Nemr Kanafani
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kanafani.bsky.social
Nemr Kanafani
@kanafani.bsky.social
Macro-Economics | Investment Strategy | Financial Planning | Wealth Management
Brussels, Belgium
🇩🇰🇱🇧🇪🇺
www.linkedin.com/in/nemkan/
www.kanafani.net
"When Trump announced sweeping tariffs many were left scratching their heads. What if it wasn’t about economics? [What if the] tariffs aren’t designed to fix trade [but] to create dependence and force alignment"
An interesting perspective from game theory!
www.linkedin.com/pulse/game-t...
April 10, 2025 at 7:18 PM
"A trade deficit sounds bad, but it is neither good nor bad. It simply means foreigners are sending more goods than the US is sending them. A trade deficit can only arise if foreigners invest more in the US than Americans invest abroad"
theconversation.com/the-trade-de...
The trade deficit isn’t an emergency – it’s a sign of America’s strength
The word ‘deficit’ may sound alarming, but America’s trade gap is a sign of its financial and economic dominance.
theconversation.com
April 9, 2025 at 5:13 AM
"Trump and his team dismissed investor fears of inflation and recession, offering no apologies for the turmoil sparked by sweeping global tariffs and defiantly insisting a 🔆BOOM🔆 is on the horizon"

links.message.bloomberg.com/s/c/kdUxOP9P...
Live: Markets Show No Sign of Improved Sentiment in New Week
Stock Market Live: Stock Futures Pare Declines, Traders Boost Fed Rate Cut Bets
links.message.bloomberg.com
April 7, 2025 at 11:42 AM
I fear it’s a bit late for such call. Let’s see how quickly we can get to deal making or if that’s even the goal.

www.reuters.com/world/us/bil...
Bill Ackman warns Trump is losing business leaders' confidence
Billionaire fund manager Bill Ackman, who endorsed Donald Trump's run for President, said the U.S. leader was losing the confidence of business leaders and should pause his trade war.
www.reuters.com
April 7, 2025 at 5:42 AM
“While disagreement about Mr. Trump’s prescription for America’s manufacturing decline is widespread, few experts dispute his general diagnosis”

I hate to quibble but the diagnosis was not his. Economists and policymakers have talked about it for years.

www.nytimes.com/2025/04/03/b...
Trump Tariffs Aim to Revive U.S. Manufacturing. Is That Possible?
The president says “jobs and factories will come roaring back” because of his trade policies, but the economic story of the American 21st century has also been shaped by the deliberate pursuit of free...
www.nytimes.com
April 3, 2025 at 2:07 PM
Reposted by Nemr Kanafani
This is what Trump's "economists" say about how they calculated the "reciprocal" tariffs. Don[t be fooled by the equation. They commit countless crimes against economics. ustr.gov/issue-areas/... +
Reciprocal Tariff Calculations
Executive Summary Reciprocal tariffs are calculated as the tariff rate necessary to balance bilateral trade deficits between the U.S. and each of our trading partners. This calculation assumes that pe...
ustr.gov
April 3, 2025 at 6:44 AM
Europe has a major opportunity it can choose to grab to become once again the leader in science, innovation and ideas. It’s time not for tinkering but for leading. Let’s grab it! 🇪🇺🇪🇺
April 3, 2025 at 6:51 AM
Reposted by Nemr Kanafani
US President Donald Trump is poised to announce so-called reciprocal tariffs on the country’s trading partners in a move that threatens to ignite a full-blown global trade war.

Follow live updates: www.ft.com/content/8c80...
April 2, 2025 at 8:11 PM
“The funds frequently target places that are not particularly needy and mainly benefit people at the upper end of the income distribution. Cohesion policy thus requires root-and-branch reform”
Important and interesting work on EU regional cohesion policies and how they need to be reformed.
You can find the full policy paper here: t.co/2K51VGPxcM
April 2, 2025 at 11:47 AM
US tariff strategy is to create a lot of noise and scare businesses and trade partners then dial it down and watch investment pour back in and trade barriers drop. All the talk of irreparable damage by the mainstream is dismissed by the US leadership as empty talk. Will it work?
April 2, 2025 at 10:47 AM
“the proposed tariff risks causing irreparable damage to the industry, contradicting the administration’s goals of strengthening U.S. manufacturing and economic stability,” Laffer writes in the analysis

nymag.com/intelligence...
Economic Warnings About Trump’s Tariffs Are Piling Up
Trump says his new tariffs will be “Liberation Day” for America. Economists’ and market analysts’ views are far more ominous.
nymag.com
April 1, 2025 at 7:24 AM
A CNBC survey that averages forecasts from more than a dozen economists indicates that “policy uncertainty and sweeping new tariffs from the Trump administration are combining to create a stagflationary outlook for the U.S. economy”

nymag.com/intelligence...
Economic Warnings About Trump’s Tariffs Are Piling Up
Trump says his new tariffs will be “Liberation Day” for America. Economists’ and market analysts’ views are far more ominous.
nymag.com
April 1, 2025 at 7:20 AM
Reposted by Nemr Kanafani
Tariffs get all the attention, but ask economists what they're really worried about and many will point to the Trump administration's cuts to federal support for the sciences, including canceling grants and revoking student visas.
#EconSky
www.nytimes.com/2025/03/31/b...
Trump’s Science Policies Pose Long-Term Risk, Economists Warn (Gift Article)
Since World War II, U.S. research funding has led to discoveries that fueled economic gains. Now cutbacks are seen as putting that legacy in jeopardy.
www.nytimes.com
March 31, 2025 at 3:49 PM
Reposted by Nemr Kanafani
A rough start to the year for stocks has Wall Street wondering when to buy the dip. But the consensus so far is "not yet."
Wall Street Wants to Buy Stock Market’s Dips, Question Is When
The US stock market is about to conclude its worst quarter compared to the rest of the world since the 1980s.
www.bloomberg.com
March 31, 2025 at 3:27 PM
Reposted by Nemr Kanafani
US stock indexes opened sharply lower as investors shied away from risky assets on mounting concerns that the Trump administration's upcoming announcement of extensive tariff plans could hurt the global economy reut.rs/3G11wiX
US stock futures drop on recession fears sparked by tariff worries
U.S. stock indexes opened sharply lower on Monday as investors shied away from risky assets on mounting concerns that the Trump administration's upcoming announcement of extensive tariff plans could hurt the global economy.
reut.rs
March 31, 2025 at 1:57 PM