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Lakshya Jain @lakshya.splitticket.org · 2h

and yes, despite that, you should *also* be completely fine with people like Jared Golden yelling about how the shutdown is a bad idea. this is because it is very obvious that Golden has no choice but to say this, especially in a Trump +9 seat.

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Lakshya Jain @lakshya.splitticket.org · 2h

my thoughts on the shutdown: you guys would be a lot happier if you learned to watch the NBA.

Dems aren't losing this battle at the moment, and even if they do, none of this is likely to matter one year from now. think long-term for a second. www.theargumentmag.com/p/it-will-sh...

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Reposted by Lakshya Jain

Lakshya Jain @lakshya.splitticket.org · 11h

I think the Democrats have actually done fine on the shutdown despite all the journalistic hand-wringing.

More to the point: a lot of people would be happier if they stopped looking for drama in politics and started watching the NBA.

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Lakshya Jain @lakshya.splitticket.org · 11h

I think the Democrats have actually done fine on the shutdown despite all the journalistic hand-wringing.

More to the point: a lot of people would be happier if they stopped looking for drama in politics and started watching the NBA.

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Lakshya Jain @lakshya.splitticket.org · 11h

I’m usually of the opinion that fights are overrated.

But I also think Democrats aren’t losing the shutdown, despite picking a fight, and that it won’t matter at all for 2026 anyway. The numbers suggest they’re doing OK and journalists are just bored.

www.theargumentmag.com/p/it-will-sh...

It will shock you how much this shutdown never happened

Voters have short memories

www.theargumentmag.com

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Lakshya Jain @lakshya.splitticket.org · 21h

Thanks, makes sense.

Lakshya Jain @lakshya.splitticket.org · 3d

The party follows the people; it's not the other way around. There's going to be another vehicle that picks up the votes of the folks that are voting conservative right now, and it's probably not going to be Labour!

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Lakshya Jain @lakshya.splitticket.org · 3d

A big reason you should want a *modestly* strong, establishment-friendly opposition party is that people don't stop becoming conservative just because their party stops existing.

What comes after the Conservatives in the UK is going to make the Tories look like Mahatma Gandhi and Mother Teresa.

Stephen Bush @stephenkb.bsky.social · 3d

It's fascinating how there are still replies on this, and indeed on every post about the decline of the Tories, with people on the left and centre-left people going 'good'. Honestly, I don't know how big of a warning sign you need that the death of the Tory party is bad for your politics!

Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 3d

Removing her will be an act of mercy at this point. It's getting unbearable to watch her flail around.

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Lakshya Jain @lakshya.splitticket.org · 4d

I think Kiwi was right and I have seen Dems gain a larger amount with young voters this time around!

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Lakshya Jain @lakshya.splitticket.org · 5d

I intend on continuing to post here because I find some value in some of the people that interact with *me* specifically, but that's basically it.

And yeah, X obviously has a lot of problems. Who said it didn't? This isn't an election. It's not a zero-sum game. You can use and dislike both.

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Lakshya Jain @lakshya.splitticket.org · 5d

She's mostly right and I think, after posting on here a *lot* more over the last month, that this website is mostly a self-selected echo chamber with a critical mass of wannabe bullies that thrive on being miserable. Have fun with your Poster's Strike lol

Jay 🦋 @jay.bsky.team · 5d

Harassing the mods into banning someone has never worked. And harassing people in general has never changed their mind.

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Lakshya Jain @lakshya.splitticket.org · 6d

If you found it interesting to read what we put out this week with our polling at The Argument on ChatGPT, AI, and self-driving cars, I hope you'll consider subscribing — whether free or paid.

We've got a lot of really cool stuff planned and would love to share it.

www.theargumentmag.com/subscribe

Subscribe to The Argument

Join Us. We're Libbing Out. Click to read The Argument, a Substack publication.

www.theargumentmag.com

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Lakshya Jain @lakshya.splitticket.org · 6d

Newsom does better with seniors and college-educated voters, while AOC does better with young people. As expected, I guess.

full crosstabs here for paid subscribers. www.theargumentmag.com/p/chatgpt-an...

ChatGPT and the end of learning

My students kept using ChatGPT. I couldn't make them stop.

www.theargumentmag.com

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Lakshya Jain @lakshya.splitticket.org · 6d

Something that was a bit surprising to me this time around:

I tested the favorables of Vance, Trump, Gavin Newsom and AOC in our latest survey.

Newsom: 36/40 (-4)
AOC: 36/41 (-5)
Vance: 39/51 (-12)
Trump: 42/57 (-15)

¯\_(ツ)_/¯

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Lakshya Jain @lakshya.splitticket.org · 6d

Sorry, I'm responding to this point: "opposition was highest where they’re most common"

Lakshya Jain @lakshya.splitticket.org · 6d

That's objectively false? Opposition to self-driving cars was LOWEST where they're most common. And it's worth noting that the gender gap *did not shrink* even in the region where they were most prevalent. If anything, it widened.

All we're trying to show here is that the gap is worth examining.

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Lakshya Jain @lakshya.splitticket.org · 6d

This is something that stretches far beyond these two questions.

The value of these things (some are bad, like crypto, and some are good): is basically uncorrelated to the gender gap.

Self-driving cars, nuclear power, GMOs, crypto, space travel, gene editing, AI, etc

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Lakshya Jain @lakshya.splitticket.org · 6d

This is my guess too! But I like Jerusalem’s breakdown in the piece. bsky.app/profile/laks...

Lakshya Jain @lakshya.splitticket.org · 6d

Two examples (you can find more): opposition to nuclear power and self-driving cars is primarily from women. There is a *massive* gender gap. Why?

(this precedes tech’s MAGA turn. best hypothesis is “women are much more risk-averse and that leads to less Dumb Stuff but also more tech skepticism)

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Lakshya Jain @lakshya.splitticket.org · 6d

That is not, in fact, the reasoning offered in this article. You should read it. Jerusalem does a good job breaking it down.

Lakshya Jain @lakshya.splitticket.org · 6d

But this article isn’t talking about AI. This is observed in virtually every new technology.

Lakshya Jain @lakshya.splitticket.org · 6d

Two examples (you can find more): opposition to nuclear power and self-driving cars is primarily from women. There is a *massive* gender gap. Why?

(this precedes tech’s MAGA turn. best hypothesis is “women are much more risk-averse and that leads to less Dumb Stuff but also more tech skepticism)

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Lakshya Jain @lakshya.splitticket.org · 6d

Something really worth discussing in detail:

Technology has been a massive leveler for society. It’s shrunk the gender gap in the workforce, in everyday life, and at home.

So why are women so much more anti-tech than men? www.theargumentmag.com/p/why-women-...

Why women should be tech-optimists

Technology is about liberation

www.theargumentmag.com

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Lakshya Jain @lakshya.splitticket.org · 7d

Something of note is that in the west, where SDCs are more prevalent, opposition goes *down*. Suggesting that it's like congestion pricing, perhaps: you hate it till you see it, and then you're more OK with it.

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Lakshya Jain @lakshya.splitticket.org · 7d

Most of the opposition to self-driving cars online is that people are really concerned about the potential loss of freedom.

But in real life, people are most concerned about safety. Here's what people said when we asked them why they want to ban SDCs. www.theargumentmag.com/p/please-let...

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Lakshya Jain @lakshya.splitticket.org · 7d

We do have a breakdown on region.

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