Ilayda B. Onder
@ilaydaonder.bsky.social
1.8K followers 840 following 29 posts
Assistant Professor of Political Science at Texas A&M, studying political violence, civil conflict, and rebel organizations. https://www.ilaydaonder.com/
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ilaydaonder.bsky.social
One of my recent articles has now been officially assigned page numbers in Journal of Conflict Resolution.

🔍 Key finding: The spatial distribution of loyal, disloyal, and wavering rebel supporters explains who gets targeted and where.

Check it out here: doi.org/10.1177/0022...
ilaydaonder.bsky.social
Finn Klebe will be presenting our joint project that we’ve been developing over the past year. Join the panel tomorrow to hear about our dataset on defections across and co-membership among rebel and nonviolent resistance groups.
finnklebe.bsky.social
Equally excited to share two projects that we are presenting for the first time. Come join us tomorrow 11 Sep 4:00pm for new data & analysis on the impact of rebel defection & co-membership on civilian victimization in conflict (new project w/ @ilaydaonder.bsky.social). 4-papers & great discussants!
ilaydaonder.bsky.social
We’re accepting submissions for Fall 2025 until August 14.

If you’re on the market, it’s a great chance to practice your job talk with an audience!

We also welcome paper presentations.

Apply here: iu.co1.qualtrics.com/jfe/form/SV_...
ilaydaonder.bsky.social
In our new article, we show that groups that claim credit for attacks have shorter lifespans. Not because of government crackdowns, but likely from internal breakdowns.

These findings raise questions about how state threats shape terrorist behavior and whether the logic of deterrence really holds.
ilaydaonder.bsky.social
One of my recent articles has now been officially assigned page numbers in Journal of Conflict Resolution.

🔍 Key finding: The spatial distribution of loyal, disloyal, and wavering rebel supporters explains who gets targeted and where.

Check it out here: doi.org/10.1177/0022...
Reposted by Ilayda B. Onder
polviolencepapers.bsky.social
Check out this new JoGSS article on rebel fragmentation!

Using the PKK in Turkey as a case study, @ulaserdogdu.bsky.social identifies two pathways to rebel fragmentation: democratization creating divides over armed struggle and foreign military intervention empowering rival groups.
ilaydaonder.bsky.social
Double trouble, couch snuggle…
ilaydaonder.bsky.social
Would like to be added, if possible!
ilaydaonder.bsky.social
Based on overwhelming community feedback (okay, 3 people), I’ve decided that @polviolencepapers.bsky.social will also cover new publications on political violence in addition to working papers.

Tag the account when sharing your new articles to help grow this space!
ilaydaonder.bsky.social
I’ve created @polviolencepapers.bsky.social to repost working papers on political violence. Since Bluesky doesn’t have a bookmark function yet, I thought we needed a dedicated space to store all those working papers often shared here.
ilaydaonder.bsky.social
Thanks! Hope I can help it gain functionality
ilaydaonder.bsky.social
Resharing this for those who missed it last night. Follow @polviolencepapers.bsky.social and share if you think this could be a useful resource. I’m trying to assess interest in this initiative.
ilaydaonder.bsky.social
I’ve created @polviolencepapers.bsky.social to repost working papers on political violence. Since Bluesky doesn’t have a bookmark function yet, I thought we needed a dedicated space to store all those working papers often shared here.
ilaydaonder.bsky.social
Follow the account and repost this if you’re interested! Tag @polviolencepapers.bsky.social when sharing your working paper on armed conflict, civil war, insurgency, terrorism, extremism, or post-conflict state/society to get it reposted.
ilaydaonder.bsky.social
I’ve created @polviolencepapers.bsky.social to repost working papers on political violence. Since Bluesky doesn’t have a bookmark function yet, I thought we needed a dedicated space to store all those working papers often shared here.
ilaydaonder.bsky.social
I'd love to be added in the list!
ilaydaonder.bsky.social
Our article on the lasting impact of rebel governance on post-conflict state and citizens' perceptions of state institutions now has page numbers and is open-access in Comparative Political Studies.

Check out here: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
ilaydaonder.bsky.social
We are now accepting proposals for this year's Junior Scholars in Quantitative Conflict Workshop.

Please share, apply, and volunteer, if you can, to serve as a discussant.
maryumalam.bsky.social
🚨We are excited to announce the 2024-25 call for papers for the Junior Scholars in Quantitative Conflict Workshop. More info below and at our site: juniorquantconflict.wixsite.com/workshop
Submissions are due Oct 31. utdallas.qualtrics.com/jfe/form/SV_...

Please circulate widely -- thank you!
ilaydaonder.bsky.social
I use an original dataset recording the specific characteristics of civilians targeted by the PKK’s coercive acts in Kurdish-majority provinces of Turkey to highlight individual or community-level characteristics of civilians, beyond ethnic or identity-cleavages, in rebel-civilian interactions.
ilaydaonder.bsky.social
In this article, I introduce a new typology of rebel constituency members and examine how the subnational spatial distribution of rebel constituency members with varying levels of support for the government influence rebels' civilian victimization strategies.
ilaydaonder.bsky.social
New publication!

What is the long-term impact of rebel governance? We use survey data from Turkey to show that individual engagement with rebel governance institutions and personal conflict experience decrease future trust in the Turkish state.

journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....
The Legacies of Rebel Rule in Southeast Turkey - Cyanne E. Loyle, Ilayda B. Onder, 2023
During armed conflict civilians often inhabit areas of contested governance or areas where rebel groups, NGOs, and/or criminal syndicates vie for authority and ...
journals.sagepub.com
ilaydaonder.bsky.social
It has been official for a while but I am happy to share that I will be joining the Department of Political Science at Texas A&M University as an Assistant Professor in Fall 2024. Thanks to everyone who has offered support throughout this process!
Reposted by Ilayda B. Onder
Reposted by Ilayda B. Onder
goodauth.bsky.social
🎙️FYI @danigilbert.bsky.social also did an interview on the Politicology podcast talking about this piece and more on the hostage crisis: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/p...
ilaydaonder.bsky.social
My article titled "Signaling Resolve through Credit-Claiming" now has an issue number in International Interactions. I show that younger armed groups and groups that recently suffered leadership decapitation publicly claim more attacks to burnish their reputation. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Signaling Resolve through Credit-claiming
What explains when militant groups claim attacks? In this study, I argue that militant groups are more likely to claim attacks early in the organization’s lifespan and after major blows to reputati....
www.tandfonline.com
ilaydaonder.bsky.social
My analysis shows that even groups that initially favor targeting the security forces resort to civilian victimization to overcome the increased costs imposed by counterinsurgency measures.