Julius Lagodny
@juliuslagodny.bsky.social
Data @ El Pato, Berlin | Visiting Fellow Data Lab Hertie School | PhD Cornell Govt | Data Infrastructure and Predictive (Market) Modelling using ML and AI | Voting, Migration, and Election Forecasts EU & US | he/him
Reposted by Julius Lagodny
Article discussing the highly accurate model by @peterenns.bsky.social @juliuslagodny.bsky.social et al. -- and a reminder that fundamentals go a long way towards explaining this year's presidential election. amp-theguardian-com.cdn.ampproject.org/c/s/amp.theg...
Trump victory not a mandate for radical change, top election forecaster says | Donald Trump | The Guardian
amp-theguardian-com.cdn.ampproject.org
November 30, 2024 at 6:22 PM
Article discussing the highly accurate model by @peterenns.bsky.social @juliuslagodny.bsky.social et al. -- and a reminder that fundamentals go a long way towards explaining this year's presidential election. amp-theguardian-com.cdn.ampproject.org/c/s/amp.theg...
Reposted by Julius Lagodny
My 2024 election forecast with @juliuslagodny.bsky.social, Jonathan Colner, and Anusha Kumar correctly forecasted 45/45 called states using Verasight (and other) data from 100 days before the Election: doi.org/10.1017/S104.... The 5 remaining states are all leaning in the direction of our forecast.
November 6, 2024 at 12:58 PM
My 2024 election forecast with @juliuslagodny.bsky.social, Jonathan Colner, and Anusha Kumar correctly forecasted 45/45 called states using Verasight (and other) data from 100 days before the Election: doi.org/10.1017/S104.... The 5 remaining states are all leaning in the direction of our forecast.
Reposted by Julius Lagodny
Very interesting insights into India's reactions to the Israel/Hamas war by my colleague @shubhakprasad.bsky.social 👇
Relationships, trade ties, policies, sympathy…
Is India’s response different than we might have expected from its behavior in earlier Israel-Palestine disputes?
Read @claryc.bsky.social’s interview of Shubha Prasad:
goodauthority.org/news/what-in...
Is India’s response different than we might have expected from its behavior in earlier Israel-Palestine disputes?
Read @claryc.bsky.social’s interview of Shubha Prasad:
goodauthority.org/news/what-in...
What India is saying about the Israel-Hamas war
Have India’s relations with Israel shifted, as the Israel-Hamas war intensifies? I asked Shubha Kamala Prasad, an assistant professor of international relations at the Hertie School in Berlin, about...
goodauthority.org
November 2, 2023 at 1:35 PM
Very interesting insights into India's reactions to the Israel/Hamas war by my colleague @shubhakprasad.bsky.social 👇
Reposted by Julius Lagodny
My conversation with @claryc.bsky.social about India's position on Israel and Palestine after the 7 Oct Hamas terrorist attacks in @goodauth.bsky.social goodauthority.org/news/what-in...
November 2, 2023 at 1:41 PM
My conversation with @claryc.bsky.social about India's position on Israel and Palestine after the 7 Oct Hamas terrorist attacks in @goodauth.bsky.social goodauthority.org/news/what-in...
Reposted by Julius Lagodny
