International Society for Bayesian Analysis
@isba-bayesian.bsky.social
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The International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA), est. 1992 to promote the development and application of Bayesian analysis, provides an international community for those interested in Bayesian analysis and its applications. https://bayesian.org
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The 𝐈𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐧𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐚𝐥 𝐒𝐨𝐜𝐢𝐞𝐭𝐲 𝐟𝐨𝐫 𝐁𝐚𝐲𝐞𝐬𝐢𝐚𝐧 𝐀𝐧𝐚𝐥𝐲𝐬𝐢𝐬 (𝐈𝐒𝐁𝐀) was founded in 1992 to promote the development and application of Bayesian analysis.

𝘐𝘚𝘉𝘈 𝘱𝘳𝘰𝘷𝘪𝘥𝘦𝘴 𝘢𝘯 𝘪𝘯𝘵𝘦𝘳𝘯𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯𝘢𝘭 𝘤𝘰𝘮𝘮𝘶𝘯𝘪𝘵𝘺 𝘧𝘰𝘳 𝘵𝘩𝘰𝘴𝘦 𝘪𝘯𝘵𝘦𝘳𝘦𝘴𝘵𝘦𝘥 𝘪𝘯 𝘉𝘢𝘺𝘦𝘴𝘪𝘢𝘯 𝘢𝘯𝘢𝘭𝘺𝘴𝘪𝘴 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘪𝘵𝘴 𝘢𝘱𝘱𝘭𝘪𝘤𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯𝘴.

Find us across the web:
linktr.ee/ISBAbayesian
International Society for Bayesian Analysis | The International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA) was founded in 1992 to promote the development and application of Bayesian analysis.
bayesian.org
isba-bayesian.bsky.social
The ASA Section on Bayesian Statistical Science (SBSS) is pleased to announce a student paper competition for research in Bayesian methodology.

More information can be found in the News section on the ISBA website: 👇

bayesian.org/2026-asa-sbs...
2026 ASA SBSS Student Paper Competition | International Society for Bayesian Analysis
Application deadline. November 15, 2025, by 5 pm ET (US Eastern Time).
bayesian.org
isba-bayesian.bsky.social
We have created a resource in the ISBA website where you can find all recorded webinars:

bayesian.org/ba-webinars/

Also, don't forget about the ISBA YouTube channel featuring curated playlists from ISBA World Meetings and specialized workshops and seminars:

www.youtube.com/@isba-intern...
isba-bayesian.bsky.social
Proposals for talks should be submitted before 21 November, 2025. Proposals submitted after 21 November will be considered for inclusion in the poster session on a rolling basis.

For more information about the 2026 world meeting: isba2026.github.io
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isba-bayesian.bsky.social
Proposals for contributed talks & posters are now being accepted for the 2026 ISBA World Meeting! The world meeting will take place in Nagoya, Japan between 28 June and 3 July, 2026. Proposals may be submitted here: forms.gle/dVTUrdEuVF6g...
isba-bayesian.bsky.social
The newest section of ISBA has been formed to promote Bayesian methods in the social sciences! Find out more 👇
adrianraftery.bsky.social
The new Bayesian Social Sciences section of @isba-bayesian.bsky.social has just been created: bss-isba.github.io. The committee is myself as chair, @robinryder.bsky.social, chair elect from 2027, @nialfriel.bsky.social, program chair, @monjalexander.bsky.social, Treasurer, EJWagenmakers, Secretary.
Home - BSS-ISBA
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isba-bayesian.bsky.social
The next BA webinar is tomorrow!
isba-bayesian.bsky.social
The next BA webinar is coming up soon! Details 👇

“A Tree Perspective on Stick-Breaking Models in Covariate-Dependent Mixtures”
by A. Horiguchi, C. Chan, and L. Ma
doi.org/10.1214/24-B...

September 17, 2025 (3:00 PM UTC | 11:00 AM EDT | 5:00 PM CET)
🔗 Registration: us06web.zoom.us/webinar/regi...
A Tree Perspective on Stick-Breaking Models in Covariate-Dependent Mixtures
Stick-breaking (SB) processes are often adopted in Bayesian mixture models for generating mixing weights. When covariates influence the sizes of clusters, SB mixtures are particularly convenient as they can leverage their connection to binary regression to ease both the specification of covariate effects and posterior computation. Existing SB models are typically constructed based on continually breaking a single remaining piece of the unit stick. We view this from a dyadic tree perspective in terms of a lopsided bifurcating tree that extends only on one side. We show that two unsavory characteristics of SB models are in fact largely due to this lopsided tree structure. We consider a generalized class of SB models with alternative bifurcating tree structures and examine the influence of the underlying tree topology on the resulting Bayesian analysis in terms of prior assumptions, posterior uncertainty, and computational effectiveness. In particular, we provide evidence that a balanced tree topology, which corresponds to continually breaking all remaining pieces of the unit stick, can resolve or mitigate these undesirable properties of SB models that rely on a lopsided tree.
doi.org
isba-bayesian.bsky.social
Nominations are now being accepted for the ISBA Zellner Medal, which recognizes ISBA members for exceptional and distinguished service to ISBA, and whose contributions have had an impact on the society beyond the time of his or her incumbency.

Go here 👇 for more info:

bayesian.org/call-for-202...
International Society for Bayesian Analysis | The International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA) was founded in 1992 to promote the development and application of Bayesian analysis.
bayesian.org
isba-bayesian.bsky.social
Save the dates for the 4th Bayesian Nonparametrics Networking Workshop, hosted by the BNP Section of ISBA at the University of Seoul, South Korea from July 6 to July 10, 2026!

Stay tuned for program information and registration, and find details here: bnpnetworking2026.github.io
BNP Networking 2026
BNP 2026-4th Bayesian Nonparametrics Networking Workshop
bnpnetworking2026.github.io
isba-bayesian.bsky.social
Contributed discussions are still welcome (max 2 pages, BA LaTeX style: projecteuclid.org/authors/eucl...) until September 15, 2025, via EJMS (www.e-publications.org/ims/submissi...) under contributed discussion (specify the paper discussed).
Bayesian Analysis
Bayesian Analysis
projecteuclid.org
isba-bayesian.bsky.social
The subsequent webinar will be on:

📅 November 5, 2025 (4:00 PM UTC | 11:00 AM EST | 5:00 PM CET)
“Model Uncertainty and Missing Data: An Objective Bayesian Perspective”
by G. García-Donato, M. Eugenia Castellanos, S. Cabras, A. Quirós, and A. Forte
doi.org/10.1214/25-B...
Model Uncertainty and Missing Data: An Objective Bayesian Perspective
The interplay between missing data and model uncertainty—two classic statistical problems—leads to primary questions that we formally address from an objective Bayesian perspective. For the general regression problem, we discuss the probabilistic justification of Rubin’s rules applied to the usual components of Bayesian variable selection, arguing that prior predictive marginals should be central to the pursued methodology. In the regression settings, we explore the conditions of prior distributions that make the missing data mechanism ignorable, provided that it is missing at random or completely at random. Moreover, when comparing multiple linear models, we provide a complete methodology for dealing with special cases, such as variable selection or uncertainty regarding model errors. In numerous simulation experiments, we demonstrate that our method outperforms or equals others, in consistently producing results close to those obtained using the full dataset. In general, the difference increases with the percentage of missing data and the correlation between the variables used for imputation. Finally, we summarize possible directions for future research.
doi.org
isba-bayesian.bsky.social
The next BA webinar is coming up soon! Details 👇

“A Tree Perspective on Stick-Breaking Models in Covariate-Dependent Mixtures”
by A. Horiguchi, C. Chan, and L. Ma
doi.org/10.1214/24-B...

September 17, 2025 (3:00 PM UTC | 11:00 AM EDT | 5:00 PM CET)
🔗 Registration: us06web.zoom.us/webinar/regi...
A Tree Perspective on Stick-Breaking Models in Covariate-Dependent Mixtures
Stick-breaking (SB) processes are often adopted in Bayesian mixture models for generating mixing weights. When covariates influence the sizes of clusters, SB mixtures are particularly convenient as they can leverage their connection to binary regression to ease both the specification of covariate effects and posterior computation. Existing SB models are typically constructed based on continually breaking a single remaining piece of the unit stick. We view this from a dyadic tree perspective in terms of a lopsided bifurcating tree that extends only on one side. We show that two unsavory characteristics of SB models are in fact largely due to this lopsided tree structure. We consider a generalized class of SB models with alternative bifurcating tree structures and examine the influence of the underlying tree topology on the resulting Bayesian analysis in terms of prior assumptions, posterior uncertainty, and computational effectiveness. In particular, we provide evidence that a balanced tree topology, which corresponds to continually breaking all remaining pieces of the unit stick, can resolve or mitigate these undesirable properties of SB models that rely on a lopsided tree.
doi.org
isba-bayesian.bsky.social
𝐅𝐞𝐥𝐥𝐨𝐰𝐬𝐡𝐢𝐩 𝐂𝐫𝐢𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐢𝐚:⁣
The individual's contributions should have had a significant impact in promoting Bayesian ideas and methods in society through scientific works and other activities, such as teaching, consulting or service.⁣
isba-bayesian.bsky.social
𝐄𝐥𝐢𝐠𝐢𝐛𝐢𝐥𝐢𝐭𝐲 𝐑𝐞𝐪𝐮𝐢𝐫𝐞𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐬:⁣

Current ISBA member⁣
Minimum 3 consecutive years of membership⁣
isba-bayesian.bsky.social
𝐈𝐒𝐁𝐀 𝐅𝐞𝐥𝐥𝐨𝐰𝐬 𝐍𝐨𝐦𝐢𝐧𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐬 𝐍𝐨𝐰 𝐎𝐩𝐞𝐧⁣

We're excited to announce that nominations are now being accepted for new ISBA Fellows!⁣

𝐀𝐧𝐲 𝐜𝐮𝐫𝐫𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐈𝐒𝐁𝐀 𝐦𝐞𝐦𝐛𝐞𝐫 𝐦𝐚𝐲 𝐬𝐮𝐛𝐦𝐢𝐭 𝐧𝐨𝐦𝐢𝐧𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐬⁣

𝐃𝐞𝐚𝐝𝐥𝐢𝐧𝐞: 𝐅𝐞𝐛𝐫𝐮𝐚𝐫𝐲 𝟏𝐬𝐭, 𝟐𝟎𝟐𝟔

For details on nominations and requirements:⁣
bayesian.org/membership/i...
ISBA Fellows | International Society for Bayesian Analysis
bayesian.org
isba-bayesian.bsky.social
The 𝐈𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐧𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐚𝐥 𝐒𝐨𝐜𝐢𝐞𝐭𝐲 𝐟𝐨𝐫 𝐁𝐚𝐲𝐞𝐬𝐢𝐚𝐧 𝐀𝐧𝐚𝐥𝐲𝐬𝐢𝐬 (𝐈𝐒𝐁𝐀) was founded in 1992 to promote the development and application of Bayesian analysis.

𝘐𝘚𝘉𝘈 𝘱𝘳𝘰𝘷𝘪𝘥𝘦𝘴 𝘢𝘯 𝘪𝘯𝘵𝘦𝘳𝘯𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯𝘢𝘭 𝘤𝘰𝘮𝘮𝘶𝘯𝘪𝘵𝘺 𝘧𝘰𝘳 𝘵𝘩𝘰𝘴𝘦 𝘪𝘯𝘵𝘦𝘳𝘦𝘴𝘵𝘦𝘥 𝘪𝘯 𝘉𝘢𝘺𝘦𝘴𝘪𝘢𝘯 𝘢𝘯𝘢𝘭𝘺𝘴𝘪𝘴 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘪𝘵𝘴 𝘢𝘱𝘱𝘭𝘪𝘤𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯𝘴.

Find us across the web:
linktr.ee/ISBAbayesian
International Society for Bayesian Analysis | The International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA) was founded in 1992 to promote the development and application of Bayesian analysis.
bayesian.org
isba-bayesian.bsky.social
Registration is open for the 2025 Workshop on Complex Environmental Data, hosted by the EnviBayes section of ISBA! The workshop will be held at Texas A&M University from October 29th through the 31st.

Visit the workshop website for details and registration: sites.google.com/view/envibay...
Sign in - Google Accounts
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isba-bayesian.bsky.social
𝐂𝐨𝐧𝐠𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐮𝐥𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐬 𝐭𝐨 𝐭𝐡𝐞 2025 𝐒𝐁𝐒𝐒 𝐒𝐭𝐮𝐝𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐏𝐚𝐩𝐞𝐫 𝐀𝐰𝐚𝐫𝐝 𝐖𝐢𝐧𝐧𝐞𝐫𝐬!

A. Z. Jiang, UW
J. Liu, Rice
V. Rogovchenko, Texas A&M
M. Shi, Colorado State
F. Stolf, Duke
L. Turner, UMN
C. Xue, Harvard
R. Yee, Wisconsin–Madison
X. Zhang, Ohio State, 𝐋𝐚𝐩𝐥𝐚𝐜𝐞 𝐀𝐰𝐚𝐫𝐝
isba-bayesian.bsky.social
Pictures from the Savage Award Session at #JSM2025.

Winners will be announced during the SBSS Mixer tonight!

Mélodie Monod,

Takuo Matsubara

Maria Fernanda Gil Leyva Villa

Alessandro Zito

Nicholas Marco
Reposted by International Society for Bayesian Analysis
skdeshpande91.bsky.social
At the #JSM2025? Stop by @isba-bayesian.bsky.social ‘s booth in the exhibition hall for all things Bayes!
Reposted by International Society for Bayesian Analysis
mguindani.bsky.social
The recordings from BNP 14— the 14th International Conference on Bayesian Nonparametrics—are now live on the ISBA YouTube channel!

Workshops, keynotes, and plenaries are all available for anyone interested in nonparametric Bayesian methods.

tiny.cc/ISBAYouTube
ISBA - International Society of Bayesian Analysis
This is the YouTube channel of the International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA). The International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA) was founded in 1992 to promote the development and…
tiny.cc
isba-bayesian.bsky.social
The latest issue of the ISBA bulletin is now available!

This issue features:

- A 𝘸𝘦𝘭𝘤𝘰𝘮𝘦 𝘮𝘦𝘴𝘴𝘢𝘨𝘦 from the ISBA President;
- The 𝘭𝘢𝘵𝘦𝘴𝘵 𝘯𝘦𝘸𝘴 from the Bayesian community
- The 𝘛𝘦𝘢𝘤𝘩𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘉𝘢𝘺𝘦𝘴 section, full of ideas for bringing Bayes into the classroom.

isba-bulletin.github.io/ISBABulletin/