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John Voorheis @johnvoorheis.bsky.social · 2d

Facts care about *some people's* feelings

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John Voorheis @johnvoorheis.bsky.social · 2d

Gotta do prehistory imo

John Voorheis @johnvoorheis.bsky.social · 2d

Introvert married to an extrovert

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John Voorheis @johnvoorheis.bsky.social · 2d

Guess I better get a lions flag to fit in in the neighborhood

John Voorheis @johnvoorheis.bsky.social · 5d

The between sets music playlist is all shit like Take Me Out, and it is killing with the crowd, many of whom were infants or nonexistent when said song came out

John Voorheis @johnvoorheis.bsky.social · 5d

We ain't got no place to go, etc

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John Voorheis @johnvoorheis.bsky.social · 5d

Extremely high marginal income and wealth tax rates are not just a valuable public health intervention for a vulnerable community (rich people gone crazy with wealth) but also have important spillover effects for another population (young men who will otherwise bankrupt their families on gambling)

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John Voorheis @johnvoorheis.bsky.social · 5d

At a top 1% share of say 10% (of a gini of say .25), a young man at median income had dignity. Double that, and the only way to have a "good life" feels like just being lucky

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John Voorheis @johnvoorheis.bsky.social · 5d

Not an original thought, but the twin scourges of sports betting and crypto/options trading (honestly the same thing at root) are downstream of a policy/social choice to allow inequality to increase dramatically and stay high.

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John Voorheis @johnvoorheis.bsky.social · 6d

I think it is harder to know ex ante which specific tasks are "no brainers" and which are going to eat up efficiency gains in not having to write code from scratch with extensive review/debug/reprompt cycles than would be needed to actually make this true

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John Voorheis @johnvoorheis.bsky.social · 9d

Given the preponderance of evidence re: PM2.5 related mortality, taking literally any steps to continue burning coal when another, lower particulate matter producing option is available actually is something like murder.

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John Voorheis @johnvoorheis.bsky.social · 11d

Also I haven't had coffee yet don't listen to me

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John Voorheis @johnvoorheis.bsky.social · 11d

I'm just saying the distribution of productivity gains in final income determines whether this is a nightmare dystopia or not, and the fact that "and we'll have to pay our workers more if they're so much more productive" never seems to show up in these is telling

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John Voorheis @johnvoorheis.bsky.social · 11d

"we anticipate a productivity boom and we intend on capturing all of it"

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John Voorheis @johnvoorheis.bsky.social · 11d

The right way to read these is as a statement of intent, that AI is a magic money printing macguffin that lets CEOs increase revenue and limit payroll (aka good old fashioned Marxist exploitation)

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John Voorheis @johnvoorheis.bsky.social · 13d

About the only upside to having a shitty commute foisted on me is that I can really lean into middle aged dudeness, audiobooks about the ancient world-wide

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John Voorheis @johnvoorheis.bsky.social · 13d

Some of that depends on whether you think of nomadic pastoralism as a sort of primitiva communism though, right?

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John Voorheis @johnvoorheis.bsky.social · 17d

5) mistaking lifecycle effects for cross-cohort effects is something that a lot of people do, but that doesn't mean you should jump off the bridge too, or whatever the aphorism is

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John Voorheis @johnvoorheis.bsky.social · 17d

3) So over-indexing on household-level measures (like SCF or HVS based stats) continues to be misleading and 4) At least for homeownership (in the CPS-ASEC), improvements stopped in 2022, and 35-45 year olds have slightly lower homeownership rates in 2024 vs. 2022

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John Voorheis @johnvoorheis.bsky.social · 17d

There's a kernel of truth here that's relevant -- through about 2023, the fortunes of the 35-45 year old cohort did improve relative to the mid-2010s -- but it remains the case that for this group, 1) homeownership is *way* lower than it was 40 years ago and 2) householder status is less common

Doug Henwood @doughenwood.bsky.social · 18d

The received standard tale of Millennials' economic woe is obsolete.

www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

The statistics for American millennials have changed — rapidly. Some 55% of us now own homes. On average, millennials are now nearly a third richer than baby boomers were at a similar point in their lives. The Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis found that millennials own $1.35 for every $1 boomers did at the same age. Millennial households’ average net worth was around $90,000 in 2016, but it’s now estimated to be about four times that size, having ballooned at “an unusually fast pace,” according to the Fed. Fidelity recently reported that the average 401(k) balance for millennials is now $74,800. Even factoring in mortgage debt, millennial housing wealth grew by $2.5 trillion between 2020 and 2024.

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John Voorheis @johnvoorheis.bsky.social · 18d

Your wife/girlfriend/husband/boyfriend/partner/random person you know probably wants a pumpkin donut and a dirty chai latte and if you get them one they will like you more

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John Voorheis @johnvoorheis.bsky.social · 19d

A big problem with basically everything is that the median person is a confident dumbass

Charlotte Swasey @charlotteeffect.bsky.social · 19d

I have so much happening this morning!!
1. On the Searchlight website, our new housing poll. It is extremely a mixed bag. Plus toplines and xtabs for your enjoyment
www.searchlightinstitute.org/research/wha...

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John Voorheis @johnvoorheis.bsky.social · 21d

Vance is tiebreaker though, so would be same result either way

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John Voorheis @johnvoorheis.bsky.social · 21d

Verbal debate, like upper body strength for men, is largely a vestige of previous eras, so it's a sort of historical playacting. Some guys like to reenact civil war battles, some guys like to debate like a pre-literate Sumerian, everyone needs a hobby

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John Voorheis @johnvoorheis.bsky.social · 21d

I feel like this is not adjusting for population properly, so it would be better to choose only the best single item/dish from each. My controversial list

A = French fries
B = cacio e pepe (going to say rome is B)
C = pizza
D =falafel
E = shiro on injera
F = maafe
G = burritos

Brilliant Maps @brilliantmaps.bsky.social · 22d

For the rest of your life, you can only eat food from one of these regions. Which do you choose?

For more maps: brilliantmaps.beehiiv.com/s...

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