John Roman
@johnkroman.bsky.social
1.1K followers 550 following 340 posts
Director, Center on Public Safety and Justice, NORC at the University of Chicago. Essays: https://johnkroman.substack.com/.
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johnkroman.bsky.social
Greeting new Bluesky people! And welcome. Here are 100 ideas for reducing crime and improving safety without more police and prisons. johnkroman.substack.com/p/100-ideas-... And a summary version at Vital City: www.vitalcitynyc.org/articles/twe...
johnkroman.bsky.social
The Prosecutors and Politics Project at UNC School of Law has released a study analyzing over 11,000 bills changing criminal law in all 50 states between 2015 and 2018. Please join me and a very distinguished panel today, October 1, at Noon EST to discuss the implications. lnkd.in/etzAqi3M
johnkroman.bsky.social
It’s true though!!

<kicks can>
<sulks>
<jumps on tiny dirt bike>
>rides off into the dirty sunset>
johnkroman.bsky.social
Once again, Gen X is forgotten.
johnkroman.bsky.social
I would be happy to accept that title!
johnkroman.bsky.social
Without looking closely, I have twelve papers in there. Since authors are not paid for academic articles, the irony would be that this would be my first check.
ryanestrada.com
Just a reminder to check for your name in this list of books that OpenAI trained from. If your name is there, they probably owe you several thousand dollars.

OpenAI cried that if everyone eligible author files, the company will go bankrupt, so I'm alerting every author I have ever spoken to.
Search LibGen, the Pirated-Books Database That Meta Used to Train AI
Millions of books and scientific papers are captured in the collection’s current iteration.
www.theatlantic.com
johnkroman.bsky.social
I think 83% of my emails are this exchange.

Them: What time can you meet on Wednesday?
Me: Anytime but 10 to 11
Them: Great, I'll send an invite for 10.
johnkroman.bsky.social
In the opening sequence of Numbers, he writes X=yb on the glass. That was the beginning of the end...
johnkroman.bsky.social
Crime control is undergoing a massive shift in the US and around the world, with surveillance tech advancing much faster than privacy protections. Bottom-line: the tech does reduce crime, and, it will likely infringe on civil liberties without careful regulation. www.forbes.com/sites/thomas...
AI Startup Flock Thinks It Can Eliminate All Crime In America
With more than 80,000 AI-powered cameras across the U.S., Flock Safety has become one of cops’ go-to surveillance tools. Now CEO Garrett Langley has both police tech giant Axon and Chinese drone maker...
www.forbes.com
johnkroman.bsky.social
Polls show most Americans think crime is rising because 'crime' is a catch-all term. But, there are dozens of evidence-based ways to reduce disorder and fight crime, and many of the most effective approaches do not involve the police. open.substack.com/pub/johnkrom...
When people say crime is a big problem, are they really talking about crime?
Sometimes, but not always
open.substack.com
johnkroman.bsky.social
This post was your magnum opus. Bravo.
johnkroman.bsky.social
Spot on. I would note that there are 43 law enforcement agencies operating in Washington, the majority of which are federal. The Capitol Hill police alone have a force about the size of Cleveland's municipal police.
emmbadger.bsky.social
The president wants to “take back” DC, but the federal government never really let it go.

It touches nearly every aspect of life in the city, making it harder for local officials to manage even the things Trump cares most about.
www.nytimes.com/2025/08/14/u...
Trump Wants to ‘Take Back’ D.C., but the Federal Government Already Controls Much of It
www.nytimes.com
Reposted by John Roman
emmbadger.bsky.social
The president wants to “take back” DC, but the federal government never really let it go.

It touches nearly every aspect of life in the city, making it harder for local officials to manage even the things Trump cares most about.
www.nytimes.com/2025/08/14/u...
Trump Wants to ‘Take Back’ D.C., but the Federal Government Already Controls Much of It
www.nytimes.com
johnkroman.bsky.social
There are several evidence-based explanations for the crime spike and decline. I summarize them here, and explain why some fit the data better than others: johnkroman.substack.com/p/explaining...
Explaining the COVID Violence Spike and the Roaring Crime Decline
Four Reasons for the Historic Beginning to the 2020s
johnkroman.substack.com
johnkroman.bsky.social
Such a bad take from the @nytimes.com. It ignores decades of evidence from police research, criminology, economics, etc. It's a barstool conversation based on a hazy recollection of college sociology. www.nytimes.com/2025/08/14/o...
Opinion | Crime Keeps Falling. Here’s Why.
www.nytimes.com
johnkroman.bsky.social
It is hard to think of an idea with more staying power, and one with less empirical support, than the idea that the way to be tough on crime is to lock lots of people up. What I want to propose here is a much more effective way to be tough on crime. open.substack.com/pub/johnkrom...
Let’s get tough on crime by solving more crimes
Choosing between certainty and punishment
open.substack.com
johnkroman.bsky.social
It’s interesting that there seems to have been some inflation in the estimates too: it was 18,000, then 18,500, now I see 19,000. It’s totally plausible there is an increase, but, you’d think we’d *know* this!
johnkroman.bsky.social
I have say, I never thought about this. That’s a helluva good insight!
johnkroman.bsky.social
Disorder has declined a lot since 2020. And it appears that a big increase in the size of local governments around the country is driving the change. This upends the long-held idea that disorder is driven almost exclusively by local policy. open.substack.com/pub/johnkrom...
Disorder is Declining Along with Violence
All crime is not local
open.substack.com
Reposted by John Roman
pcgvr.org
Philadelphia homicides leapt from 13 victims in April to 30 last month, according to new Philly Stat 360 update today: philly-stat-360.phila.gov/pages/homici...
johnkroman.bsky.social
I coach little league, both baseball and softball. Our commissioner gives a speech to coaches at a banquet each spring. The point is: tell the parents that none of these kids will play pro ball and there are vanishingly few full-ride college scholarships. And young athletes are fragile.
johnkroman.bsky.social
Rehabs are full of young men who got hurt playing sports and end up down the rabbit hole. A young man whose sense of self-worth is tied to their athletic performance will find the quick fix unless those around them support a better path. They often don't. www.thebaltimorebanner.com/sports/brian...
The unraveling of a former Orioles pitcher
Brian Matusz was once the Baltimore Orioles’ next great hope. How did an ‘all-American’ kid lose his way?
www.thebaltimorebanner.com