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Keiran Pedley @keiranpedley.bsky.social · 10d

More here www.ipsos.com/en-uk/reform...

Reform UK leads by 12 pts over Labour as both PM and Chancellor hit historic low satisfaction ratings

Reform UK leads by 12 pts over Labour as both PM and Chancellor hit historic low satisfaction ratings.

www.ipsos.com

Keiran Pedley @keiranpedley.bsky.social · 10d

New from @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social

Keir Starmer is the most unpopular PM in the history of Ipsos polling.

Net satisfaction with PM -66

Meanwhile Reform lead at 12.
Reform 34
Labour 22
Conservatives 14 (record low)
Lib Dems 12
Greens 12

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Keiran Pedley @keiranpedley.bsky.social · 13d

More on the research here www.ipsos.com/en-uk/first-...

For the first time, Britons split on whether Keir Starmer or Nigel Farage would make a better Prime Minister

Three in ten prefer Keir Starmer, and three in ten prefer Nigel Farage.

www.ipsos.com

Keiran Pedley @keiranpedley.bsky.social · 13d

More from @Ipsos_in_the_UK who would make the better PM?

Among all
Burnham 25%
Starmer 20%
No different / neither 38%

Among 2024 Labour voters
Burnham 29%
Starmer 41%
No different / neither 21%

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Keiran Pedley @keiranpedley.bsky.social · 13d

More from @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social
Favourability towards Andy Burnham and Keir Starmer among 2024 Labour voters

Burnham
Favourable 49%
Unfavourable 12%
Net +37

Starmer
Favourable 44%
Unfavourable 31%
Net +13

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Keiran Pedley @keiranpedley.bsky.social · 13d

NEW from @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social
what do the public think of Andy Burnham vs Keir Starmer

Burnham
Favourable 29%
Unfavourable 20%
Net +9

Starmer
Favourable 21%
Unfavourable 54%
Net -33

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Keiran Pedley @keiranpedley.bsky.social · 20d

More on the research here www.ipsos.com/en-uk/ipsos-...

Ipsos poll on British attitudes towards the conflict in Israel and Gaza

While 44% of Britons support the UK government recognising a Palestinian state, 41% say that it won’t make a difference to resolving the conflict.

www.ipsos.com

Keiran Pedley @keiranpedley.bsky.social · 20d

As the U.K. prepares to recognise a Palestinian state @Ipsos_in_the_UK polling suggests

- 44% support this decision
- 13% oppose.

With the rest neutral or not giving an opinion.

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Keiran Pedley @keiranpedley.bsky.social · 21d

It’s the Trump state visit. But what do the British public think?

Britain needs a leader like Trump: 29%

Britain does not need a leader like Trump 62%

Source: @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social

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Reposted by Keiran Pedley

John Burn-Murdoch @jburnmurdoch.ft.com · 29d

British economic sentiment is following the US in becoming an increasingly partisan signal.

There has been a red-blue sentiment gap for decades, but it’s widening (data: @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social / @keiranpedley.bsky.social)

11 34 120

Keiran Pedley @keiranpedley.bsky.social · Sep 7

Really great article from new left party from @siennarodgers.bsky.social

www.politicshome.com/news/article...

Inside The Founding Of Jeremy Corbyn's New Party: 'End This Horrible Power Struggle'

The trials and tribulations of founding a new party on the left. Can they unite? What challenges lie ahead? Sienna Rodgers reports

www.politicshome.com

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Reposted by Keiran Pedley

Ipsos in the UK @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social · Sep 3

@keiranpedley.bsky.social & @camerongarrett.bsky.social will dig into all this (and more) at the conference later this week. If you’re there and want to talk polling, drop them a message ☕

IPSOS IN THE UK @ PARTY CONFERENCES
Keiran Pedley, Director UK Politics
Cameron Garrett, Associate Director
Our experts will be in Birmingham, come say hi!

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Keiran Pedley @keiranpedley.bsky.social · Aug 27

My gut says as long as immigration and asylum are the number one issue for the public then Reform wins the next election comfortably. Labour simply won’t win a political arms race on that subject. Question is can they move tue conversation on?

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Keiran Pedley @keiranpedley.bsky.social · Aug 25

Rewatching Derry girls. What a wonderful show. Clinton episode really hits home. Politics can be a depressing, soul sucking thing at times. But sometimes it works. Sometimes things really do get better. And that’s great.

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Reposted by Keiran Pedley

Keiran Pedley @keiranpedley.bsky.social · Aug 22

🚨 New from @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social Our issues index shows immigration the number one issue for the public - with importance growing 🚨

48% say immigration number one issue - up 8 pts from last month

There’s more (short 🧵)

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Keiran Pedley @keiranpedley.bsky.social · Aug 22

More on the research here

www.ipsos.com/en-uk/immigr...

Immigration tops Britons’ concerns as public divided on whether it is acceptable to protest outside asylum hotels

Three in ten (31%) say their local area is housing more than its fair share of asylum seekers, doubling to 61% of Reform UK voters. The public is divided on the acceptability of protesting outside hot...

www.ipsos.com

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Keiran Pedley @keiranpedley.bsky.social · Aug 22

And Starmer’s record on this heavily criticised.

42% think his govt is doing a worse job on immigration than the previous Conservative govt. 23% say it is doing a better job.

Trend is moving in the wrong direction for Labour

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Keiran Pedley @keiranpedley.bsky.social · Aug 22

Perception is rising numbers likely key here. @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social polling shows two thirds think small boat crossings increasing - almost half say increasing a lot.

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Keiran Pedley @keiranpedley.bsky.social · Aug 22

How does salience of immigration as an issue compare to past waves?

48% not as high as record in Sept 15 (pre Brexit)

…but let’s not kid ourselves, concern is high and general trend is up. Unclear where the peak is.

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Keiran Pedley @keiranpedley.bsky.social · Aug 22

Unsurprisingly Immigration most important to Reform UK voters. 84% of this group say it’s an important issue.

What is notable is that growing importance is more driven by increase among Labour & Conservative supporters!

Wrong to say it’s just an issue for Reform supporters.

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Keiran Pedley @keiranpedley.bsky.social · Aug 22

🚨 New from @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social Our issues index shows immigration the number one issue for the public - with importance growing 🚨

48% say immigration number one issue - up 8 pts from last month

There’s more (short 🧵)

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Keiran Pedley @keiranpedley.bsky.social · Aug 22

Doh yes it should. Will get that fixed!

Reposted by Keiran Pedley

Keiran Pedley @keiranpedley.bsky.social · Aug 20

🚨 1 in 5 Brits say they’d consider voting for new left wing party - including 1 in 3 aged under 35 🚨

New deep dive polling by @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social
looks at how much appeal new Corbyn / Sultana party might have.

I think potentially quite a lot but let’s deep dive 🧵

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Keiran Pedley @keiranpedley.bsky.social · Aug 20

More on the research here www.ipsos.com/en-uk/one-fi...

One in five Britons would consider voting for a new left-wing party, rising to one in three young people and Labour voters

One in five (20%) British adults would consider voting for a new left-wing party founded by Jeremy Corbyn and Zarah Sultana. The party's appeal is strongest among young people, with one-third (33%) of...

www.ipsos.com

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Keiran Pedley @keiranpedley.bsky.social · Aug 20

Continued…

- Potential support grows when presented as Left / Greens alliance.
Could this be a modern day libs / SDO alliance to shake up British politics?

- But doubts over credibility / affordability of platform need to be addressed / could limit actual votes

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