Jack Worth
@jackworth.bsky.social
1.3K followers 540 following 110 posts
Education economist at NFER researching recruitment and retention in the education workforce
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Reposted by Jack Worth
thenfer.bsky.social
In a brand new feature length blog post, our Education Workforce Lead, @jackworth.bsky.social, discusses new analysis, commissioned by the @instituteofphysics.bsky.social, highlighting how the under-supply of specialist teachers is affecting secondary schools.

Read the post 👉 bit.ly/4m8dSWt
New blog post - A widespread lack of specialist physics teachers persists due to recruitment and retention challenges
Reposted by Jack Worth
thenfer.bsky.social
Our Education Workforce Lead, @jackworth.bsky.social, has has given his reaction to the House of Commons Public Committee report on teacher numbers in secondary and further education, published today.

Read the full quote 👉 bit.ly/3TuIHIB
“Addressing the teacher supply challenges in secondary and further education requires a strategic and targeted approach to improving the attractiveness of the teaching profession in key subjects and particularly in disadvantaged areas. NFER’s research echoes the importance of building a strategy around the key factors for recruitment and retention raised in this report, including teacher workload, pupil behaviour, a lack of access to flexible working arrangements and teacher pay and incentives.”

Jack Worth, Education Workforce Lead
jackworth.bsky.social
Sat down with Tom and James earlier this week to discuss 6,500 teachers. Do have a listen! 👇
tom-richmond.com
🚨NEW PODCAST🚨

How and when are we going to get 6,500 new teachers?

@jackworth.bsky.social and @jzuccollo.bsky.social joined me to discuss why Labour's flagship education policy is proving hard to define and deliver in practice, and what should happen next.

Listen here: insideyoured.com
Reposted by Jack Worth
jackworth.bsky.social
Our analysis implies retention payments have a high marginal cost compared to bursaries

This suggests that a 'bursaries first' policy approach is probably always best, which aligns with the findings from the Maths Phased Bursary evaluation www.gov.uk/government/p...
jackworth.bsky.social
In summary, the retention impacts were somewhat mixed and generally not statistically significant. Overall, it suggested an association with lower retention rates, but wasn't conclusive
jackworth.bsky.social
Do extra payments to in-service teachers in shortage subjects improve retention?

We thought our analysis might back up the fairly strong 'yes' from UK literature so far, but our findings were not as conclusive. In this blog I assess the findings and what they might mean for policy:

bit.ly/4liHKQ5
Do retention payments for early career teachers work?
Jack Worth discusses new analysis of the impact early career retention payments (ECRPs) on teacher retention.
bit.ly
Reposted by Jack Worth
thenfer.bsky.social
Yesterday, our School Workforce Lead and co-author of the research, @jackworth.bsky.social, spoke to LBC News's Vanessa Baffoe about the findings.

[2/2] 👇

www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZcO6...
LBC News - 9 June 2025
YouTube video by NFER
www.youtube.com
Reposted by Jack Worth
Reposted by Jack Worth
thenfer.bsky.social
🗣️ Our School Workforce Lead @jackworth.bsky.social has given his reaction to the announcement of a 4% pay rise for teachers and leaders for the 2025/26 academic year, as well as additional funding for schools and colleges.

Read the full quote 👉 bit.ly/4jcuomo
“We welcome the Government’s teacher pay award of 4 per cent as it recognises the crucial value of teachers in our society and will help to improve teacher recruitment and retention.

“While we also welcome the funding the Government has announced to cover the additional 1.2 per cent above its initial proposal to School Teachers' Review Body (STRB), requiring schools to find efficiencies to fund some of this pay rise puts extra strain on school budgets that are already very tight.

Jack Worth, School Workforce Lead
jackworth.bsky.social
Short answer: probably. bsky.app/profile/jack...
jackworth.bsky.social
There are some real positive signs in the latest ITT recruitment data of improvement vs last year, especially in secondary. I will hold off updating the forecast until tomorrow, when targets are published.

But it's interesting to see where the growth is and isn't coming from...🧵
jackworth.bsky.social
indeed very likely so this year, but these targets cover the expected need for the 2026 labour market. Funding during that period uncertain until spending review
jackworth.bsky.social
Worth noting that the long view suggests that the secondary targets have, in general, been unusually high in the last few years.

And that interpreting a time series of %s of target doesn't give the full picture on what's really happening
jackworth.bsky.social
With the uptick in recruitment evident in yesterday's application stats, our overall forecast of the ITT outcomes for Sep 2025 is now looking much more positive

Maths, science, English, primary: all forecast to be at/above target this year

Secondary overall still below target by 15%.
jackworth.bsky.social
The stats release explains that it is due to a number of different factors that have changed since last model, including:
- fewer teachers forecast to leave
- higher ITT recruitment last year than previous
- pupil growth rate decelerating
- more returners
jackworth.bsky.social
DfE published some hefty changes to the ITT recruitment targets this morning
- down overall and across phases by around 20%
- some subjects like physics/ MFL down by more than a third
Reposted by Jack Worth
jackworth.bsky.social
There are some real positive signs in the latest ITT recruitment data of improvement vs last year, especially in secondary. I will hold off updating the forecast until tomorrow, when targets are published.

But it's interesting to see where the growth is and isn't coming from...🧵
jackworth.bsky.social
So what could be driving it?

Possibilities:
- shortage subject retention payments bedding in and acting as a recruitment boost (would explain STEM surge)
- cooling labour market (esp in tech: www.nfer.ac.uk/press-releas...)
- impact of last year's 5.5% pay rise
- more marketing (?)
jackworth.bsky.social
It's also mostly from growth in applicants based in England, aside from continued growth in physics recruitment from the rest of the world (where trainees continue to be eligible for a bursary).
jackworth.bsky.social
From what we know about how impactful they are, it's mostly not coming from bursaries this year. The bursaries have not changed much from last year (except for English, where it is the main factor), and nowhere near enough to explain some of the big changes e.g. computing and physics
jackworth.bsky.social
There are some real positive signs in the latest ITT recruitment data of improvement vs last year, especially in secondary. I will hold off updating the forecast until tomorrow, when targets are published.

But it's interesting to see where the growth is and isn't coming from...🧵