Justin de Benedictis-Kessner
@jdbk.bsky.social
1.2K followers 410 following 16 posts
Associate Professor of Public Policy at Harvard Kennedy School. Urban and local politics + policy; cyclist; 🏳️‍🌈; he/him.
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jdbk.bsky.social
As @tedsvo.bsky.social says: “learning isn’t just getting answers to questions.” Worth a listen for anyone who teaches, is learning (anything), or cares about the quality of education in the age of AI!
jdbk.bsky.social
More details on our research here: bsky.app/profile/jdbk...
jdbk.bsky.social
Are Democratic leaders making cities more dangerous than Republicans? Trump + others have repeatedly made claims like this. New paper in Science Advances w/ @chriswarshaw.bsky.social, Dan Jones & Matt Harvey shows that, in short, the answer is no.
Abstract of article titled "The partisanship of mayors has no detectable effect on police spending, police employment, crime, or arrests"
jdbk.bsky.social
Yet again, Trump is falsely claiming that Democrat-controlled cities like DC are letting crime get out of control. Our research – from cities across the US – shows that this just isn't true @chriswarshaw.bsky.social @dbjones.bsky.social @matttheeconguy.bsky.social
atrupar.com
Trump mentions NYC, Baltimore, and Oakland, says "they're so far gone," and adds, "this will go further. We'll starting very strongly with DC."
Reposted by Justin de Benedictis-Kessner
us.theconversation.com
Crime is nonpartisan, and neither party is better at fighting crime in cities.

But evidence-backed programs like youth jobs initiatives can help improve public safety. buff.ly/RGmW1ht
@jdbk.bsky.social @harvardkennedy.bsky.social and Christopher S. Warshaw, George Washington University #polisky
Crime is nonpartisan and the blame game on crime in cities is wrong – on both sides
Mayors from the Democratic Party aren’t making cities any more – or less – dangerous than mayors from the Republican Party.
buff.ly
jdbk.bsky.social
Well said, from my colleague David Deming @harvardkennedy.bsky.social: "If government funding goes away, so will much of the research. The long-run cost will be staggering. We’ll have fewer medical breakthroughs, the progress of lifesaving medical treatments will stall, and America may fall behind."
theatlantic.com
The Trump administration’s cuts to university research grants will make America sicker and poorer in the long run, David Deming writes. DOGE should stop "confusing efficiency with ill-conceived budget cuts."
DOGE Is Failing on Its Own Terms
The Trump administration’s cuts to university research grants will make America sicker and poorer in the long run.
www.theatlantic.com
jdbk.bsky.social
Ideological claims from both sides of the aisle about crime and policing aren't facing the facts: what's happening in cities across the country has little to do with partisanship. Reducing crime should focus on evidence-backed strategies rather than partisan finger-pointing.
jdbk.bsky.social
Nor do we find consistent evidence that Democrats are making police leadership or police forces substantially more diverse than Republicans.
screenshot of Figure 2 from paper, which shows the largely null effects of partisanship on the demographics of police chiefs and the police force overall
jdbk.bsky.social
Nor are Democrats "defunding the police" relative to Republicans. Neither party is reducing the size of the police force, or its funding.
screenshot of Figure 1 from the paper, which shows null effects of partisanship on the number of sworn officers per capita, police expenditures per capita, and corrections expenditures per capita
jdbk.bsky.social
Implicit in this argument is that Democratic leaders are making crime worse, and Republicans would make it better. That's a causal question, and exactly what we wanted to answer. Our results show that Dems are no worse OR better at reducing crime than Reps www.science.org/doi/full/10....
The partisanship of mayors has no detectable effect on police spending, police employment, crime, or arrests
Across hundreds of cities and three decades, there is no impact of a mayor’s partisan affiliation on crime and arrest rates.
www.science.org
jdbk.bsky.social
Leaders on both sides of the aisle have said that Democrats need to change their approach on crime–often pointing to elections where progressive politicians have been unseated after widespread frustration with their handling of crime www.nytimes.com/2024/11/08/u...
California Shifts Rightward on Crime in an Election Fueled by Frustration
Voters in the Democratic-run state overwhelmingly approved a measure to impose harsher sentences for crimes and were on their way to ousting two progressive district attorneys.
www.nytimes.com
jdbk.bsky.social
Are Democratic leaders making cities more dangerous than Republicans? Trump + others have repeatedly made claims like this. New paper in Science Advances w/ @chriswarshaw.bsky.social, Dan Jones & Matt Harvey shows that, in short, the answer is no.
Abstract of article titled "The partisanship of mayors has no detectable effect on police spending, police employment, crime, or arrests"
Reposted by Justin de Benedictis-Kessner
hankinson.bsky.social
Can developers compensate nearby residents to win support for their housing projects? In a new @jpublicpolicy.bsky.social article, @jdbk.bsky.social and I unpack how compensation works, when it fails, and what that teaches us about symbolic attitudes and housing policy. 1/11
jdbk.bsky.social
I'm hiring a postdoc to work with me for 2 years at the Harvard Kennedy School thnx to generous funding from the Bloomberg Center for Cities. Official job posting is up now! Please tell anyone you know who might be interested to apply
#psjminfo cities.harvard.edu/postdoctoral...
job description for postdoc position. Text reads: "The Local Politics Lab at the Harvard Kennedy School, along with faculty director Justin de Benedictis- Kessner, seeks applications for a Postdoctoral Researcher for two years starting in summer 2024. The Postdoctoral Researcher will work on projects related to cities and other local governments in the new Local Politics Lab at the Bloomberg Center at Harvard University with faculty director Justin de Benedictis-Kessner. The candidate will guide research activities on designated projects and give direction on research ideas, hone research questions, design and implement robust research analytic plans, analyze data, interpret results, and review and/or assist in writing academic research papers and writing public-facing research briefs. Projects may include work on elections using the American local elections database, surveys related to local politics and elections, and urban policy.
jdbk.bsky.social
Great to have the culmination of 8+ years collecting election data finally published! Excited to see these data help the next generation of scholars working on local politics 🤓
chriswarshaw.bsky.social
Our paper introducing the "American Local Government Elections Database" is online at Scientific Data. The data includes 78,000 candidates in 57,000 electoral contests in races for seven distinct local political offices in most medium and large cities and counties over the last three decades.
American local government elections database - Scientific Data
Scientific Data - American local government elections database
www.nature.com
Reposted by Justin de Benedictis-Kessner
chriswarshaw.bsky.social
Lots of discussion on how economy will affect 2024 election. Evidence indicates that election year economy matters a lot (esp. real wage growth), but the economy this year prob. doesn't matter much. So a lot depends on what happens next year! See this figure from my paper w/ @jdbk.bsky.social.