Laurie Laybourn
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laurielaybourn.bsky.social
Laurie Laybourn
@laurielaybourn.bsky.social
How do we navigate uncharted climate territory? Lead: www.scri.org.uk
Researcher at Chatham House, IPPR, University of Exeter
We call it 'derailment' as the prevailing assumption that the world has closed off temperature pathways above ~3°C cannot be held with much confidence when considering feedback loops

Instead, the world could be 'derailed' from these pathways by vicious cycles in societies (as well as in nature)
October 28, 2025 at 8:21 AM
But the Spanish example shows that the opposite can also occur

Climate impacts could create anger and confusion, which is exploited to delay climate action

Impacts could also crowd out resources that would otherwise be used for climate action

We call these vicious cycles: derailment risk
October 28, 2025 at 8:21 AM
Often, climate action is spoken about in one-way relationships

Action is needed to reduce the adverse impacts of climate change, with decarbonisation tackling the problem at root and adaptation increasing resilience to inevitable shocks

In turn, these actions have consequences, changing society
October 28, 2025 at 8:21 AM