Jem Arnold
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jemarnold.bsky.social
Jem Arnold
@jemarnold.bsky.social
PhD candidate & physiotherapist | 🩸Iliac artery endofibrosis / FLIA | Endurance testing & NIRS.
Treat declarative statements as questions?
Of course, that doesn't include my co-authors' time
February 4, 2026 at 3:56 PM
I feel like I will want to delete this post when submitting my CV anywhere in the near future 😅
February 4, 2026 at 3:55 PM
I'm seeing on the order of 300+ and 400+ hrs for a couple of my completed first authors projects over 1-2 yrs. Let's say that's >75% accurate recording. My final PhD project is over 500 hrs already with data collection not quite complete, and poor recording over the past ~4 mo, so... 😬
February 4, 2026 at 3:55 PM
Pushing my sport science social media sleuthing to the limits here 😂
February 1, 2026 at 6:38 PM
Ah, good point. I've been told it may be a mixing chamber. Appears to be this system, but he has a (quite long) hose on his face, not sampling lines?
www.ntnu.edu/documents/22...

Hard to tell from the video edit, but it seems to not be updating on-screen values at BxB frequency, so maybe binned?
February 1, 2026 at 6:38 PM
Incredible, thanks Jamie. How do we even validate numbers in his range then? Break out the sled dog equipment?
February 1, 2026 at 4:28 PM
Pointed at from elsewhere, this is the calibration device they are using

Valid to 6 L/min gas exchange and 240 L/min VE. So Kristian is reporting ~25% higher than that. It's too bad, he's clearly pushing limits of human physiology, we just don't have tools to accurately capture it?
Metabolic Calibrator/Simulator to 6L Volume with Mass Flow Controller, Super-Athletic Range (#17057) - VacuMed
Metabolic Calibrator, Super-Athletic Range (#17057) *The Ultimate Laboratory Standard This 6L metabolic simulator can be used for: Producing an exact, simulated VO2 and VCO2 to verify the overall ac...
vacumed.com
February 1, 2026 at 3:36 PM
Around 16:00 they talk about some fancy metabolic sim calibration. Again I don't know anything about it. What are the chances that accuracy systematically falls off at 70 brpm and 250 L/min? 😅
youtu.be/AQm254ktjPY?...
The Norwegian Method Episode 3: A year on since Kristian and Gustav’s pivot to short course
YouTube video by Santara Tech
youtu.be
February 1, 2026 at 12:23 AM
Turns out he was on a treadmill and we all missed it!

Ignore all the obsolete cycling economy estimates! 🥲

Does that change our interpretation of RERpeak?
February 1, 2026 at 12:20 AM
I think you're right Alex. In the last video a couple years ago he was at 70 brpm. I wish we knew more about the system to say more about validity
February 1, 2026 at 12:19 AM
Thanks Jamie. Wow, yeah that's good perspective. So. Where are the other 2 L VO2 going? 🤷‍♂️
January 31, 2026 at 7:35 PM
I've started to upload my #sportscience #rstats #datavis plots to github to improve reproducibility. Double check my work!

github.com/jemarnold/da...

We don't have to go on vibes when we have data! And we can make quantitative predictions from historical literature
data-vis-threads/2026-01-30 at main · jemarnold/data-vis-threads
A repo for sharing data visualisation projects. Contribute to jemarnold/data-vis-threads development by creating an account on GitHub.
github.com
January 31, 2026 at 4:09 PM
In conclusion, we shouldn't naively take the 101 ml/kg/min value as valid, like many uncritical media headlines I've seen already

Instead, we should ask *how* could one achieve that value? Either through measurement error, protocol manipulations, or social media trolling 😄
January 31, 2026 at 4:09 PM
From these rough estimates, we can draw his potential cycling economy (W/L/min O2; blue line)

And compare this range to other published data points in World Tour cyclists and a XC-skier turned Junior TT World Champ

Interesting, it's quite low, but not entirely implausible? 😮
January 31, 2026 at 4:09 PM
More interesting to me is what what Kristian's peak power at VO2peak?

We can sleuth through the video frames to see the vertical progress bar mid-way through the ramp

Digitising the last image, we can estimate Wpeak was around 440 W
January 31, 2026 at 4:09 PM
Others have said 0.93 RER at VO2peak is not plausible

But after what appears to be 2-hrs threshold intervals, we would expect RER to be depressed to some extent

Although still maybe not that low? 🤔 There might be other interventions going on. Dietary? Environmental? 🤷
January 31, 2026 at 4:09 PM
VO2peak is usually measured over 30 sec. My assumption is that 101 might be the highest single sample

Given pseudo-breath-by-breath recording from a mixing chamber, the variance below this value might be 2-5%

If true, this would estimate his actual VO2peak to be ~92-97 ml/kg/min, still very high
January 31, 2026 at 4:09 PM
Thanks for the call out. Do we need a good 'endurance sport science' starter pack on here?
January 26, 2026 at 3:56 PM
www.bmj.com/content/1/46...

Found hiding in the references of a 2013 Brazilian review paper as Martijn is reviewing the literature for an important upcoming consensus study on #FLIA #endofibrosis in cycling
British Medical Journal: 1 (4668)
www.bmj.com
January 22, 2026 at 3:53 PM