Giulio Burgio
@giulioburgio.bsky.social
50 followers 68 following 2 posts
Postdoc @asanchezlab.bsky.social‬ @ibfg.bsky.social Former Postdoc @vcsi.bsky.social | MSCActions PhD Fellow @urv.cat‬ Physics of Complex Systems
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Reposted by Giulio Burgio
sorianopanos.bsky.social
Really happy to see this out in PRX Life! There you can find an eco-evolutionary framework integrating the evolution of viral infectiousness and antigenic features. While the former determines contagion events among hosts, the latter tells us how quickly viruses can escape population immunity 1/4👇
giulioburgio.bsky.social
Very cool interactive story, @jstonge.bsky.social!

"[...] real social cascades aren't simply branching processes with fixed rules." A self-reinforcing mechanism is what we propose in a recent piece led by the one and only @lhd.bsky.social.
lhd.bsky.social
Our Physical Review Letter looks at how to get power-law distributions of cascade size without tuning or self-organization to criticality by allowing cascades to improve in quality and jump over gaps or dead-ends

TL;DR complex-stories.uvm.edu/friends-funn...

Paper: journals.aps.org/prl/abstract...
complex-stories.uvm.edu
Reposted by Giulio Burgio
sfiscience.bsky.social
It might start as a joke, belief, or rumor, easy to dismiss. But then it twists, builds momentum, and spreads like wildfire. Why do some ideas die out while others go viral?

A new study by researchers from the University of Vermont and the Santa Fe Institute offers answers: santafe.edu/news
Reposted by Giulio Burgio
vcsi.bsky.social
Our team had an amazing week at @ic2s2.bsky.social in Norrköping Sweden and we will post pictures of our posters and talks soon - the big news is that we're so excited to host #IC2S2 in Burlington in 2026! youtu.be/p412S4GnPkc
giulioburgio.bsky.social
Not sure we'll ever understand adaptive systems enough. But what we're sure of is that one basic reason is that you can't even start to describe them properly w/o preserving local dynamical correlations.

A fun and frustrating long way to go.

w/ the amazing @lhd.bsky.social & @gstonge.bsky.social.
Reposted by Giulio Burgio
seeslab.bsky.social
During a pandemic such as COVID19, we hope (but fail) to accurately estimate the incidence of the disease. In this paper, we propose a new approach to machine-learn models of the real incidence from readily available information (tests and detected cases) dx.doi.org/10.1371/jour...
Reposted by Giulio Burgio
lhd.bsky.social
Some decisions are best made quickly and locally. Governance can work better as a higher-order network, not a pyramid around a central state. How should we design these networks?

We looked at this with law and complexity scholars and found "effective governance" networks.

arxiv.org/abs/2412.03421
Cartoon of a top-down central state combined with a local network of decisions units. Cartoon of decisions as a statisfiability problem (decision network) where each decision is solved by a higher-order network (governance network) of agents with their own opinions on what decisions should be made.
Reposted by Giulio Burgio
juniperlov.bsky.social
We are thrilled to share our new pre-print, “Self-Reinforcing Cascades: A Spreading Model for Beliefs or Products of Varying Intensity or Quality,” now available on arXiv! arxiv.org/pdf/2411.00714