Gust23
@gust2319.bsky.social
Hello! I like talking about politics on the internet.
While there is a limit of how much one opinion poll can say, this is probably the most staggering Danish poll I have seen in a long time.
This is the worst poll for red bloc in this entire electoral term and by far the best poll for blue bloc, which would have a 94-81 majority.
This is the worst poll for red bloc in this entire electoral term and by far the best poll for blue bloc, which would have a 94-81 majority.
November 28, 2025 at 11:37 AM
While there is a limit of how much one opinion poll can say, this is probably the most staggering Danish poll I have seen in a long time.
This is the worst poll for red bloc in this entire electoral term and by far the best poll for blue bloc, which would have a 94-81 majority.
This is the worst poll for red bloc in this entire electoral term and by far the best poll for blue bloc, which would have a 94-81 majority.
The Danish People's Party (O) wins the position of mayor in Slagelse Municipality after the other right-wing parties ended up offering the position during the negotiations.
November 23, 2025 at 3:24 PM
The Danish People's Party (O) wins the position of mayor in Slagelse Municipality after the other right-wing parties ended up offering the position during the negotiations.
Did two maps of the 2025 Danish municipal (left) and regional (right) elections by polling area.
November 23, 2025 at 12:44 PM
Did two maps of the 2025 Danish municipal (left) and regional (right) elections by polling area.
Speaking of the regions, the positions of chairman of each new health council were also distributed on Tuesday. Here's a map showing what party won each position.
Note that they are elected by a majority in each regional council; the result in the local area is not decisive.
Note that they are elected by a majority in each regional council; the result in the local area is not decisive.
November 20, 2025 at 9:07 PM
Speaking of the regions, the positions of chairman of each new health council were also distributed on Tuesday. Here's a map showing what party won each position.
Note that they are elected by a majority in each regional council; the result in the local area is not decisive.
Note that they are elected by a majority in each regional council; the result in the local area is not decisive.
DR did a cool election map of the Region Østdanmark election, showing the approximate place of residence of each elected councilor. Shows how having an at-large election in a single massive constituency does not mean you can't have a decent geographic representation of places.
November 20, 2025 at 9:04 PM
DR did a cool election map of the Region Østdanmark election, showing the approximate place of residence of each elected councilor. Shows how having an at-large election in a single massive constituency does not mean you can't have a decent geographic representation of places.
Also did a map showing the largest party in each municipality and region.
November 19, 2025 at 3:25 AM
Also did a map showing the largest party in each municipality and region.
Did a map showing the party winning the position of mayor in each Danish municipality. Darker colors indicate it's a flip. Result is to be determined for the ones colored in gray.
November 19, 2025 at 3:25 AM
Did a map showing the party winning the position of mayor in each Danish municipality. Darker colors indicate it's a flip. Result is to be determined for the ones colored in gray.
In Copenhagen it seems that AFÅ will NOT get a majority of seats. 33.6% counted.
November 18, 2025 at 11:32 PM
In Copenhagen it seems that AFÅ will NOT get a majority of seats. 33.6% counted.
Maybe the most insane result in Køge Municipality. Wtf this is a crushing blow. There was a red bloc majority before today.
November 18, 2025 at 11:17 PM
Maybe the most insane result in Køge Municipality. Wtf this is a crushing blow. There was a red bloc majority before today.
This is a wild result and a bloodbath for the Social Democrats.
November 18, 2025 at 10:40 PM
This is a wild result and a bloodbath for the Social Democrats.
Here is an initial projection of the Copenhagen municipal election with 1 polling place and 1% of votes reported.
November 18, 2025 at 9:58 PM
Here is an initial projection of the Copenhagen municipal election with 1 polling place and 1% of votes reported.
Here's a projection of the municipal elections at the national level
November 18, 2025 at 9:04 PM
Here's a projection of the municipal elections at the national level
Here is a map of the probability that the incumbent party in each municipality in Denmark keeps the position of mayor after the 18 November election, according to betting odds.
Municipalities colored black have no odds.
Municipalities colored black have no odds.
November 2, 2025 at 2:46 PM
Here is a map of the probability that the incumbent party in each municipality in Denmark keeps the position of mayor after the 18 November election, according to betting odds.
Municipalities colored black have no odds.
Municipalities colored black have no odds.
I have been following the Dutch election, and it basically will come down to the very last reported votes, what majorities are possible. D66 is very close a 27th seat, which would make D66-VVD-CDA-JA21 just exactly have a majority of 76 seats.
October 30, 2025 at 12:59 PM
I have been following the Dutch election, and it basically will come down to the very last reported votes, what majorities are possible. D66 is very close a 27th seat, which would make D66-VVD-CDA-JA21 just exactly have a majority of 76 seats.
The Danish pollster Epinion just did a massive poll for the municipal election with more than 100,000 respondents. Here's a map showing what party, according to the poll, would get a plurality of the vote in each municipality and region.
October 22, 2025 at 6:40 AM
The Danish pollster Epinion just did a massive poll for the municipal election with more than 100,000 respondents. Here's a map showing what party, according to the poll, would get a plurality of the vote in each municipality and region.
Here is a perhaps more accurate depiction, where the polling result for M, and blue bloc without M is also shown.
October 20, 2025 at 9:27 AM
Here is a perhaps more accurate depiction, where the polling result for M, and blue bloc without M is also shown.
Here is the one image that explains why Mette Frederiksen is currently in a lot of trouble. She is currently set to lose the left-wing parliamentary majority, which could threaten her position of Prime Minister after the next election.
October 20, 2025 at 9:27 AM
Here is the one image that explains why Mette Frederiksen is currently in a lot of trouble. She is currently set to lose the left-wing parliamentary majority, which could threaten her position of Prime Minister after the next election.
Here's the overview of the number of candidate lists and number of candidates corresponding to each party letter at the Danish municipal election. Parties with national ballot access (A, B, C, etc.) are uniquely assigned its corresponding letter. The remaining are not reserved.
October 7, 2025 at 8:49 PM
Here's the overview of the number of candidate lists and number of candidates corresponding to each party letter at the Danish municipal election. Parties with national ballot access (A, B, C, etc.) are uniquely assigned its corresponding letter. The remaining are not reserved.
Here are the electoral alliances announced for the municipal election in Copenhagen. It is one of the most high profile ones in years because its outcome is open.
Tomorrow is the deadline for approving candidate lists and electoral alliances for the Danish municipal elections.
Tomorrow is the deadline for approving candidate lists and electoral alliances for the Danish municipal elections.
October 5, 2025 at 10:08 PM
Here are the electoral alliances announced for the municipal election in Copenhagen. It is one of the most high profile ones in years because its outcome is open.
Tomorrow is the deadline for approving candidate lists and electoral alliances for the Danish municipal elections.
Tomorrow is the deadline for approving candidate lists and electoral alliances for the Danish municipal elections.
With more than 99% of votes counted, PAS will win a majority of seats and a majority of votes. I made a dumb mistake in excel which slightly underestimated its final vote share, although the seat distribution does not change.
September 29, 2025 at 6:21 AM
With more than 99% of votes counted, PAS will win a majority of seats and a majority of votes. I made a dumb mistake in excel which slightly underestimated its final vote share, although the seat distribution does not change.
That's the last I will update it tonight. Almost all the remaining votes are from abrod. Results should keep coming in through the night.
September 28, 2025 at 10:29 PM
That's the last I will update it tonight. Almost all the remaining votes are from abrod. Results should keep coming in through the night.
