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Jeremy Horpedahl @horp.bsky.social · 3d

Crime is one campaign issue where Trump is just barely treading water

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Jeremy Horpedahl @horp.bsky.social · 3d

These were Trump's major campaign issues

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Jeremy Horpedahl @horp.bsky.social · 3d

The increase in life expectancy is not solely a function of reduced child mortality. Life expectancy at age 15 has also increased dramatically in the past 100-200 years.

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Jeremy Horpedahl @horp.bsky.social · Jan 26

I am now writing occasionally for Cato as an adjunct scholar. Here is my first blog post, on the misuse of negative externalities:

www.cato.org/blog/not-eve...

Not Everything You Dislike Is a "Negative Externality"

Not everything that annoys us or seems inefficient is a negative externality, yet policymakers often misuse this concept to justify costly and misguided interventions.

www.cato.org

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Reposted by Jeremy Horpedahl

M. Nolan Gray 🥑 @mnolangray.bsky.social · Jan 8

A parking lot turns into 75 homes over shops in Sacramento. (2017➡️2020)

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Jeremy Horpedahl @horp.bsky.social · Jan 8

Thanks Walter, I am excited!

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Jeremy Horpedahl @horp.bsky.social · Dec 18

Leip's Atlas seems to be the most complete count: uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/nati...

As a % of the voting eligible population, this is about 63.5% turnout. Other than 2020, that's the highest since 1960 (63.8%), and the 3rd highest since 1908

election.lab.ufl.edu/national-tur...

https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/nation…

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Jeremy Horpedahl @horp.bsky.social · Dec 18

Remember "20 million missing votes" in the days after the election?

Now that most ballots have been counted, there were about 3 million fewer votes in 2024 than 2020: 155.5 vs 158.6 million

That's notable, but 2024 still has one of the highest turnout rates in 100 years

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Jeremy Horpedahl @horp.bsky.social · Dec 5

He shared it on Facebook and X

Here's a post that I wrote on the changing composition of spending

economistwritingeveryday.com/2023/11/22/l...

Jeremy Horpedahl @horp.bsky.social · Dec 5

Has economic progress stopped since 1971? No. Most goods and services are more affordable for the average worker today than 1971. Housing is a notable and important exception

economistwritingeveryday.com/2024/12/04/t...

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Jeremy Horpedahl @horp.bsky.social · Dec 2

People have long complained about the rising cost of food. And in the 1970s families were well within their rights to complain: grocery prices indeed rose much faster than wages!

Contrast that with the most recent decade...

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Jeremy Horpedahl @horp.bsky.social · Dec 2

100 year standard-of-living comparison from Antony Davies. As he summarizes:

"the median US worker today has a quality of life similar to the top 1% in 1924, and a minimum wage worker today has a quality of life similar to the middle-class in 1924"

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Reposted by Jeremy Horpedahl

Seabird @seabirdreader.bsky.social · Nov 27

We love links at Seabird! Our platform is 100% dedicated to linking out. Posts with links are actually the only kind of posts our users can share. seabirdreader.com

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Jeremy Horpedahl @horp.bsky.social · Nov 27

It's fun to look at prices from the past, such as this 1899 Thanksgiving menu from the Plaza Hotel in NYC. But don't let those prices fool you: wages are over 200 times higher today: economistwritingeveryday.com/2024/11/27/d...

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Reposted by Jeremy Horpedahl

Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias.bsky.social · Nov 24

They should just rename vaccines “supplements” so everyone will like them.

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Jeremy Horpedahl @horp.bsky.social · Nov 22

Can anything top Na h-Eileanan an Iar?

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Reposted by Jeremy Horpedahl

Kevin Erdmann @kevinerdmann.bsky.social · Nov 21

At a zoning board meeting the phrase “we’ve eliminated all school aged children” was just uttered in DEFENSE of a project.

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Reposted by Jeremy Horpedahl

Basil Halperin @basilhalperin.com · Nov 12

This from @zmazlish.bsky.social is THE analysis of wages/income under Biden-Powell
jzmazlish.substack.com/p/yes-inflat...

TLDR: growth has been... historically weak (this is not normative -- just the numbers)

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Reposted by Jeremy Horpedahl

Joey Politano🏳️‍🌈 @josephpolitano.bsky.social · Nov 9

Incredibly dim stuff to watch go up the chain to the president elect

Elon musk posting an “interesting” in response to Ron Paul saying the Fed is unconstitutional

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Reposted by Jeremy Horpedahl

Jacob Grier @jacobgrier.bsky.social · Nov 7

23 mostly dismal thoughts on the election, worth exactly what you pay for them. (My blog is free.) www.jacobgrier.com/blog/2024/11...

23 mostly dismal thoughts about the election

1. Well, this sucks.2. Going for an evening bike ride last night on eerily empty streets as the ominous Portland crows flocked into my neighborhood, the feeling it most reminded me of was the las

www.jacobgrier.com

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Reposted by Jeremy Horpedahl

Radley Balko @radleybalko.bsky.social · Nov 7

Good stuff from Jacob.

Jacob Grier @jacobgrier.bsky.social · Nov 7

23 mostly dismal thoughts on the election, worth exactly what you pay for them. (My blog is free.) www.jacobgrier.com/blog/2024/11...

23 mostly dismal thoughts about the election

1. Well, this sucks.2. Going for an evening bike ride last night on eerily empty streets as the ominous Portland crows flocked into my neighborhood, the feeling it most reminded me of was the las

www.jacobgrier.com

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Jeremy Horpedahl @horp.bsky.social · Nov 7

About 9:30pm (CT) last night, I posted on Twitter that it was likely Harris would lose all the Blue Wall states. By 11pm, I said it was definitely over. But the AP and others wouldn't call it for over 5 hours later.

How?

I watched prediction markets: economistwritingeveryday.com/2024/11/06/b...

Big Win for Prediction Markets

Last night was a big win for Trump, but it was also a big win for prediction markets. In January 2024, I suggested that one of the best ways to follow the election was by following prediction marke…

economistwritingeveryday.com

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Jeremy Horpedahl @horp.bsky.social · Nov 7

Yeah, they have retracted

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Jeremy Horpedahl @horp.bsky.social · Nov 6

1. CPI inflation peaked in June 2022, 29 months ago: fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CPIAU...

2. Crime peaked in July 2022, 28 months ago: realtimecrimeindex.com

3. Wages rising faster than prices since March 2023, 20 months ago: fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=1z5B5

4. S&P 500 up 43% in 18 months

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Jeremy Horpedahl @horp.bsky.social · Nov 6

The good news is that within 1 year, a large majority of Americans will acknowledge the following (which have all been true for at least ~18 months):

1. Inflation rate is falling
2. Crime is falling
3. Wages are rising faster than prices
4. Stock market is booming

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