Justin S. Mankin
@jsmankin.bsky.social
2K followers 140 following 28 posts
climate scientist || documenting and predicting climate impacts || professor @dartmouth https://geography.dartmouth.edu/people/justin-s-mankin https://jsmankin.github.io/
Posts Media Videos Starter Packs
jsmankin.bsky.social
Noteworthy that this type of analysis would not be much harder without an emissions reporting mandate.
jsmankin.bsky.social
EPA plans to roll back GHG reporting—just as we learn US transport emissions have cost the US economy $68B: zenodo.org/records/1708...

The proposal isn't deregulation, it’s a tax on Americans through unchecked pollution.
jsmankin.bsky.social
This important work is very consilient with our attribution of extreme heat to carbon majors in @nature.com earlier this year: tinyurl.com/nhffeezv

It is a great thing for science when independent groups with independent methods come to the same conclusions.
jsmankin.bsky.social
With the EPA targeting the Endangerment Finding, @ccallahan45.bsky.social, Alex Gottlieb, & I conducted an end-to-end attribution of climate damages from U.S. power sector emissions.

The result: $78 billion in climate losses to the U.S. economy over 1973–2023.

See here: zenodo.org/records/1687...
Left: Annual-scale direct economic damages to the U.S. economy from the U.S. electric power sector emissions over the 1973-2023 period in billions of U.S. dollars benchmarked to the 2015 dollar value ($US2015). Right: Cumulative direct economic damages from U.S. power sector emissions, equivalent to the integral under the curve at the left.
Reposted by Justin S. Mankin
climateflavors.bsky.social
Please consider joining our #AGU session on beautifully complex Water-Energy-Carbon interactions with a broad scope from theory to applied science.

Invited talks by Julia Green @juliakgreen.bsky.social and Gabe Kooperman.
Promotional graphic for the AGU25 conference session titled "B008 - Advances in Understanding Water-Energy-Carbon Interactions." It announces a call for abstracts due July 30, 2025, at 23:59 EDT. The central question posed is: "How do water-energy-carbon interactions shape terrestrial biosphere responses to global change?" Key topics include coupling of water-energy-carbon cycles, bridging scales and processes, climate change sensitivities and impacts, and applications for climate resilience. The image features headshots and affiliations of invited speakers Julia Green (University of Arizona) and Gabe Kooperman (University of Georgia), and conveners YanLan Liu (Ohio State), Justin Mankin (Dartmouth), Dan Gianotti (MIT), Flavio Lehner (Cornell), and Xiangtao Xu (Cornell). The background shows a scenic natural landscape with trees.
jsmankin.bsky.social
Come do a postdoc with our group at Dartmouth, documenting and projecting climate impacts!

Applications will be evaluated until the position is filled.

Salary, benefits, and other details here:

apply.interfolio.com/168708

Reach out to me ([email protected]) with questions.
Apply - Interfolio {{$ctrl.$state.data.pageTitle}} - Apply - Interfolio
apply.interfolio.com
Reposted by Justin S. Mankin
jsmankin.bsky.social
See below, from the article itself (rather than AI) — you should read it!

I would gently offer that creating human benefit does not absolve you of the harms you also create. One can see that, in say, the pharmaceutical industry being held to account for the opioid crisis.
jsmankin.bsky.social
We are—as a nation—intentionally blinding ourselves at the precise moment we need to see our planetary insult most clearly.
jsmankin.bsky.social
As a former GISS postdoc, this is such a bummer, not least of which because the disruption and ambiguity can easily become a pretense for laying off many more highly trained and talented scientists dedicated to the public good.
Reposted by Justin S. Mankin
jamesdinneen.bsky.social
This could be a big deal for the hundreds of climate lawsuits underway around the world. @jsmankin.bsky.social and @ccallahan45.bsky.social link emissions from specific fossil fuel companies to trillions of dollars in damages.

“I think this is going to be the future of climate litigation." 🧪🔌💡
Can climate science attribute economic damage to major polluters?
Climate researchers argue their science has advanced enough to directly link emissions from particular companies to damages from specific extreme weather events
www.newscientist.com
jsmankin.bsky.social
What would be strange? The counterfactual is simply a world where one emitter forgoes their emissions.
jsmankin.bsky.social
In it we show the trillions of dollars of economic losses from extreme heat caused by the emissions of individual carbon majors.

That’s from just one hazard. The scope of loss, while massive, is just the tip of the iceberg.

We are systematically underestimating the costs of climate change.
Reposted by Justin S. Mankin
valmasdel.bsky.social
"The universities control the knowledge in our society (...) We have to agressivly attack the universities (...). Fundamental lies that feminism is liberating (...) There is wisdom in what Nixon said, the professors are the enemy "

bryanalexander.org/politics/the...

www.youtube.com/watch?v=0FR6...
J.D. Vance | The Universities are the Enemy | National Conservatism Conference II
YouTube video by National Conservatism
www.youtube.com
Reposted by Justin S. Mankin
valmasdel.bsky.social
I receive numerous requests from journalists regarding the current situation with the Intergovernemental Panel on Climate Change.

I am not involved in the work of the IPCC for the 7th Assessment Cycle (AR7).

1/...
jsmankin.bsky.social
"What's that? The 10% that accounts for 60% of the country's wealth accounts for 50% of spending?"
jsmankin.bsky.social
This headline is an astounding (and gross) editorial sleight of hand.
jsmankin.bsky.social
Water memories are short in the American West. Just two years after the 2020–23 drought, the Southwest drifts back to its climatically preferred state: drought.

This 2021 op-ed feels relevant as we approach the 2025 dry season with low snowpack and reservoirs: shorturl.at/Uvsyv
jsmankin.bsky.social
High CO2 is expected to boost runoff via plant responses, but our results challenge this. Conditioning plant-driven runoff changes on plant-forced precipitation changes, we find runoff declines are as common as increases, with CO2-driven runoff boosts over just 5% of land: shorturl.at/4zM7N
Projected runoff declines from plant physiological effects on precipitation - Nature Water
This study shows that Earth system models disagree on the spatial distribution of plant-induced precipitation changes but indicate that plant responses are as likely to decrease runoff as they are to ...
www.nature.com