Jonny Marshall
@jonnymarshall.bsky.social
1.7K followers 520 following 65 posts
Principal Economist at the Resolution Foundation @resfoundation.bsky.social working on energy and climate policy
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Reposted by Jonny Marshall
resfoundation.bsky.social
The Government has allocated £13 billion to the Warm Homes Plan. But what should it do with the money?

Priority should be given to the poorest households who spend twice as much of their family budgets on energy bills as the richest households.

Read more👉 buff.ly/PGjbi38
The Plan aims to address the twin challenges of reducing energy bills while also driving decarbonisation of home heating. 

The Government is pledging £13 billion to make homes cleaner and cheaper to heat – but not enough to overhaul the entire housing stock. This means that some prioritisation is needed.

The ''who, how, and what,'' are all key considerations. Poorer households will get a greater living standards boost from energy efficiency improvements.

While no more likely to live in badly insulated homes, these households spend twice as much of their budgets on energy bills - 10 per cent for the poorest quintile compared to 5 per cent for the richest.

So capital spending should be focussed on them. Almost all low income households could be made eligible through a system based on incomes, three times more than through welfare passporting or based on area.

Grants should target measures with the biggest impact: loft insulation, filling cavity walls, solar panels. These would lock in permanent energy bill savings of 14 per cent for those in the poorest fifth of households (in homes with an EPC rating of D or lower). The Government has to balance spending on insulation and clean heating. 

Acting to reduce bills will mean less to spend on rolling out heat pumps.

But this doesn’t mean giving up on clean heat, far from it. 

Ministers should be bolder with regulations to accelerate the roll out of heat pumps.
jonnymarshall.bsky.social
Interesting energy consumption stats out today - electric cars and domestic heat pumps now account for more than 5% of total electricity use www.gov.uk/government/s...
Reposted by Jonny Marshall
simonjeffrey.bsky.social
If govt wants lower bills, especially for lower income households, it needs to pay for it through tax rises right now. Fiddling around with standing charges is deck chair rearrangement - and people who end up with higher bills will make more noise than those who get a cut from this.
jonnymarshall.bsky.social
Lower standing charges aren’t the answer to high energy bills: a tariff with a 50% cut in standing charges would only see one in six families save more than £100 on energy bills – 43 per cent would see bills increase
jonnymarshall.bsky.social
Other ways of cutting bills (such as nil-rating VAT) are seemingly being discussed in Government too, but we’ll have a @resfoundation.bsky.social note out next month on how to cut bills in a way that works both distributionally and environmentally
jonnymarshall.bsky.social
And those that do save would see smaller average savings than those who lose out - £67 per year compared with £90 per year.
jonnymarshall.bsky.social
Any potential benefits wouldn’t be focussed on lower income families – just 18 per cent of the poorest fifth of households could save £100 or more from a low standing charge tariff, a similar proportion to the richest fifth
jonnymarshall.bsky.social
The regulator can’t wish costs away: lower standing charges mean higher unit costs – penalising those with high energy demand and actively working against the net zero transition by making electric cars and heat pumps more expensive to run
jonnymarshall.bsky.social
Lower standing charges aren’t the answer to high energy bills: a tariff with a 50% cut in standing charges would only see one in six families save more than £100 on energy bills – 43 per cent would see bills increase
jonnymarshall.bsky.social
Unit prices relatively unchanged, but still way higher than pre-crisis levels. Higher unit prices are a big deal as we head into winter when families use most of their energy
jonnymarshall.bsky.social
Most of this change in energy bills being driven by an increase in standing charges, which are up for both gas and for electricity into Q4
Reposted by Jonny Marshall
resfoundation.bsky.social
How should the Government prioritise its £13 billion Warm Homes Plan budget?

Priority should be given to the poorest households who spend twice as much of family budgets on energy bills as the richest households.

Read more: buff.ly/PGjbi38
The Plan aims to address the twin challenges of reducing energy bills while also driving decarbonisation of home heating. 

The Government is pledging £13 billion to make homes cleaner and cheaper to heat – but not enough to overhaul the entire housing stock. This means that some prioritisation is needed.

The ''who, how, and what,'' are all key considerations. Poorer households will get a greater living standards boost from energy efficiency improvements.

While no more likely to live in badly insulated homes, these households spend twice as much of their budgets on energy bills - 10 per cent for the poorest quintile compared to 5 per cent for the richest.

So capital spending should be focussed on them. Almost all low income households could be made eligible through a system based on incomes, three times more than through welfare passporting or based on area.

Grants should target measures with the biggest impact: loft insulation, filling cavity walls, solar panels. These would lock in permanent energy bill savings of 14 per cent for those in the poorest fifth of households (in homes with an EPC rating of D or lower). The Government has to balance spending on insulation and clean heating. 

Acting to reduce bills will mean less to spend on rolling out heat pumps.

But this doesn’t mean giving up on clean heat, far from it. 

Ministers should be bolder with regulations to accelerate the roll out of heat pumps.
jonnymarshall.bsky.social
Instead they can be effective at helping those on higher incomes bridge credit constraints that are currently holding back efforts to decarbonise homes
jonnymarshall.bsky.social
And at the Spending Review it was confirmed that £5bn of funding would be loans. Loans are good for meeting fiscal rules but less useful for poorer families than grants
jonnymarshall.bsky.social
What – The Government has to balance spending on insulation and clean heating. These don’t have the same implications for living standards: some are far better at cutting bills and some much better at reducing emissions
jonnymarshall.bsky.social
How – The Government is toying with three approaches to ensuring grants reach vulnerable households. We find that one based on household incomes performs far better than using benefit eligibility or area-based eligibility
jonnymarshall.bsky.social
Who – while poorer households are no more likely to live in badly insulated homes, they will get a greater living standards boost from energy efficiency improvements. This means capital spending should be focussed on them
jonnymarshall.bsky.social
The Labour Government is pledging a LOT of money to make homes cleaner and cheaper to heat – but not enough to overhaul the entire housing stock. This means that some prioritisation is needed
Reposted by Jonny Marshall
zackleather.bsky.social
Good to see the flexibility roadmap out today. Flex is key to a cheaper energy system, so great that Gov is committed to this. Especially big savings coming for those with big techs like EVs and heat pumps.

www.gov.uk/government/p...
Clean flexibility roadmap
A roadmap setting out the government’s vision for a clean, flexible, consumer-focused electricity system.
www.gov.uk
jonnymarshall.bsky.social
Shame to see rising block tariffs suggested. A bad idea for poorer families that use lots of energy, but also not great for incentivising people to consume more electricity in electric cars or heat pumps
jessicaelgot.bsky.social
Ed Miliband has been urged by more than 100 Labour MPs to explore overhauling UK energy bills.

He is understood to be considering a number of options for progressive energy pricing, inc discounts for the least intensive consumers – known as rising block tariffs

www.theguardian.com/environment/...
More than 100 Labour MPs urge Ed Miliband to explore radical energy bills overhaul
Living Standards Coalition writes to energy secretary calling on him to do more to help struggling households
www.theguardian.com
Reposted by Jonny Marshall
alexbelsham-harris.bsky.social
The challenge of energy affordability is very real, but rising block tariffs aren’t the answer. People on low incomes with poorly insulated homes or who need more energy for health reasons could see rising bills, while those with multiple homes or can install solar panels avoid paying a fair share
jessicaelgot.bsky.social
Ed Miliband has been urged by more than 100 Labour MPs to explore overhauling UK energy bills.

He is understood to be considering a number of options for progressive energy pricing, inc discounts for the least intensive consumers – known as rising block tariffs

www.theguardian.com/environment/...
More than 100 Labour MPs urge Ed Miliband to explore radical energy bills overhaul
Living Standards Coalition writes to energy secretary calling on him to do more to help struggling households
www.theguardian.com
Reposted by Jonny Marshall
adamcorlett.bsky.social
@resfoundation.bsky.social colleagues noted last year that extending Winter Fuel Payments to pensioners on Housing Benefit would target low incomes at a cost of £100m (& a HB - Pension Credit merger is planned longer-term).

Another £200m could extend WFPs to those on Attendance Allowance, DLA & PIP