Flavio Lehner
@climateflavors.bsky.social
2K followers 470 following 180 posts
Climate Scientist Assistant Professor @ Cornell University Chief Climate Scientist @ Polar Bears International https://flaviolehner.eas.cornell.edu/
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Reposted by Flavio Lehner
kevinjkircher.com
Sometimes I think about how from 1935-1975ish, Bell Labs produced an insane amount of revolutionary science and technology, including 11 Nobel Prizes, the transistor, UNIX, C, the laser, the solar cell, information theory, etc. The secret? Provide scientists with ample, steady, no-strings funding.
sites.stat.columbia.edu
Reposted by Flavio Lehner
weatherprof.bsky.social
This is why two hurricanes can not merge into a monster.
Watch as #Imelda’s growing outflow and sinking air impinges on #Humberto’s core, likely soon leading to weakening. Systems are now under 600 miles apart.
climateflavors.bsky.social
Fyi, you can have global entry with only a greencard.

Fingers crossed you don’t have to have any such discussion.
Reposted by Flavio Lehner
omfishient.bsky.social
🧪 Were you one of the many thousands of STEM students (and mentors) impacted by the sudden change in #NSF #GRFP eligibility last week?

We created a petition to NSF leadership and Congress to reverse the changes - please sign and share your stories here!!

laurenkuehne.github.io/grfpChanges/
Petition to NSF to Restore Eligibility for the 2026 Graduate Research Fellowship Program Competition
laurenkuehne.github.io
Reposted by Flavio Lehner
djvanness.bsky.social
A lot of people think that every international student admitted means one fewer spot for domestic students, when the opposite is more likely true - the tuition revenue international students bring allows public universities to provide substantial discounts to domestic students, improving access.
Reposted by Flavio Lehner
benmsanderson.bsky.social
Paris-Berlin sleeper: low carbon, 2 years old, constantly full, but currently losing SNCF a few million EUR/yr

Intl Jet fuel tax exemptions are 80 years old and cost the EU 22 million EUR/yr for the Paris-Berlin route alone.

And you're cutting... the sleeper?

www.theguardian.com/travel/2025/...
It’s goodnight Vienna as Paris sleeper train to Austria and Berlin hit by cuts
Some Nightjet services suspended from mid-December after French withdrawal amid public budget crisis
www.theguardian.com
Reposted by Flavio Lehner
agu.org
📢 Submissions are now open for the U.S. Climate Collection, a joint @theAGU + @ametsoc initiative.

This special collection will publish U.S.-focused climate assessment science that’s free to read, ensuring rigorous, accessible science informs decisions for years to come.

🔗 buff.ly/1tHUSLC
Reposted by Flavio Lehner
ccallahan45.bsky.social
Our working hypothesis was they were going to have AI summarize all 350,000 comments but it turns they’re just going to <checks notes> ignore them entirely
jamesgoodwin.bsky.social
"... Zeldin intends to sign off next week on the final policy and legal justifications for repealing the so-called endangerment finding and Biden-era climate rules for cars and trucks... before agency staff have time to sift through all public comments...." subscriber.politicopro.com/article/eene...
E&E News: Internal docs: Zeldin races ahead without analysis in endangerment rollback
The EPA administrator plans to sign off on the repeal's policy and legal justifications before his staff finishes the regulatory impact analysis.
subscriber.politicopro.com
Reposted by Flavio Lehner
climate.us
🚨 NCA5 is now LIVE! 🚨

They took it down, but we've brought it back at: nca5.climate.us

Bookmark. 👏 this. 👏 page. 👏

This is just our first step in restoring trusted science information that Americans need to understand what's happening with the climate.
Reposted by Flavio Lehner
hausfath.bsky.social
In a UN speech today, President Trump said that "all of these [climate] predictions were wrong".

Back in 2019 I led a research effort to digitize old climate model projections and assess how well they did. Turns out they got future warming pretty spot on!
climateflavors.bsky.social
Thanks and nice to see this, Tim! What's happening over North America in CRUTEM 5.1 minus 5.2? Just random variations in stations reporting or something more systematic?
Reposted by Flavio Lehner
timosbornclim.bsky.social
After a brief (ahem) hiatus, the HadCRUT5 global temperature dataset has now been updated to June 2025 by @metoffice.gov.uk @climateuea.bsky.social and @ncas-uk.bsky.social
1850-2025 time series of global mean temperature anomaly from the HadCRUT5 dataset.
Reposted by Flavio Lehner
benmsanderson.bsky.social
The last few years definitely raise some questions about the lower bounds of ECS BUT.. people, AR7 can't cite bluesky. We need strong updated literature, which fully takes into account the last few years of data - ideally from a few independent groups. Tick tock
cristiproist.bsky.social
ECS <2 is absurd in the year of our lord 2025.

The data used in Sherwood et al is now almost a decade old (not to mention Lewis and Curry 2014).

Even ignoring pattern effects, we’re now already at ~1.5C with less than 2xCO2 and an even larger energy imbalance.

No way Effective ECS is <2.
kenrice.bsky.social
But it's not just uniform vs Jeffreys. There are other priors and there are other ways to estimate ECS. As Andrew points out, if your method suggest a good chance of the ECS being < 2K, then there's probably an issue with the method, or it's at least worth considering this.
Reposted by Flavio Lehner
cristiproist.bsky.social
#realktalk though, when is the deadline for papres to be accepted to be considered for AR7?
Reposted by Flavio Lehner
Reposted by Flavio Lehner
soniaseneviratne.bsky.social
Es ist eine grosse Ehre, den 2025 Deutschen Umweltpreis zu erhalten! Danke an alle meine jetzigen und ehemaligen Gruppenmitglieder und viele Kolleg:innen!
@lukasgudmundsson.bsky.social @yasserhaddad.bsky.social @yannquilcaille.bsky.social @michaelgwindisch.bsky.social @usyseth.bsky.social
umweltstiftung.bsky.social
Ausgezeichnet!🏆Mit dem Deutschen Umweltpreis 2025 von der DBU #uwp25 werden die Klimaforscherin @soniaseneviratne.bsky.social @ethz.ch & das Geschäftsführungsduo Lars Baumgürtel und Dr. Ing. Birgitt Bendiek des Stahlverzinkungsunternehmens ZINQ geehrt. buff.ly/QEDIjX0
climateflavors.bsky.social
Idk of an online source for that specific data but I should have the global means lying around somewhere. Can you send me an email?

The full data is available via MMLEA or ESGF but that's a pain if you just need global mean.
www.cesm.ucar.edu/community-pr...
aims2.llnl.gov/search/cmip6/
Multi-Model Large Ensemble Archives | Community Earth System Model
www.cesm.ucar.edu
Reposted by Flavio Lehner
drjeffmasters.bsky.social
“particles spewed by Canadian wildfires killed 82,000 people in 2023, according to a study published in Nature on Wednesday. The long tendrils of smoke choked towns not just in Canada and the US, but also across the Atlantic. The pollution was responsible for 22,000 early deaths in Europe alone.”
Reposted by Flavio Lehner
hausfath.bsky.social
The current administration has claimed renewables are making the grid less reliable. If that were the case, I'd expect states adding the most renewables over the past decade to have the largest increase in outages.

However, the opposite seems to be true!
climateflavors.bsky.social
It's Reviewer classics week:
- This work is not novel but I can't provide literature to back up my verdict.
- While you have now included all the datasets that I asked you to, you are still not considering enough datasets.
- Do this analysis that you already did (in the supplement).