Foreign Relations of the United States, 1989–1992, Volume XXXI, START I, 1989–1991 is out today!

Huge congratulations to @jamesgrahamwilson.bsky.social and the rest of the team at the State Department's Office of the Historian. history.state.gov/historicaldo...

AI is for writers who don’t like to write but want to have written, and readers who don’t like to read but want to have read.

Into the sea with the whole miserable joyless fucking lot of them.

I want to send a heartfelt reminder to anyone who reads this post: whatever dreams and goals you have, whatever it is you hope for, whatever it is you are struggling through, you absolutely can overcome your circumstances to get there. Hang in there. Patience is often rewarded in the long-run.

As they say, onwards and upwards--I am looking forward to joining the Dickey Center for International Understanding at Dartmouth College @dartmouthdickey.bsky.social‬ as a Rosenwald Post-Doc Fellow this fall. I hope I can further develop the ideas in the dissertation into a proper book project.

I am profoundly grateful and proud to have finally crossed this finish line. This has been the greatest adventure of my life. There are many people I must thank for helping me reach this moment, and I have tried to tip my hat to as many of them in the acknowledgements here.

PhDone.

I am overwhelmed with joy, gratitude, and humility to announce that I defended my dissertation and earned my PhD this summer!

🚨We are excited to announce the 2024-25 call for papers for the Junior Scholars in Quantitative Conflict Workshop. More info below and at our site: juniorquantconflict.wixsite.com/workshop
Submissions are due Oct 31. utdallas.qualtrics.com/jfe/form/SV_...

Please circulate widely -- thank you!

My work straddles conflict, IR, and computational social science, too: my coauthored work with @themesolab.bsky.social and the late, great Bear Braumoeller has been published in @ajpseditor.bsky.social. I am currently a Brady-Johnson Predoctoral Fellow at the Yale Jackson School of Global Affairs.

My dissertation looks at the role of time horizons in foreign policy. I use survey experiments, large-N analyses of leader attributes & behavior, and archival evidence of US presidential decision-making to understand how time horizons affect the intensity & duration of coercion.

Hi #polisky: I am on the job market this year! My work lies at the intersection of international and domestic politics---specifically, how domestic politics, leaders, and time horizons affect foreign policy decision-making and coercive statecraft. www.maryumnalam.com

Want to learn more about the role of leaders & dynamics of leader decision-making in international security? Come to our panel this afternoon, where I will present alongside a terrific and outstanding set of papers! @proflupton.bsky.social @joshschwartz.bsky.social @chriswblair.bsky.social #ISA2024

For those in #polisky going to #ISA2024, come join us on Friday @ 4 PM as we celebrate the life and legacy of the incomparable Bear Braumoeller, the recipient of this year's SSIP Distinguished Scholar Award @deborahavant.bsky.social @sbmitche.bsky.social @dreiter.bsky.social @maryumalam.bsky.social

Interested in how leader background and experience shapes foreign policy? Come to our panel bright and early tomorrow at 8:15 AM! Excited to hear from @proflupton.bsky.social, @theomilo.bsky.social, Henning Tamm, and Madison Schramm, and present my own dissertation work on time horizons! #ISA2024

The University of Michigan is hosting Peace Science this year (Nov 7-9) and applications are open for workshops and presentations! peacescience.unt.edu/forms/call-p...

"Observing that they can gain clout with major powers such as China, Taliban leaders have become impatient with conditional engagement... But if [US] policymakers are seeking to use nonrecognition to compel a regime to reconsider its policies, they are likely to meet failure."

To get at this complex relationship, we had to develop a novel generative computational model, from which emerges insights into war initiation, conditions for order formation, institutional persistence, balancing and systemic self-regulation. I could not be prouder to be part of this team.

At long last, our article "Hierarchy and War" is out in the wild at AJPS! My co-authors and I wanted a better answer than "we know something is there" to the question of how international order and war risk affect each other. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...

"Tall grass hid the advancing cadets from my perch in building 7. The tall grass hid nothing from the drone the defenders flew over their position, a Parrot AR 2.0, a common model used by civilian fliers. A minute later... instructors called in mock artillery fire."

www.popsci.com/west-point-c...