Joeri Rogelj
@joerirogelj.bsky.social
5.5K followers 510 following 130 posts
prof. climate science & policy | father | Imperial College London | 1.5C/net zero/carbon budget/pathways/justice | IPCC & UNEP lead author | ESABCC member
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joerirogelj.bsky.social
Pope Leo XIV has reaffirmed the imperative to act upon climate change and environmental degradation.

This firm response to climate science deniers marks the 10th anniversary of his Predecessor Pope Francis' encyclical "On Care of Our Common Home".

www.bbc.com/news/article...
Pope Leo hits out at critics of global warming
In his first major statement on climate change, the pontiff criticises those who minimise climate change.
www.bbc.com
Reposted by Joeri Rogelj
iiasa.ac.at
The third and final day of the #OvershootConference kicked off with an insightful report-back and reflection session, where theme leads shared insights from their discussions so far.

See insights from discussions on Day 2 in the thread below:
Reposted by Joeri Rogelj
iopp-environment.bsky.social
🌍New #ERL focus collection on #climate #overshoot is open!

Linked to @iiasa.ac.at Overshoots conference in Vienna this week. ERL Publisher Lauren Carter will be attending, email to discuss a contribution: [email protected]

📅Deadline: 30 April 2026
🔗 iopscience.iop.org/collections/...
Reposted by Joeri Rogelj
iiasa.ac.at
@joerirogelj.bsky.social: “The pursuit of 1.5°C endures as a legal and ethical imperative. Overshoot does not erase this goal - it makes it more urgent.”
He called overshoot a test of our generation’s responsibility.
#ScienceInAction #ParisAgreement
Reposted by Joeri Rogelj
granthamicl.bsky.social
Despite the centrality of equity in the Paris Agreement, no framework exists to allocate responsibilities for carbon dioxide removals among countries.

A new paper, co-authored by Imperial's Professor ​@joerirogelj.bsky.social​, presents a framework for allocating CDR globally 🧵
joerirogelj.bsky.social
In a new study, we estimate how much geological CO2 storage capacity would be available when considering social, environmental, seismic and other risks.

Lead author @gidden.bsky.social wrote an extensive 🧵on the work 👇
joerirogelj.bsky.social
Yes - if we don't use any of it for fossil CCS and emit zero CO2 in the meantime.

You'll also have to tell me what's the latest on perfect reversability of global warming after overshoot though. :)
Reposted by Joeri Rogelj
granthamicl.bsky.social
Coauthor @joerirogelj.bsky.social Rogelj, Director of Research at the Grantham Institute says:

“This study should be a gamechanger for carbon storage. It can no longer be considered an unlimited solution to bring our climate back to a safe level.
joerirogelj.bsky.social
CO2 removal will play a pivotal role in any future where we achieve net-zero CO2 and eventually net-zero GHG emissions. By acknowledging its scarcity and reserving it for essential and strategic uses, governments can design fairer, robust mitigation strategies that limit risks and harm. /7
joerirogelj.bsky.social
The bottom line of this study connects to previous work on legal limits to the use of CO2 removal, and robust decarbonisation strategies. /6
joerirogelj.bsky.social
It assumes every tonne stored CO2 was removed from the atmosphere (and not captured from fossil fuel combustion or industry sources).

And meanwhile no other CO2 emission are emitted.

0.7°C of global warming reversal is thus a clear ceiling, based on a central estimate of climate response. /5
joerirogelj.bsky.social
If every single ton of this 1,460 GtCO2 would be used to remove CO2 from the atmosphere, we could reverse 0.7°C of global warming.

And this estimate is a clear ceiling, because... /4
joerirogelj.bsky.social
1,460 GtCO2 (thousand four hundred sixty billion tonnes of CO2!) of practically available geological CO2 storage seems a lot, but lets translate this to its potential for reversing global warming to get a sense of magnitude. /3
joerirogelj.bsky.social
This comes with important consequences for long-term climate change mitigation scenario planning.

Geological CO2 storages moves from a virtually unlimited potential to a rather scarce resource, with a central estimate of 1,460 GtCO2, globally. /2
joerirogelj.bsky.social
NEW STUDY: How much CO2 can we safely store in geological formations?

In a new @nature.com study, we cross-check established academic and industry estimates with various risk factors.

We find a prudent geological CO2 storage limit that is about 10x smaller. /1
joerirogelj.bsky.social
Announcement:
Climate Science and Policy Event on 9 September 2025 by @iiasa.ac.at at the @royalsociety.org

Register if you're interested in attending in person. 👇
iiasa.ac.at
IIASA @iiasa.ac.at · Aug 27
🔍Session spotlight: Planetary Crisis and Overshoot Management at @royalsociety.org 📆 9 Sep, with @ukri.org 📲register here: iiasa.ac.at/events/sep-2...
Reposted by Joeri Rogelj
granthamicl.bsky.social
⚖️Climate litigation is entering a new era 🌏

Thanks to attribution science, courts now have the tools to link climate impacts, such as floods, wildfires and extreme heat to major polluters — and assign legal responsibility. 🧵

📒 imperial.ac.uk/stories/polluters-on-trial
joerirogelj.bsky.social
New research on limits to CO2 removal (CDR). CDR is key to our ambition to stop adding climate pollution to the atmosphere. Because it's uncertain how much will be delivered and it clearly comes with risks of social & environmental side-effects, legal issues arise. This paper provides an overview. 👇
rupertstuartsmith.bsky.social
🚨 Out now in @climate-policy.bsky.social: New research with @thomwetzer.bsky.social @rubenpruetz.bsky.social @joerirogelj.bsky.social Lavanya Rajamani, Marianne Wood and Ewan White: States are depending heavily on CO2 removal to meet climate targets, risking the Paris Agreement goal.
Reposted by Joeri Rogelj
granthamicl.bsky.social
⛈️ @frediotto.bsky.social reviewed extreme weather, such as the LA wildfires, to show that climate change is outpacing adaptation efforts.

🎯 @joerirogelj.bsky.social warns that passing the 1.5°C goal only intensifies the legal & ethical obligations of the Paris Agreement.

buff.ly/dIdDn5a
Reposted by Joeri Rogelj
joerirogelj.bsky.social
What becomes of the 1.5°C goal now that global warming is approaching that level?🌍🔥🌡️

In a new @science.org Policy Forum we explain how the 1.5°C goal remains a critical legal & ethical benchmark, even as the world nears and may soon exceed 1.5°C of global warming🧵1/
www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...
The pursuit of 1.5°C endures as a legal and ethical imperative in a changing world
As the world nears 1.5°C of global warming, near-term emissions reductions and adequate adaptation become ever more important to ensure a safe and livable planet for present and future generations
www.science.org
Reposted by Joeri Rogelj
granthamicl.bsky.social
From litigation to misinformation, and COP30 to populism, our panel discussion was a lively affair.

Thank you to all of our panellists, everyone who attended the event, our co-hosts, the EU Delegation to the UK. #COP30 #CountdownToCOP30