasingly nuanced

I show that people can be *ambivalent toward multiculturalism*. They simultaneously have:

🟢 positive attitudes on immigrants' cultural contributions

🔴 concerns toward allegedly conservative gender norms of (Muslim) immigrants

2/8

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Francesco Raffaelli @fraraffaelli.bsky.social · Aug 21

✨Very happy to see my paper "Attitudinal ambivalence toward multiculturalism" out on @jeppjournal.bsky.social !

www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

1/8 🧵

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Francesco Raffaelli @fraraffaelli.bsky.social · Aug 7

I have the feeling that the bridge is about signalling that the govt is anti-regulation and pro-business (like, Renzi’s “il governo del fare”). I’d expect more people from Monza than from Messina to support it 😅

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Reposted by Francesco Raffaelli

Heike Klüver @heikekluever.bsky.social · Jul 9

📣 Call for Applications 📣

3-year Postdoc position in Berlin 🚀

Join our Comparative Political Behavior Group at @humboldtuni.bsky.social & the @humboldt-govlab.bsky.social

Great people, great projects, great city – come work with us!

🗓️ Deadline: 31 July 2025

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Francesco Raffaelli @fraraffaelli.bsky.social · Jul 9

Not an expert of LLMs or AI, but I can tell you that @antndlcrx.bsky.social is great!

(Nuffield’s canteen also deserve a shoutout)

Maksim Zubok @antndlcrx.bsky.social · Jul 9

Excited to announce the #OxfordLLMs tuition-free AI workshop for social scientists!

Join us for 5 days of lectures, coding tutorials, and collaborative research, to learn hot to use LLMs for social science🙂

Dates: 22-26 September
Venue: @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social
llmsforsocialscience.net

Oxford LLMs

A Workshop for Social Science Researchers

llmsforsocialscience.net

Reposted by Francesco Raffaelli

Tarik Abou-Chadi @tabouchadi.bsky.social · Jul 7

These age trade-offs constitute a dilemma for social democratic parties. In the short run, it is important to appeal to older voters to win elections. However, in doing this they alienate younger voters who build party attachments with more progressive parties.

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Reposted by Francesco Raffaelli

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez @aoc.bsky.social · Jul 3

I don’t think anyone is prepared for what they just did w/ ICE.

This is not a simple budget increase. It is an explosion - making ICE bigger than the FBI, US Bureau of Prisons, DEA,& others combined.

It is setting up to make what’s happening now look like child’s play. And people are disappearing.

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Reposted by Francesco Raffaelli

Franziska Veit @franziskaveit.bsky.social · Jun 27

Excited to present work on the impact of local unemployment in formative years on anti-immigration attitudes in adulthood tomorrow at #epsa2025

Saturday 11.20am-1pm
Room 1A.08

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Reposted by Francesco Raffaelli

Annina Hermes @anninahermes.bsky.social · Jun 26

Very excited to present my paper with @heikekluever.bsky.social on the consequences of far-right parties in government at #EPSA2025 on Friday!
🗓️ Friday 4:50-6:30
📍 Room 0A.06 | Panel P10-S253

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Francesco Raffaelli @fraraffaelli.bsky.social · Jun 24

Tbh I didn’t organize the panel, but very excited to see and discuss all these cool papers! ;)

Francesco Raffaelli @fraraffaelli.bsky.social · Jun 11

🇬🇧 data question here:

I’m looking for an over-time (survey?) measure of party brand recognition and/or voters’ left-right placement of parties for *Reform UK*. Ideally it would cover *2024*

Any ideas?

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Francesco Raffaelli @fraraffaelli.bsky.social · Jun 3

Thanks, Mirko!

Francesco Raffaelli @fraraffaelli.bsky.social · Jun 2

Thanks!!