Karen-Anna Eggen
@kaeggen.bsky.social
2.1K followers 540 following 87 posts
Researcher 👉 @IFS_Oslo & @UniOslo_SVfak. Russian strategy, security policy, information confrontation, Nordic region, Arctic, Belarus, Ukraine, NATO 📝
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kaeggen.bsky.social
📣 @siristrand.bsky.social og jeg har i dag en rykende fersk artikkel på trykk i tidsskriftet Internasjonal Politikk om russisk påvirkning i Norge og samspillet mellom tekniske (cyber) og psykologiske virkemidler i russiske informasjonsoperasjoner.

Kan leses her 👇
«Arktisk blokade»: en russisk informasjonsoperasjon mot Norge
Russlands invasjon av Ukraina bryter med et grunnleggende prinsipp i den europeiske sikkerhetsarkitekturen: respekten for territorielle grenser. I denne casestudien ser vi på en hendelse hvor Russland...
tidsskriftet-ip.no
kaeggen.bsky.social
Veldig god sak av @bergenstidende.bsky.social:

"Havbunnen utenfor Bergen er full av rørledninger.. – Det er registrert sikk-sakk-kjøring over rørledninger, skip med russisk mannskap som senker farten, stopper opp eller beveger seg i farvann de ikke har noe å gjøre"
Skip med russisk mannskap seiler sikksakk over rørledninger. – Situasjonen er bekymringsfull.
Politiet har avdekket uvanlige seilingsmønstre utenfor Mongstad, Sture og Kollsnes. Bare én prosent av skipene utenfor Vestland blir kontrollert.
www.bt.no
kaeggen.bsky.social
This comes on top of weeks with intensified Russian civilian bombings. Trump's refusal to punish Putin is met with more brutality. This is the nature of the Russian regime and will continue to be so until they are shown this is unacceptable. 2/2
kaeggen.bsky.social
Reduced US support is not surprising, given the current US admin's approach to Ukraine and Russia. This has been ongoing for a while across fields since Trump's return. Yet the latest reporting on patriots and artillery is painful given the harsh summer facing UKR's military and civil society. 1/2
shashj.bsky.social
Per reporting by my colleague @olliecarroll.bsky.social, US has cancelled 8,000-ish 155mm shells for Ukraine. That is 20% of current MONTHLY production. How that would have materially affected US readiness is hard to see. That's before getting onto 25 Stingers & 92 AIM-7, which are being phased out
Reposted by Karen-Anna Eggen
thestudyofwar.bsky.social
NEW: Russia conducted its largest combined strike series of the war on the night of June 28 to 29 by launching over 500 missiles and drones against Ukraine.

Read more in the June 29. 2025 Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment: isw.pub/UkrWar062925
Reposted by Karen-Anna Eggen
kaeggen.bsky.social
@drjademcglynn.bsky.social "Imagine being bombed like this while simultaneously being trolled by Moscow and D.C. that Russia is interested in negotiations ... for a ceasefire that the Kremlin says will only be temporary and only after Ukraine capitulates territories Russia cannot take militarily."
christopherjm.ft.com
"In Zhytomyr region, three siblings aged 8, 12 and 17 were found dead under a pile of rubble after a Russian air strike on their home. Their parents survived."

Russian record air attack on Ukraine dashes hopes for ceasefire
www.ft.com/content/01bc...
Russian record air attack on Ukraine dashes hopes for ceasefire
Deadly assault comes as Kyiv and Moscow complete largest prisoner swap
www.ft.com
Reposted by Karen-Anna Eggen
warinthefuture.bsky.social
“Putin remains confident in Russia’s ultimate victory in Ukraine and is prepared to use military force at least through 2025.”
U.S. Defence Intelligence Agency assessment, May 2025.
armedservices.house.gov/uploadedfile...
Reposted by Karen-Anna Eggen
ilvestoomas.bsky.social
Lavrov ups Russia's demands on Ukraine to include a ban on democratic elections.

Do we get it yet?
thestudyofwar.bsky.social
NEW: Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov demanded that any future peace agreement in Ukraine include conditions to prevent the election and establishment of future pro-Western governments in Ukraine.

Read more in the May 23, 2025 Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment: isw.pub/UkrWar052325
kaeggen.bsky.social
Jeg tror at når Ukraina hadde momentum og større initiativ på fronten (inkl. amerikansk støtte)så var RU mer tjent med våpenhvile - nå haler de ut tiden fordi de tenker de har mer å tjene på å fortsette - og trolig forventer ULR kollaps på deler av fronten.
Reposted by Karen-Anna Eggen
frodeandresen.bsky.social
(Åpen for alle) Jeg synes at norsk presse ofte glipper når det kommer nyhetssteg om eventuelle forhandlinger om krigen i Ukraina. Ofte synes jeg at dekningen mangler viktig kontekst om Russlands «forhandlingsdans».

Heldigvis kan Altingets fantastiske spaltist @kaeggen.bsky.social gi god innsikt her
Russlands forhandlingsteater fortsetter – det samme gjør krigen - Altinget
Forhandlinger brukes som politisk dekke for militær fremdrift. I mangel av sterkt vestlig press utnytter Russland dialogsporet for å vinne tid militært og delegitimere Ukraina, skriver Karen-Anna Egge...
www.altinget.no
Reposted by Karen-Anna Eggen
anneapplebaum.bsky.social
"Over several days in Lviv I didn’t meet anybody who believed that the Russian president wants to end the war, or that he will negotiate to do so in Istanbul. Ukrainian reasoning is straightforward: Vladimir Putin has never said he wants to end the war."
www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archiv...
Nobody in Ukraine Thinks the War Will End Soon
Ukrainians are confident that they can continue fighting, even without the same level of American support.
www.theatlantic.com
Reposted by Karen-Anna Eggen
jackhewson.com
No show from Putin in IST. Zelenskyy is in this absurd position of having to go to any possible diplomatic meet just to not look like he's the one obstructing peace. www.ft.com/content/9a75...
Inside the Trump administration’s quiet shift on Ukraine
Lack of compromise by Vladimir Putin has led the US to view him as an obstacle to a ceasefire between Moscow and Kyiv
www.ft.com
Reposted by Karen-Anna Eggen
kyivindependent.com
⚡️Trump will skip Ukraine-Russia peace talks as Putin evades negotiations, US official says.

U.S. President Donald Trump will not attend Ukraine-Russia peace talks to be held on May 15, an unnamed U.S. official said on May 14.
Trump will skip Ukraine-Russia peace talks as Putin evades negotiations, US official says
U.S. President Donald Trump will not attend Ukraine-Russia peace talks to be held on May 15, an unnamed U.S. official said.
kyivindependent.com
Reposted by Karen-Anna Eggen
thestudyofwar.bsky.social
NEW: Russian officials continue to reiterate Putin's recent call to base future negotiations with Ukraine on the early 2022 Istanbul protocols that included Russian demands for Ukraine's complete capitulation. ⬇️ (1/4)

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 14, 2025: isw.pub/UkrWar051425
kaeggen.bsky.social
They know Putin is very unlikely to agree to a real ceasefire, but the symbolism vis-a-vis Trump matters. As long as Europe fears applying sufficient pressure on Russia, the best strategy is to arm Ukraine with everything it's got for as long as it takes, until Russian exhaustion or collapse.
kyivindependent.com
⚡️Zelensky, European leaders hold 'productive' call with Trump about peace talks.

"Ukraine and all allies are ready for a complete unconditional ceasefire on land, in the air, and at sea for at least 30 days, starting as early as Monday," Ukraine's Foreign Minister Andrii Sybiha wrote.
Zelensky, European leaders hold 'productive' call with Trump about peace talks
"Ukraine and all allies are ready for a complete unconditional ceasefire on land, in the air, and at sea for at least 30 days, starting as early as Monday," Ukraine's Foreign Minister Andrii Sybiha wr...
kyivindependent.com
kaeggen.bsky.social
Russia's promotion of WW2 and Soviet-era memory policy (@kariagam.bsky.social) and religious activity on Svalbard is now part of a trend aiming to reinforce Russia's narrative about its historic presence and rights on the archipelago. Excellent reporting, as always, by @thebarentsobserver.com.
kaeggen.bsky.social
Today, as Norway marks the 80th anniversary of the end of the German occupation during WWII, the Norwegian government has published its first-ever national security strategy — a symbolic and timely document that I look forward to reading in full 🇧🇻

www.regjeringen.no/en/dokumente...
National security strategy
This is Norway’s first national security strategy. It has been drawn up against the backdrop of the most serious security situation our country has faced since the Second World War. After decades of p...
www.regjeringen.no
kaeggen.bsky.social
📣 On May 26th, the Programme for Ukraine and Full-Spectrum Threats is hosting a seminar on Russia's occupation policy in Ukraine. We've gathered some excellent speakers, and there are still a few seats available if you're in Oslo. More info 👇 @thestudyofwar.bsky.social @unibirmingham.bsky.social
forsvaretshogskole.bsky.social
𝗨𝗻𝗱𝗲𝗿𝘀𝘁𝗮𝗻𝗱𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗥𝘂𝘀𝘀𝗶𝗮’𝘀 𝗢𝗰𝗰𝘂𝗽𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗣𝗼𝗹𝗶𝗰𝘆
In conversation with Illia Riepin, Karolina Hird and Jaroslava Barbieri.
This seminar will take a closer look at different dimensions of Russia’s occupation policies and their consequences.

This is a joint event with IFS and UKRAINETT.
Understanding Russia’s Occupation Policy
In conversation with Illia Riepin, Karolina Hird and Jaroslava Barbieri
www.forsvaret.no
Reposted by Karen-Anna Eggen
karolinahird.bsky.social
This absolutely cannot, under any circumstances, become normalized. This is the reality of Russia's occupation of Ukraine- don't ever look away.
Reposted by Karen-Anna Eggen
noelreports.com
Instead of tanks — investment. Europe is shifting strategy: funding Ukraine’s defense industry instead of just sending weapons. A move to boost long-term production and avoid depleting their own stocks.

www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/0...
Ukraine ramps up artillery production amid fears of falling U.S. support
Manufacturing its own artillery will allow Ukraine to rely less on Western countries for support and address a critical frontline shortage.
www.washingtonpost.com