Isabelle Arradon
@isabellearradon.bsky.social
260 followers 31 following 15 posts
Research Director @CrisisGroup.org Leads on #EarlyWarning #HorizonScanning #CrisisWatch. Tweets on #ConflictPrevention #CivilianProtection #Gender. Formerly amnesty.org and peacebrigades.org.
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isabellearradon.bsky.social
Our new CrisisWatch updates on 85 situations across the world are now out!

Our field analysts @crisisgroup.org spotlighted 7 conflict risks this month and 1 conflict resolution opportunity including for #Gaza, #Yemen, #Cameroon, #Venezuela, #DRCongo and #Sudan.

www.crisisgroup.org/crisiswatch
isabellearradon.bsky.social
I find the conclusion of this event useful to bear in mind as we all try to think through the next steps to make a difference : "making the case to skeptical publics is now central to the future of aid."

Politics, not economics, driving foreign aid cuts, experts warn www.devex.com/news/politic...
Politics, not economics, driving foreign aid cuts, experts warn
At Devex Impact House, Jorge Moreira da Silva and Comfort Ero warned that political choices — not shrinking economies — are driving aid cuts, eroding public empathy, and threatening peace building and...
www.devex.com
isabellearradon.bsky.social
Parce-que l'organisation des Nations unies est à un tournant de son histoire et qu'il est important pour tous d'oeuvrer afin de préserver sa mission première pour le maintien de la paix, notre rapport sur ses défis à venir est désormais disponible en français: www.crisisgroup.org/fr/global/sb...
Dix défis pour les Nations unies en 2025-2026 | International Crisis Group
Alors que la réunion annuelle de haut niveau de l’Assemblée générale des Nations unies approche, l’organisation est confrontée à d’importants défis politiques et financiers. Toutefois, elle peut toujo...
www.crisisgroup.org
Reposted by Isabelle Arradon
comfortero.crisisgroup.org
With India’s airstrikes against it’s neighbour, and Pakistan Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif calling the strikes an “act of war”, my post over the weekend is a reminder of why @crisisgroup.org named India-Pakistan the conflict in focus for this month. ⬇️
comfortero.crisisgroup.org
🚨Our new update for our global conflict tracker is here.

The conflict in focus this month is India-Pakistan after a deadly attack in #Kashmir, but we also have eyes on Israel’s bombardment of #Gaza and Donald Trump’s ever-expanding campaign in #Yemen.

www.crisisgroup.org/crisiswatch?...
isabellearradon.bsky.social
A new edition of our global conflict tracker #CrisisWatch has just been published!

Alerts in March: #DRCongo #Burundi #Israel#Palestine #Yemen

Peace Opportunities: PKK/ #Türkiye #Thailand

New CrisisWatch entries: #TasmanSea, #CookIslands

www.crisisgroup.org/crisiswatch
isabellearradon.bsky.social
Happy New Year all! I wish you and your loved ones all the best for this new year which appears to be already quite volatile and eventful on the global stage.

We've just published our first #CrisisWatch for 2025!

This month's Conflict in Focus is on #Syria.

www.crisisgroup.org/crisiswatch
isabellearradon.bsky.social
Happy #HumanRightsDay!

Although it may feel like so much more needs to happen to celebrate, the release of disappeared from #Syria's prisons, shows that even in places where hope is nearly gone, change may come and bring light to families. shorturl.at/kvIIM

I hope for light in #Gaza #Sudan #Haiti
Reposted by Isabelle Arradon
mwhanna.crisisgroup.org
Despite Israeli assurances, public and private, about the temporary nature of their move into Syria, their presence there is a concern. Biden administration should make clear publicly that this must be a short-term response and withdrawal cannot be contingent on unrealistic demands.
isabellearradon.bsky.social
It can be challenging to keep track of all major conflict shifts globally.

#CrisisWatch sums up key deteriorations each month.

In November:
#Ecuador, #Haiti
#Georgia, #Kosovo
#Iran, #Israel/Palestine, #Syria
#India #Pakistan
#Mali, #Mozambique, #Somalia, #Sudan

www.crisisgroup.org/crisiswatch
isabellearradon.bsky.social
#Syria What next?
jeromed.bsky.social
The real challenge is the transition. How to keep the institutions to avoid vacuum and chaos The opposition apparently learned from other failures (Iraq) and its own mistakes in the past. Keeping the factions away from ministries and coordinating with the former PM are good signs
isabellearradon.bsky.social
#Syria To understand conflict dynamics that led to Assad's fall, check #CrisisWatch.

Weeks ago, we spotted how regime forces & Russia carried out strikes on Idlib city in an "apparent bid to pre-empt a potential HTS offensive to exploit regional escalation".

www.crisisgroup.org/crisiswatch/...
isabellearradon.bsky.social
#CrisisWatch with December alerts and November trends is now out!

Our Conflict in Focus this month is on #Pakistan.

We have one resolution opportunity and four conflict risk alerts for December: #Lebanon, #Iran, #Syria, #Israel/Palestine #Somalia.

All 78 entries : crisisgroup.org/crisiswatch
isabellearradon.bsky.social
As we finalise #CrisisWatch, some situations are (again) high on our radar #Georgia, #Gaza, #Sudan, #Haiti, #Pakistan...

And some are returning to the spotlight #Syria.

We have rare 'brighter' spots... #Somaliland

Some fragile #Lebanon

Watch this space : www.crisisgroup.org/crisiswatch?...
isabellearradon.bsky.social
After rich discussions at our All Staff retreat in #Istanbul about the state of the world today and ways to make a difference, we're all back working on our new round of #CrisisWatch updates.

Watch this space for our 256th edition later this week: crisisgroup.org/crisiswatch #EarlyWarning
isabellearradon.bsky.social
I'm delighted to be joining this new platform today!

Thanks @genrenard.bsky.social for the advice...